UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-Q
QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d)
OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the Quarter Ended September 30, 2010
Commission File No. 001-12257
MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
California | 95-2211612 | |
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) |
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) | |
4484 Wilshire Boulevard, Los Angeles, California | 90010 | |
(Address of principal executive offices) | (Zip Code) |
Registrants telephone number, including area code: (323) 937-1060
Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the Registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes x No ¨
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files). Yes x No ¨
Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See definition of large accelerated filer, accelerated filer, and smaller reporting company in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):
Large accelerated filer |
x |
Accelerated filer |
¨ | |||
Non-accelerated filer |
¨ (Do not check if a smaller reporting company) |
Smaller reporting company |
¨ |
Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant is a shell company (as defined in the Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes ¨ No x
At October 28, 2010, the Registrant had issued and outstanding an aggregate of 54,800,233 shares of its Common Stock.
INDEX TO FORM 10-Q
Page | ||||||
PART I FINANCIAL INFORMATION |
||||||
Item 1 |
Financial Statements | 3 | ||||
Consolidated Balance Sheets as of September 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009 |
3 | |||||
Consolidated Statements of Operations for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2010 and 2009 |
4 | |||||
Consolidated Statements of Operations for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2010 and 2009 |
5 | |||||
6 | ||||||
7 | ||||||
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2010 and 2009 |
8 | |||||
9 | ||||||
Item 2 |
Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations | 19 | ||||
Item 3 |
Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risks | 34 | ||||
Item 4 |
Controls and Procedures | 35 | ||||
PART II OTHER INFORMATION |
||||||
Item 1 |
Legal Proceedings | 36 | ||||
Item A |
Risk Factors | 36 | ||||
Item 2 |
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds | 36 | ||||
Item 3 |
Defaults upon Senior Securities | 36 | ||||
Item 4 |
Removed and Reserved | 36 | ||||
Item 5 |
Other Information | 36 | ||||
Item 6 |
Exhibits | 37 | ||||
38 |
2
PART I - FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. | Financial Statements |
MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(in thousands)
ASSETS | ||||||||
September 30, 2010 | December 31, 2009 | |||||||
(unaudited) | ||||||||
Investments, at fair value: |
||||||||
Fixed maturities trading (amortized cost $2,654,342; $2,673,079) |
$ | 2,759,757 | $ | 2,704,561 | ||||
Equity securities trading (cost $322,103; $308,941) |
301,496 | 286,131 | ||||||
Short-term investments (cost $162,278; $156,126) |
162,229 | 156,165 | ||||||
Total investments |
3,223,482 | 3,146,857 | ||||||
Cash |
174,794 | 185,505 | ||||||
Receivables: |
||||||||
Premiums |
290,722 | 276,788 | ||||||
Accrued investment income |
38,257 | 37,405 | ||||||
Other |
11,246 | 13,689 | ||||||
Total receivables |
340,225 | 327,882 | ||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs |
176,422 | 175,866 | ||||||
Fixed assets, net |
197,165 | 201,862 | ||||||
Current income taxes |
4,092 | 27,268 | ||||||
Deferred income taxes |
18,911 | 36,139 | ||||||
Goodwill |
42,850 | 42,850 | ||||||
Other intangible assets, net |
61,715 | 66,823 | ||||||
Other assets |
20,840 | 21,581 | ||||||
Total assets |
$ | 4,260,496 | $ | 4,232,633 | ||||
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY | ||||||||
Losses and loss adjustment expenses |
$ | 985,149 | $ | 1,053,334 | ||||
Unearned premiums |
856,946 | 844,540 | ||||||
Notes payable |
268,991 | 271,397 | ||||||
Accounts payable and accrued expenses |
138,482 | 114,469 | ||||||
Other liabilities |
159,837 | 177,947 | ||||||
Total liabilities |
2,409,405 | 2,461,687 | ||||||
Commitments and contingencies |
||||||||
Shareholders equity: |
||||||||
Common stock without par value or stated value: |
||||||||
Authorized 70,000 shares; issued and outstanding 54,800; 54,777 |
73,859 | 72,589 | ||||||
Additional paid-in capital |
285 | 0 | ||||||
Accumulated other comprehensive loss |
(870 | ) | (597 | ) | ||||
Retained earnings |
1,777,817 | 1,698,954 | ||||||
Total shareholders equity |
1,851,091 | 1,770,946 | ||||||
Total liabilities and shareholders equity |
$ | 4,260,496 | $ | 4,232,633 | ||||
See accompanying Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
3
MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(in thousands, except per share data)
(unaudited)
Three Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||
2010 | 2009 | |||||||
Revenues: |
||||||||
Net premiums earned |
$ | 642,558 | $ | 653,758 | ||||
Net investment income |
35,992 | 35,208 | ||||||
Net realized investment gains |
86,439 | 171,373 | ||||||
Other |
1,761 | 895 | ||||||
Total revenues |
766,750 | 861,234 | ||||||
Expenses: |
||||||||
Losses and loss adjustment expenses |
440,566 | 446,436 | ||||||
Policy acquisition costs |
125,001 | 130,172 | ||||||
Other operating expenses |
63,711 | 53,766 | ||||||
Interest |
1,633 | 1,634 | ||||||
Total expenses |
630,911 | 632,008 | ||||||
Income before income taxes |
135,839 | 229,226 | ||||||
Income tax expense |
38,990 | 71,489 | ||||||
Net income |
$ | 96,849 | $ | 157,737 | ||||
Net income per share: |
||||||||
Basic |
$ | 1.77 | $ | 2.88 | ||||
Diluted |
$ | 1.77 | $ | 2.85 | ||||
Weighted average shares outstanding: |
||||||||
Basic |
54,795 | 54,770 | ||||||
Diluted |
54,817 | 55,313 | ||||||
Dividends declared per share |
$ | 0.60 | $ | 0.58 |
See accompanying Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
4
MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(in thousands, except per share data)
(unaudited)
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||
2010 | 2009 | |||||||
Revenues: |
||||||||
Net premiums earned |
$ | 1,925,889 | $ | 1,979,032 | ||||
Net investment income |
108,353 | 109,334 | ||||||
Net realized investment gains |
80,770 | 352,549 | ||||||
Other |
5,234 | 3,256 | ||||||
Total revenues |
2,120,246 | 2,444,171 | ||||||
Expenses: |
||||||||
Losses and loss adjustment expenses |
1,310,797 | 1,336,191 | ||||||
Policy acquisition costs |
380,308 | 414,062 | ||||||
Other operating expenses |
191,551 | 158,616 | ||||||
Interest |
5,103 | 5,059 | ||||||
Total expenses |
1,887,759 | 1,913,928 | ||||||
Income before income taxes |
232,487 | 530,243 | ||||||
Income tax expense |
56,642 | 161,406 | ||||||
Net income |
$ | 175,845 | $ | 368,837 | ||||
Net income per share: |
||||||||
Basic |
$ | 3.21 | $ | 6.73 | ||||
Diluted |
$ | 3.21 | $ | 6.70 | ||||
Weighted average shares outstanding: |
||||||||
Basic |
54,789 | 54,769 | ||||||
Diluted |
54,821 | 55,081 | ||||||
Dividends declared per share |
$ | 1.78 | $ | 1.74 |
See accompanying Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
5
MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
(in thousands)
(unaudited)
Three Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||
2010 | 2009 | |||||||
Net income |
$ | 96,849 | $ | 157,737 | ||||
Other comprehensive loss, before tax: |
||||||||
Losses on hedging instrument |
(111 | ) | (187 | ) | ||||
Other comprehensive loss, before tax |
(111 | ) | (187 | ) | ||||
Income tax benefit related to losses on hedging instrument |
(39 | ) | (65 | ) | ||||
Comprehensive income, net of tax |
$ | 96,777 | $ | 157,615 | ||||
See accompanying Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
6
MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
(in thousands)
(unaudited)
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||
2010 | 2009 | |||||||
Net income |
$ | 175,845 | $ | 368,837 | ||||
Other comprehensive (loss) income, before tax: |
||||||||
(Losses) gains on hedging instrument |
(420 | ) | 315 | |||||
Other comprehensive (loss) income, before tax |
(420 | ) | 315 | |||||
Income tax (benefit) expense related to (losses) gains on hedging instrument |
(147 | ) | 111 | |||||
Comprehensive income, net of tax |
$ | 175,572 | $ | 369,041 | ||||
See accompanying Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
7
MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(in thousands)
(unaudited)
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||
2010 | 2009 | |||||||
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES |
||||||||
Net income |
$ | 175,845 | $ | 368,837 | ||||
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities: |
||||||||
Depreciation and amortization |
29,672 | 26,315 | ||||||
Net realized investment gains |
(80,770 | ) | (352,549 | ) | ||||
Bond (accretion) amortization, net |
(428 | ) | 4,760 | |||||
Excess tax benefit from exercise of stock options |
(60 | ) | (5 | ) | ||||
(Increase) decrease in premiums receivables |
(13,934 | ) | 2,885 | |||||
Decrease in current and deferred income taxes |
40,611 | 157,806 | ||||||
(Increase) Decrease in deferred policy acquisition costs |
(556 | ) | 17,768 | |||||
Decrease in unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses |
(68,185 | ) | (77,621 | ) | ||||
Increase (decrease) in unearned premiums |
12,406 | (7,953 | ) | |||||
Increase in accounts payable and accrued expenses |
26,097 | 37,751 | ||||||
Decrease in trading securities in nature, net of realized gains and losses |
0 | 3,209 | ||||||
Share-based compensation |
804 | 571 | ||||||
Decrease in other payables |
(21,105 | ) | (14,859 | ) | ||||
Other, net |
(973 | ) | (10,455 | ) | ||||
Net cash provided by operating activities |
99,424 | 156,460 | ||||||
CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES |
||||||||
Fixed maturities available-for-sale in nature: |
||||||||
Purchases |
(355,207 | ) | (364,866 | ) | ||||
Sales |
145,838 | 226,184 | ||||||
Calls or maturities |
232,274 | 165,159 | ||||||
Equity securities available-for-sale in nature: |
||||||||
Purchases |
(172,788 | ) | (218,038 | ) | ||||
Sales |
151,440 | 242,392 | ||||||
Calls |
4,826 | 0 | ||||||
Net increase in payable for securities |
4,188 | 1,713 | ||||||
Net (increase) decrease in short-term investments |
(6,085 | ) | 78,756 | |||||
Purchase of fixed assets |
(22,143 | ) | (30,215 | ) | ||||
Sale and write-off of fixed assets |
170 | 345 | ||||||
Business acquisition, net of cash acquired |
0 | (115,488 | ) | |||||
Other, net |
3,582 | 1,446 | ||||||
Net cash used in investing activities |
(13,905 | ) | (12,612 | ) | ||||
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES |
||||||||
Dividends paid to shareholders |
(96,981 | ) | (95,299 | ) | ||||
Excess tax benefit from exercise of stock options |
60 | 5 | ||||||
Proceeds from stock options exercised |
691 | 244 | ||||||
Proceeds from bank loan |
0 | 120,000 | ||||||
Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities |
(96,230 | ) | 24,950 | |||||
Net increase in cash |
(10,711 | ) | 168,798 | |||||
Cash: |
||||||||
Beginning of the year |
185,505 | 35,396 | ||||||
End of year |
$ | 174,794 | $ | 204,194 | ||||
SUPPLEMENTAL CASH FLOW DISCLOSURE |
||||||||
Interest paid |
5,457 | $ | 6,077 | |||||
Income taxes paid |
16,031 | $ | 3,594 | |||||
Net realized gains (losses) from sale of investments |
4,931 | $ | (62,744 | ) |
See accompanying Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
8
MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONDENSED NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
(unaudited)
1. General
Consolidation and Basis of Presentation
The condensed consolidated financial statements include the accounts of Mercury General Corporation and its subsidiaries (referred to herein collectively as the Company). For the list of the Companys subsidiaries, see Note 1 Summary of Significant Accounting Policies of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009.
The condensed consolidated financial statements have been prepared in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), which differ in some respects from those filed in reports to insurance regulatory authorities. All intercompany transactions have been eliminated.
The financial data of the Company included herein has been prepared without audit. In the opinion of management, all material adjustments of a normal recurring nature necessary to present fairly the Companys financial position at September 30, 2010 and the results of operations, comprehensive income, and cash flows for the periods presented have been made. Operating results and cash flows for the nine months ended September 30, 2010 are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for the year ending December 31, 2010.
Certain items presented in the receivables section of the consolidated balance sheets as of December 31, 2009 have been combined within the receivables section in the consolidated balance sheets as of September 30, 2010. This had no impact on the consolidated balance sheets as previously reported.
Use of Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. These estimates require the Company to apply complex assumptions and judgments, and often the Company must make estimates about effects of matters that are inherently uncertain and will likely change in subsequent periods. The most significant assumptions in the preparation of these condensed consolidated financial statements relate to reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses. Actual results could differ from those estimates (See Note 1 Summary of Significant Accounting Policies of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009).
2. Recently Issued Accounting Standards
In February 2010, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued a new accounting standard related to subsequent events, which amends the earlier FASB standard to address certain implementation issues related to an entitys requirement to perform and disclose subsequent events procedures. The new standard requires Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filers to evaluate subsequent events through the date the financial statements are issued and exempts SEC filers from disclosing the date through which subsequent events have been evaluated. The Company adopted the new standard which became effective for the interim reporting period ended March 31, 2010. The adoption of the new standard did not have a material impact on the Companys condensed consolidated financial statements.
In January 2010, the FASB issued a new standard related to fair value measurements and disclosures, which amends the earlier FASB standard to add new requirements for disclosures about transfers into and out of Levels 1 and 2 fair value measurements and separate disclosures about purchases, sales, issuances, and settlements related to Level 3 fair value measurements. The new standard also clarifies existing fair value disclosures about the level of disaggregation and about inputs and valuation techniques used to measure the fair value. The Company adopted the new accounting standard which became effective for the interim reporting period ended March 31, 2010, except for the requirement to provide the Level 3 activity of purchases, sales, issuances, and settlements on a gross basis, which will be effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2010, and for interim periods within those fiscal years. The adoption of the new standard did not have a material impact on the Companys condensed consolidated financial statements.
9
3. Fair Value of Financial Instruments
The financial instruments recorded in the consolidated balance sheets include investments, receivables, interest rate swap agreements, accounts payable, equity contracts, and secured and unsecured notes payable. Due to their short-term maturity, the carrying value of receivables and accounts payable approximate their fair market values. The following table presents estimated fair values of financial instruments at September 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009.
September 30, 2010 | December 31, 2009 | |||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||
Assets |
||||||||
Investments |
$ | 3,223,482 | $ | 3,146,857 | ||||
Interest rate swap agreements |
$ | 6,033 | $ | 8,472 | ||||
Liabilities |
||||||||
Interest rate swap agreements |
$ | 3,720 | $ | 2,364 | ||||
Equity contracts |
$ | 1,197 | $ | 1,043 | ||||
Secured notes |
$ | 137,612 | $ | 138,103 | ||||
Unsecured note |
$ | 128,844 | $ | 130,666 |
Methods and assumptions used in estimating fair values are as follows:
Investments
The Company applies the fair value option to all available-for-sale, fixed maturity, equity securities, and short-term investments as of the time the eligible item is first recognized. For additional disclosures regarding methods and assumptions used in estimating fair values of these securities, see Note 5 of the Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Interest rate swap agreements
The fair value of interest rate swap agreements reflects the estimated amounts that the Company would pay or receive at September 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009 in order to terminate the contracts based on models using inputs, such as interest rate yield curves, observable for substantially the full term of the contract. For additional disclosures regarding methods and assumptions used in estimating fair values of interest rate swap agreements, see Note 5 of the Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Equity contracts
The fair value of equity contracts is based on quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets. For additional disclosures regarding methods and assumptions used in estimating fair values of equity contracts, see Note 5 of the Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Secured notes
The fair value of the Companys $120 million and $18 million secured notes is estimated based on assumptions and inputs, such as reset rates, for similarly termed notes that are observable in the market.
Unsecured note
The fair value of the Companys publicly traded $125 million unsecured note is based on the unadjusted quoted price for similar notes in active markets.
10
4. Fair Value Option
Gains and losses due to changes in fair value for items measured at fair value pursuant to application of the fair value option are included in net realized investment gains in the Companys consolidated statements of operations, while interest and dividend income on the investment holdings are recognized on an accrual basis on each measurement date and are included in net investment income in the Companys consolidated statements of operations. The primary reasons for electing the fair value option were simplification and cost-benefit considerations as well as the expansion of the use of fair value measurement consistent with the long-term measurement objectives of the FASB for accounting for financial instruments.
The following table presents gains (losses) due to changes in fair value for items measured at fair value pursuant to application of the fair value option:
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||
2010 | 2009 | 2010 | 2009 | |||||||||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturity securities |
$ | 46,316 | $ | 136,062 | $ | 73,933 | $ | 283,496 | ||||||||
Equity securities |
40,720 | 55,281 | 2,204 | 122,200 | ||||||||||||
Short-term investments |
611 | (84 | ) | (88 | ) | (87 | ) | |||||||||
Total |
$ | 87,647 | $ | 191,259 | $ | 76,049 | $ | 405,609 | ||||||||
5. Fair Value Measurement
The Company employs a fair value hierarchy that prioritizes the inputs to valuation techniques used to measure fair value. The fair value of a financial instrument is the amount that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date using the exit price. Accordingly, when market observable data is not readily available, the Companys own assumptions are set to reflect those that market participants would be presumed to use in pricing the asset or liability at the measurement date. Assets and liabilities recorded on the consolidated balance sheets at fair value are categorized based on the level of judgment associated with inputs used to measure fair value and the level of market observability, as follows:
Level 1 |
Unadjusted quoted prices are available in active markets for identical assets or liabilities as of the reporting date. | |
Level 2 |
Pricing inputs are other than quoted prices in active markets, which are based on the following:
Quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities in active markets;
Quoted prices for identical or similar assets or liabilities in non-active markets; or
Either directly or indirectly observable inputs as of the reporting date and fair value is determined through the use of models or other valuation methods. | |
Level 3 |
Pricing inputs are unobservable and significant to the overall fair value measurement, and the determination of fair value requires significant management judgment or estimation. |
In certain cases, inputs used to measure fair value may fall into different levels of the fair value hierarchy. In such cases, the level in the fair value hierarchy within which the fair value measurement in its entirety falls has been determined based on the lowest level input that is significant to the fair value measurement in its entirety. The Companys assessment of the significance of a particular input to the fair value measurement in its entirety requires judgment and consideration of factors specific to the asset or liability.
The Company uses prices and inputs that are current as of the measurement date, including during periods of market disruption. In periods of market disruption, the ability to observe prices and inputs may be reduced for many instruments. This condition could cause an instrument to be reclassified from Level 1 to Level 2, or from Level 2 to Level 3. The Company recognizes transfers between levels at either the actual date of the event or a change in circumstances that caused the transfer.
11
Summary of Significant Valuation Techniques for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities
The Companys fair value measurements are based on a combination of the market approach and the income approach. The market approach utilizes market transaction data for the same or similar instruments. The income approach is based on a discounted cash flow methodology, where expected cash flows are discounted to present value.
The Company obtained unadjusted fair values on approximately 98% of its portfolio from an independent pricing service. For approximately 2% of its portfolio, the Company obtained specific unadjusted broker quotes from at least one knowledgeable outside security broker to determine the fair value.
Level 1 Measurements - Fair values of financial assets and financial liabilities are obtained from an independent pricing service, and are based on unadjusted quoted prices for identical assets or liabilities in active markets. Additional pricing services and closing exchange values are used as a comparison to ensure realistic fair values are used in pricing the investment portfolio.
U.S. government bonds and agencies: Valued using unadjusted quoted market prices for identical assets in active markets.
Common stock: Comprised of actively traded, exchange listed U.S. and international equity securities and valued based on unadjusted quoted prices for identical assets in active markets.
Money market instruments: Valued based on unadjusted quoted prices for identical assets.
Equity contracts: Comprised of free-standing exchange listed derivatives that are actively traded and valued based on quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets.
Level 2 Measurements - Fair values of financial assets and financial liabilities are obtained from an independent pricing service or outside brokers, and are based on prices for similar assets or liabilities in active markets or valuation models whose inputs are observable, directly or indirectly, for substantially the full term of the asset or liability. Additional pricing services are used as a comparison to ensure reliable fair values are used in pricing the investment portfolio.
Municipal securities: Valued based on models or matrices using inputs including quoted prices for identical or similar assets in active markets.
Mortgage-backed securities: Comprised of securities that are collateralized by residential mortgage loans and valued based on models or matrices using multiple observable inputs, such as benchmark yields, reported trades and broker/dealer quotes, for identical or similar assets in active markets. At September 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009, the Company had no holdings in commercial mortgage-backed securities.
Corporate securities/Short-term bonds: Valued based on a multi-dimensional model using multiple observable inputs, such as benchmark yields, reported trades, broker/dealer quotes and issue spreads, for identical or similar assets in active markets.
Non-redeemable preferred stock: Valued based on observable inputs, such as underlying and common stock of same issuer and appropriate spread over a comparable U.S. Treasury security, for identical or similar assets in active markets.
Interest rate swap agreements: Valued based on models using inputs, such as interest rate yield curves, observable for substantially the full term of the contract.
Level 3 Measurements - Fair values of financial assets are based on discounted cash flow price modeling performed by management with inputs that are both unobservable and significant to the overall fair value measurement, including any items in which the evaluated prices obtained elsewhere were deemed to be of a distressed trading level.
Municipal securities: Comprised of certain distressed municipal securities for which valuation is based on models that are widely accepted in the financial services industry and require projections of future cash flows that are not market observable. Included in this category are $1.4 million of auction rate securities (ARS).
Collateralized debt obligations: Valued based on underlying debt instruments and the appropriate benchmark spread for similar assets in active markets; taking into consideration unobservable inputs related to liquidity assumptions.
The Companys total financial instruments at fair value are reflected in the consolidated balance sheets on a trade-date basis. Related unrealized gains or losses are recognized in net realized investment gains in the consolidated statements of operations. Fair value measurements are not adjusted for transaction costs.
12
The following tables present information about the Companys assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis as of September 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009, and indicate the fair value hierarchy based on the inputs and the valuation techniques utilized by the Company to determine such fair value:
September 30, 2010 | ||||||||||||||||
Level 1 | Level 2 | Level 3 | Total | |||||||||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Assets |
||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturity securities: |
||||||||||||||||
U.S. government bonds and agencies |
$ | 8,855 | $ | 0 | $ | 0 | $ | 8,855 | ||||||||
Municipal securities |
0 | 2,537,355 | 1,354 | 2,538,709 | ||||||||||||
Mortgage-backed securities |
0 | 68,640 | 0 | 68,640 | ||||||||||||
Corporate securities |
0 | 91,687 | 0 | 91,687 | ||||||||||||
Collateralized debt obligations |
0 | 0 | 51,866 | 51,866 | ||||||||||||
Equity securities: |
||||||||||||||||
Common stock: |
||||||||||||||||
Public utilities |
25,283 | 0 | 0 | 25,283 | ||||||||||||
Banks, trusts and insurance companies |
16,365 | 0 | 0 | 16,365 | ||||||||||||
Industrial and other |
250,300 | 0 | 0 | 250,300 | ||||||||||||
Non-redeemable preferred stock |
0 | 9,548 | 0 | 9,548 | ||||||||||||
Short-term bonds |
0 | 17,382 | 0 | 17,382 | ||||||||||||
Money market instruments |
144,847 | 0 | 0 | 144,847 | ||||||||||||
Interest rate swap agreements |
0 | 6,033 | 0 | 6,033 | ||||||||||||
Total assets at fair value |
$ | 445,650 | $ | 2,730,645 | $ | 53,220 | $ | 3,229,515 | ||||||||
Liabilities |
||||||||||||||||
Equity contracts |
$ | 1,197 | $ | 0 | $ | 0 | $ | 1,197 | ||||||||
Interest rate swap agreements |
0 | 3,720 | 0 | 3,720 | ||||||||||||
Total liabilities at fair value |
$ | 1,197 | $ | 3,720 | $ | 0 | $ | 4,917 | ||||||||
December 31, 2009 | ||||||||||||||||
Level 1 | Level 2 | Level 3 | Total | |||||||||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Assets |
||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturity securities: |
||||||||||||||||
U.S. government bonds and agencies |
$ | 8,977 | $ | 1,003 | $ | 0 | $ | 9,980 | ||||||||
Municipal securities |
0 | 2,437,744 | 3,322 | 2,441,066 | ||||||||||||
Mortgage-backed securities |
0 | 114,408 | 0 | 114,408 | ||||||||||||
Corporate securities |
0 | 91,634 | 0 | 91,634 | ||||||||||||
Collateralized debt obligations |
0 | 0 | 47,473 | 47,473 | ||||||||||||
Equity securities: |
||||||||||||||||
Common stock: |
||||||||||||||||
Public utilities |
28,780 | 0 | 0 | 28,780 | ||||||||||||
Banks, trusts and insurance companies |
13,291 | 0 | 0 | 13,291 | ||||||||||||
Industrial and other |
230,406 | 0 | 0 | 230,406 | ||||||||||||
Non-redeemable preferred stock |
0 | 13,654 | 0 | 13,654 | ||||||||||||
Short-term bonds |
0 | 6,039 | 0 | 6,039 | ||||||||||||
Money market instruments |
150,126 | 0 | 0 | 150,126 | ||||||||||||
Interest rate swap agreements |
0 | 8,472 | 0 | 8,472 | ||||||||||||
Total assets at fair value |
$ | 431,580 | $ | 2,672,954 | $ | 50,795 | $ | 3,155,329 | ||||||||
Liabilities |
||||||||||||||||
Equity contracts |
$ | 1,043 | $ | 0 | $ | 0 | $ | 1,043 | ||||||||
Interest rate swap agreements |
0 | 2,364 | 0 | 2,364 | ||||||||||||
Total liabilities at fair value |
$ | 1,043 | $ | 2,364 | $ | 0 | $ | 3,407 | ||||||||
13
When the inputs used to measure fair value fall within different levels of the hierarchy, the level within which the fair value measurement is categorized is based on the lowest level input that is significant to the fair value measurement in its entirety. Thus, a Level 3 fair value measurement may include inputs that are observable (Level 1 or Level 2) and unobservable (Level 3).
The following tables presents a summary of changes in fair value of Level 3 financial assets and financial liabilities held at fair value at September 30, 2010 and 2009.
Three Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||||
2010 | 2009 | |||||||||||||||
Municipal Securities |
Collateralized Debt Obligations |
Municipal Securities |
Collateralized Debt Obligations |
|||||||||||||
Beginning Balance |
$ | 1,357 | $ | 47,585 | $ | 2,856 | $ | 0 | ||||||||
Realized (losses) gains included in earnings |
(3 | ) | 4,859 | 151 | 0 | |||||||||||
Purchase, issuances, and settlements |
0 | (578 | ) | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
Ending Balance |
$ | 1,354 | $ | 51,866 | $ | 3,007 | $ | 0 | ||||||||
The amount of total (losses) gains for the period included in earnings attributable to assets still held at September 30 |
$ | (3 | ) | $ | 4,281 | $ | 151 | $ | 0 | |||||||
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||||
2010 | 2009 | |||||||||||||||
Municipal Securities |
Collateralized Debt Obligations |
Municipal Securities |
Collateralized Debt Obligations |
|||||||||||||
Beginning Balance |
$ | 3,322 | $ | 47,473 | $ | 2,984 | $ | 0 | ||||||||
Realized (losses) gains included in earnings |
(379 | ) | 9,562 | 1,228 | 0 | |||||||||||
Purchase, issuances, and settlements |
(1,589 | ) | (5,169 | ) | (1,205 | ) | 0 | |||||||||
Ending Balance |
$ | 1,354 | $ | 51,866 | $ | 3,007 | $ | 0 | ||||||||
The amount of total (losses) gains for the period included in earnings attributable to assets still held at September 30 |
$ | (353 | ) | $ | 8,983 | $ | 894 | $ | 0 | |||||||
There were no transfers between Levels 1, 2, and 3 of the fair value hierarchy during the nine months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009.
At September 30, 2010, the Company did not have any nonrecurring measurements of nonfinancial assets or nonfinancial liabilities.
6. Derivative Financial Instruments
The Company is exposed to certain risks relating to its ongoing business operations. The primary risks managed by derivative instruments are equity price risk and interest rate risk. Equity contracts on various equity securities are intended to manage the price risk associated with forecasted purchases or sales of such securities. Interest rate swaps are intended to manage the interest rate risk associated with the Companys loans with fixed or floating rates.
On February 6, 2009, the Company entered into an interest rate swap of its floating LIBOR rate on the $120 million credit facility, which was used for the acquisition of Auto Insurance Specialists LLC (AIS), for a fixed rate of 3.18%. The purpose of the swap is to offset the variability of cash flows resulting from the variable interest rate. The swap is not designated as a hedge and changes in the fair value are adjusted through the consolidated statement of operations in the period of change.
14
Effective January 2, 2002, the Company entered into an interest rate swap on the $125 million senior notes for a floating rate of LIBOR plus 107 basis points. The swap agreement terminates on August 15, 2011. The swap is designated as a fair value hedge and qualifies for the shortcut method as the hedge is deemed to have no ineffectiveness. The fair market value of the interest rate swap was $6.0 million as of September 30, 2010, and has been recorded in other assets in the consolidated balance sheets with a corresponding increase in notes payable. The Company includes the gain or loss on the hedged item in the same line item, other revenue, as the offsetting loss or gain on the related interest rate swaps as follows:
Income Statement Classification |
Three Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||
2010 | 2009 | |||||||||||||||
Gain (Loss) on Swap |
Gain (Loss) on Loan |
Gain (Loss) on Swap |
Gain (Loss) on Loan |
|||||||||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Other revenue |
$ | (985 | ) | $ | 985 | $ | (747 | ) | $ | 747 | ||||||
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||||
2010 | 2009 | |||||||||||||||
Income Statement Classification |
Gain (Loss) on Swap |
Gain (Loss) on Loan |
Gain (Loss) on Swap |
Gain (Loss) on Loan |
||||||||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Other revenue |
$ | (2,439 | ) | $ | 2,439 | $ | (4,618 | ) | $ | 4,618 |
On March 3, 2008, the Company entered into an interest rate swap of its floating LIBOR rate on the $18 million bank loan for a fixed rate of 3.75%, resulting in a total fixed rate of 4.25%. The swap agreement terminates on March 1, 2013. The swap is designated as a cash flow hedge. The fair market value of the interest rate swap was $1.3 million as of September 30, 2010, and has been reported as a component of other comprehensive income and amortized into earnings over the term of the hedged transaction. The interest rate swap was determined to be highly effective, and no amount of ineffectiveness was recorded in earnings during the nine months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009.
Fair value amounts, and gains and losses on derivative instruments
The following tables present the location and amounts of derivative fair values in the consolidated balance sheets and derivative gains and losses in the consolidated statements of operations:
Asset Derivatives | Liability Derivatives | |||||||||||||||
September 30, 2010 | December 31, 2009 | September 30, 2010 | December 31, 2009 | |||||||||||||
Hedging derivatives |
||||||||||||||||
Interest rate contracts - Other assets (liabilities) |
$ | 6,033 | $ | 8,472 | $ | (1,338 | ) | $ | (918 | ) | ||||||
Non-hedging derivatives |
||||||||||||||||
Interest rate contracts -Other liabilities |
$ | 0 | $ | 0 | $ | (2,382 | ) | $ | (1,446 | ) | ||||||
Equity contracts -Short-term investments (Other liabilities) |
0 | 0 | (1,197 | ) | (1,043 | ) | ||||||||||
Total non-hedging derivatives |
$ | 0 | $ | 0 | $ | (3,579 | ) | $ | (2,489 | ) | ||||||
Total derivatives |
$ | 6,033 | $ | 8,472 | $ | (4,917 | ) | $ | (3,407 | ) | ||||||
15
The Effect of Derivative Instruments on the Consolidated Statements of Operations
Derivatives Contracts for Fair Value Hedges |
(Loss) Gain Recognized in Income | |||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||
2010 | 2009 | 2010 | 2009 | |||||||||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Interest rate contract - Interest expense |
$ | (1,828 | ) | $ | 1,854 | $ | (5,310 | ) | $ | 5,203 | ||||||
(Loss) Gain Recognized in Other Comprehensive Income |
||||||||||||||||
Derivatives Contracts for Cash Flow Hedges |
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||
2010 | 2009 | 2010 | 2009 | |||||||||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Interest rate contract - Other comprehensive income |
$ | (111 | ) | $ | (187 | ) | $ | (420 | ) | $ | 315 | |||||
Gain (Loss) Recognized in Income | ||||||||||||||||
Derivatives Not Designated as Hedging Instruments |
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||
2010 | 2009 | 2010 | 2009 | |||||||||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Interest rate contract - Other revenue |
$ | (83 | ) | $ | (866 | ) | $ | (936 | ) | $ | (1,528 | ) | ||||
Equity contracts - Net realized investment gains |
982 | 20 | 4,276 | 6,429 | ||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 899 | $ | (846 | ) | $ | 3,340 | $ | 4,901 | |||||||
There were no gains or losses on derivative instruments designated as cash flow hedges reclassified from accumulated other comprehensive income into earnings during the three or nine months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009.
Most equity contracts consist of covered calls. The Company writes covered calls on underlying equity positions held as an enhanced income strategy that is permitted for the Companys insurance subsidiaries under statutory regulations. The Company manages the risk associated with covered calls through strict capital limitations and asset diversification through various industries. For additional disclosures regarding equity contracts, see Note 5 of the Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
16
7. Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets
There were no changes in the carrying amount of goodwill for the nine months ended September 30, 2010. Goodwill is reviewed for impairment on an annual basis and more frequently if potential impairment indicators exist. No impairment indications were identified during any of the periods presented.
The following table presents the components of other intangible assets as of September 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009.
Gross Carrying Amount |
Accumulated Amortization |
Net Carrying Amount |
||||||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||||||
As of September 30, 2010: |
||||||||||||
Customer relationships |
$ | 51,640 | $ | (8,541 | ) | $ | 43,099 | |||||
Trade names |
15,400 | (1,123 | ) | 14,277 | ||||||||
Software and technology |
4,850 | (1,234 | ) | 3,616 | ||||||||
Favorable leases |
1,725 | (1,002 | ) | 723 | ||||||||
Total intangible assets, net |
$ | 73,615 | $ | (11,900 | ) | $ | 61,715 | |||||
As of December 31, 2009: |
||||||||||||
Customer relationships |
$ | 51,640 | $ | (4,872 | ) | $ | 46,768 | |||||
Trade names |
15,400 | (642 | ) | 14,758 | ||||||||
Software and technology |
4,850 | (705 | ) | 4,145 | ||||||||
Favorable leases |
1,725 | (573 | ) | 1,152 | ||||||||
Total intangible assets, net |
$ | 73,615 | $ | (6,792 | ) | $ | 66,823 | |||||
Intangible assets are amortized on a straight-line basis over their weighted-average lives. Intangible assets amortization expense was $1.7 million and $5.1 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2010, respectively. The following table presents the estimated future amortization expense related to intangible assets as of September 30, 2010:
Year Ending December 31, |
Amortization Expense | |||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||
Remainder of 2010 |
$ | 1,704 | ||
2011 |
6,358 | |||
2012 |
6,144 | |||
2013 |
5,969 | |||
2014 |
5,964 | |||
Thereafter |
35,576 | |||
Total |
$ | 61,715 | ||
8. Share-Based Compensation
The Company accounts for share-based compensation using the modified prospective transition method. Under this method, share-based compensation expense includes compensation expense for all share-based compensation awards granted prior to, but not yet vested as of January 1, 2006, based on the estimated grant-date fair value. Share-based compensation expense for all share-based payment awards granted or modified on or after January 1, 2006 is based on the estimated grant-date fair value. The Company recognizes these compensation costs on a straight-line basis over the requisite service period of the award, which is the option vesting term of four or five years for options granted prior to 2008 and four years for options granted subsequent to January 1, 2008, for only those shares expected to vest. The fair value of stock option awards is estimated using the Black-Scholes option pricing model with inputs for grant-date assumptions and weighted-average fair values.
Under its 2005 Equity Participation Plan (the Plan), the Compensation Committee of the Companys Board of Directors granted to Gabriel Tirador, the Companys Chief Executive Officer, 10,000 shares of restricted stock on March 23, 2010. On October 1, 2010, the Compensation Committee granted 45,000 restricted stock units to the Companys senior management and key employees under the Plan. The restricted stock and restricted stock units will vest at the end of a three-year performance period, and then only if, and to the extent that, the Companys cumulative underwriting income during such three-year performance period ending December 31, 2012 achieves the threshold performance levels established by the Compensation Committee.
17
The fair value of the restricted share grant was determined based on the market price on the date of grant. Compensation cost has been recognized based on managements best estimate of the performance goals that will be achieved. If such goals are not met, no compensation cost would be recognized and any recognized compensation cost would be reversed.
9. Income Taxes
The Company recognizes tax benefits related to positions taken, or expected to be taken, on a tax return once a more likely than not threshold has been met. For a tax position that meets the recognition threshold, the largest amount of tax benefit that is greater than 50 percent likely of being realized upon ultimate settlement is recognized in the financial statements.
There was a $3.0 million net decrease to the total amount of unrecognized tax benefits related to tax uncertainties during the nine months ended September 30, 2010. The decrease was the result of a change in managements assessment of the technical merits of tax positions taken in an earlier period based on managements best judgment given the facts, circumstances, and information available at the reporting date. The Company does not expect any further changes in unrecognized tax benefits to have a significant impact on its consolidated financial statements within the next 12 months. The Company recognizes interest and penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits as part of income tax expense.
The Company and its subsidiaries file income tax returns in the U.S. federal jurisdiction and various states. Tax years that remain subject to examination by major taxing jurisdictions are 2006 through 2009 for federal taxes and 2001 through 2009 for California state taxes. The Company is under examination by the Internal Revenue Service for tax years 2005 through 2008. The examination is in its early stage, and no issues have been raised to date.
The Company is currently under examination by the California Franchise Tax Board (FTB) for tax years 2001 through 2005. The taxing authority has proposed significant adjustments to the Companys California tax liabilities. An unfavorable ruling against the Company may have a material impact on the Companys results of operations in the period of such ruling. Management believes that the issue will ultimately be resolved in favor of the Company. However, there can be no assurance that the Company will prevail on this matter.
Deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized for the estimated future tax consequences attributable to differences between the financial reporting basis and the respective tax basis of the Companys assets and liabilities, and expected benefits of utilizing net operating loss, capital loss, and tax-credit carryforwards. The Company assesses the likelihood that its deferred tax assets will be realized and, to the extent management does not believe these assets are more likely than not to be realized, a valuation allowance is established.
At September 30, 2010, the Companys deferred income taxes were in a net asset position partly due to a combination of ordinary and capital deferred tax benefits. In assessing the realization of deferred tax assets, management considers whether it is more likely than not that some portion or all of the deferred tax assets will not be realized. The ultimate realization of deferred tax assets is dependent upon generating sufficient taxable income of the appropriate nature within the carryback and carryforward periods available under the tax law. Management considers the scheduled reversal of deferred tax liabilities, projected future taxable income of an appropriate nature, and tax-planning strategies in making this assessment. The Company believes that through the use of prudent tax planning strategies and the generation of capital gains, sufficient income will be realized in order to maximize the full benefits of its deferred tax assets. Although realization is not assured, management believes that it is more likely than not that the Companys deferred tax assets will be realized.
10. Contingencies
A contingent consideration arrangement requires the Company to pay the former owner of AIS up to an undiscounted maximum amount of $34.7 million. The potential undiscounted amount of all future payments that the Company could be required to make under the contingent consideration arrangement is between $0 and $34.7 million. Based on the actual to date and the projected performance of the AIS business through December 31, 2010, the Company does not expect to pay any of the contingent consideration. That estimate of future performance is based on significant inputs that are not observable in the market, including managements projections of future cash flows, which are considered Level 3 inputs. A key assumption in determining the estimated contingent consideration is a forecasted decline in premiums ranging from 5.0% to 8.0%. The estimates for the contingent consideration arrangement, the range of outcomes, and the assumptions used to develop the estimates have not changed since December 31, 2009.
18
The Company is, from time to time, named as a defendant in various lawsuits incidental to its insurance business. In most of these actions, plaintiffs assert claims for punitive damages, which are not insurable under judicial decisions. The Company has established reserves for lawsuits in which the Company is able to estimate its potential exposure and the likelihood that the court will rule against the Company is probable. Additionally, from time to time, regulators may take actions to challenge the Companys business practices. The Company vigorously defends these actions, unless a reasonable settlement appears appropriate. An unfavorable ruling against the Company in the actions currently pending may have a material impact on the Companys quarterly results of operations in the period of such ruling; however, none is expected to be material to the Companys financial position. For a discussion of the Companys pending material litigation, see the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009.
Item 2. | Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
Cautionary Statements
Certain statements in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q or in other materials the Company has filed or will file with the SEC (as well as information included in oral statements or other written statements made or to be made by the Company) contain or may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These forward-looking statements may address, among other things, the Companys strategy for growth, business development, regulatory approvals, market position, expenditures, financial results, and reserves. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance and are subject to important factors and events that could cause the Companys actual business, prospects, and results of operations to differ materially from the historical information contained in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and from those that may be expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements contained in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and in other reports or public statements made by the Company.
Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, among others: the competition currently existing in the California and other states automobile insurance markets; the cyclical and general competitive nature of the property and casualty insurance industry and general uncertainties regarding loss reserve or other estimates, the accuracy and adequacy of the Companys pricing methodologies; the achievement of the synergies and revenue growth from the acquisition of AIS; the Companys success in managing its business in states outside of California; the impact of potential third party bad-faith legislation, changes in legislation, regulations or new interpretation of existing regulations, tax position challenges by the FTB, and decisions of courts, regulators and governmental bodies, particularly in California; the Companys ability to obtain and the timing of the approval of premium rate changes for insurance policies issued in states where the Company operates; the investment yields the Company is able to obtain with its investments in comparison to recent yields and the market risks associated with the Companys investment portfolio; uncertainties related to assumptions and projections generally, inflation and changes in economic conditions; changes in driving patterns and loss trends; acts of war and terrorist activities; court decisions, trends in litigation, and health care and auto repair costs; adverse weather conditions or natural disasters in the markets served by the Company; the stability of the Companys information technology systems and the ability of the Company to execute on its information technology initiatives; the Companys ability to realize current deferred tax assets or to hold certain securities with current loss positions to recovery or maturity; and other uncertainties, all of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond the Companys control. GAAP prescribes when a Company may reserve for particular risks including litigation exposures. Accordingly, results for a given reporting period could be significantly affected if and when a reserve is established for a major contingency. Reported results may therefore appear to be volatile in certain periods.
The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information or future events or otherwise. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q or, in the case of any document the Company incorporates by reference, any other report filed with the SEC or any other public statement made by the Company, the date of the document, report, or statement. Investors should also understand that it is not possible to predict or identify all factors and should not consider the risks set forth above to be a complete statement of all potential risks and uncertainties. If the expectations or assumptions underlying the Companys forward-looking statements prove inaccurate or if risks or uncertainties arise, actual results could differ materially from those predicted in any forward-looking statements. The factors identified above are believed to be some, but not all, of the important factors that could cause actual events and results to be significantly different from those that may be expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statements should also be considered in light of the information provided in Item 1A. Risk Factors in the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009 and in Item 1A. Risk Factors in Part II - Other Information of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
19
OVERVIEW
A. General
The operating results of property and casualty insurance companies are subject to significant quarter-to-quarter and year-to-year fluctuations due to the effect of competition on pricing, the frequency and severity of losses, the effect of natural disasters on losses, general economic conditions, the general regulatory environment in those states in which an insurer operates, state regulation of premium rates, and other factors such as changes in tax laws. The property and casualty industry has been highly cyclical, with periods of high premium rates and shortages of underwriting capacity followed by periods of severe price competition and excess capacity. These cycles can have a large impact on the Companys ability to grow and retain business.
This section discusses some of the relevant factors that management considers in evaluating the Companys performance, prospects, and risks. It is not all-inclusive and is meant to be read in conjunction with the entirety of managements discussion and analysis, the Companys condensed consolidated financial statements and notes thereto, and all other items contained within this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
B. Business
The Company is primarily engaged in writing automobile insurance through 13 insurance subsidiaries (Insurance Companies). The Company also writes homeowners, mechanical breakdown, fire, umbrella, and commercial automobile and property insurance. These policies are mostly sold through independent agents and brokers who receive commission averaging 17% of net premiums written for selling policies. The Company believes that it has a thorough underwriting process that gives the Company an advantage over its competitors. The Company views its agent relationships and underwriting process as one of its primary competitive advantages because it allows the Company to charge lower prices yet realize better margins than many competitors.
20
The Company operates primarily in the state of California, the only state in which it operated prior to 1990. The Company has since expanded its operations into the following states: Georgia and Illinois (1990), Oklahoma and Texas (1996), Florida (1998), Virginia and New York (2001), New Jersey (2003), and Arizona, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Nevada (2004). The direct premiums written during the nine months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009 by state and line of business were:
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2010 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Passenger Auto |
Commercial Auto |
Homeowners | Other Lines | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||
California |
$ | 1,235,947 | $ | 46,487 | $ | 166,301 | $ | 41,013 | $ | 1,489,748 | 76.8 | % | ||||||||||||
Florida |
116,944 | 10,343 | 10,276 | 4,660 | 142,223 | 7.3 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Texas |
48,708 | 4,507 | 1,190 | 12,683 | 67,088 | 3.5 | % | |||||||||||||||||
New Jersey |
65,386 | | 776 | 284 | 66,446 | 3.4 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Other states |
135,584 | 5,510 | 19,498 | 15,046 | 175,638 | 9.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,602,569 | $ | 66,847 | $ | 198,041 | $ | 73,686 | $ | 1,941,143 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||
82.6 | % | 3.4 | % | 10.2 | % | 3.8 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||||||||||||
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2009 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Passenger Auto |
Commercial Auto |
Homeowners | Other Lines | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||
California |
$ | 1,291,867 | $ | 51,821 | $ | 155,544 | $ | 39,545 | $ | 1,538,777 | 78.0 | % | ||||||||||||
Florida |
107,487 | 10,736 | 12,317 | 4,847 | 135,387 | 6.8 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Texas |
54,412 | 5,591 | 1,333 | 12,976 | 74,312 | 3.8 | % | |||||||||||||||||
New Jersey |
61,068 | | | 179 | 61,247 | 3.1 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Other states |
125,201 | 5,777 | 13,662 | 19,211 | 163,851 | 8.3 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,640,035 | $ | 73,925 | $ | 182,856 | $ | 76,758 | $ | 1,973,574 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||
83.1 | % | 3.7 | % | 9.3 | % | 3.9 | % | 100.0 | % |
21
C. Regulatory and Litigation Matters
The Department of Insurance (DOI) in each state in which the Company operates is responsible for conducting periodic financial and market conduct examinations of the Insurance Companies domiciled in their respective states. The following table presents a summary of current financial and market conduct examinations:
State |
Exam Type | Period Under Review |
Status | |||
CA |
Financial |
2008 to 2010 |
Fieldwork will begin in the first quarter of 2011. | |||
IL |
Market Conduct |
July 2009 - June 2010 |
Fieldwork began on October 25, 2010. | |||
IL |
Financial |
2005 to 2009 |
Fieldwork began on August 30, 2010. | |||
TX |
Financial |
2005 to 2009 |
Fieldwork began on September 20, 2010. | |||
FL |
Financial |
2005 to 2009 |
Fieldwork completed. Awaiting final report. | |||
TX |
Market Conduct |
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
Report was issued in October, 2010 |
During the course of these examinations, the applicable DOI generally reports findings to the Company; however, none of the findings reported to date is expected to be material to the Companys financial position.
On April 9, 2010, the California DOI issued a Notice of Non-Compliance (2010 NNC) to Mercury Insurance Company, Mercury Casualty Company, and California Automobile Insurance Company based on a Report of Examination of the Rating and Underwriting Practices of such companies issued by the California DOI on February 18, 2010. The 2010 NNC includes allegations of 35 instances of noncompliance with applicable California insurance law and seeks to require that each of Mercury Insurance Company, Mercury Casualty Company, and California Automobile Insurance Company change its rating and underwriting practices to rectify the alleged noncompliance and may also seek monetary penalties. On April 30, 2010, the Company submitted a Statement of Compliance and Notice of Defense to the 2010 NNC, in which it denied the allegations contained in the 2010 NNC and provided specific defenses to each. The Company also requested a hearing in the event that the Statement of Compliance and Notice of Defense does not establish to the satisfaction of the California DOI that the alleged noncompliance does not exist, and the matters described in the 2010 NNC are not otherwise able to be resolved informally with the California DOI. The Company denies the allegations in the 2010 NNC and believes that it has done nothing to warrant the monetary penalties cited in the 2010 NNC. The California DOI has not yet responded to the Companys submission.
In March 2006, the California DOI issued an Amended Notice of Non-Compliance (2004 NNC) to the 2004 NNC originally issued in February 2004 alleging that the Company charged rates in violation of the California Insurance Code, willfully permitted its agents to charge broker fees in violation of California law, and willfully misrepresented the actual price insurance consumers could expect to pay for insurance by the amount of a fee charged by the consumers insurance broker. The California DOI seeks to impose a fine for each policy in which the Company allegedly permitted an agent to charge a broker fee, which the California DOI contends is the use of an unapproved rate, rating plan or rating system. Further, the California DOI seeks to impose a penalty for each and every date on which the Company allegedly used a misleading advertisement alleged in the 2004 NNC. Finally, based upon the conduct alleged, the California DOI also contends that the Company acted fraudulently in violation of Section 704(a) of the California Insurance Code, which permits the California Commissioner of Insurance to suspend certificates of authority for a period of one year. The Company filed a Notice of Defense in response to the 2004 NNC. The Company does not believe that it has done anything to warrant a monetary penalty from the California DOI. The San Francisco Superior Court, in Robert Krumme, On Behalf Of The General Public v. Mercury Insurance Company, Mercury Casualty Company, and California Automobile Insurance Company, denied plaintiffs requests for restitution or any other form of retrospective monetary relief based on the same facts and legal theory. While a hearing before the administrative law judge had been set to start on September 14, 2009, the hearing has been vacated and continued to a future date to be determined. This matter has been the subject of five continuations since the original Notice of Non-Compliance was issued in 2004.
The Company supported the Continuous Coverage Auto Insurance Discount Act (Proposition 17), a California ballot initiative which did not pass. It would have provided for a portable persistency discount, allowing insurance companies to offer new customers discounts based on having continuous insurance coverage from any insurance company. Currently, the California DOI allows insurance companies to provide persistency discounts based on continuous coverage only with existing customers. The Company made financial contributions of $12.1 million, $0, and $3.5 million in the second quarter of 2010, the first quarter of 2010, and second half of 2009, respectively, related to this initiative. Despite the fact that Proposition 17 did not pass, the Company believes it continues to offer a competitive product in California.
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The Company recently received oral approval from the California DOI for a private passenger automobile rate filing that was originally made in July 2008. That rate filing was required by a 2006 regulation that effectively reduced the weight that insurers can place on a persons residence when establishing automobile insurance rates. The agreement reached with the DOI includes a 4.96% rate reduction in Mercury Insurance Company and a 4.44% rate reduction in Mercury Casualty Company and California Automobile Insurance Company. In addition, the rate filing improves the Companys risk segmentation and introduces new discounts and road side assistance coverage. The Company anticipates the rate filing to become effective on December 15, 2010 and expects that the new rates will make the Company more competitive at attracting new customers. The Company expects to receive formal approval within the next few weeks.
The Company is, from time to time, named as a defendant in various lawsuits incidental to its insurance business. In most of these actions, plaintiffs assert claims for punitive damages, which are not insurable under judicial decisions. The Company has established reserves for lawsuits in which the Company is able to estimate its potential exposure and the likelihood that the court will rule against the Company is probable. Additionally, from time to time, regulators may take actions to challenge the Companys business practices. The Company vigorously defends these actions, unless a reasonable settlement appears appropriate. An unfavorable ruling against the Company in the actions currently pending may have a material impact on the Companys quarterly results of operations in the period of such ruling; however, none is expected to be material to the Companys financial position. For a discussion of the Companys pending material litigation, see the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009.
D. Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
Reserves
Preparation of the Companys condensed consolidated financial statements requires judgment and estimates. The most significant is the estimate of loss reserves. Estimating loss reserves is a difficult process as many factors can ultimately affect the final settlement of a claim and, therefore, the reserve that is required. Changes in the regulatory and legal environment, results of litigation, medical costs, the cost of repair materials, and labor rates, among other factors, can all impact ultimate claim costs. In addition, time can be a critical part of reserving determinations because the longer the span between the incidence of a loss and the payment or settlement of a claim, the more variable the ultimate settlement amount can be. Accordingly, short-tail claims, such as property damage claims, tend to be more reasonably predictable than long-tail liability claims.
The Company also engages an independent actuarial consultant to review the Companys reserves and to provide the annual actuarial opinions required under state statutory accounting requirements. The Company does not rely on the actuarial consultant for GAAP reporting or periodic report disclosure purposes. The Company analyzes loss reserves quarterly primarily using the incurred loss, claim count, and average severity methods described below. The Company also uses the paid loss development method to analyze losses and loss adjustment expense reserves as part of its reserve analysis. When deciding which method to use in estimating its reserves, the Company evaluates the credibility of each method based on the maturity of the data available and the claims settlement practices for each particular line of business or coverage within a line of business. When establishing the reserve, the Company will generally analyze the results from all of the methods used rather than relying on a single method. While these methods are designed to determine the ultimate losses on claims under the Companys policies, there is inherent uncertainty in all actuarial models since they use historical data to project outcomes. The Company believes that the techniques it uses provide a reasonable basis in estimating loss reserves.
| The incurred loss development method analyzes historical incurred case loss (case reserves plus paid losses) development to estimate ultimate losses. The Company applies development factors against current case incurred losses by accident period to calculate ultimate expected losses. The Company believes that the incurred loss development method provides a reasonable basis for evaluating ultimate losses, particularly in the Companys larger, more established lines of business which have a long operating history. |
| The claim count development method analyzes historical claim count development to estimate future incurred claim count development for current claims. The Company applies these development factors against current claim counts by accident period to calculate ultimate expected claim counts. |
| The average severity method analyzes historical loss payments and/or incurred losses divided by closed claims and/or total claims to calculate an estimated average cost per claim. From this, the expected ultimate average cost per claim can be estimated. The average severity method coupled with the claim count development method provide meaningful information regarding inflation and frequency trends that the Company believes is useful in establishing reserves. |
| The paid loss development method analyzes historical payment patterns to estimate the amount of losses yet to be paid. The Company uses this method for losses and loss adjustment expenses. |
At September 30, 2010, the Company recorded its point estimate of approximately $985.1 million in losses and loss adjustment expenses liabilities which include approximately $291.5 million of incurred but not reported (IBNR) loss reserves. IBNR includes estimates, based upon past experience, of ultimate developed costs which may differ from case estimates, unreported claims which occurred on or prior to September 30, 2010 and estimated future payments for reopened claims. Management believes that the liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses is adequate to cover the ultimate net cost of losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred to date; however, since the provisions are necessarily based upon estimates, the ultimate liability may be more or less than such provision.
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The Company evaluates its reserves quarterly. When management determines that the estimated ultimate claim cost requires a decrease for previously reported accident years, favorable development occurs and a reduction in losses and loss adjustment expenses is reported in the current period. Conversely, if the estimated ultimate claim cost requires an increase for previously reported accident years, unfavorable development occurs and an increase in losses and loss adjustment expenses is reported in the current period. For the nine months ended September 30, 2010, the Company reported favorable development of approximately $18 million on the 2009 and prior accident years losses and loss adjustment expense reserves which at December 31, 2009 totaled approximately $1.1 billion. The favorable development in 2010 is largely the result of re-estimates of accident year 2009 California bodily injury losses which have experienced both lower average severities and fewer late reported claims (claim count development) than was originally estimated at December 31, 2009.
For a further discussion of the Companys reserving methods, see the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009.
Premiums
The Companys insurance premiums are recognized as income ratably over the term of the policies and in proportion to the amount of insurance protection provided. Unearned premiums are carried as a liability on the consolidated balance sheet and are computed on a monthly pro-rata basis. The Company evaluates its unearned premiums periodically for premium deficiencies by comparing the sum of expected claim costs, unamortized acquisition costs, and maintenance costs to related unearned premiums, net of investment income. To the extent that any of the Companys lines of business become unprofitable, a premium deficiency reserve may be required. The Company does not expect this to occur on any of its significant lines of business.
Investments
The Companys fixed maturity and equity investments are classified as trading and carried at fair value as required when applying the fair value option, with changes in fair value reflected in net realized investment gains or losses in the consolidated statements of operations. The majority of equity holdings, including non-redeemable preferred stocks, is actively traded on national exchanges or trading markets, and is valued at the last transaction price on the balance sheet date.
Fair Value of Financial Instruments
The financial instruments recorded in the consolidated balance sheets include investments, receivables, interest rate swap agreements, accounts payable, equity contracts, and secured and unsecured notes payable. The fair value of a financial instrument is the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. Due to their short-term maturity, the carrying values of receivables and accounts payable approximate their fair market values. All investments are carried on the consolidated balance sheet at fair value, as disclosed in Note 3 of Condensed Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
The Companys financial instruments include securities issued by the U.S. government and its agencies, securities issued by states and municipal government and agencies, certain corporate and other debt securities, corporate equity securities, and exchange traded funds. Approximately 98% of the fair value of the financial instruments held at September 30, 2010 is based on observable market prices, observable market parameters, or is derived from such prices or parameters. The availability of observable market prices and pricing parameters can vary across different financial instruments. Observable market prices and pricing parameters in a financial instrument, or a related financial instrument, are used to derive a price without requiring significant judgment.
The Company may hold or acquire financial instruments that lack observable market prices or market parameters currently or in future periods because they are less actively traded. The fair value of such instruments is determined using techniques appropriate for each particular financial instrument. These techniques may involve some degree of judgment. The price transparency of the particular financial instrument will determine the degree of judgment involved in determining the fair value of the Companys financial instruments. Price transparency is affected by a wide variety of factors, including, for example, the type of financial instrument, whether it is a new financial instrument and not yet established in the marketplace, and the characteristics particular to the transaction. Financial instruments for which actively quoted prices or pricing parameters are available or for which fair value is derived from actively quoted prices or pricing parameters will generally have a higher degree of price transparency. By contrast, financial instruments that are thinly traded or not quoted will generally have diminished price transparency. Even in normally active markets, the price transparency for actively quoted instruments may be reduced for periods of time during periods of market dislocation. Alternatively, in thinly quoted markets, the participation of market makers willing to purchase and sell a financial instrument provides a source of transparency for products that otherwise are not actively quoted.
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Income Taxes
At September 30, 2010, the Companys deferred income taxes were in a net asset position materially due to unearned premiums, expense accruals, loss reserve discounting, and deferred tax recognition of capital losses. The Company assesses the likelihood that its deferred tax assets will be realized and, to the extent management does not believe these assets are more likely than not to be realized, a valuation allowance is established.
Managements recoverability assessment of its deferred tax assets which are ordinary in character takes into consideration the Companys strong history of generating ordinary taxable income and a reasonable expectation that it will continue to generate ordinary taxable income in the future. Further, the Company has the capacity to recoup its ordinary deferred tax assets through tax loss carryback claims for taxes paid in prior years. Finally, the Company has various deferred tax liabilities which represent sources of future ordinary taxable income.
Managements recoverability assessment with regards to its capital deferred tax assets is based on estimates of anticipated capital gains and tax-planning strategies available to generate future taxable capital gains, both of which would contribute to the realization of deferred tax benefits. The Company expects to hold certain quantities of debt securities, which are currently in loss positions, to recovery or maturity. Management believes unrealized losses related to these debt securities, which represent a portion of the unrealized loss positions at period end, are not subject to default risk. Thus, the principal amounts are believed to be fully realizable at maturity. The Company has a long-term horizon for holding these securities, which management believes will allow avoidance of forced sales prior to maturity. The Company also has unrealized gains in its investment portfolio which could be realized through asset dispositions, at managements discretion. Further, the Company has the capability to generate additional realized capital gains by entering into a sale-leaseback transaction using one or more of its appreciated real estate holdings. Finally, the Company has an established history of generating capital gain premiums earned through its common stock call option program. Based on the continued existence of the options market, the substantial amount of capital committed to supporting the call option program, and the Companys favorable track record in generating net capital gains from this program in both upward and downward markets, management believes it will be able to generate sufficient amounts of capital gains from this program, if necessary, to recover recorded capital deferred tax assets.
The Company has the capability to implement tax planning strategies as it has a steady history of generating positive cash flow from operations, as well as the reasonable expectation that its cash flow needs can be met in future periods without the forced sale of its investments. This capability will enable management to use its discretion in controlling the timing and amount of realized losses it generates during future periods. By prudent utilization of some or all of these actions, management believes that it has the ability and intent to generate capital gains, and minimize tax losses, in a manner sufficient to avoid losing the benefits of its deferred tax assets. Management will continue to assess the need for a valuation allowance on a quarterly basis. Although realization is not assured, management believes it is more likely than not that the Companys deferred tax assets will be realized.
The effective income tax rate for the year could be different from the effective tax rate for the three or nine months ended September 30, 2010 and will be dependent on the Companys profitability for the remainder of the year. The Companys effective income tax rate can be affected by several factors. These generally include tax exempt investment income, other non-deductible expenses, investment gains and losses, and periodically, non-routine tax items such as adjustments to unrecognized tax benefits related to tax uncertainties. The effective tax rate for the nine months ended September 30, 2010 was 24.4%, compared to 30.4% for the same period in 2009. The decrease in the effective tax rate is mainly due to an increase in tax exempt investment income relative to taxable income. The Companys effective tax rate for the period ended September 30, 2010 was lower than the statutory tax rate primarily as a result of tax exempt interest income earned, however, the effective tax rate for the entire year could differ from the rate for the nine months.
Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets
Goodwill and other intangible assets arise as a result of business acquisitions and consist of the excess of the cost of the acquisitions over the tangible and intangible assets acquired and liabilities assumed and identifiable intangible assets acquired. The Company annually evaluates goodwill for impairment using widely accepted valuation techniques to estimate the fair value of its reporting units. The Company also reviews its goodwill for impairment whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that it is more likely than not that the carrying amount of goodwill may exceed its implied fair value. As of December 31, 2009, the fair value of the Companys reporting units exceeds their carrying value. There are no triggering events indicating the carrying amount of goodwill exceeds its implied fair value as of September 30, 2010.
Contingent Liabilities
The Company has known, and may have unknown, potential liabilities which include claims, assessments, lawsuits, or regulatory fines and penalties relating to the Companys business. The Company continually evaluates these potential liabilities and accrues for them or discloses them in the notes to the condensed consolidated financial statements where required. While it is not possible to know with certainty the ultimate outcome of contingent liabilities, an unfavorable result may have a material impact on the Companys quarterly results of operations in the period of such determination; however, it is not expected to be material to the Companys financial position.
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RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Three Months Ended September 30, 2010 compared to Three Months Ended 30, 2009
Revenue
Net premiums earned and net premiums written for the three months ended September 30, 2010 decreased 1.7% and 1.2%, respectively, from the corresponding period in 2009. The decrease in net premiums written is primarily due to a decrease in the number of policies written and slightly lower average premiums per policy reflecting continuing soft market conditions.
Net premiums written is a non-GAAP financial measure which represents the premiums charged on policies issued during a fiscal period less any applicable reinsurance. Net premiums written is a statutory measure designed to determine production levels. Net premiums earned, the most directly comparable GAAP measure, represents the portion of net premiums written that is recognized as income in the financial statements for the period presented and earned on a pro-rata basis over the term of the policies. The following is a reconciliation of total Company net premiums written to net premiums earned:
Three Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||
2010 | 2009 | |||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||
Net premiums written |
$ | 654,686 | $ | 662,756 | ||||
Change in unearned premium |
(12,128 | ) | (8,998 | ) | ||||
Net premiums earned |
$ | 642,558 | $ | 653,758 | ||||
Expenses
Loss and expense ratios are used to interpret the underwriting experience of property and casualty insurance companies. The following table presents the Insurance Companies loss ratio, expense ratio, and combined ratio determined in accordance with GAAP:
Three Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||
2010 | 2009 | |||||||
Loss ratio |
68.6 | % | 68.3 | % | ||||
Expense ratio |
29.4 | % | 28.1 | % | ||||
Combined ratio |
98.0 | % | 96.4 | % | ||||
The loss ratio is calculated by dividing losses and loss adjustment expenses by net premiums earned and did not materially change for the three months ended September 30, 2010 compared to the same period in 2009. Many factors affect the loss ratio including average premiums earned per policy, claims handling, changes in loss frequency and severity, and development from prior periods.
The expense ratio is calculated by dividing the sum of policy acquisition costs plus other operating expenses by net premiums earned. The expense ratio increased primarily due to decreased net premiums earned and increased consulting, advertising, and information technology expense for the three months ended September 30, 2010.
The combined ratio is the key measure of underwriting performance traditionally used in the property and casualty insurance industry. A combined ratio under 100% generally reflects profitable underwriting results; and a combined ratio over 100% generally reflects unprofitable underwriting results.
Income tax expense for the three months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009 was $39.0 million and $71.5 million, respectively. The decrease resulted primarily from the lower gains on the investment portfolio compared to the period ended September 30, 2009.
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Investments
The following table presents the investment results of the Company:
Three Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||
2010 | 2009 | |||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||
Average invested assets at cost (1) |
$ | 3,120,877 | $ | 3,169,577 | ||||
Net investment income: |
||||||||
Before income taxes |
$ | 35,992 | $ | 35,208 | ||||
After income taxes |
$ | 32,253 | $ | 32,006 | ||||
Average annual yield on investments: |
||||||||
Before income taxes |
4.6 | % | 4.4 | % | ||||
After income taxes |
4.1 | % | 4.0 | % | ||||
Net realized investment gains |
$ | 86,439 | $ | 171,373 |
(1) | Fixed maturities and short-term bonds at amortized cost; and equities and other short-term investments at cost. |
Included in net income are net realized investment gains of $86.4 million and $171.4 million for the three months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009, respectively. Net realized investment gains include gains of $87.6 million and $191.3 million for the three months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009, respectively, due to changes in the fair value of total investments pursuant to application of the fair value accounting option. The net gains for the three months ended September 30, 2010 mainly arose from $46.3 million and $40.7 million increases in the market value of the Companys fixed maturity and equity securities, respectively. The Companys municipal bond holdings represent the majority of the fixed maturity portfolio, which was positively affected by the overall municipal market improvement for the three months ended September 30, 2010. The primary cause of the gains on the Companys equity securities was the overall improvement in the equity markets.
Net Income
Net income was $96.8 million or $1.77 per diluted share and $157.7 million or $2.85 per diluted share in the three months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009, respectively. Diluted per share results were based on a weighted average of 54.8 million shares and 55.3 million shares in the three months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009, respectively. Basic per share results were $1.77 and $2.88 in the three months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009, respectively. Included in net income per share were net realized investment gains, net of income taxes, of $1.03 and $2.03 per basic share, and $1.03 and $2.01 per diluted share in the three months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009, respectively.
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2010 compared to Nine Months Ended September 30, 2009
Revenue
Net premiums earned and net premiums written for the nine months ended September 30, 2010 decreased approximately 2.7% and 1.7%, respectively, from the corresponding period in 2009. The decrease in net premiums written is primarily due to a decrease in the number of policies written and slightly lower average premiums per policy reflecting continuing soft market conditions.
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The following is a reconciliation of total Company net premiums written to net premiums earned:
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||
2010 | 2009 | |||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||
Net premiums written |
$ | 1,938,261 | $ | 1,971,053 | ||||
Change in unearned premium |
(12,372 | ) | 7,979 | |||||
Net premiums earned |
$ | 1,925,889 | $ | 1,979,032 | ||||
Expenses
Loss and expense ratios are used to interpret the underwriting experience of property and casualty insurance companies. The following table presents the Insurance Companies loss ratio, expense ratio, and combined ratio determined in accordance with GAAP:
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||
2010 | 2009 | |||||||
Loss ratio |
68.1 | % | 67.5 | % | ||||
Expense ratio |
29.7 | % | 29.0 | % | ||||
Combined ratio |
97.8 | % | 96.5 | % | ||||
The loss ratio was affected by favorable development of approximately $18 million and $40 million on prior accident years losses and loss adjustment expense reserves for the nine months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009, respectively.
The expense ratio was affected by decreased net premiums earned for the nine months ended September 30, 2010 and the Companys financial contributions related to the Prop 17 in 2010. The expense ratio for the nine months ended September 30, 2009 included the amortization of AIS deferred commissions paid prior to the acquisition.
The combined ratio is the key measure of underwriting performance traditionally used in the property and casualty insurance industry. A combined ratio under 100% generally reflects profitable underwriting results; and a combined ratio over 100% generally reflects unprofitable underwriting results.
Income tax expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009 was $56.6 million and $161.4 million, respectively. The decrease in income tax expense resulted primarily from the lower gains on the investment portfolio. For the nine months ended September 30, 2010, the reduction in tax expense includes approximately $3 million in net benefit arising from a lower accrual for tax uncertainties.
Investments
The following table presents the investment results of the Company:
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||
2010 | 2009 | |||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||
Average invested assets at cost (1) |
$ | 3,118,676 | $ | 3,211,524 | ||||
Net investment income: |
||||||||
Before income taxes |
$ | 108,353 | $ | 109,334 | ||||
After income taxes |
$ | 97,049 | $ | 97,976 | ||||
Average annual yield on investments: |
||||||||
Before income taxes |
4.6 | % | 4.5 | % | ||||
After income taxes |
4.2 | % | 4.1 | % | ||||
Net realized investment gains |
$ | 80,770 | $ | 352,549 |
(1) | Fixed maturities and short-term bonds at amortized cost; and equities and other short-term investments at cost. |
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Included in net income are net realized investment gains of $80.8 million and $352.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009, respectively. Net realized investment gains include gains of $76.0 million and $405.6 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009, respectively, due to changes in the fair value of total investments pursuant to application of the fair value accounting option. The gains for the nine months ended September 30, 2010 mainly arose from $73.9 million and $2.2 million increases in the market value of the Companys fixed maturity and equity securities. The Companys municipal bond holdings represent the majority of the fixed maturity portfolio, which was positively affected by the overall municipal market improvement for the nine months ended September 30, 2010. The primary cause of the gains on the Companys equity securities was the overall improvement in the equity markets.
Net Income
Net income was $175.8 million or $3.21 per diluted share and $368.8 million or $6.70 per diluted share in the nine months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009, respectively. Diluted per share results were based on a weighted average of 54.8 million shares and 55.1 million shares in the nine months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009, respectively. Basic per share results were $3.21 and $6.73 in the nine months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009, respectively. Included in net income per share were net realized investment gains, net of income taxes, of $0.96 and $4.18 per basic share, and $0.96 and $4.16 per diluted share in the nine months ended September 30, 2010 and 2009, respectively.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
A. Cash Flows
The Company has generated positive cash flow from operations for over twenty consecutive years. Because of the Companys long track record of positive operating cash flows, it does not attempt to match the duration and timing of asset maturities with those of liabilities. Rather, the Company manages its portfolio with a view towards maximizing total return with an emphasis on after-tax income. With combined cash and short-term investments of $337.0 million at September 30, 2010, the Company believes its cash flow from operations is adequate to satisfy its liquidity requirements without the forced sale of investments. However, the Company operates in a rapidly evolving and often unpredictable business environment that may change the timing or amount of expected future cash receipts and expenditures. Accordingly, there can be no assurance that the Companys sources of funds will be sufficient to meet its liquidity needs or that the Company will not be required to raise additional funds to meet those needs, including future business expansion, through the sale of equity or debt securities or from credit facilities with lending institutions.
Net cash provided by operating activities in the nine months ended September 30, 2010 was $99.4 million, a decrease of $57.0 million compared to the corresponding period in 2009. This decrease was primarily due to the increased payment of accrued expenses, increased tax payments, and contributions related to Proposition 17 during the nine months ended September 30, 2010 compared with the corresponding period in 2009. The Company utilized the cash provided by operating activities primarily for the payment of dividends to its shareholders and the purchase and development of information technology. Funds derived from the sale, redemption or maturity of fixed maturity investments of $378.1 million were primarily reinvested by the Company in high grade fixed maturity securities.
The following table presents the estimated fair value of fixed maturity securities at September 30, 2010 by contractual maturity in the next five years:
Fixed Maturities | ||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||
Due in one year or less |
$ | 20,054 | ||
Due after one year through two years |
42,752 | |||
Due after two years through three years |
87,039 | |||
Due after three years through four years |
129,153 | |||
Due after four years through five years |
104,400 | |||
$ | 383,398 | |||
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B. Invested Assets
Portfolio Composition
An important component of the Companys financial results is the return on its investment portfolio. The Companys investment strategy emphasizes safety of principal and consistent income generation, within a total return framework. The investment strategy has historically focused on maximizing after-tax yield with a primary emphasis on maintaining a well diversified, investment grade, fixed income portfolio to support the underlying liabilities and achieve return on capital and profitable growth. The Company believes that investment yield is maximized by selecting assets that perform favorably on a long-term basis and by disposing of certain assets to enhance after-tax yield and minimize the potential effect of downgrades and defaults. The Company continues to believe that this strategy maintains the optimal investment performance necessary to sustain investment income over time. The Companys portfolio management approach utilizes a recognized market risk and consistent asset allocation strategy as the primary basis for the allocation of interest sensitive, liquid and credit assets as well as for determining overall below investment grade exposure and diversification requirements. Within the ranges set by the asset allocation strategy, tactical investment decisions are made in consideration of prevailing market conditions.
The following table presents the composition of the total investment portfolio of the Company at September 30, 2010:
Cost (1) | Fair Value | |||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||
Fixed maturity securities: |
||||||||
U.S. government bonds and agencies |
$ | 8,682 | $ | 8,855 | ||||
Municipal securities |
2,453,626 | 2,538,709 | ||||||
Mortgage-backed securities |
65,473 | 68,640 | ||||||
Corporate securities |
87,314 | 91,687 | ||||||
Collateralized debt obligations |
39,247 | 51,866 | ||||||
2,654,342 | 2,759,757 | |||||||
Equity securities: |
||||||||
Common stock: |
||||||||
Public utilities |
21,673 | 25,283 | ||||||
Banks, trusts and insurance companies |
16,471 | 16,365 | ||||||
Industrial and other |
274,046 | 250,300 | ||||||
Non-redeemable preferred stock |
9,913 | 9,548 | ||||||
322,103 | 301,496 | |||||||
Short-term investments |
162,278 | 162,229 | ||||||
Total investments |
$ | 3,138,723 | $ | 3,223,482 | ||||
(1) | Fixed maturities and short-term bonds at amortized cost; and equities and other short-term investments at cost. |
At September 30, 2010, 78.6% of the Companys total investment portfolio at fair value and 91.8% of its total fixed maturity investments at fair value were invested in tax-exempt state and municipal bonds. Equity holdings consist of perpetual preferred stocks and dividend-bearing common stocks on which dividend income is partially tax-sheltered by the 70% corporate dividend received deduction. At September 30, 2010, 89.3% of short-term investments consisted of highly rated short-duration securities redeemable on a daily or weekly basis. The Company does not have any material direct equity investment in subprime lenders.
During the nine months ended September 30, 2010, the Company recognized approximately $80.8 million in net realized investment gains, which mainly include gains of $77.7 million and losses of $1.2 million related to fixed maturity and equity securities, respectively. Included in the gains were $73.9 million and $2.2 million in gains due to changes in the fair value of the Companys fixed maturity portfolio and equity security portfolio, respectively.
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Fixed maturity securities
Fixed maturity securities include debt securities, which may have fixed or variable principal payment schedules, may be held for indefinite periods of time, and may be used as a part of the Companys asset/liability strategy or sold in response to changes in interest rates, anticipated prepayments, risk/reward characteristics, liquidity needs, tax planning considerations or other economic factors. A primary exposure for the fixed maturity securities is interest rate risk. The longer the duration, the more sensitive the asset is to market interest rate fluctuations. As assets with longer maturity dates tend to produce higher current yields, the Companys historical investment philosophy resulted in a portfolio with a moderate duration. The nominal average maturity of the overall bond portfolio, including short-term bonds, was 11.5 years at September 30, 2010, and is heavily weighted in investment grade tax-exempt municipal bonds. Fixed maturity investments purchased by the Company typically have call options attached, which further reduce the duration of the asset as interest rates decline. The call-adjusted average maturity of the overall bond portfolio, including short-term bonds, was 4.6 years, related to holdings which are heavily weighted with high coupon issues that are expected to be called prior to maturity. The modified duration of the overall bond portfolio reflecting anticipated early calls was 3.7 years at September 30, 2010, including collateralized mortgage obligations with modified durations of 2.1 years and short-term bonds that carry no duration. Modified duration measures the length of time it takes, on average, to receive the present value of all the cash flows produced by a bond, including reinvestment of interest. As it measures four factors (maturity, coupon rate, yield and call terms), which determine sensitivity to changes in interest rates; modified duration is considered a better indicator of price volatility than simple maturity alone.
Another exposure related to the fixed maturity securities is credit risk, which is managed by maintaining a weighted-average portfolio credit quality rating of AA-, at fair value, consistent with December 31, 2009. To calculate the weighted-average credit quality ratings as disclosed throughout this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, individual securities were weighted based on fair value and a credit quality numeric score that was assigned to each rating grade. Bond holdings are broadly diversified geographically, within the tax-exempt sector. Holdings in the taxable sector consist principally of investment grade issues. At September 30, 2010, fixed maturity holdings rated below investment grade and non-rated bonds totaled $83.3 million and $109.0 million, respectively, at fair value, and represented approximately 3.0% and 4.0%, respectively, of total fixed maturity securities. At December 31, 2009, fixed maturity holdings rated below investment grade and non-rated bonds totaled $92.0 million and $109.9 million, respectively, and represented approximately 3.4% and 4.1%, respectively, of total fixed maturity securities.
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The following table presents the credit quality ratings of the Companys fixed maturity portfolio by security type at September 30, 2010 at fair value. The Companys estimated credit quality ratings are based on the average of ratings assigned by nationally recognized securities rating organizations. Credit ratings for the Companys fixed maturity portfolio were stable during the nine months ended September 30, 2010, with 98.8% of fixed maturity securities at fair value experiencing no change in their overall rating. Approximately 0.4% experienced upgrades and approximately 0.8% experienced downgrades during the period. The majority of the downgrades was slight and still within the investment grade portfolio, except for approximately $0.4 million at fair value that was downgraded to below investment grade during the quarter.
September 30, 2010 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
AAA | AA(2) | A(2) | BBB(2) | Non-Rated/Other | Total | |||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government bonds and agencies: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Treasuries |
$ | 6,775 | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | 6,775 | ||||||||||||
Government agency |
2,080 | | | | | 2,080 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total |
8,855 | | | | | 8,855 | ||||||||||||||||||
100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||
Municipal securities: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Insured (1) |
13,887 | 682,214 | 710,335 | 54,061 | 48,243 | 1,508,740 | ||||||||||||||||||
Uninsured |
227,673 | 337,681 | 263,369 | 148,153 | 53,093 | 1,029,969 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total |
241,560 | 1,019,895 | 973,704 | 202,214 | 101,336 | 2,538,709 | ||||||||||||||||||
9.5 | % | 40.2 | % | 38.3 | % | 8.0 | % | 4.0 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||||||||||
Mortgage-backed securities: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Agencies |
41,158 | | | | | 41,158 | ||||||||||||||||||
Non-agencies: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prime |
5,463 | 2,288 | 451 | 157 | 5,995 | 14,354 | ||||||||||||||||||
Alt-A |
2,012 | 2,745 | 4,329 | 1,019 | 3,023 | 13,128 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total |
48,633 | 5,033 | 4,780 | 1,176 | 9,018 | 68,640 | ||||||||||||||||||
70.9 | % | 7.3 | % | 7.0 | % | 1.7 | % | 13.1 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||||||||||
Corporate securities: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Communications |
| | | 6,923 | | 6,923 | ||||||||||||||||||
Consumer - cyclical |
| | | | 128 | 128 | ||||||||||||||||||
Energy |
| | | 4,946 | 7,881 | 12,827 | ||||||||||||||||||
Basic materials |
| | | 4,235 | | 4,235 | ||||||||||||||||||
Financial |
5,438 | 23,634 | 4,711 | 7,637 | 21,484 | 62,904 | ||||||||||||||||||
Utilities |
| | | 3,564 | 1,106 | 4,670 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total |
5,438 | 23,634 | 4,711 | 27,305 | 30,599 | 91,687 | ||||||||||||||||||
5.9 | % | 25.8 | % | 5.1 | % | 29.8 | % | 33.4 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||||||||||
Collateralized debt obligations: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate - hybrid |
| | | | 51,866 | 51,866 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total |
| | | | 51,866 | 51,866 | ||||||||||||||||||
100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 304,486 | $ | 1,048,562 | $ | 983,195 | $ | 230,695 | $ | 192,819 | $ | 2,759,757 | ||||||||||||
11.0 | % | 38.0 | % | 35.6 | % | 8.4 | % | 7.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
(1) | Insured municipal bonds based on underlying ratings: AAA: $31,471, AA: $581,317, A: $651,672, BBB: $101,120, Non-Rated/Other: $143,159 |
(2) | Intermediate ratings are offered at each level (e.g., AA includes AA+, AA, and AA-). |
(1) Municipal Securities
The Company had $2.5 billion at fair value ($2.5 billion at amortized cost) in municipal bonds at September 30, 2010, with a net unrealized gain of $85.1 million. Over half of the municipal bond positions are insured by bond insurers. For insured municipal bonds that have underlying ratings, the average underlying rating was A+ at September 30, 2010.
The following table presents the Companys insured municipal bond portfolio by bond insurer at September 30, 2010 and at December 31, 2009.
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September 30, 2010 | December 31, 2009 | |||||||||||||||
Municipal bond insurer |
Rating (1) | Fair Value | Rating (1) | Fair Value | ||||||||||||
(Amounts in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
NATL-RE (MBIA) |
BBB | $ | 815,835 | BBB | $ | 736,741 | ||||||||||
AMBAC |
CCC | 263,323 | CC | 223,262 | ||||||||||||
FSA |
AA | 211,196 | AA | 199,386 | ||||||||||||
XLCA |
CC | 51,399 | CC | 46,060 | ||||||||||||
ASSURED GTY |
AA | 41,941 | AA | 42,966 | ||||||||||||
RADIAN |
BB | 6,730 | BB | 14,074 | ||||||||||||
CIFG |
NR | 17,939 | CC | 17,262 | ||||||||||||
ACA |
NR | 14,561 | NR | 14,469 | ||||||||||||
FGIC |
NR | 9,006 | NR | 3,885 | ||||||||||||
Other |
NR | 76,810 | NR | 92,553 | ||||||||||||
$ | 1,508,740 | $ | 1,390,658 | |||||||||||||
(1) | Managements estimate of average of ratings issued by Standard & Poors, Moodys and Fitch. |
The Company considers the strength of the underlying credit as a buffer against potential market value declines which may result from future rating downgrades of the bond insurers. In addition, the Company has a long-term time horizon for its municipal bond holdings which generally allows it to recover the full principal amounts upon maturity, avoiding forced sales prior to maturity of bonds that have declined in market value due to the bond insurers rating downgrades. Based on the uncertainty surrounding the financial condition of these insurers, it is possible that there will be additional downgrades to below investment grade ratings by the rating agencies in the future, and such downgrades could impact the estimated fair value of municipal bonds.
At September 30, 2010, municipal securities included ARS. The Company owned $1.4 million and $3.3 million at fair value of ARS at September 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009, respectively. ARS are valued based on a discounted cash flow model with certain inputs that are not observable in the market and are considered Level 3 inputs.
(2) Mortgage-Backed Securities
The mortgage-backed securities portfolio is categorized as loans to prime borrowers except for $13.1 million and $14.0 million ($12.2 million and $13.2 million at amortized cost) of Alt-A mortgages at September 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009, respectively. Alt-A mortgage backed securities are at fixed or variable rates and include certain securities that are collateralized by residential mortgage loans issued to borrowers with stronger credit profiles than sub-prime borrowers, but do not qualify for prime financing terms due to high loan-to-value ratios or limited supporting documentation. At September 30, 2010, the Company had no holdings in commercial mortgage-backed securities.
The weighted-average rating of the Companys Alt-A mortgage holdings is BBB+. For mortgage backed securities that have ratings, the weighted-average rating is AA.
(3) Corporate Securities
Included in fixed maturity securities are $91.7 million of corporate securities which have an average duration of 4.0 years at September 30, 2010. For corporate securities of $84.2 million that have ratings, the weighted-average rating is BBB+.
(4) Collateralized Debt Obligations
Included in fixed maturities securities are collateralized debt obligations of $51.9 million, which represent 1.6% of the total investment portfolio and have an average duration of 2.2 years at September 30, 2010.
Equity securities
Equity holdings consist of non-redeemable preferred stocks and common stocks on which dividend income is partially tax-sheltered by the 70% corporate dividend received deduction. The net gains due to changes in fair value of the Companys equity portfolio during the nine months ended September 30, 2010 were $2.2 million. The primary cause of the gains on the Companys equity securities was the overall improvement in the equity markets.
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The Companys common stock allocation is intended to enhance the return of and provide diversification for the total portfolio. At September 30, 2010, 9.4% of the total investment portfolio at fair value was held in equity securities, compared to 9.1% at December 31, 2009.
Short-term investments
At September 30, 2010, short-term investments include money market accounts, options, and short-term bonds which are highly rated short duration securities and redeemable within one year.
C. Debt
The Company has $125 million of senior notes, which are unsecured, senior obligations with a 7.25% annual coupon payable on August 15 and February 15 each year. These notes mature on August 15, 2011. The Company believes that it is able to obtain sufficient capital to repay the obligations at maturity.
The Company has a $120 million credit facility and an $18 million bank loan that contain certain financial covenants pertaining to minimum statutory surplus, debt to capital ratio, and risk based capital ratio. As of September 30, 2010, the Company was in compliance with these covenants.
D. Regulatory Capital Requirement
Industry and regulatory guidelines suggest that the ratio of a property and casualty insurers annual net premiums written to statutory policyholders surplus should not exceed 3.0 to 1. Based on the combined surplus of all the Insurance Companies of $1.6 billion at September 30, 2010, and net premiums written for the twelve months ended on that date of $2.6 billion, the ratio of premium writings to surplus was 1.6 to 1.
Item 3. | Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risks |
The Company is subject to various market risk exposures primarily due to its investing and borrowing activities. Primary market risk exposures are changes in interest rates, equity prices, and credit risk. Adverse changes to these rates and prices may occur due to changes in the liquidity of a market, or to changes in market perceptions of creditworthiness and risk tolerance. The following disclosure reflects estimates of future performance and economic conditions. Actual results may differ.
Overview
The Companys investment policies define the overall framework for managing market and investment risks, including accountability and controls over risk management activities, and specify the investment limits and strategies that are appropriate given the liquidity, surplus, product profile, and regulatory requirements of the subsidiaries. Executive oversight of investment activities is conducted primarily through the Companys investment committee. The Companys investment committee focuses on strategies to enhance after-tax yields, mitigate market risks, and optimize capital to improve profitability and returns.
The Company manages exposures to market risk through the use of asset allocation, duration, and credit ratings. Asset allocation limits place restrictions on the total funds that may be invested within an asset class. Duration limits on the fixed maturities portfolio place restrictions on the amount of interest rate risk that may be taken. Comprehensive day-to-day management of market risk within defined tolerance ranges occurs as portfolio managers buy and sell within their respective markets based upon the acceptable boundaries established by investment policies.
Credit risk
Credit risk is risk due to uncertainty in a counterpartys ability to meet its obligations. Credit risk is managed by maintaining a high credit quality fixed maturities portfolio. As of September 30, 2010, the weighted-average credit quality rating of the fixed maturities portfolio was AA-, at fair value, consistent with December 31, 2009. Historically, the ten-year default rate per Moodys for AA rated municipal bonds has been less than 1%. The Companys municipal bond holdings, which represent 92.0% of its fixed maturity portfolio at September 30, 2010, at fair value, are broadly diversified geographically. 99.7% of municipal bond holdings are tax-exempt. The largest holdings are in populous states such as Texas (14.6%) and California (11.1%); however, such holdings are further diversified primarily among cities, counties, schools, public works, hospitals, and state general obligations. Credit risk is addressed by limiting exposure to any particular issuer to ensure diversification. Taxable fixed maturity securities represent 8.2% of the Companys fixed maturity portfolio. 22.0% of the Companys taxable fixed maturity securities were comprised of U.S. government bonds and agencies and mortgage-backed securities (agencies), which were rated AAA at September 30, 2010. 14.0% of the Companys taxable fixed maturity securities were rated below investment grade. Below investment grade issues are considered watch list items by the Company, and their status is evaluated within the context of the Companys overall portfolio and its investment policy on an aggregate risk management basis, as well as their ability to recover their investment on an individual issue basis.
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Equity price risk
Equity price risk is the risk that the Company will incur losses due to adverse changes in the general levels of the equity markets.
At September 30, 2010, the Companys primary objective for common equity investments is current income. The fair value of equity investments consists of $291.9 million in common stocks and $9.5 million in non-redeemable preferred stocks. The common stock equity assets are typically valued for future economic prospects as perceived by the market. The current market expectation is more optimistic than in the prior quarter following the recovery progress of the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. The Company has retained more in the energy and utility sectors relative to the S&P 500 Index.
The common equity portfolio represents 9.1% of total investments at fair value. Beta is a measure of a securitys systematic (non-diversifiable) risk, which is the percentage change in an individual securitys return for a 1% change in the return of the market. The average Beta for the Companys common stock holdings was 1.22 at September 30, 2010. Based on a hypothetical 25% or 50% reduction in the overall value of the stock market, the fair value of the common stock portfolio would decrease by approximately $89 million or approximately $178 million, respectively.
Interest rate risk
Interest rate risk is the risk that the Company will incur a loss due to adverse changes in interest rates relative to the interest rate characteristics of interest bearing assets and liabilities. This risk arises from many of its primary activities, as the Company invests substantial funds in interest sensitive assets and issues interest sensitive liabilities. Interest rate risk includes risks related to changes in U.S. Treasury yields and other key benchmarks, as well as changes in interest rates resulting from the widening credit spreads and credit exposure to collateralized securities.
The value of the fixed maturity portfolio, which represents 85.6% of total investments at fair value, is subject to interest rate risk. As market interest rates decrease, the value of the portfolio increases and vice versa. A common measure of the interest sensitivity of fixed maturity assets is modified duration, a calculation that utilizes maturity, coupon rate, yield and call terms to calculate an average age of the expected cash flows. The longer the duration, the more sensitive the asset is to market interest rate fluctuations.
The Company has historically invested in fixed maturity investments with a goal towards maximizing after-tax yields and holding assets to the maturity or call date. Since assets with longer maturity dates tend to produce higher current yields, the Companys historical investment philosophy resulted in a portfolio with a moderate duration. Bond investments made by the Company typically have call options attached, which further reduce the duration of the asset as interest rates decline. The decrease in municipal bond credit spreads in 2010 caused overall interest rates to decrease, which resulted in the decrease in the duration of the Companys portfolio. Consequently, the modified duration of the bond portfolio reflecting anticipated early calls, including short-term bonds, was 3.7 years at September 30, 2010 compared to 5.1 years at December 31, 2009. Given a hypothetical parallel increase of 100 basis or 200 basis points in interest rates, the fair value of the bond portfolio at September 30, 2010 would decrease by $108.1 million or $216.2 million, respectively.
Interest rate swaps are used to manage interest rate risk associated with the Companys loans with fixed or floating rates. On February 6, 2009, the Company entered into an interest swap of its floating LIBOR rate on the $120 million credit facility for a fixed rate of 1.93%, resulting in a total fixed rate of 3.18%. On March 3, 2008, the Company entered into an interest rate swap of a floating LIBOR rate on an $18 million bank loan for a fixed rate of 3.75%, resulting in a total fixed rate of 4.25%. In addition, effective January 2, 2002, the Company entered into an interest rate swap of a 7.25% fixed rate obligation on its $125 million senior notes for a floating rate of LIBOR plus 107 basis points.
Item 4. | Controls and Procedures |
Evaluation of Disclosure Controls and Procedures
The Company maintains disclosure controls and procedures designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed in the Companys reports filed under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the Securities and Exchange Commission rules and forms, and that such information is accumulated and communicated to the Companys management, including its Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow for timely decisions regarding required disclosure. In designing and evaluating the disclosure controls and procedures, management recognizes that any controls and procedures, no matter how well designed and operated, can provide only reasonable assurance of achieving the desired control objectives, and management necessarily was required to apply its judgment in evaluating the cost benefit relationship of possible controls and procedures.
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As required by Securities and Exchange Commission Rule 13a-15(b), the Company carried out an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of the Companys management, including the Companys Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, of the effectiveness of the design and operation of the Companys disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of the quarter covered by this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. Based on the foregoing, the Companys Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that the Companys disclosure controls and procedures were effective at the reasonable assurance level.
Changes in Internal Control over Financial Reporting
There has been no change in the Companys internal control over financial reporting during the Companys most recent fiscal quarter that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the Companys internal control over financial reporting. The Companys process for evaluating controls and procedures is continuous and encompasses constant improvement of the design and effectiveness of established controls and procedures and the remediation of any deficiencies which may be identified during this process.
PART II - OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. | Legal Proceedings |
The Company is, from time to time, named as a defendant in various lawsuits incidental to its insurance business. In most of these actions, plaintiffs assert claims for punitive damages, which are not insurable under judicial decisions. The Company has established reserves for lawsuits in which the Company is able to estimate its potential exposure and the likelihood that the court will rule against the Company is probable. Additionally, from time to time, regulators may take actions to challenge the Companys business practices. The Company vigorously defends these actions, unless a reasonable settlement appears appropriate. An unfavorable ruling against the Company in the actions currently pending may have a material impact on the Companys quarterly results of operations in the period of such ruling; however, none is expected to be material to the Companys financial position. For a discussion of the Companys pending material litigation, see the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009.
There are no environmental proceedings arising under federal, state, or local laws or regulations to be discussed.
Item 1A. | Risk Factors |
The Companys business, results of operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks. These risks are described elsewhere in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and in its other filings with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009. The risk factors identified in the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009 have not changed in any material respect.
Item 2. | Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds |
None
Item 3. | Defaults Upon Senior Securities |
None
Item 4. | (Removed and Reserved) |
Item 5. | Other Information |
None
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Item 6. | Exhibits |
15.1 | Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm | |
15.2 | Awareness Letter of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm | |
31.1 | Certification of Registrants Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 | |
31.2 | Certification of Registrants Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 | |
32.1 | Certification of Registrants Chief Executive Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as created by Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. This certification is being furnished solely to accompany this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and is not being filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and is not to be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company. | |
32.2 | Certification of Registrants Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as created by Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. This certification is being furnished solely to accompany this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and is not being filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and is not to be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company. | |
101 | The following financial information from the Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2010, formatted in XBRL (Extensible Business Reporting Language) and furnished electronically herewith: (i) the Consolidated Balance Sheets; (ii) the Consolidated Statements of Operations; (iii) the Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income; (iv) the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows; and (v) the Condensed Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements, tagged as blocks or text. |
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Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION | ||||||
Date: November 2, 2010 |
By: |
/s/ Gabriel Tirador | ||||
Gabriel Tirador | ||||||
President and Chief Executive Officer | ||||||
Date: November 2, 2010 |
By: |
/s/ Theodore Stalick | ||||
Theodore Stalick | ||||||
Vice President and Chief Financial Officer |
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