Form 10-K
Table of Contents

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

 

FORM 10-K

 

 

(Mark One)

x ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2009

or

 

¨ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from                      to                     

Commission File Number: 001-07434

 

LOGO

Aflac Incorporated

 

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

Georgia

 

  58-1167100
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)   (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

1932 Wynnton Road, Columbus, Georgia

 

  31999
(Address of principal executive offices)   (ZIP Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: 706.323.3431

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

 

Title of each class

 

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, $.10 Par Value   New York Stock Exchange
  Tokyo Stock Exchange

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act:    None

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act.    þ  Yes    ¨  No

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act.    ¨  Yes    þ  No

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.    þ  Yes    ¨  No

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (Section 232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).    þ  Yes    ¨  No

Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K (Section 229.405 of this chapter) is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrant’s knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K.    ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

 

Large accelerated filer   þ    Accelerated filer   ¨
Non-accelerated filer   ¨  (Do not check if a smaller reporting company)    Smaller reporting company   ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act).    ¨  Yes    þ  No

The aggregate market value of the voting stock held by non-affiliates of the registrant as of June 30, 2009, was $14,288,970,560.

The number of shares of the registrant’s Common Stock outstanding at February 22, 2010, with $.10 par value, was 469,135,203.

 

 

Documents Incorporated By Reference

Certain information contained in the Notice and Proxy Statement for the Company’s Annual Meeting of Shareholders to be held on May 3, 2010, is incorporated by reference into Part III hereof.

 

 

 


Table of Contents

Aflac Incorporated

Annual Report on Form 10-K

For the Year Ended December 31, 2009

Table of Contents

 

            Page

PART I

       

Item 1.

   Business      1

Item 1A.

   Risk Factors      15

Item 1B.

   Unresolved Staff Comments      28

Item 2.

   Properties      28

Item 3.

   Legal Proceedings      28

Item 4.

   Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders      28

PART II

       

Item 5.

   Market for Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities      31

Item 6.

   Selected Financial Data      34

Item 7.

   Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations      36

Item 7A.

   Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk      76

Item 8.

   Financial Statements and Supplementary Data      76

Item 9.

   Changes in and Disagreements With Accountants on Accounting and Financial Disclosure      143

Item 9A.

   Controls and Procedures      143

Item 9B.

   Other Information      143

PART III

       

Item 10.

   Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance      144

Item 11.

   Executive Compensation      144

Item 12.

   Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related Stockholder Matters      144

Item 13.

   Certain Relationships and Related Transactions, and Director Independence      144

Item 14.

   Principal Accounting Fees and Services      144

PART IV

       

Item 15.

   Exhibits, Financial Statement Schedules      145

 

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PART I

 

ITEM 1. BUSINESS

We prepare our financial statements in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). This report includes certain forward-looking information that is based on current expectations and is subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. For details on forward-looking information, see Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (MD&A), Part II, Item 7, of this report.

Aflac Incorporated qualifies as a large accelerated filer within the meaning of Exchange Act Rule 12b-2. Our Internet address is aflac.com. The information on the Company’s Web site is not incorporated by reference in this annual report on Form 10-K. We make available, free of charge on our Web site, our annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K and amendments thereto as soon as reasonably practicable after those forms have been electronically filed with or furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

General Description

Aflac Incorporated (the Parent Company) was incorporated in 1973 under the laws of the state of Georgia. Aflac Incorporated is a general business holding company and acts as a management company, overseeing the operations of its subsidiaries by providing management services and making capital available. Its principal business is supplemental health and life insurance, which is marketed and administered through its subsidiary, American Family Life Assurance Company of Columbus (Aflac), which operates in the United States (Aflac U.S.) and as a branch in Japan (Aflac Japan). Additionally, Aflac U.S. markets and administers group products through Continental American Insurance Company (CAIC). Most of Aflac’s policies are individually underwritten and marketed through independent agents. Our insurance operations in the United States and our branch in Japan service the two markets for our insurance business.

During 2009, the Parent Company purchased Continental American Insurance Group, Inc., which includes its wholly-owned subsidiary, CAIC. CAIC, headquartered in Columbia, South Carolina, equips Aflac U.S. with a platform for offering attractive voluntary group insurance products that are well-suited for distribution by insurance brokers at the worksite.

We believe Aflac is the world’s leading underwriter of individually issued policies marketed at worksites. We continue to diversify our product offerings in both Japan and the United States. Aflac Japan sells supplemental insurance products, including cancer plans, general medical indemnity plans, medical/sickness riders, care plans, living benefit life plans, ordinary life insurance plans and annuities. Aflac U.S. sells supplemental insurance products, including accident/disability plans, cancer plans, short-term disability plans, sickness and hospital indemnity plans, hospital intensive care plans, fixed-benefit dental plans, vision care plans, long-term care plans, and life insurance products.

We are authorized to conduct insurance business in all 50 states, the District of Columbia, several U.S. territories and Japan. Aflac Japan’s revenues, including realized gains and losses on its investment portfolio, accounted for 73% of the Company’s total revenues in 2009, 72% in 2008 and 71% in 2007. The percentage of the Company’s total assets attributable to Aflac Japan was 85% at December 31, 2009, and 87% at December 31, 2008. For additional information, see Note 2 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements in this report.

Results of Operations

For information on our results of operations and financial information by segment, see MD&A and Note 2 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements in this report.

 

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Foreign Currency Translation

For information regarding the effect of currency fluctuations on our business, see the Foreign Currency Translation and Market Risks of Financial Instruments – Currency Risk sections of MD&A and Note 2 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements in this report.

Insurance Premiums

The growth of earned premiums is directly affected by the change in premiums in force and by the change in weighted-average yen/dollar exchange rates. Consolidated earned premiums were $16.6 billion in 2009, $14.9 billion in 2008, and $13.0 billion in 2007. For additional information on the composition of earned premiums by segment, see Note 2 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements in this report. The following table presents the changes in annualized premiums in force for Aflac’s insurance business for the years ended December 31.

 

(In millions)      2009        2008        2007  

Annualized premiums in force, beginning of year

     $ 17,550         $ 14,370         $ 13,195   

New sales, including conversions

       2,763           2,666           2,532   

Change in unprocessed new sales

       (92        (100        (78

Premiums lapsed and surrendered

       (2,207        (1,969        (1,715

Other

       120           32           30   

Foreign currency translation adjustment

       (144        2,551           406   
   

Annualized premiums in force, end of year

     $ 17,990         $ 17,550         $ 14,370   
   
                                  

Insurance – Japan

We translate Aflac Japan’s annualized premiums in force into dollars at the respective end-of-period exchange rates. Changes in annualized premiums in force are translated at weighted-average exchange rates. The following table presents the changes in annualized premiums in force for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31.

 

      In Dollars      In Yen  
(In millions of dollars and billions of yen)    2009      2008      2007      2009      2008      2007  

Annualized premiums in force, beginning of year

   $ 12,761       $ 9,860       $ 9,094       1,162       1,126       1,083   

New sales, including conversions

     1,310         1,115         974       122       115       115   

Change in unprocessed new sales

     (92      (100      (78    (9    (10    (9

Premiums lapsed and surrendered

     (737      (593      (472    (69    (61    (56

Other

     (64      (72      (64    (6    (8    (7

Foreign currency translation adjustment

     (144      2,551         406                     
   

Annualized premiums in force, end of year

   $ 13,034       $ 12,761       $ 9,860       1,200       1,162       1,126   
   
                                                 

For further information regarding Aflac Japan’s financial results, sales and the Japanese economy, see the Aflac Japan section of MD&A in this report.

 

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Insurance – U.S.

The following table presents the changes in annualized premiums in force for Aflac U.S. for the years ended December 31.

 

(In millions)    2009        2008        2007  

Annualized premiums in force, beginning of year

   $ 4,789         $ 4,510         $ 4,101   

New sales, including conversions

     1,453           1,551           1,558   

Premiums lapsed

     (1,471        (1,376        (1,243

Other

     185           104           94   
   

Annualized premiums in force, end of year

   $ 4,956         $ 4,789         $ 4,510   
   
                                

For further information regarding Aflac’s U.S. financial results and sales, see the Aflac U.S. section of MD&A in this report.

Insurance Products – Japan

Aflac Japan’s insurance products are designed to help consumers pay for medical and nonmedical costs that are not reimbursed under Japan’s national health insurance system. Changes in Japan’s economy and an aging population have put increasing pressure on Japan’s national health care system. As a result, more costs are being shifted to Japanese consumers, who in turn have become increasingly interested in insurance products that help them manage those costs. Aflac Japan has responded to this consumer need by enhancing existing products and developing new products.

Aflac Japan’s stand-alone medical product, EVER, offers a basic level of hospitalization coverage with an affordable premium. Since its initial introduction in 2002, we have expanded our suite of EVER product offerings that appeal to specific types of Japanese consumers. In August 2009, we introduced a new generation of our popular EVER product, the most notable changes being an enhanced surgical benefit and gender-specific premium rates. We believe that there is an attractive market for this type of medical product in Japan. We continue to believe that the entire medical category will remain an important part of our product portfolio in Japan.

The cancer insurance plans we offer in Japan provide a lump-sum benefit upon initial diagnosis of internal cancer and a fixed daily benefit for hospitalization and outpatient services related to cancer as well as surgical, convalescent and terminal care benefits. In September 2007, we introduced a new product called Cancer Forte. This was the first major revision we have made to our cancer product offerings since 2001. Responding to requests for enhanced outpatient coverage for cancer treatment, Cancer Forte pays outpatient benefits for 60 days, compared with 30 days for our previous plans. It also incorporates two new features. First, if a policyholder is diagnosed with cancer for the first time, we pay that policyholder an annuity from the second year through the fifth year after diagnosis. This is in addition to the traditional upfront first-occurrence benefit. The second new benefit is called “Premier Support,” where Aflac arranges for a third party to provide policyholders with counseling and doctor referral services upon their cancer diagnosis. For consumers who had the earlier cancer insurance product, we introduced a special bridge policy in 2008 that allows existing policyholders to upgrade their coverage to that of Cancer Forte.

Some of the life products that we offer in Japan provide death benefits and cash surrender values. These products are available as stand-alone policies and riders. Some plans have features that allow policyholders to convert a portion of their life insurance to medical, nursing care, or fixed annuity benefits at a predetermined age. In March 2009, we introduced a new child endowment product, which offers a death benefit until the child reaches age 18. It also pays a lump-sum benefit at the time of the child’s entry into high school, as well as an educational annuity for each of the four years during his or her college education.

 

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We also offer traditional fixed-income annuities and care policies. For additional information on Aflac Japan’s products and composition of sales, see the Aflac Japan section of MD&A in this report.

Insurance Products – U.S.

We design our U.S. insurance products to provide supplemental coverage for people who already have major medical or primary insurance coverage. Our policies are portable and pay regardless of other insurance. Benefits are paid in cash directly to policyholders; therefore, they have the opportunity to use this cash to help with expenses of their choosing. Our health insurance plans are guaranteed-renewable for the lifetime of the policyholder (to age 70 for short-term disability policies). We cannot cancel guaranteed-renewable coverage, but we can increase premium rates on existing policies on a uniform, nondiscriminatory basis by class of policy in response to adverse experience. Any premium rate increases are subject to state regulatory approval. We have had minimal rate increase activity in the last five years.

Aflac U.S. offers an accident and disability policy to protect against losses resulting from accidents. The accident portion of the policy includes lump-sum benefits for accidental death, dismemberment and specific injuries as well as fixed benefits for hospital confinement. Optional disability riders are also available. Short-term disability policies provide disability benefits with a variety of elimination and benefit period options. The longest such benefit period offered is two years.

Our U.S. cancer plans are designed to provide insurance benefits for medical and nonmedical costs that are not covered by major medical insurance. Benefits include a first-occurrence benefit that pays an initial amount when internal cancer is first diagnosed; a fixed amount for each day an insured is hospitalized for cancer treatment; fixed amounts for radiation, chemotherapy and surgery; and a wellness benefit applicable toward certain diagnostic tests. Our Maximum Difference® cancer plan incorporates coverage for medical advances in cancer prevention, diagnosis, treatment and the many new ways cancer patients may now receive their care. Maximum Difference allows customization of coverage to fit varying needs and budgets.

In 2009, we launched Essentials Accident and Essentials Maximum Difference® cancer plans. These new products have lower benefit and premium levels than the core versions of these products. In the short term, we believe these products are better suited to the current economy and in the long run, they will give consumers more choices.

Our hospital indemnity products provide fixed daily benefits for hospitalization due to accident or sickness. Indemnity benefits for inpatient and outpatient surgeries, as well as various other diagnostic expenses, are also available. Our sickness indemnity plan provides a fixed daily benefit for hospitalization due to sickness and fixed amounts for physician services for accident or sickness.

Aflac U.S. offers a specified health event policy that gives consumers a choice of three benefit and premium levels. One of the levels combines the specified health event policy with our intensive care plan. By leveraging administrative efficiencies, consumers may purchase the combined coverage for less than purchasing the policies separately.

Aflac U.S. offers term and whole life policies sold through payroll deduction at the worksite and various term and whole life policies on a direct basis. Our newest life insurance product line, Life Protector Series, offers term policies with varying duration options and a new whole life policy with additional benefits, including an increased face value option. These revisions greatly enhanced the product category and contributed to its success in the marketplace.

We offer a series of fixed-benefit dental policies, providing various levels of benefits for dental procedures, including checkups and cleanings. Plan features include a renewal guarantee, no deductible and no network restrictions.

 

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Aflac U.S. offers Vision NowSM, which provides benefits for serious eye health conditions and loss of sight. Vision Now includes coverage for corrective eye materials and exam benefits.

For additional information on Aflac’s U.S. products and composition of sales, see the Aflac U.S. section of MD&A in this report.

Distribution – Japan

The traditional channels through which we have sold our products are independent corporate agencies, individual agencies and affiliated corporate agencies. The independent corporate agencies and individual agencies that sell our products give us better access to workers at a vast number of small businesses in Japan. Agents’ activities are primarily focused on insurance sales, with customer service support provided by the Aflac Contact Center. Independent corporate agencies and individual agencies contributed 55% of total new annualized premium sales in both 2009 and 2008 and 56% in 2007. Affiliated corporate agencies are formed when companies establish subsidiary businesses to sell our insurance products to their employees, suppliers and customers. These agencies help us reach employees at large worksites, including 89% of the companies listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Affiliated corporate agencies contributed 35% of total new annualized premium sales in 2009, compared with 36% in both 2008 and 2007. During 2009, we recruited approximately 4,600 new sales agencies. As of December 31, 2009, Aflac Japan was represented by more than 19,600 sales agencies, with more than 110,500 licensed sales associates employed by those agencies at such date. We believe that new agencies will continue to be attracted to Aflac Japan’s high commissions, superior products, customer service and strong brand image.

We continue to reach consumers through our strategic marketing alliance with Dai-ichi Mutual Life Insurance Company (Dai-ichi Life). We believe our alliance has been one of the most successful partnerships in the insurance industry since it was first launched in 2001. In 2009, Dai-ichi Life sold more than 122,000 of our market-leading cancer policies, compared with 190,000 policies in 2008 and 244,000 policies in 2007. Dai-ichi Life contributed 4% of our total new annualized premium sales in 2009, compared with 7% in 2008 and 8% in 2007.

We have sold our products to employees of banks since our entry into Japan in 1974. However, December 2007 marked the first time it was permissible for banks to sell supplemental health insurance products to their customers. By the end of 2009, we had agreements with 353 banks to sell our products. We have significantly more selling agreements with banks than any of our competitors. We believe our longstanding and strong relationships with the banking sector, along with our strategic preparations, have proven to be an advantage as this channel opened up for our products.

For additional information on Aflac Japan’s distribution, see the Aflac Japan section of MD&A in this report.

Distribution – U.S.

Our U.S. sales force comprises sales associates who are independent contractors licensed to sell accident and health insurance. Many are also licensed to sell life insurance. Sales associates are paid commissions based on first-year and renewal premiums from their sales of insurance products. In addition to receiving commissions on personal production, district, regional and state sales coordinators may also receive override commissions and incentive bonuses. Most associates’ efforts are principally focused on selling supplemental insurance at the worksite. Administrative personnel in Georgia, New York, and Nebraska handle policyholder service functions, including issuance of policies, premium collection, payment notices and claims.

 

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We concentrate on marketing our products at the worksite. This method offers policies to individuals through employment, trade and other associations. Historically, our policies have been individual which means that our policies are individually underwritten and premiums are generally paid by the employee. Additionally, Aflac’s individual policies are portable, meaning that individuals may retain their full insurance coverage upon separation from employment or such affiliation, generally at the same premium. We collect a major portion of premiums on such sales through payroll deduction or other forms of centralized billing. With the beginning of our brokerage sales expansion and the purchase of CAIC, we are now able to offer group voluntary benefit products desired by many large employers. These products are sold on a group basis and often have some element of guaranteed issue. This coverage is generally not portable, which means the insurance coverage may terminate upon separation from employment or affiliation with the entity holding the group contract. Worksite marketing enables a sales associate to reach a greater number of prospective policyholders and lowers distribution costs, compared with individually marketed business. With total new payroll accounts rising 10.6% in 2009, we believe that we have provided a solid foundation for future sales when the U.S. economy recovers.

During the past several years, we have enhanced and increased the size of our distribution system. We recruited more than 28,400 new sales associates in 2009. At December 31, 2009, Aflac was represented by more than 75,300 licensed sales associates, a 1.2% increase over 2008. However, increasing our sales force means more than just recruiting people. We focus on growing the number of average weekly producers, which measures high-quality, consistent, capable producers who make solid, consistent contributions to sales. New average weekly producers, or those who are in their first year, increased 6.2% for 2009.

New sales associates participate in our New Associate Training Cycle, a training program that combines classroom instruction and online learning through Aflac University® with field training. The New Associate Training Cycle also includes LEASE training (Larger Earnings by Acquiring Smaller Employers), which helps new sales associates jumpstart their sales careers with an easily transferable guide for approaching smaller businesses.

In addition to training sales associates, we extend our training initiatives to both new and veteran sales force management. Sales associates who exhibit leadership potential are invited to participate in our national Coordinator in Training (CIT) program. The CIT program concentrates on developing potential leaders’ skills so they have a better chance to succeed as a district sales coordinator, the first level of Aflac’s sales force management. For district, regional, and state sales coordinators (listed in order from first level to highest level of sales management), we have refined and expanded the use of leadership development programs. We believe our efforts to increase the size and capability of our field force will translate into a higher proportion of successful producing sales associates in the future.

In addition to our established training programs, we conduct an annual Aflac National Training Day, which is available to all levels of our field force. Objectives of this training day have recently included topics such as: (1) conveying to our sales force how a weak economy enhances the need for our products and training them on how to better sell in the current economic environment, (2) providing training and support for new product initiatives and (3) developing associates’ skills in achieving enrollment conditions necessary to succeed in economic environments with lagging consumer confidence.

In July 2009, we introduced Success Trax, which is a tool that benefits all levels of our sales force. At the sales associate level, this technology helps streamline information about their contacts, presentations, sales, referrals, and enrollments. At the sales coordinator level, it allows sales management to track the activities, progress, strengths, and weaknesses of those who report to them so they may proactively coach agents on their team and address any emerging issues or need for improvement.

In the first quarter of 2009, we implemented our new Aflac for BrokersSM initiative. Insurance brokers have been a historically underleveraged sales channel for Aflac, and we believe we can establish

 

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relationships that will complement, not compete with, our traditional distribution system. We have assembled a management team experienced in broker sales, and we are supporting this initiative with streamlined products, targeted broker specific advertising campaigns, customized enrollment technology, and competitive compensation. Additionally, a new level of management was introduced in 2009 to deliver this initiative. Over 100 broker development coordinators have been hired to be single points of contact for brokers across the country. Broker development coordinators are responsible for building relationships with new brokers as well as strengthening relationships with our current brokers. These coordinators are assisted by a team of certified case managers whose role is to coordinate and manage the account enrollments for brokers.

Furthering our initiatives in the broker arena, we acquired CAIC in the fourth quarter of 2009. This acquisition equips us with a platform for offering attractive voluntary group insurance products that are well-suited for distribution by insurance brokers at the worksite. Expanding our product portfolio with group products also greatly enhances the sales opportunities for our traditional sales force of individual associates.

For additional information on Aflac’s U.S. distribution, see the Aflac U.S. section of MD&A in this report.

Competition – Japan

In 1974, Aflac was granted an operating license to sell life insurance in Japan, making Aflac the second non-Japanese life insurance company to gain direct access to the Japanese insurance market. Through 1981, we faced limited competition for cancer insurance policy sales. However, Japan has experienced two periods of deregulation since we entered the market. The first came in the early 1980s, when nine mid-sized insurers, including domestic and foreign companies, were allowed to sell cancer insurance products for the first time. In 2001, all life and non-life insurers were allowed to sell stand-alone cancer and medical insurance products as well as other stand-alone health insurance products. As a result, the number of insurance companies offering stand-alone cancer and medical insurance has more than doubled since the market was deregulated in 2001. However, based on our growth of annualized premiums in force and agencies, we do not believe that our market-leading position has been significantly impacted by increased competition. Furthermore, we believe the continued development and maintenance of operating efficiencies will allow us to offer affordable products that appeal to consumers. Aflac is the largest insurer in Japan in terms of individual policies in force. As of December 31, 2009, we exceeded 20 million individual policies in force in Japan.

Aflac has had substantial success selling cancer policies in Japan, with 14 million cancer policies in force as of December 31, 2009. Aflac continued to be the number one seller of cancer insurance policies in Japan throughout 2009. We believe we will remain a leading provider of cancer insurance coverage in Japan, principally due to our experience in the market, low-cost operations, unique marketing system (see Distribution – Japan above) and product expertise.

We have also experienced substantial success selling medical insurance in Japan. While other companies have recognized the opportunities that we have seen in the medical insurance market and offered new products, we believe our products stand out for their value to consumers. Aflac Japan continued to be the number one seller of stand-alone medical insurance in the life insurance industry in terms of policy sales in 2009.

Competition – U.S.

We compete against several insurers on a national basis plus other insurers regionally. We believe our policies and premium rates, as well as the commissions paid to our sales associates, are competitive

 

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with those offered by other companies providing similar types of insurance. However, we believe our U.S. business is distinct from our competitors because of our product focus, distribution system, and brand awareness. For many of the other companies that sell supplemental insurance, it represents a secondary business. For us, it is our primary business. We also believe that our growing distribution system of independent sales associates expands our business opportunities, while our advertising campaigns have increased our name awareness and understanding by consumers and businesses of the value our products provide.

Private insurers and voluntary and cooperative plans, such as Blue Cross and Blue Shield, provide major medical insurance for hospitalization and medical expenses. Much of this insurance is sold on a group basis. The federal and state governments also pay substantial costs of medical treatment through various programs. Such major medical insurance generally covers a substantial amount of the medical expenses incurred by an insured as a result of accident and disability, cancer or other major illnesses. Aflac’s policies are designed to provide coverage that supplements major medical insurance and may also be used to defray nonmedical expenses. Thus, we do not compete directly with major medical insurers. However, the scope of major medical coverage offered by other insurers does represent a potential limitation on the market for our products. Accordingly, expansion of coverage by other insurers or governmental programs could adversely affect our business opportunities. Conversely, any reduction of coverage, or increased deductibles and copayments, by other insurers or governmental programs could favorably affect our business opportunities.

Investments and Investment Results

Net investment income was $2.8 billion in 2009, $2.6 billion in 2008 and $2.3 billion in 2007. The growth of net investment income during the last three years has been negatively impacted by the low level of investment yields for new money in both Japan and the United States. In particular, Japan’s life insurance industry has contended with low investment yields for a number of years.

Investments – Japan

The following table presents the composition of total investments by sector, at amortized cost, and cash for Aflac Japan ($65.3 billion in 2009 and $62.9 billion in 2008) as of December 31.

Composition of Portfolio by Sector

 

        2009        2008  

Debt and perpetual securities, at amortized cost:

         

Banks/financial institutions*

     37.9      41.5

Government and agencies

     18.3         18.2   

Municipalities

     .6         .1   

Public utilities

     12.3         10.6   

Collateralized debt obligations

     .5         1.1   

Sovereign and supranational

     8.1         7.4   

Mortgage- and asset-backed securities

     1.6         1.5   

Other corporate**

     19.7         18.8   
   

Total debt and perpetual securities

     99.0         99.2   

Equity securities and other

     .1         .1   

Cash and cash equivalents

     .9         .7   
   

Total investments and cash

     100.0      100.0
                   
   
* Includes 10.8% and 13.4% of perpetual securities at December 31, 2009 and 2008, respectively
** Includes .4% and .5% of perpetual securities at December 31, 2009 and 2008, respectively

 

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Our highest sector concentration is in banks and financial institutions. Our investment discipline begins with a top-down approach. We first approve each country we invest in, and within those countries, we primarily invest in financial institutions that are strategically crucial to each country’s economy. The banks and financial institutions sector is a highly regulated industry and plays a strategic role in the global economy. While this is our largest sector concentration, we achieve some degree of diversification through a geographically diverse universe of credit exposures. See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Market Risks of Financial Instruments – Credit Risk section of MD&A for more information regarding the sector concentrations of our investments.

Yen-denominated debt and perpetual securities accounted for 94% of Aflac Japan’s total debt and perpetual securities at December 31, 2009, and 2008, at amortized cost.

Funds available for investment include cash flows from operations, investment income, and funds generated from bond swaps, maturities and redemptions. Aflac Japan purchased debt security investments at aggregate acquisition cost of approximately 955.6 billion yen in 2009 (approximately $10.1 billion), 689.0 billion yen in 2008 (approximately $6.8 billion), and 699.1 billion yen in 2007 (approximately $6.0 billion). During the three-year period ended December 31, 2009, there were no purchases of perpetual securities, and equity security purchases were immaterial. The following table presents the composition of debt security purchases by sector, as a percentage of acquisition cost, for the years ended December 31.

Composition of Purchases by Sector

 

      2009        2008        2007  

Debt security purchases, at cost:

            

Banks/financial institutions

   4.6      25.5      35.3

Government and agencies

   49.3         13.8         24.4   

Municipalities

   3.3                   

Public utilities

   14.4         23.5         8.6   

Collateralized debt obligations

           4.7         4.6   

Sovereign and supranational

   11.2                 3.0   

Mortgage- and asset-backed securities

   1.9         6.1         2.2   

Other corporate

   15.3         26.4         21.9   
   

Total

   100.0      100.0      100.0
   
                          

The change in allocation of purchases from year to year is based on diversification objectives, relative value and availability of investment opportunities. In 2009, Aflac Japan increased its purchases of securities in the government and agencies sector because of our view of their relative value. A significant portion of the increased percentage of purchases of those securities was due to a bond-swap program that we executed in 2009 to generate investment gains to take advantage of tax loss carryforwards.

The distributions by credit rating of Aflac Japan’s purchases of debt securities for the years ended December 31, based on acquisition cost, were as follows:

Composition of Purchases by Credit Rating

 

      2009        2008        2007  

AAA

   7.9      9.1      18.0

AA

   62.9         41.1         48.5   

A

   28.5         41.9         29.6   

BBB

   .7         7.9         3.9   
                          

Total

   100.0      100.0      100.0
                          
                          

 

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The increase in the percentage of debt securities purchased in the AA rated category during 2009 was due to the attractive relative value these securities presented while still meeting our investment policy guidelines for liquidity, safety and quality. In 2007, the increased percentage of debt securities purchased in the AAA rated category primarily reflected the purchase of U.S. Treasury bills by Aflac Japan prior to repatriating profits to Aflac U.S. in the third quarter of 2007.

The distributions of debt and perpetual securities owned by Aflac Japan, by credit rating, as of December 31 were as follows:

Composition of Portfolio by Credit Rating

 

        2009        2008  
        Amortized
Cost
       Fair
Value
       Amortized
Cost
       Fair
Value
 

AAA

     3.2      3.3      5.2      5.3

AA

     37.2         38.5         42.8         44.9   

A

     38.9         38.9         32.9         32.0   

BBB

     14.1         13.7         17.2         16.6   

BB or lower

     6.6         5.6         1.9         1.2   
                                     

Total

     100.0      100.0      100.0      100.0
                                     
                                     

During 2009, Aflac Japan experienced an overall decrease in its holdings of AA rated securities due to downgrades of certain securities offset partially by purchases within that category. Aflac Japan’s A rated securities increased due to purchases and downgrades of higher rated securities. Aflac Japan’s BB or lower rated securities increased due to the downgrade of higher rated securities during 2009.

Investments – U.S.

The following table presents the composition of total investments by sector, at amortized cost, and cash for Aflac U.S. ($8.4 billion in 2009 and $7.3 billion in 2008) as of December 31.

Composition of Portfolio by Sector

 

        2009        2008  

Debt and perpetual securities, at amortized cost:

         

Banks/financial institutions*

     26.0      34.4

U.S. government and agencies

     2.0         2.7   

Municipalities

     4.9         1.1   

Public utilities

     12.5         12.7   

Collateralized debt obligations

     2.4         3.1   

Sovereign and supranational

     2.0         2.9   

Mortgage- and asset-backed securities

     3.0         5.0   

Other corporate

     32.6         35.2   
   

Total debt and perpetual securities

     85.4         97.1   

Cash and cash equivalents

     14.6         2.9   
   

Total investments and cash

     100.0      100.0
   
                   
* Includes 2.8% and 4.4% of perpetual securities at December 31, 2009 and 2008, respectively.

Larger cash balances were held for specific corporate purposes in 2009 and for reserve due to the uncertainty and lack of liquidity in the market. The cash balances are in the process of being invested as

 

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market conditions improve. See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Market Risks of Financial Instruments – Credit Risk section of MD&A for more information regarding the sector concentrations of our investments.

Funds available for investment include cash flows from operations, investment income, and funds generated from bond swaps, maturities and redemptions. Aflac U.S. purchased debt security investments at an aggregate acquisition cost of approximately $1.0 billion in 2009, $1.1 billion in 2008 and $1.0 billion in 2007. We purchased no perpetual or equity securities during the three-year period ended December 31, 2009. The following table presents the composition of debt security purchases by sector, as a percentage of acquisition cost, for the years ended December 31.

Composition of Purchases by Sector

 

      2009        2008        2007  

Debt security purchases, at cost:

            

Banks/financial institutions

   12.5      15.6      18.8

Government and agencies

                   1.0   

Municipalities

   33.0                 2.5   

Public utilities

   10.1         23.9         3.1   

Collateralized debt obligations

           18.7         5.0   

Sovereign and supranational

   .7                 2.9   

Mortgage- and asset-backed securities

   3.0         13.3         12.8   

Other corporate

   40.7         28.5         53.9   
   

Total

   100.0      100.0      100.0
   
                          

The change in allocation of purchases from year to year is based on diversification objectives, relative value and availability of investment opportunities. During 2008, Aflac U.S. used the proceeds from the issuance of $200 million of variable interest rate funding agreements to third party investors to purchase a corresponding amount of variable interest rate CDOs. These CDOs were purchased exclusively to support our obligation under the funding agreements. As a result of this transaction, CDO purchases were higher in 2008 compared with 2009 and 2007.

The distributions by credit rating of Aflac’s U.S. purchases of debt securities for the years ended December 31, based on acquisition cost, were as follows:

Composition of Purchases by Credit Rating

 

      2009        2008        2007  

AAA

   4.9      14.4      20.5

AA

   17.8         6.9         18.7   

A

   61.4         42.4         33.2   

BBB

   15.9         36.3         27.6   
                          

Total

   100.0      100.0      100.0
                          
                          

The increase in the percentage of debt securities purchased in the AA and A rated categories during 2009 was due to the attractive relative value these securities presented while still meeting our investment policy guidelines for liquidity, safety and quality.

 

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The distributions of debt and perpetual securities owned by Aflac U.S., by credit rating, as of December 31 were as follows:

Composition of Portfolio by Credit Rating

 

        2009        2008  
        Amortized
Cost
       Fair
Value
       Amortized
Cost
       Fair
Value
 

AAA

     4.2      4.2      9.7      10.1

AA

     11.3         12.0         13.2         15.7   

A

     45.8         47.6         44.8         45.5   

BBB

     29.1         29.0         30.7         27.6   

BB or lower

     9.6         7.2         1.6         1.1   
                                     

Total

     100.0      100.0      100.0      100.0
                                     
                                     

During 2009, Aflac U.S. experienced a decrease in its holdings of AAA rated securities due to a decrease in purchases in that category combined with downgrades of certain securities. Aflac U.S. BB or lower rated securities increased due to the downgrade of higher rated securities during 2009.

For additional information on the composition of our investment portfolios and investment results, see the Analysis of Financial Condition section in MD&A and Notes 3 and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements in this report.

Regulation – Japan

The financial and business affairs of Aflac Japan are subject to examination by Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA). Aflac Japan files annual reports and financial statements for the Japanese insurance operations based on a March 31 fiscal year end, prepared in accordance with Japanese regulatory accounting practices prescribed or permitted by the FSA. Japanese regulatory basis earnings are determined using accounting principles that differ materially from U.S. GAAP. Under Japanese regulatory accounting practices, policy acquisition costs are charged off immediately; deferred income tax liabilities are recognized on a different basis; policy benefit and claim reserving methods and assumptions are different; the carrying value of securities transferred to held-to-maturity is different; policyholder protection corporation obligations are not accrued; and premium income is recognized on a cash basis. Reconciliations of the net assets of the Japan branch on a U.S. GAAP basis to net assets determined on a Japanese regulatory accounting basis as of December 31 were as follows:

 

(In millions)    2009        2008  

Aflac Japan net assets on GAAP basis

   $ 6,728         $ 5,884   

Elimination of deferred policy acquisition cost asset

     (5,846        (5,643

Adjustment to income tax liabilities

     2,649           2,146   

Adjustment to policy liabilities

     (2,786        (1,858

Adjustment of unrealized gains and other adjustments to carrying value of debt securities

     1,571           1,510   

Elimination of policyholder protection corporation liability

     128           160   

Reduction in premiums receivable

     (90        (82

Other, net

     (438        (136
                     

Aflac Japan net assets on Japanese regulatory accounting basis

   $ 1,916         $ 1,981   
                     
                     

The FSA maintains a solvency standard, which is used by Japanese regulators to monitor the financial strength of insurance companies. As of December 31, 2009, Aflac Japan’s solvency margin ratio

 

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was 885.5%, which significantly exceeds regulatory minimums. The FSA has issued a proposal to revise the current method of calculating the solvency margin ratio. The FSA intends to apply the revised method to life insurance companies for the fiscal year-end 2011 (March 31, 2012) and require the disclosure of the ratio as reference information for fiscal year-end 2010 (March 31, 2011). The FSA expects the revision would generally reduce life insurance companies’ solvency margin ratios to approximately half the level of those reported under the current calculation method.

A portion of Aflac Japan’s annual earnings, as determined on a Japanese regulatory accounting basis, may be repatriated each year to Aflac U.S. These repatriated profits represent a portion of Aflac Japan’s after-tax earnings reported to the FSA on a March 31 fiscal year basis. If needed, we may elect not to repatriate profits to Aflac U.S. or to repatriate a reduced amount to strengthen Aflac Japan’s solvency margin. In addition, the FSA may not allow profit repatriations or other transfers of funds to Aflac U.S. if they would cause Aflac Japan to lack sufficient financial strength for the protection of Japanese policyholders. In the near term, we do not expect these requirements to adversely affect the funds available for profit repatriations, nor do we expect these requirements to adversely affect the funds available for payments of allocated expenses to Aflac U.S. and management fees to the Parent Company.

The Japanese insurance industry has a policyholder protection corporation that provides funds for the policyholders of insolvent insurers. For additional information regarding the policyholder protection fund, see the Policyholder Protection Corporation section of MD&A and Note 2 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements in this report.

As a branch of our principal insurance subsidiary, Aflac Japan is also subject to regulation and supervision in the United States (see Regulation – U.S.). For additional information regarding Aflac Japan’s operations and regulations, see the Aflac Japan section of MD&A and Notes 2 and 11 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements in this report.

Regulation – U.S.

The Parent Company and its insurance subsidiaries, Aflac (a Nebraska-domiciled insurance company), American Family Life Assurance Company of New York (Aflac New York, a New York-domiciled insurance company) and CAIC (a South Carolina-domiciled insurance company) are subject to state regulations in the United States as an insurance holding company system. Such regulations generally provide that transactions between companies within the holding company system must be fair and equitable. In addition, transfers of assets among such affiliated companies, certain dividend payments from insurance subsidiaries, and material transactions between companies within the system, including management fees, loans and advances are subject to prior notice to, or approval by, state regulatory authorities. These laws generally require, among other things, the insurance holding company and each insurance company directly owned by the holding company to register with the insurance departments of their respective domiciliary states and to furnish annually financial and other information about the operations of companies within the holding company system.

Like all U.S. insurance companies, Aflac is subject to regulation and supervision in the jurisdictions in which it does business. In general, the insurance laws of the various jurisdictions establish supervisory agencies with broad administrative powers relating to, among other things:

 

   

granting and revoking licenses to transact business

 

   

regulating trade and claims practices

 

   

licensing of insurance agents and brokers

 

   

approval of policy forms and premium rates

 

   

standards of solvency and maintenance of specified policy benefit reserves and minimum loss ratio requirements

 

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capital requirements

 

   

limitations on dividends to shareholders

 

   

the nature of and limitations on investments

 

   

deposits of securities for the benefit of policyholders

 

   

filing of financial statements prepared in accordance with statutory insurance accounting practices prescribed or permitted by regulatory authorities

 

   

periodic examinations of the market conduct, financial, and other affairs of insurance companies

The insurance laws of Nebraska that govern Aflac’s activities provide that the acquisition or change of “control” of a domestic insurer or of any person that controls a domestic insurer cannot be consummated without the prior approval of the Nebraska Department of Insurance. A person seeking to acquire control, directly or indirectly, of a domestic insurance company or of any person controlling a domestic insurance company (in the case of Aflac, the Parent Company) must generally file with the Nebraska Department of Insurance an application for change of control containing certain information required by statute and published regulations and provide a copy to Aflac. In Nebraska, control is generally presumed to exist if any person, directly or indirectly, acquires 10% or more of an insurance company or of any other person or entity controlling the insurance company. The 10% presumption is not conclusive and control may be found to exist at less than 10%. Similar laws apply in New York and South Carolina, the domiciliary jurisdictions of the Parent Company’s other insurance subsidiaries, Aflac New York and CAIC.

Additionally, the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) continually reviews regulatory matters and recommends changes and revisions for adoption by state legislators and insurance departments.

The NAIC uses a risk-based capital formula relating to insurance risk, business risk, asset risk and interest rate risk to facilitate identification by insurance regulators of inadequately capitalized insurance companies based upon the types and mix of risk inherent in the insurer’s operations. The formulas for determining the amount of risk-based capital specify various weighting factors that are applied to financial balances or various levels of activity based on the perceived degree of risk. Regulatory compliance is determined by a ratio of a company’s regulatory total adjusted capital to its authorized control level risk-based capital as defined by the NAIC. Companies below specific trigger points or ratios are classified within certain levels, each of which requires specified corrective action.

The levels are company action, regulatory action, authorized control, and mandatory control. Aflac’s NAIC risk-based capital ratio remains high and reflects a very strong capital and surplus position. As of December 31, 2009, based on year-end statutory accounting results, Aflac’s company action level RBC ratio was 479%.

Currently, the U.S. federal government does not directly regulate the business of insurance. However, federal legislation and administrative policies in several areas can significantly and adversely affect insurance companies. These areas include financial services reform legislation, securities regulation, pension regulation, privacy, tort reform legislation and taxation. Various forms of federal oversight and possible regulation of insurance have been proposed in Congress. These proposals include the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, which would establish the “Federal Insurance Office” within the Department of Treasury to monitor the insurance industry, identify gaps in regulation of insurance that could contribute to a systemic crisis, and identify an insurer that should be subject to stricter standards. Other proposals are pending in Congress that would permit an optional federal charter for insurers. The Obama administration has indicated that enactment of financial services reform is a legislative priority in 2010. Accordingly, it is possible that legislation to create federal oversight of insurance through an office in the Department of Treasury may be enacted, however, the chance of enactment of a federal insurance charter, while possible, appears to be less likely.

 

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In addition, U.S. Congressional leaders and the Obama administration have expressed their commitment to enacting major health reform legislation, and both the House and the Senate have adopted their versions of a health care reform bill. While it is not possible to predict with certainty what provisions may be in any final legislation, it is likely that such legislation, if adopted, will include major changes to the U.S. health care insurance marketplace. Some of the proposals currently under discussion address individual and employer mandates, health insurance exchanges, coverage and exclusions, and medical loss ratios. The legislation also may include changes in government reimbursements and subsidies for individuals and employers and alter federal and state regulation of health insurers. Given the substantial differences between the legislation passed by the House and Senate, the ongoing negotiations to reconcile the legislation and the fact that some key provisions will be general in nature and subject to future regulatory interpretation, it is not possible to predict with any degree of certainty what effect any legislation and future regulation, if adopted, will have on the Company’s U.S. business, financial condition, or results of operations. However, Japan has had a national health care system for many years, and Aflac Japan has successfully operated in such a regulated environment.

For further information concerning Aflac U.S. operations, regulation, change of control and dividend restrictions, see the Aflac U.S. section of MD&A and Notes 2 and 11 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements in this report.

Employees

As of December 31, 2009, Aflac Japan had 3,946 employees and Aflac U.S. had 4,111 employees. We consider our employee relations to be excellent.

Other Operations

Our other operations include the Parent Company and a printing subsidiary. These operations had 292 employees as of December 31, 2009. We consider our relations with these employees to be excellent. For additional information on our other operations, see the Other Operations section of MD&A.

 

ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS

We face a wide range of risks, and our continued success depends on our ability to identify, prioritize and appropriately manage our enterprise risk exposures. Readers should carefully consider each of the following risks and all of the other information set forth in this Form 10-K. These risks and other factors may affect forward-looking statements, including those in this document or made by the Company elsewhere, such as in earnings release webcasts, investor conference presentations or press releases. The risks and uncertainties described herein may not be the only ones facing the Company. Additional risks and uncertainties not presently known to us or that we currently believe to be immaterial may also adversely affect our business. If any of the following risks and uncertainties develop into actual events, there could be a material impact on the Company.

Difficult conditions in global capital markets and the economy may have a material adverse effect on our investments, capital position, revenue, profitability, and liquidity and harm our business, and these conditions may not improve in the near future.

Our results of operations are materially affected by conditions in the global capital markets and the economy generally, in the United States, Japan and elsewhere. As widely reported, financial markets in the United States, Europe and Asia have experienced extreme disruption since the latter part of 2008. Concerns over the availability and cost of credit, the U.S. mortgage market, a declining real estate market in the United States, energy costs and geopolitical issues, among other factors, have contributed to increased volatility and diminished expectations for the economy and the markets going forward. These

 

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factors, combined with volatile commodity prices, declining business and consumer confidence, increased unemployment, and the impact of the economy on businesses, in particular, have precipitated an economic slowdown and fears of a sustained recession.

In addition, the fixed-income markets have continued to experience volatility, which has negatively impacted market liquidity conditions and increased the risk that issuers, or guarantors, of fixed maturity securities will default on principal and interest payments. This volatility has negatively impacted a broad range of mortgage- and asset-backed and other fixed income securities, the U.S. and international credit and interbank money markets generally, and a wide range of financial institutions and markets, asset classes and sectors. As a result, the market for fixed income securities has continued to experience decreased liquidity, increased price volatility, credit downgrade events, and increased probability of default. Securities that are less liquid are more difficult to value and trade. Domestic and international equity markets have also been experiencing heightened volatility and turmoil, with financial institutions being particularly affected. These factors may have an adverse effect on our capital position, in part because we hold in our investment portfolio a significant amount of fixed maturity and perpetual securities, including a large portion issued by banks and financial institutions. Our revenues may decline in such circumstances and our profit margins may erode.

We need liquidity to pay our operating expenses, dividends on our common stock, interest on our debt and liabilities. For a further description of our liquidity needs, including maturing indebtedness, see Item 7 of this Form 10-K – Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Capital Resources and Liquidity. In the event our current resources do not meet our needs, we may need to seek additional financing. The availability of additional financing will depend on a variety of factors such as market conditions, the general availability of credit to the financial services industry and our credit ratings, as well as the possibility that lenders or debt investors may develop a negative perception of us if we incur large investment losses or if the level of our business activity decreases due to a market downturn or there are further adverse economic trends in the United States or Japan. Similarly, our access to funds may be impaired if regulatory authorities or rating agencies take negative actions against us.

Factors such as consumer spending, business investment, government spending, the volatility and strength of the capital markets, and inflation all affect the business and economic environment and, indirectly, the amount and profitability of our business. In an economic downturn characterized by higher unemployment, lower family income, lower corporate earnings, lower business investment and lower consumer spending, the demand for financial and insurance products could be adversely affected. This adverse effect could be particularly significant for companies such as ours that distribute supplemental, discretionary insurance products primarily through the worksite in the event that economic conditions result in a decrease in the number of new hires. Adverse changes in the economy could potentially lead our customers to be less inclined to purchase supplemental insurance coverage or to decide to cancel or modify existing insurance coverage, which could adversely affect our premium revenue, results of operations and financial condition. We are unable to predict the likely duration and severity of the current disruptions in financial markets and adverse economic conditions in the United States, Japan and other countries, which may have an adverse effect on us, in part because we are dependent upon customer behavior and spending. In addition, adverse conditions in the financial sector could result in lower sales through our bank distribution channel, as account executives refocus their discussions with customers toward the bank’s core business and away from supplemental insurance products in times of economic stress.

The effect that governmental actions for the purpose of stabilizing the financial markets will have on such markets generally, or on us specifically, is difficult to determine at this time.

In response to the financial crises affecting the banking system and financial markets and concern about financial institutions’ viability, numerous regulatory and governmental actions have been taken or

 

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proposed. Within the United States, the Federal Reserve has taken action through reduced federal funds rates and the expansion of acceptable collateral for its loans to provide additional liquidity. Numerous financial institutions have received capital both in the form of emergency loans and direct Treasury equity investments. In addition, on February 13, 2009, the U.S. Congress passed a $787 billion economic stimulus plan. Within the United Kingdom and Euro-zone, similar actions including interest rate cuts and capital injections into financial institutions have been undertaken, including certain institutions that are obligors of the perpetual securities in our investment portfolio.

There can be no assurance as to the effect that any such governmental actions will have on the financial markets generally or on our competitive position, business and financial condition.

Defaults, downgrades, widening credit spreads or other events impairing the value of the fixed maturity securities and perpetual securities in our investment portfolio may reduce our earnings.

We are subject to the risk that the issuers, guarantors, or counterparties of fixed maturity securities and perpetual securities we own may default on principal, interest and other payments they owe us. We are also subject to the risk that the underlying collateral within loan-backed securities, including collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and mortgage-backed securities, may default on principal and interest payments, causing an adverse change in cash flows from our investment portfolio. The credit rating agencies have been reviewing and modifying their rating criteria for perpetual securities. As a result, many of these securities have been downgraded and may experience further downgrades. While we are not currently required to recognize losses on these securities in light of our intent to not sell them prior to their anticipated recovery in fair value, we may in the future be required to do so. If we determine to reposition or realign portions of our investment portfolio so as not to hold certain securities in an unrealized loss position to recovery, we will incur a charge against net income for the unrealized loss in the period that the decision was made not to hold the security to recovery.

In addition to our credit exposure to various obligors and counterparties, we are also exposed to credit spreads, primarily relating to market price and cash flow variability associated with changes in credit spreads. A widening of credit spreads will increase the net unrealized loss position of our fixed maturity investment portfolio and if issuer credit spreads increase significantly or for an extended period of time, it would likely result in higher other-than-temporary impairment charges. Credit spread tightening will reduce net investment income associated with new purchases of fixed maturity securities. In addition, market volatility has made it difficult to value certain of our securities, such as our perpetual securities, and our investments in CDOs, qualified special purpose entities and variable interest entities, as trading of such securities has become less frequent. As such, our valuations of such securities may include assumptions or estimates that may have significant period-to-period changes, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. Ongoing challenges include continued weakness in the U.S. real estate market and increased mortgage delinquencies, investor anxiety over the U.S. and global economy, and rating agency downgrades of various structured products and financial issuers.

For more information regarding credit risk, see the Market Risks of Financial Instruments – Credit Risk section of MD&A in this Form 10-K.

The impairment of other financial institutions could adversely affect us.

We have exposure to and routinely execute transactions with counterparties in the financial services industry, including brokers and dealers, commercial banks and other institutions. Additionally, our highest concentration in our investment portfolio is in banks and financial institutions. Many of these transactions expose us to credit risk in the event of default of the obligor or the counterparty. In addition, with respect to secured transactions, our credit risk may be exacerbated when the collateral held by us cannot be

 

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liquidated at prices sufficient to recover the full amount of the loan. Any losses or impairments to the carrying value of these assets may materially and adversely impact our business and results of operations. We have agreements with various financial institutions for the distribution of our insurance products. For example, at December 31, 2009, we had agreements with 353 banks to market Aflac’s products in Japan. In addition, in 2009, Dai-ichi Mutual Life sold more than 122,000 of our cancer policies under a strategic alliance that we have with Dai-ichi. Any material adverse effect on these or other financial institutions could also have an adverse effect on our sales.

We are subject to certain risks as a result of our investments in perpetual securities.

We maintain investments in perpetual securities, which have no stated maturity. As of December 31, 2009, we held $7.6 billion of perpetual securities, which represented 10.5% of our total debt and perpetual securities, at amortized cost. Our holdings of perpetual securities are in the following geographic areas: Europe, excluding the United Kingdom (68%); the United Kingdom (14%); Japan (14%); and Australia (4%).

Perpetual securities have characteristics of both debt and equity investments. The securities have stated interest coupons that were fixed at their time of issuance and subsequently change to a floating, short-term rate of interest of 125 to more than 300 basis points above a pre-determined market index, generally by the 25th year after issuance. While we generally believe that this interest step-up has the effect of creating an economic maturity date of the perpetual securities, no assurances can be given that the issuers of these securities will repay the principal at the time any interest step-up becomes effective.

Perpetual securities typically provide that the issuer is able to defer payment of interest on the securities for up to five years. The Upper Tier II securities that we own have cumulative deferrable payment provisions, however the Tier I securities that we own do not have similar provisions. No assurance can be given that the issuers of these securities will not defer making interest payments.

There is also a risk that the accounting for these perpetual securities could change in a manner that would have an adverse impact on the reporting for these securities. At the date of filing this Form 10-K, the SEC does not object to the use of a debt impairment model for impairment recognition of these securities as long as there is no significant deterioration in the credit condition of the perpetual securities. The debt impairment model allows the holder to consider whether or not interest and principal payments will be received in accordance with contractual terms and the holder’s intent and ability to hold the perpetual security until there is a recovery in value. The equity impairment model, by contrast, looks at the length of time a security’s market value has been below its cost basis and the percentage decline to determine whether an impairment should be recorded, without consideration to the holder’s intent and ability to hold the security until recovery in value. If the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) should decide that the appropriate model for determining impairments is the equity model, we would be required to recognize some portion of the unrealized losses now reported directly through equity as a charge against net income. Although this change would not affect total shareholders’ equity as the unrealized loss is already recorded in shareholders’ equity, it would reduce net income in the period the change occurred and in future periods. Statutory accounting principles account for these securities using the debt model. Additionally, these securities are carried at amortized cost for statutory reporting purposes, with the exception of any securities that are assigned the lowest NAIC rating (i.e. NAIC 6) or are determined to be impaired, i.e. the issuer will not be able to pay interest and principal as contractually due. Should the statutory accounting requirements change regarding the method of recognizing impairments or the values at which the securities should be carried in the financial statements, it could adversely affect our statutory capital, depending upon the changes adopted.

 

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The valuation of our investments includes methodologies, estimations and assumptions which are subject to differing interpretations and could result in changes to investment valuations that may adversely affect our results of operations or financial condition.

The vast majority of our financial instruments are subject to the fair value classification provisions under GAAP, which specifies a hierarchy of valuation techniques based on observable or unobservable inputs to valuations, relate to our investment securities classified as securities available for sale in our investment portfolio, which comprised $44.1 billion (60%) of our total cash and invested assets at December 31, 2009. In accordance with GAAP, we have categorized these securities into a three-level hierarchy, based on the priority of the inputs to the respective valuation technique. The fair value hierarchy gives the highest priority to quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities (Level 1). It gives the next priority to quoted prices in markets that are not active or inputs that are observable either directly or indirectly, including quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities and other inputs that can be derived principally from or corroborated by observable market data for substantially the full term of the assets or liabilities (Level 2). The lowest priority represents unobservable inputs supported by little or no market activity and that reflect the reporting entity’s own assumptions about the assumptions that market participants would use in pricing the asset or liability (Level 3). An asset or liability’s classification within the fair value hierarchy is based on the lowest level of significant input to its valuation.

At December 31, 2009, approximately 23%, 65% and 12% of our total available-for-sale securities represented Level 1, Level 2 and Level 3 securities, respectively. Securities that are less liquid are more difficult to value and trade. During periods of market disruption, including periods of significantly rising or high interest rates, rapidly widening credit spreads or illiquidity, it may be difficult to value certain of the securities in our investment portfolio, if trading becomes less frequent and/or market data becomes less observable. There may be certain asset classes that were in active markets with significant observable data that become illiquid due to the current financial environment. In such cases, more securities may fall to Level 3 and thus require more subjectivity and management judgment. In addition, prices provided by independent pricing services and independent broker quotes can vary widely even for the same security.

As such, valuations may include inputs and assumptions that are less observable or require greater estimation as well as valuation methods which are more sophisticated, thereby resulting in values which may be greater or less than the value at which the investments may be ultimately sold. Further, rapidly changing and unprecedented credit and equity market conditions could materially impact the valuation of securities as reported within our consolidated financial statements and the period-to-period changes in value could vary significantly. Decreases in value may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition.

For further discussion on investment valuation, see Notes 1, 3, and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements in this Form 10-K.

The determination of the amount of impairments taken on our investments is subjective and could materially impact our results of operations or financial position.

The determination of the amount of impairments is based upon our periodic evaluation and assessment of known and inherent risks associated with the respective securities. Such evaluations and assessments are revised as conditions change and new information becomes available. Management updates its evaluations regularly and reflects impairments in its income statement as such evaluations are revised. There can, however, be no assurance that our management has accurately assessed the level of impairments reflected in our financial statements. Furthermore, additional impairments may need to be taken in the future. Historical trends may not be indicative of future impairments.

An investment in a fixed maturity or a perpetual security is impaired if its fair value falls below its book value. We regularly review our entire investment portfolio for declines in value. If we believe that a decline

 

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in the value of a particular investment is temporary, no impairment is taken. However, for our fixed maturity and perpetual securities reported in the available-for-sale portfolio, we report the investments at market value in the statement of financial condition and record the decline or appreciation as an unrealized loss or gain in accumulated other comprehensive income. Management’s assessment of a decline in value includes current judgment as to the financial position and future prospects of the entity that issued the investment security. In the course of our credit review process, we may determine that it is unlikely that we will recover our investment in an issuer due to factors specific to an individual issuer, as opposed to general changes in global credit spreads. In this event, we consider such a decline in the investment’s fair value, to the extent below the investment’s cost or amortized cost, to be an other-than-temporary impairment of the investment and write the investment down to its fair value and record a realized loss in our consolidated statements of earnings. The determination of whether an impairment is other than temporary is subjective and involves considerable judgment and consideration of various factors and circumstances. The more significant factors include:

 

   

issuer financial condition, including profitability and cash flows

 

   

credit status of the issuer

 

   

the issuer’s specific and general competitive environment

 

   

published reports

 

   

general economic environment

 

   

regulatory and legislative environment

 

   

the severity of the decline in fair value

 

   

the length of time the fair value is below cost

 

   

other factors as may become available from time to time

Another factor we consider in determining whether a decline in value is other than temporary is an evaluation of our intent and/or need to sell the investment prior to its anticipated recovery in fair value. We perform ongoing analyses of our liquidity needs, which include cash flow testing of our policy liabilities, debt maturities, projected dividend payments and other cash flow and liquidity needs. Our cash flows from operations have been substantial over the last three years, growing from $4.7 billion in 2007 to $5.0 billion in 2008 and to $6.2 billion in 2009.

Lack of availability of acceptable yen-denominated investments could adversely affect our profits.

We attempt to match the duration of our assets with the duration of our liabilities. At December 31, 2009, the average duration of Aflac Japan’s policy liabilities was approximately 14 years and the average duration of its yen-denominated debt and perpetual securities was approximately 12 years. The duration of the perpetual securities is based upon their economic maturity dates. Since the securities have no fixed maturity date, there is no assurance that the securities will be repaid on the dates assumed. When the principal of our debt securities or perpetual securities is repaid, there is a risk that the proceeds will be reinvested at a yield below that of the interest required for the accretion of policy liabilities. Our net investment income has been negatively affected by the low level of investment yields in Japan in the last three years.

The concentration of our investment portfolios in any particular sector of the economy may have an adverse effect on our financial position or results of operations.

The concentration of our investment portfolios in any particular industry, group of related industries or geographic sector could have an adverse effect on our investment portfolios and, consequently, on our results of operations and financial position. Events or developments that have a negative impact on any particular industry, group of related industries or geographic sector may have a greater adverse effect on the investment portfolios to the extent that the portfolios are concentrated rather than diversified. At December 31, 2009, approximately 38% of our total portfolio of debt and perpetual securities was in the bank and financial institution sector.

 

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Our concentration of business in Japan poses risks to our operations.

Our operations in Japan, including realized gains and losses on the Japan investment portfolio, accounted for 73%, 72% and 71% of our total revenues for 2009, 2008 and 2007, respectively. The Japanese operations accounted for 85% of our total assets at December 31, 2009, compared with 87% at December 31, 2008. The Bank of Japan’s January 2010 Monthly Report of Recent Economic and Financial Developments stated that Japan’s economic conditions have improved due to various policy measures taken in Japan and abroad. Exports and production have been increasing, and private consumption is increasing despite the depressed employment and income situation. The report projected that Japan’s economic conditions are expected to continue to improve at a moderate pace. A potential deterioration in Japan’s economic recovery could have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.

We operate in an industry that is subject to ongoing changes.

We operate in a competitive environment and in an industry that is subject to ongoing changes from market pressures brought about by customer demands, legislative reform, marketing practices and changes to health care and health insurance delivery. These factors require us to anticipate market trends and make changes to differentiate our products and services from those of our competitors. We also face the potential of competition from existing or new companies in the United States and Japan that have not historically been active in the supplemental health insurance industry. Failure to anticipate market trends and/or to differentiate our products and services can affect our ability to retain or grow profitable lines of business.

We are exposed to significant financial and capital markets risk which may adversely affect our results of operations, financial condition and liquidity, and our net investment income can vary from period to period.

We are exposed to significant financial and capital markets risk, including changes in foreign currency, interest rates, real estate markets, market volatility, the performance of the economy in general, the performance of the specific obligors included in our investment portfolio and other factors outside our control.

Foreign Currency Risk

Due to the size of Aflac Japan, where our functional currency is the Japanese yen, fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate can have a significant effect on our reported financial position and results of operations. Aflac Japan’s premiums and most of its investment income are received in yen. Claims and expenses are paid in yen, and we primarily purchase yen-denominated assets to support yen-denominated policy liabilities. These and other yen-denominated financial statement items are, however, translated into dollars for financial reporting purposes. Accordingly, fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate can have a significant effect on our reported financial position and results of operations. In periods when the yen weakens, translating yen into dollars causes fewer dollars to be reported. When the yen strengthens, translating yen into dollars causes more dollars to be reported. Any unrealized foreign currency translation adjustments are reported in accumulated other comprehensive income. As a result, yen weakening has the effect of suppressing current year results in relation to the prior year, while yen strengthening has the effect of magnifying current year results in relation to the prior year. In addition, the weakening of the yen relative to the dollar will generally adversely affect the value of our yen-denominated investments in dollar terms. Foreign currency translation also impacts the computation of our risk-based capital ratio because Aflac Japan is consolidated in our U.S. statutory filings due to its status as a branch. Our required capital, as determined by the application of risk factors to our assets and liabilities, is proportionately more sensitive to changes in the exchange rate than our total adjusted capital. As a result, when the yen strengthens relative to the dollar, our risk-based capital ratio is suppressed. We engage in

 

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certain foreign currency hedging activities for the purpose of hedging the yen exposure to our net investment in our branch operations in Japan. These hedging activities are limited in scope and we cannot provide assurance that these activities will be effective or that counterparties to these activities will perform their obligations.

Additionally, we are exposed to economic currency risk when yen cash flows are converted into dollars, resulting in an increase or decrease in our earnings when exchange gains or losses are realized. This primarily occurs when we repatriate funds from Aflac Japan to Aflac U.S., which is generally done on an annual basis. The exchange rates prevailing at the time of repatriation may differ from the exchange rates prevailing at the time the yen profits were earned.

Interest Rate Risk

We have substantial investment portfolios that support our policy liabilities. Low levels of interest rates on investments, such as those experienced in Japan and the United States during recent years, have reduced the level of investment income earned by the Company. Slower investment income growth will occur if a low-interest-rate environment persists. While we generally seek to maintain a diversified portfolio of fixed-income investments that reflects the cash flow and duration characteristics of the liabilities it supports, we may not be able to fully mitigate the interest rate risk of our assets relative to our liabilities. Our exposure to interest rate risk relates primarily to the ability to invest future cash flows to support the interest rate assumption made at the time our products were priced and the related reserving assumptions were established. A rise in interest rates would improve our ability to earn higher rates of return on funds that we reinvest. Conversely, a decline in interest rates would impair our ability to earn the returns assumed in the pricing and the reserving for our products at the time they were sold and issued.

We also have an exposure to interest rates related to the value of the substantial investment portfolios that support our policy liabilities. A rise in interest rates would increase the net unrealized loss position of our debt and perpetual securities. Conversely, a decline in interest rates would decrease the net unrealized loss position of our debt and perpetual securities. While we generally invest our assets to match the duration and cash flow characteristics of our policy liabilities, and therefore would not expect to realize most of these gains or losses, our risk is that unforeseen events or economic conditions, such as changes in interest rates resulting from governmental monetary policies, domestic and international economic and political conditions, and other factors beyond our control, reduce the effectiveness of this strategy and either cause us to dispose of some or all of these investments prior to their maturity, or cause the issuers of these securities to default, both of which would result in our having to recognize such gains or losses.

Significant, continued volatility, the strengthening or weakening of the yen against the dollar, changes in interest rates, changes in credit spreads and defaults, market liquidity and declines in equity prices, individually or in tandem, could have a material adverse effect on our consolidated results of operations, financial condition or cash flows through realized losses, impairments, and changes in unrealized positions.

For more information regarding foreign currency and interest rate risk, see the Currency Risk and Interest Rate Risk sections within the Market Risks of Financial Instruments section in this Form 10-K.

If future policy benefits, claims or expenses exceed those anticipated in establishing premiums and reserves, our financial results would be adversely affected.

We establish and carry, as a liability, reserves based on estimates of how much will be required to pay for future benefits and claims. We calculate these reserves using various assumptions and estimates, including premiums we will receive over the assumed life of the policy; the timing, frequency and severity

 

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of the events covered by the insurance policy; and the investment returns on the assets we purchase with a portion of our net cash flow from operations. These assumptions and estimates are inherently uncertain. Accordingly, we cannot determine with precision the ultimate amounts that we will pay for, or the timing of payment of, actual benefits and claims or whether the assets supporting the policy liabilities will grow to the level we assume prior to payment of benefits or claims. If our actual experience is different from our assumptions or estimates, our reserves may prove inadequate. As a result, we would incur a charge to earnings in the period in which we determine such a shortfall exists, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.

As a holding company, the Parent Company depends on the ability of its subsidiaries to transfer funds to it to meet its debt service and other obligations and to pay dividends on its common stock.

The Parent Company is a holding company and has no direct operations or significant assets other than the stock of its subsidiaries. Because we conduct our operations through our operating subsidiaries, we depend on those entities for dividends and other payments to generate the funds necessary to meet our debt service and other obligations and to pay dividends on our common stock. Aflac is domiciled in Nebraska and is subject to insurance regulations that impose certain limitations and restrictions on payments of dividends, management fees, loans and advances by Aflac to the Parent Company. The Nebraska insurance statutes require prior approval for dividend distributions that exceed the greater of the net income from operations, which excludes net realized investment gains, for the previous year determined under statutory accounting principles, or 10% of statutory capital and surplus as of the previous year-end. In addition, the Nebraska insurance department must approve service arrangements and other transactions within the affiliated group of companies. In addition, the FSA may not allow profit repatriations or other transfers from Aflac Japan if they would cause Aflac Japan to lack sufficient financial strength for the protection of policyholders.

The ability of Aflac to pay dividends or make other payments to the Parent Company could also be constrained by our dependence on financial strength ratings from independent rating agencies. Our ratings from these agencies depend to a large extent on Aflac’s capitalization level. Any inability of Aflac to pay dividends or make other payments to the Parent Company could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations. There is no assurance that the earnings from, or other available assets of, our operating subsidiaries will be sufficient to make distributions to us to enable us to operate.

Extensive regulation and changes in legislation can impact profitability and growth.

Aflac’s insurance subsidiaries are subject to complex laws and regulations that are administered and enforced by a number of governmental authorities, including state insurance regulators, the SEC, the NAIC, the FSA and Ministry of Finance (MOF) in Japan, the U.S. Department of Justice, state attorneys general, and the Internal Revenue Service, each of which exercises a degree of interpretive latitude. Consequently, we are subject to the risk that compliance with any particular regulator’s or enforcement authority’s interpretation of a legal or regulatory issue may not result in compliance with another regulator’s or enforcement authority’s interpretation of the same issue, particularly when compliance is judged in hindsight. There is also a risk that any particular regulator’s or enforcement authority’s interpretation of a legal or regulatory issue may change over time to our detriment. In addition, changes in the overall legal or regulatory environment may, even absent any particular regulator’s or enforcement authority’s interpretation of an issue changing, cause us to change our views regarding the actions we need to take from a legal or regulatory risk management perspective, thus necessitating changes to our practices that may, in some cases, limit our ability to grow or otherwise negatively impact the profitability of our business.

 

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The primary purpose of insurance company regulatory supervision is the protection of insurance policyholders, rather than investors. The extent of regulation varies, but generally is governed by state statutes in the United States and by the FSA and the MOF in Japan. These systems of supervision and regulation cover, among other things:

 

   

standards of establishing and setting premium rates and the approval thereof

 

   

standards of minimum capital requirements and solvency margins, including risk-based capital measures

 

   

restrictions on, limitations on and required approval of certain transactions between our insurance subsidiaries and their affiliates, including management fee arrangements

 

   

restrictions on the nature, quality and concentration of investments

 

   

restrictions on the types of terms and conditions that we can include in the insurance policies offered by our primary insurance operations

 

   

limitations on the amount of dividends that insurance subsidiaries can pay or foreign profits that can be repatriated

 

   

the existence and licensing status of a company under circumstances where it is not writing new or renewal business

 

   

certain required methods of accounting

 

   

reserves for unearned premiums, losses and other purposes

 

   

assignment of residual market business and potential assessments for the provision of funds necessary for the settlement of covered claims under certain policies provided by impaired, insolvent or failed insurance companies

 

   

administrative practices requirements

 

   

imposition of fines and other sanctions

State insurance regulators and the NAIC regularly re-examine existing laws and regulations applicable to insurance companies and their products. Changes in these laws and regulations, or in interpretations thereof, could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.

Currently, the U.S. federal government does not directly regulate the business of insurance. However, federal legislation and administrative policies in several areas can significantly and adversely affect insurance companies. These areas include financial services reform legislation, securities regulation, pension regulation, privacy, tort reform legislation and taxation. Various forms of federal oversight and possible regulation of insurance have been proposed in Congress. These proposals include the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, which would establish the “Federal Insurance Office” within the Department of Treasury to monitor the insurance industry, identify gaps in regulation of insurance that could contribute to a systemic crisis, and identify an insurer that should be subject to stricter standards. Other proposals are pending in Congress that would permit an optional federal charter for insurers. The Obama administration has indicated that enactment of financial services reform is a legislative priority in 2010. Accordingly, it is possible that legislation to create federal oversight of insurance through an office in the Department of Treasury may be enacted, however, the chance of enactment of a federal insurance charter, while possible, appears to be less likely.

In addition, U.S. Congressional leaders and the Obama administration have expressed their commitment to enacting major health reform legislation, and both the House and the Senate have adopted their versions of a health care reform bill. While it is not possible to predict with certainty what provisions may be in any final legislation, it is likely that such legislation, if adopted, will include major changes to the U.S. health care insurance marketplace. Some of the proposals currently under discussion address individual and employer mandates, health insurance exchanges, coverage and exclusions, and medical loss ratios. The legislation also may include changes in government reimbursements and subsidies for

 

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individuals and employers and alter federal and state regulation of health insurers. Given the substantial differences between the legislation passed by the House and Senate, the ongoing negotiations to reconcile the legislation and the fact that some key provisions will be general in nature and subject to future regulatory action, it is not possible to predict with any degree of certainty what effect any legislation and future regulation, if adopted, will have on the Company’s U.S. business, financial condition, or results of operations.

Compliance with applicable laws and regulations is time consuming and personnel-intensive, and changes in these laws and regulations may materially increase our direct and indirect compliance and other expenses of doing business, thus having a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.

Sales of our products and services are dependent on our ability to attract, retain and support a network of qualified sales associates.

Our sales could be adversely affected if our sales networks deteriorate or if we do not adequately provide support, training and education for our existing network. Competition exists for sales associates with demonstrated ability. We compete with other insurers and financial institutions primarily on the basis of our products, compensation, support services and financial rating. An inability to attract and retain qualified sales associates could have a material adverse effect on sales and our results of operations and financial condition. Our sales associates are independent contractors and may sell products of our competitors. If our competitors offer products that are more attractive than ours, or pay higher commissions than we do, these sales associates may concentrate their efforts on selling our competitors’ products instead of ours.

Any decrease in our financial strength or debt ratings may have an adverse effect on our competitive position.

Financial strength ratings are important factors in establishing the competitive position of insurance companies and generally have an effect on the business of insurance companies. On an ongoing basis, Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations (NRSROs) review the financial performance and condition of insurers and may downgrade or change the outlook on an insurer’s ratings due to, for example, a change in an insurer’s statutory capital; a change in a rating agency’s determination of the amount of risk-adjusted capital required to maintain a particular rating; an increase in the perceived risk of an insurer’s investment portfolio; a reduced confidence in management; or other considerations that may or may not be under the insurer’s control. Aflac currently maintains a Standard & Poor’s (S&P) financial strength rating of AA-, a Moody’s Investors Service (Moody’s) financial strength rating of Aa2 (Excellent), an A.M. Best Company, Inc. (A.M. Best) financial strength rating of A+ (Superior), and an R&I insurance claims paying ability rating of AA-. Because all of our ratings are subject to continual review, the retention of these ratings cannot be assured.

In addition to financial strength ratings, various NRSROs also publish debt ratings for us. These ratings are indicators of a debt issuer’s ability to meet the terms of debt obligations in a timely manner and are important factors in our ability to access liquidity in the debt markets. Currently, our senior debt, Samurai notes and Uridashi notes are rated A- by S&P, A2 by Moody’s and A by R&I. Downgrades in our credit ratings could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations in many ways, including adversely limiting our access to capital markets and potentially increasing the cost of debt.

S&P, Moody’s, and A.M. Best have a negative credit outlook for the U.S. life insurance sector due to, among other things, the significant deterioration and volatility in the credit and equity markets, economic and political uncertainty, and the expected impact of realized and unrealized investment losses on life insurers’ capital levels and profitability.

 

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In view of the difficulties experienced recently by many financial institutions, including in the insurance industry, we believe it is possible that the NRSROs will heighten the level of scrutiny that they apply to such institutions, will increase the frequency and scope of their reviews, will request additional information from the companies that they rate, including additional information regarding the valuation of investment securities held, and may increase the capital and other requirements employed in their models for maintenance of certain rating levels.

A downgrade in any of these ratings could have a material adverse effect on agent recruiting and retention, sales, competitiveness and the marketability of our products which could negatively impact our liquidity, operating results and financial condition. Additionally, sales through the bank channel could be adversely affected as a result of their reliance and sensitivity to ratings levels.

We cannot predict what actions rating agencies may take, or what actions we may take in response to the actions of rating agencies, which could adversely affect our business. As with other companies in the financial services industry, our ratings could be downgraded at any time and without any notice by any NRSRO.

The success of our business depends in part on effective information technology systems and on continuing to develop and implement improvements in technology; certain significant multiyear strategic information technology projects are currently in process.

Our business depends in large part on our technology systems for interacting with employers, policyholders and sales associates, and our business strategy involves providing customers with easy-to-use products to meet their needs. Some of our information technology systems and software are older, legacy-type systems that are less efficient and require an ongoing commitment of significant resources to maintain or upgrade to current standards (including adequate business continuity procedures). While we are in a continual state of upgrading and enhancing Aflac business systems, changes are always challenging in a complex integrated environment. Our success is dependent in large part on maintaining or improving the effectiveness of existing systems and continuing to develop and enhance information systems that support our business processes in a cost-efficient manner.

Changes in accounting standards issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) or other standard-setting bodies may adversely affect our financial statements.

Our financial statements are subject to the application of generally accepted accounting principles in both the United States and Japan, which are periodically revised and/or expanded. Accordingly, from time to time we are required to adopt new or revised accounting standards issued by recognized authoritative bodies, including the FASB. It is possible that future accounting standards we are required to adopt could change the current accounting treatment that we apply to our consolidated financial statements and that such changes could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.

In February 2010, the SEC issued a statement that it continues to encourage the convergence of U.S. GAAP and International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) in order to narrow the differences between the two sets of standards. The SEC also directed its staff to execute a Work Plan, the results of which will aid the Commission in its evaluation of the impact that the use of IFRS by U.S. companies would have on the U.S. securities market. Included in this Work Plan will be consideration of IFRS, as it exists today and after the completion of various convergence projects currently underway between U.S. and international accounting standards-setters. By 2011, assuming completion of these convergence projects and the staff’s Work Plan, the SEC will decide whether to incorporate IFRS into the U.S. financial reporting system, and if so, when and how. If the SEC determines in 2011 to incorporate IFRS into the U.S. financial reporting system, the first time that U.S. companies would report under such a system would be no earlier than 2015. For the insurance industry, key components of the convergence between U. S.

 

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GAAP and IFRS have yet to be clarified. We are monitoring these developments closely. The adoption of IFRS could significantly alter the presentation of our financial position and results of operations in our financial statements.

See Note 1 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements in this Form 10-K for a discussion of recent changes in accounting standards that are pending adoption.

If we fail to comply with restrictions on patient privacy and information security, including taking steps to ensure that our business associates who obtain access to sensitive patient information maintain its confidentiality, our reputation and business operations could be materially adversely affected.

The collection, maintenance, use, disclosure and disposal of individually identifiable data by our businesses are regulated at the international, federal and state levels. These laws and rules are subject to change by legislation or administrative or judicial interpretation. Various state laws address the use and disclosure of individually identifiable health data to the extent they are more restrictive than those contained in the privacy and security provisions in the federal Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999 (GLBA) and in the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996 (HIPAA). HIPAA also requires that we impose privacy and security requirements on our business associates (as such term is defined in the HIPAA regulations).

Even though we provide for appropriate protections through our contracts with business associates, we still have limited control over their actions and practices. In addition, despite the security measures we have in place to ensure compliance with applicable laws and rules, our facilities and systems, and those of our third-party providers may be vulnerable to security breaches, acts of vandalism or theft, computer viruses, misplaced or lost data, programming and/or human errors or other similar events. Congress and many states are considering new privacy and security requirements that would apply to our business. Compliance with new privacy and security laws, requirements, and new regulations may result in cost increases due to necessary systems changes, new limitations or constraints on our business models, the development of new administrative processes, and the effects of potential noncompliance by our business associates. They also may impose further restrictions on our collection, disclosure and use of patient identifiable data that are housed in one or more of our administrative databases. Noncompliance with any privacy laws or any security breach involving the misappropriation, loss or other unauthorized disclosure of sensitive or confidential member information, whether by us or by one of our vendors, could have a material adverse effect on our business, reputation and results of operations, including: material fines and penalties; compensatory, special, punitive and statutory damages; consent orders regarding our privacy and security practices; adverse actions against our licenses to do business; and injunctive relief.

We face risks related to litigation.

We are a defendant in various lawsuits considered to be in the normal course of business. Members of our senior legal and financial management teams review litigation on a quarterly and annual basis. The final results of any litigation cannot be predicted with certainty. Although some of this litigation is pending in states where large punitive damages, bearing little relation to the actual damages sustained by plaintiffs, have been awarded in recent years, we believe the outcome of pending litigation will not have a material adverse effect on our financial position, results of operations, or cash flows. However, litigation could adversely affect us because of the costs of defending these cases, costs of settlement or judgments against us or because of changes in our operations that could result from litigation.

Managing key executive succession is critical to our success.

We would be adversely affected if we fail to adequately plan for succession of our senior management and other key executives. While we have succession plans and employment arrangements

 

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with certain key executives, these cannot guarantee that the services of these executives will be available to us, and our operations could be adversely affected if they are not.

Any event, including one external to our operations, could damage our reputation.

Because insurance products are intangible, we rely to a large extent on consumer trust in our business. The perception of financial weakness could create doubt regarding our ability to honor the commitments we have made to our policyholders. Maintaining our stature as a responsible corporate citizen, which helps support the strength of our unique brand, is critical to our reputation and the failure or perceived failure to do so could adversely affect us.

We also face other risks that could adversely affect our business, results of operations or financial condition, which include:

 

   

any requirement to restate financial results in the event of inappropriate application of accounting principles

 

   

failure of our processes to prevent and detect unethical conduct of employees

 

   

a significant failure of internal controls over financial reporting

 

   

failure of our prevention and control systems related to employee compliance with internal policies and regulatory requirements

 

   

failure of corporate governance policies and procedures

ITEM 1B. UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS

Not applicable.

 

ITEM 2. PROPERTIES

In the United States, Aflac owns land and buildings that comprise two primary campuses located in Columbus, Georgia. These campuses include buildings that serve as our worldwide headquarters and house administrative support and information technology functions for our U.S. operations. Aflac also owns land and office buildings in Columbia, South Carolina, which house our CAIC subsidiary. Aflac leases additional administrative office space in Georgia, New York, and Nebraska.

In Tokyo, Japan, Aflac has two primary campuses. The first campus includes a building, owned by Aflac, for the customer call center, information technology departments, and training facility. It also includes a leased property, which houses our policy administration and customer service departments. The second campus comprises leased space, which serves as our Japan branch headquarters and houses administrative support functions for the Japan branch. Aflac also leases additional office space in Tokyo, along with regional offices located throughout the country.

 

ITEM 3. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS

We are a defendant in various lawsuits considered to be in the normal course of business. Members of our senior legal and financial management teams review litigation on a quarterly and annual basis. The final results of any litigation cannot be predicted with certainty. Although some of this litigation is pending in states where large punitive damages, bearing little relation to the actual damages sustained by plaintiffs, have been awarded in recent years, we believe the outcome of pending litigation will not have a material adverse effect on our financial position, results of operations, or cash flows.

 

ITEM 4. SUBMISSION OF MATTERS TO A VOTE OF SECURITY HOLDERS

There were no matters submitted to the security holders for a vote during the quarter ended December 31, 2009.

 

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Executive Officers of the Registrant

 

NAME

 

PRINCIPAL OCCUPATION*

     AGE

Daniel P. Amos

  Chairman, Aflac Incorporated and Aflac; Chief Executive Officer, Aflac Incorporated and Aflac; President, Aflac, until January 2007      58

Paul S. Amos II

  President, Aflac, since January 2007; Chief Operating Officer, U.S. Operations, Aflac, since February 2006; Executive Vice President, U.S. Operations, Aflac, from January 2005 until January 2007      34

Yuji Arai

  Senior Vice President, Principal Financial Officer, Aflac Japan, since January 2005; Vice President, Financial Division, Aflac Japan, until January 2005; Vice President, Investments and Investment Analysis, Aflac Japan, until January 2005      47

Koji Ariyoshi

  First Senior Vice President, Director of Marketing and Sales, Aflac Japan, since January 2010; Senior Vice President, Deputy Director of Marketing and Sales, until January 2010; Executive Director, AXA Life Insurance Company Ltd., until October 2008      56

Susan R. Blanck

  First Senior Vice President, Aflac Japan, since June 2008; Senior Vice President, Corporate Actuary, Aflac, since January 2006; Senior Vice President, Deputy Corporate Actuary, Aflac, until January 2006      43

Kriss Cloninger III

  President, Aflac Incorporated; Chief Financial Officer, Aflac Incorporated and Aflac; Treasurer, Aflac Incorporated; Executive Vice President, Aflac      62

Martin A. Durant III

  Executive Vice President, Deputy Chief Financial Officer, Aflac Incorporated, since June 2008; Senior Vice President, Corporate Finance, Aflac Incorporated, from July 2006 to June 2008; Senior Vice President, Treasurer and Chief Financial Officer, Carmike Cinemas, Inc., until March 2006      61

Jun Isonaka

  Senior Vice President, Deputy Chief Administrative Officer, Aflac Japan, since January 2009; Senior Vice President, Sales, Aflac Japan, from January 2007 until January 2009; Vice President, Contact Center, Aflac Japan, from January 2006 until January 2007; Vice President, Territory Director, Northeast Territory, Aflac Japan, from January 2005 until January 2006; Vice President, Customer Service Division, Information Division and Operations Division, Aflac Japan, until January 2005      52

Kenneth S. Janke Jr.

  Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, Aflac Incorporated      51

W. Jeremy Jeffery

  Senior Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, Aflac, since January 2007; Senior Vice President, Deputy Chief Investment Officer, Aflac, from October 2005 until January 2007; Executive Director, Morgan Stanley, until October 2005      59

Ronald E. Kirkland

  Senior Vice President, Director of Sales, Aflac, from January 2005 until April 2009      65

Charles D. Lake II

  Chairman, Aflac Japan, since July 2008; Vice Chairman, Aflac Japan, from April 2005 until July 2008; President, Aflac Japan, until April 2005      48

Joey M. Loudermilk

  Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary, Aflac Incorporated and Aflac; Director, Legal and Governmental Relations, Aflac      56

 

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NAME

 

PRINCIPAL OCCUPATION*

     AGE

Takaaki Matsumoto

  First Senior Vice President, Director of Marketing and Sales, Aflac Japan, from January 2007 until December 2009; Senior Vice President, Director of Marketing, Aflac Japan, from February 2006 until January 2007; Vice President, Marketing Strategy Planning, Aflac Japan, from August 2005 until February 2006; Vice President, Aflac Japan, Sales, Kinki Area, from January 2005 until August 2005      61

Ralph A. Rogers Jr.

  Senior Vice President, Financial Services, Aflac Incorporated and Aflac; Chief Accounting Officer, Aflac Incorporated and Aflac; Treasurer, Aflac      61

Ronald Sanders

  Senior Vice President, Director of Sales, Aflac, since April 2009; Senior Vice President, Deputy Director of Aflac U.S. Sales, from November 2008 until April 2009; Vice President, Southwest Territory Director, from April 2005 until November 2008; State Sales Coordinator of Arizona/New Mexico until April 2005      56

Audrey B. Tillman

  Executive Vice President, Corporate Services, Aflac Incorporated, since January 2008; Senior Vice President, Corporate Services, Aflac Incorporated, from October 2006 until January 2008; Senior Vice President, Director of Human Resources, Aflac Incorporated, until October 2006      45

Tohru Tonoike

  President, Chief Operating Officer, Aflac Japan, since July 2007; Deputy President, Aflac Japan, from February 2007 until July 2007; President and Representative Director, The Dai-ichi Kangyo Asset Management Co., Ltd., from June 2005 until February 2007; Advisor, Dai-ichi Kangyo Asset Management Co., Ltd., from April 2005 until June 2005; Managing Executive Officer, Mizuho Corporate Bank Ltd., until April 2005      59

Teresa White

  Executive Vice President, Chief Administrative Officer, Aflac, since March 2008; Senior Vice President, Deputy Chief Administrative Officer, Aflac, from March 2007 to March 2008; Senior Vice President, Sales Support and Administration, Aflac, until March 2007      43

Hiroshi Yamauchi

  First Senior Vice President, Chief Administrative Officer, Aflac Japan, since January 2005; First Senior Vice President, Director of Operations, Aflac Japan, until January 2005      58

 

* Unless specifically noted, the respective executive officer has held the occupation(s) set forth in the table for at least the last five years. Each executive officer is appointed annually by the board of directors and serves until his or her successor is chosen and qualified, or until his or her death, resignation or removal.

 

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PART II

 

ITEM 5. MARKET FOR REGISTRANT’S COMMON EQUITY, RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES

Market Information

Aflac Incorporated’s common stock is principally traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol AFL. Our stock is also listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The quarterly high and low market prices for the Company’s common stock, as reported on the New York Stock Exchange for the two years ended December 31 were as follows:

Quarterly Common Stock Prices

 

      2009      High      Low

4th Quarter

     $ 47.75      $ 39.82

3rd Quarter

       44.07        28.17

2nd Quarter

       37.73        17.25

1st Quarter

       46.96        10.83
                   
                   

 

 

      2008      High      Low

4th Quarter

     $ 60.73      $ 29.68

3rd Quarter

       68.00        51.25

2nd Quarter

       68.81        62.52

1st Quarter

       67.00        56.75
                   
                   

Holders

As of February 22, 2010, there were 86,217 holders of record of the Company’s common stock.

Dividends

 

        2009      2008

4th Quarter

     $ .28      $ .24

3rd Quarter

       .28        .24

2nd Quarter

       .28        .24

1st Quarter

       .28        .24
                   
                   

In February 2010, the board of directors declared the first quarter 2010 cash dividend of $.28 per share. The dividend is payable on March 1, 2010, to shareholders of record at the close of business on February 16, 2010. The declaration and payment of future dividends to holders of our common stock will be at the discretion of our board of directors and will depend upon many factors, including our financial condition, earnings, capital requirements of our operating subsidiaries, legal requirements, regulatory constraints and other factors as the board of directors deems relevant. There can be no assurance that we will declare and pay any additional or future dividends. For information concerning dividend restrictions, see Regulatory Restrictions in the Capital Resources and Liquidity section of the MD&A and Note 11 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements presented in this report.

 

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Stock Performance Graph

The following graph compares the five-year performance of the Company’s common stock to the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500) and the Standard & Poor’s Life and Health Insurance Index (S&P Life and Health). The Standard & Poor’s Life and Health Insurance Index includes: Aflac Incorporated, Lincoln National Corporation, MetLife Inc., Principal Financial Group Inc., Prudential Financial Inc., Torchmark Corporation and Unum Group.

LOGO

Performance Graph Index

December 31,

 

      2004      2005      2006      2007      2008      2009

Aflac Incorporated

   100.00      117.73      118.07      163.23      121.63      127.04

S&P 500

   100.00      104.91      121.48      128.16      80.74      102.11

S&P Life & Health Insurance

   100.00      122.51      142.74      158.45      81.89      94.64
                                         
                                         

Copyright © 2010 Standard & Poor's, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

www.researchdatagroup.com/S&P.htm

 

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Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities

During the fourth quarter of 2009, we repurchased shares of Aflac common stock as follows:

 

Period    Total
Number of
Shares
Purchased
  Average
Price Paid
Per Share
     Total
Number
of Shares
Purchased
as Part of
Publicly
Announced
Plans or
Programs
     Maximum
Number of
Shares that
May Yet Be
Purchased
Under the
Plans or
Programs
 

October 1 – October 31

   1,395   $42.88           32,370,254   

November 1 – November 30

   2,517     44.81           32,370,254   

December 1 – December 31

   2,593     46.27           32,370,254   
                          

Total

   6,505**   $44.98           32,370,254
                          
                          
* The total remaining shares available for purchase at December 31, 2009, consisted of: (1) 2,370,254 shares related to a 30,000,000 share repurchase authorization by the board of directors announced in February 2006 and (2) 30,000,000 shares related to a 30,000,000 share repurchase authorization by the board announced in January 2008.
** During the fourth quarter of 2009, 6,505 shares were purchased in connection with income tax withholding obligations related to the vesting of restricted-share-based awards during the period.

 

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Table of Contents
ITEM 6. SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA

Aflac Incorporated and Subsidiaries

Years Ended December 31,

 

(In millions, except for share and
per-share amounts)
   2009     2008     2007    2006     2005  

Revenues:

           

Premiums, principally supplemental health insurance

   $ 16,621      $ 14,947      $ 12,973    $ 12,314      $ 11,990   

Net investment income

     2,765        2,578        2,333      2,171        2,071   

Realized investment gains (losses)

     (1,212     (1,007     28      79        262   

Other income

     80        36        59      52        40   
   

Total revenues

     18,254        16,554        15,393      14,616        14,363   
   

Benefits and expenses:

           

Benefits and claims

     11,308        10,499        9,285      9,016        8,890   

Expenses

     4,711        4,141        3,609      3,336        3,247   
   

Total benefits and expenses

     16,019        14,640        12,894      12,352        12,137   
   

Pretax earnings

     2,235        1,914        2,499      2,264        2,226   

Income taxes

     738        660        865      781        743   
   

Net earnings

   $ 1,497      $ 1,254      $ 1,634    $ 1,483      $ 1,483   
                                         
                                         
           
           
Share and Per-Share Amounts                                   

Net earnings (basic)

   $ 3.21      $ 2.65      $ 3.35    $ 2.99      $ 2.96   

Net earnings (diluted)

     3.19        2.62        3.31      2.95        2.92   

Cash dividends paid

     1.12        .96        .80      .55        .44   

Cash dividends declared

     .84        1.24        .615      .735        .44   

Weighted-average common shares used for basic EPS (In thousands)

     466,552        473,405        487,869      495,614        500,939   

Weighted-average common shares used for diluted EPS (In thousands)

     469,063        478,815        493,971      501,827        507,704   
Supplemental Data                                   

Yen/dollar exchange rate at year-end (yen)

     92.10        91.03        114.15      119.11        118.07   

Weighted-average yen/dollar exchange rate (yen)

     93.49        103.46        117.93      116.31        109.88   
                                         
                                         

 

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Table of Contents

Aflac Incorporated and Subsidiaries

December 31,

 

(In millions)    2009    2008    2007    2006    2005

Assets:

              

Investments and cash

   $ 73,192    $ 68,550    $ 57,056    $ 51,972    $ 48,989

Other

     10,914      10,781      8,749      7,833      7,372
                                    

Total assets

   $ 84,106    $ 79,331    $ 65,805    $ 59,805    $ 56,361
                                    
                                    

Liabilities and shareholders' equity:

              

Policy liabilities

   $ 69,245    $ 66,219    $ 50,676    $ 45,440    $ 42,329

Notes payable

     2,599      1,721      1,465      1,426      1,395

Income taxes

     1,653      1,201      2,531      2,462      2,577

Other liabilities

     2,192      3,551      2,338      2,136      2,133

Shareholders' equity

     8,417      6,639      8,795      8,341      7,927
                                    

Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

   $ 84,106    $ 79,331    $ 65,805    $ 59,805    $ 56,361
                                    
                                    

 

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Table of Contents
ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION

The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a “safe harbor” to encourage companies to provide prospective information, so long as those informational statements are identified as forward-looking and are accompanied by meaningful cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those included in the forward-looking statements. We desire to take advantage of these provisions. This report contains cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected herein, and in any other statements made by Company officials in communications with the financial community and contained in documents filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Forward-looking statements are not based on historical information and relate to future operations, strategies, financial results or other developments. Furthermore, forward-looking information is subject to numerous assumptions, risks and uncertainties. In particular, statements containing words such as “expect,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “goal,” “objective,” “may,” “should,” “estimate,” “intends,” “projects,” “will,” “assumes,” “potential,” “target” or similar words as well as specific projections of future results, generally qualify as forward-looking. Aflac undertakes no obligation to update such forward-looking statements.

We caution readers that the following factors, in addition to other factors mentioned from time to time, could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements:

 

   

difficult conditions in global capital markets and the economy

 

   

governmental actions for the purpose of stabilizing the financial markets

 

   

defaults and downgrades in certain securities in our investment portfolio

 

   

impairment of financial institutions

 

   

credit and other risks associated with Aflac’s investment in perpetual securities

 

   

differing judgments applied to investment valuations

 

   

subjective determinations of amount of impairments taken on our investments

 

   

limited availability of acceptable yen-denominated investments

 

   

concentration of our investments in any particular sector

 

   

concentration of business in Japan

 

   

ongoing changes in our industry

 

   

exposure to significant financial and capital markets risk

 

   

fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates

 

   

significant changes in investment yield rates

 

   

deviations in actual experience from pricing and reserving assumptions

 

   

subsidiaries’ ability to pay dividends to the Parent Company

 

   

changes in law or regulation by governmental authorities

 

   

ability to attract and retain qualified sales associates and employees

 

   

decreases in our financial strength or debt ratings

 

   

ability to continue to develop and implement improvements in information technology systems

 

   

changes in U.S. and/or Japanese accounting standards

 

   

failure to comply with restrictions on patient privacy and information security

 

   

level and outcome of litigation

 

   

ability to effectively manage key executive succession

 

   

catastrophic events

 

   

failure of internal controls or corporate governance policies and procedures

 

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MD&A OVERVIEW

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (MD&A) is intended to inform the reader about matters affecting the financial condition and results of operations of Aflac Incorporated and its subsidiaries for the three-year period ended December 31, 2009. As a result, the following discussion should be read in conjunction with the related consolidated financial statements and notes. This MD&A is divided into the following sections:

 

   

Our Business

 

   

2009 Performance Highlights

 

   

Critical Accounting Estimates

 

   

Results of Operations, consolidated and by segment

 

   

Analysis of Financial Condition, including discussion of market risks of financial instruments

 

   

Capital Resources and Liquidity, including discussion of availability of capital and the sources and uses of cash

OUR BUSINESS

Aflac Incorporated (the Parent Company) and its subsidiaries (collectively, the Company) primarily sell supplemental health and life insurance in the United States and Japan. The Company’s insurance business is marketed and administered through American Family Life Assurance Company of Columbus (Aflac), which operates in the United States (Aflac U.S.) and as a branch in Japan (Aflac Japan). Additionally, Aflac U.S. markets and administers group products through Continental American Insurance Company (CAIC). Most of Aflac’s policies are individually underwritten and marketed through independent agents. Our insurance operations in the United States and our branch in Japan service the two markets for our insurance business.

During the fourth quarter of 2009, the Parent Company closed its $100 million purchase of Continental American Insurance Group, Inc. (CAIG), which includes its wholly owned subsidiary CAIC. Subsequent to the closing, CAIG merged into Continental American Group, LLC, a limited liability company wholly owned by CAIC. As a result of the merger, CAIC became directly wholly owned by the Parent Company. CAIC is headquartered in Columbia, South Carolina, and equips Aflac U.S. with a platform for offering attractive voluntary group insurance products that are well-suited for distribution by insurance brokers at the worksite. The purchase business combination resulted in the recognition of $97 million of net assets at fair value. An immaterial amount of intangible assets, including goodwill, was recognized as part of the business combination.

2009 PERFORMANCE HIGHLIGHTS

Results for 2009 benefited from the stronger yen. Total revenues rose 10.3% to $18.3 billion, compared with $16.6 billion a year ago. Net earnings were $1.5 billion, or $3.19 per diluted share, compared with $1.3 billion, or $2.62 per share, in 2008.

We experienced net realized investment losses of $1.2 billion in 2009, which included the recognition of other-than-temporary impairments of $1.4 billion. During 2009, we had a $1.0 billion decrease in gross unrealized losses on our available-for-sale debt and perpetual securities due to the recognition of impairment losses and improved fair values for many categories of investment securities.

In 2009, we borrowed a total of $1.4 billion, consisting of $1.3 billon in dollar-denominated senior notes raised through U.S. public debt offerings and loans totaling 15 billion yen. We used $450 million of this capital to redeem our senior notes that were due in 2009, and we plan to use some of this capital to redeem our yen-denominated Samurai notes due July 2010, a liability of $428 million using the December 31, 2009 exchange rate. We have suspended stock repurchase activity in the open market. The raising of capital and suspension of stock repurchase activity have had a favorable impact on our capital position.

 

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Table of Contents

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES

We prepare our financial statements in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). These principles are established primarily by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB). References to GAAP issued by the FASB in this MD&A are to the FASB Accounting Standards Codification (ASC). The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires us to make estimates based on currently available information when recording transactions resulting from business operations. The estimates that we deem to be most critical to an understanding of Aflac’s results of operations and financial condition are those related to the valuation of investments, deferred policy acquisition costs, liabilities for future policy benefits and unpaid policy claims, and income taxes. The preparation and evaluation of these critical accounting estimates involve the use of various assumptions developed from management’s analyses and judgments. The application of these critical accounting estimates determines the values at which 94% of our assets and 88% of our liabilities are reported as of December 31, 2009, and thus has a direct effect on net earnings and shareholders’ equity. Subsequent experience or use of other assumptions could produce significantly different results.

Investments

Aflac’s investments in debt, perpetual and equity securities include both publicly issued and privately issued securities. For privately issued securities, we receive pricing data from external sources that take into account each security’s credit quality and liquidity characteristics. We also routinely review our investments that have experienced declines in fair value to determine if the decline is other than temporary. These reviews are performed with consideration of the facts and circumstances of an issuer in accordance with applicable accounting guidance. The identification of distressed investments, the determination of fair value if not publicly traded, and the assessment of whether a decline is other than temporary involve significant management judgment and require evaluation of factors, including but not limited to:

 

   

issuer financial condition, including profitability and cash flows

 

   

credit status of the issuer

 

   

the issuer’s specific and general competitive environment

 

   

published reports

 

   

general economic environment

 

   

regulatory, legislative and political environment

 

   

the severity of the decline in fair value

 

   

the length of time the fair value is below cost

 

   

our intent, need, or both to sell the security prior to its anticipated recovery in value

 

   

other factors as may become available from time to time

See Notes 1, 3 and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs and Policy Liabilities

Aflac’s products are generally long-duration fixed-benefit indemnity contracts. We make estimates of certain factors that affect the profitability of our business to match expected policy benefits and deferrable acquisition costs with expected policy premiums. These assumptions include persistency, morbidity, mortality, investment yields and expenses. If actual results match the assumptions used in establishing policy liabilities and the deferral and amortization of acquisition costs, profits will emerge as a level percentage of earned premiums. However, because actual results will vary from the assumptions, profits as a percentage of earned premiums will vary from year to year.

We measure the adequacy of our policy reserves and recoverability of deferred policy acquisition costs (DAC) annually by performing gross premium valuations on our business. Our testing indicates that our insurance liabilities are adequate and that our DAC is recoverable.

 

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Table of Contents

Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs

Certain costs of acquiring new business are deferred and amortized over the policy’s premium payment period in proportion to anticipated premium income. Future amortization of DAC is based upon our estimates of persistency, interest and future premium revenue generally established at the time of policy issuance. However, the unamortized balance of DAC reflects actual persistency.

As presented in the following table, the ratio of unamortized DAC to annualized premiums in force increased slightly for Aflac U.S. in 2009 and 2008, compared with prior years. This increase was primarily driven by the introduction of an accelerated commission payment option for new associates and the refinement of our first-year commission deferrals on certain products. The ratio of unamortized DAC to annualized premiums in force has shown a slight upward trend for Aflac Japan for the last three years. This trend is a result of a greater proportion of our annualized premiums being under the alternative commission schedule, which pays a higher commission on first-year premiums and lower commissions on renewal premiums. This schedule is very popular with our new agents as it helps them with cash flow for personal and business needs as they build their business. While this has resulted in a higher unamortized DAC balance, the overall cost to the Company has been reduced.

Deferred Policy Acquisition Cost Ratios

 

      Aflac Japan     Aflac U.S.  
(In millions)    2009     2008     2007     2009     2008     2007  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

   $ 5,846      $ 5,644      $ 4,269      $ 2,687      $ 2,593      $ 2,385   

Annualized premiums in force

     13,034        12,761        9,860        4,956        4,789        4,510   

Deferred policy acquisition costs as a percentage of annualized premiums in force

     44.9     44.2     43.3     54.2     54.1     52.9
                                                  
                                                  

Policy Liabilities

The following table provides details of policy liabilities by segment and in total as of December 31.

Policy Liabilities

 

(In millions)    2009      2008

U.S. segment:

       

Future policy benefits

   $ 5,779      $ 5,442

Unpaid policy claims

     1,023        933

Other policy liabilities

     385        375
                 

Total U.S. policy liabilities

   $ 7,187      $ 6,750
                 
                 

Japan segment:

       

Future policy benefits

   $ 55,720      $ 53,866

Unpaid policy claims

     2,246        2,184

Other policy liabilities

     4,089        3,416
                 

Total Japan policy liabilities

   $ 62,055      $ 59,466
                 
                 

Consolidated:

       

Future policy benefits

   $ 61,501      $ 59,310

Unpaid policy claims

     3,270        3,118

Other policy liabilities

     4,474        3,791
                 

Total consolidated policy liabilities

   $ 69,245      $ 66,219
                 
                 

 

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Our policy liabilities, which are determined in accordance with applicable guidelines as defined under GAAP and Actuarial Standards of Practice, include two primary components: future policy benefits and unpaid policy claims, which accounted for 89% and 5% of total policy liabilities as of December 31, 2009, respectively.

Future policy benefits provide for claims that will occur in the future and are generally calculated as the present value of future expected benefits to be incurred less the present value of future expected net benefit premiums. We calculate future policy benefits based on assumptions of morbidity, mortality, persistency and interest. These assumptions are generally established at the time a policy is issued. The assumptions used in the calculations are closely related to those used in developing the gross premiums for a policy. As required by GAAP, we also include a provision for adverse deviation, which is intended to accommodate adverse fluctuations in actual experience.

Unpaid policy claims include those claims that have been incurred and are in the process of payment as well as an estimate of those claims that have been incurred but have not yet been reported to us. We compute unpaid policy claims on a non-discounted basis using statistical analyses of historical claims payments, adjusted for current trends and changed conditions. We update the assumptions underlying the estimate of unpaid policy claims regularly and incorporate our historical experience as well as other data that provides information regarding our outstanding liability.

Our insurance products provide fixed-benefit amounts per occurrence that are not subject to medical-cost inflation. Furthermore, our business is widely dispersed in both the United States and Japan. This geographic dispersion and the nature of our benefit structure mitigate the risk of a significant unexpected increase in claims payments due to epidemics and events of a catastrophic nature. Claims incurred under Aflac’s policies are generally reported and paid in a relatively short time frame. The unpaid claims liability is sensitive to morbidity assumptions, in particular, severity and frequency of claims. Severity is the ultimate size of a claim, and frequency is the number of claims incurred. Our claims experience is primarily related to the demographics of our policyholders.

As a part of our established financial reporting and accounting practices and controls, we perform actuarial reviews of our policyholder liabilities on an ongoing basis and reflect the results of those reviews in our results of operations and financial condition as required by GAAP.

In computing the estimate of unpaid policy claims, we consider many factors, including the benefits and amounts available under the policy; the volume and demographics of the policies exposed to claims; and internal business practices, such as incurred date assignment and current claim administrative practices. We monitor these conditions closely and make adjustments to the liability as actual experience emerges. Claim levels are generally stable from period to period; however, fluctuations in claim levels may occur. In calculating the unpaid policy claim liability, we do not calculate a range of estimates. The following table shows the expected sensitivity of the unpaid policy claims liability as of December 31, 2009, to changes in severity and frequency of claims. For the years 2007 through 2009, our assumptions changed on average by approximately 1% in total, and we believe that a variation in assumptions in a range of plus or minus 1% in total is reasonably likely to occur.

 

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Sensitivity of Unpaid Policy Claims Liability

 

(In millions)   Total Severity
Total Frequency   Decrease
by 2%
       Decrease
by 1%
       Unchanged        Increase
by 1%
       Increase
by 2%

Increase by 2%

  $         $ 22         $ 44         $ 66         $ 88

Increase by 1%

    (21                  22           44           66

Unchanged

    (43        (22                  22           44

Decrease by 1%

    (64        (43        (22                  22

Decrease by 2%

    (85        (64        (43        (21       
                                                   
                                                   

The table below reflects the growth of future policy benefits liability for the years ended December 31.

Future Policy Benefits

 

(In millions of dollars and billions of yen)   2009        2008        2007  

Aflac U.S.

  $ 5,779         $ 5,442         $ 4,958   

Growth rate

    6.2        9.8        12.9
                               

Aflac Japan

  $ 55,720         $ 53,866         $ 40,715   

Growth rate

    3.4        32.3        11.7
                               
                               

Consolidated

  $ 61,501         $ 59,310         $ 45,675   

Growth rate

    3.7        29.9        11.8
                               
                               

Yen/dollar exchange rate (end of period)

    92.10           91.03           114.15   
                               
                               

Aflac Japan (in yen)

    5,132           4,903           4,648   

Growth rate

    4.7        5.5        7.1
                               
                               

The growth of the future policy benefits liability in dollars has been primarily due to the aging of our in-force block of business and the addition of new business in Japan. This growth in dollars was offset in 2009 by the weakening of the yen against the U.S. dollar, however it was enhanced by the strengthening of the yen against the U.S. dollar in 2008 and 2007.

Income Taxes

Income tax provisions are generally based on pretax earnings reported for financial statement purposes, which differ from those amounts used in preparing our income tax returns. Deferred income taxes are recognized for temporary differences between the financial reporting basis and income tax basis of assets and liabilities, based on enacted tax laws and statutory tax rates applicable to the periods in which we expect the temporary differences to reverse. The evaluation of a tax position in accordance with GAAP is a two-step process. Under the first step, the enterprise determines whether it is more likely than not that a tax position will be sustained upon examination by taxing authorities. The second step is measurement, whereby a tax position that meets the more-likely-than-not recognition threshold is measured to determine the amount of benefit to recognize in the financial statements.

See Note 8 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

New Accounting Pronouncements

During the last three years, various accounting standard-setting bodies have been active in soliciting comments and issuing statements, interpretations and exposure drafts. For information on new accounting pronouncements and the impact, if any, on our financial position or results of operations, see Note 1 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

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RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The following table is a presentation of items impacting net earnings and net earnings per diluted share for the years ended December 31.

Items Impacting Net Earnings

 

      In Millions      Per Diluted Share
      2009      2008      2007      2009      2008      2007

Net earnings

   $ 1,497       $ 1,254       $ 1,634      $ 3.19       $ 2.62       $ 3.31

Items impacting net earnings, net of tax:

                   

Realized investment gains (losses)

     (788      (655      19        (1.67      (1.37      .04

Impact from ASC 815

     (3      (3      2        (.01             

Gain on extinguishment of debt

     11                        .02                
                                                     
                                                     

Realized Investment Gains and Losses

Our investment strategy is to invest in investment-grade fixed-income securities to provide a reliable stream of investment income, which is one of the drivers of the Company’s profitability. This investment strategy aligns our assets with our liability structure, which our assets support. We do not purchase securities with the intent of generating capital gains or losses. However, investment gains and losses may be realized as a result of changes in the financial markets and the creditworthiness of specific issuers, tax planning strategies, and/or general portfolio maintenance and rebalancing. The realization of investment gains and losses is independent of the underwriting and administration of our insurance products, which are the principal drivers of our profitability.

In 2009, we realized pretax investment losses of $1,361 million ($884 million after-tax) as a result of the recognition of other-than-temporary impairment losses. We realized pretax investment losses of $101 million ($66 million after-tax) from the exchange of two of our Lloyd’s Banking Group plc perpetual security investments. We exchanged our investment in Lloyds TSB Bank plc yen-denominated, Upper Tier II perpetual securities into yen-denominated, Lower Tier II fixed-maturity securities. We also exchanged our holdings of Bank of Scotland plc yen-denominated, Upper Tier II perpetual securities into yen-denominated, Lower Tier II fixed-maturity securities. The losses were partially offset by pretax investment gains of $250 million ($162 million after-tax) that were generated primarily from a bond-swap program that took advantage of tax loss carryforwards.

In 2008, we realized pretax investment losses of $753 million ($489 million after-tax) as a result of the recognition of other-than-temporary impairment losses. We realized pretax investment losses, net of gains, of $254 million ($166 million after-tax) from securities sold or redeemed in the normal course of business.

In 2007, we realized pretax investment losses of $23 million ($15 million after-tax) as a result of the recognition of other-than-temporary impairment losses. We realized pretax investment gains, net of losses, of $51 million ($34 million after-tax) from securities sold or redeemed in the normal course of business.

 

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The following table details our pretax impairment losses by category for the years ended December 31.

 

(In millions)    2009      2008      2007

Perpetual securities

   $ 729      $ 379      $

Corporate bonds

     458        160        20

Collateralized debt obligations

     148        213       

Collateralized mortgage obligations

     24               2

Equity securities

     2        1        1
 

Total other-than-temporary impairments

   $ 1,361      $ 753      $ 23
 
                          

For additional information regarding realized investment gains and losses, please see Notes 1, 3 and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.

Impact from ASC 815 (formerly SFAS 133)

We had cross-currency interest rate swap agreements that economically converted our dollar-denominated senior notes, which matured in April 2009, into a yen-denominated obligation. Until April 2009, we designated the foreign currency component of these cross-currency swaps as a hedge of the foreign currency exposure of our investment in Aflac Japan. The effect of issuing fixed-rate, dollar-denominated debt and swapping it into fixed-rate, yen-denominated debt had the same economic impact on Aflac as if we had issued yen-denominated debt of a like amount. However, the accounting treatment for cross-currency swaps is different from issuing yen-denominated Samurai and Uridashi notes. ASC 815, “Derivatives and Hedging,” requires that the change in the fair value of the interest rate component of the cross-currency swaps, which does not qualify for hedge accounting, be reflected in net earnings. This change in fair value was determined by relative dollar and yen interest rates and had no cash impact on our results of operations. At maturity, the fair value equaled initial contract fair value, and the cumulative impact of gains and losses from the changes in fair value of the interest component was zero. We demonstrated the ability and intent to retain the cross-currency swaps until they expired in April 2009. The impact from ASC 815 includes the change in fair value of the interest rate component of the cross-currency swaps, which did not qualify for hedge accounting, and is included in other income.

We have issued yen-denominated Samurai and Uridashi notes and have entered into two yen-denominated loans. We have designated these notes and loans as a hedge of our investment in Aflac Japan. If the value of these yen-denominated notes exceeds our investment in Aflac Japan, we would be required to recognize the foreign currency effect on the excess in net earnings (other income). The foreign currency gain or loss on the excess liabilities would be included in the impact from ASC 815. When we made our hedge designations at the beginning of the second quarter of 2009, the notional amount of our yen-denominated liabilities exceeded our yen net asset position in Aflac Japan. Therefore, we de-designated this excess portion of our yen-denominated liabilities from our net investment hedge. An immaterial loss was recorded in net earnings (other income) and included in the impact from ASC 815 during the quarter ended June 30, 2009, as a result of the negative foreign currency effect on the portion of our yen-denominated liabilities that was not designated as a hedge of our investment in Aflac Japan. When we reassessed our hedge designations at the beginning of the third and fourth quarters of 2009, our yen net asset position in Aflac Japan exceeded our total yen-denominated liabilities; therefore, all of these liabilities were designated as a hedge of our net investment in Aflac Japan, resulting in no impact on net earnings during the third and fourth quarters of 2009. Our net investment hedge was effective during the years ended December 31, 2008, and 2007; therefore, there was no impact on net earnings during those periods.

We have interest rate swap agreements related to the 20 billion yen variable interest rate Uridashi notes and have designated the swap agreements as a hedge of the variability of the debt cash flows. The notional amounts and terms of the swaps match the principal amount and terms of the variable interest

 

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rate Uridashi notes, and the swaps had no value at inception. GAAP requires that the change in the fair value of the swap contracts be recorded in other comprehensive income so long as the hedge is deemed effective. Any ineffectiveness would be recognized in net earnings (other income) and would be included in the impact from ASC 815. These hedges were effective during the three-year period ended December 31, 2009; therefore, there was no impact on net earnings. See Notes 1, 4 and 7 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Debt Extinguishment

During the first six months of 2009, we extinguished portions of our yen-denominated Uridashi and Samurai debt by buying the notes on the open market. We realized a total gain from extinguishment of debt of 1.6 billion yen, or $17 million ($11 million after-tax), which we included in other income. We did not extinguish any debt during the second half of 2009.

Foreign Currency Translation

Aflac Japan’s premiums and most of its investment income are received in yen. Claims and expenses are paid in yen, and we primarily purchase yen-denominated assets to support yen-denominated policy liabilities. These and other yen-denominated financial statement items are translated into dollars for financial reporting purposes. We translate Aflac Japan’s yen-denominated income statement into dollars using an average exchange rate for the reporting period, and we translate its yen-denominated balance sheet using the exchange rate at the end of the period. However, it is important to distinguish between translating and converting foreign currency. Except for a limited number of transactions, we do not actually convert yen into dollars.

Due to the size of Aflac Japan, where our functional currency is the Japanese yen, fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate can have a significant effect on our reported results. In periods when the yen weakens, translating yen into dollars results in fewer dollars being reported. When the yen strengthens, translating yen into dollars results in more dollars being reported. Consequently, yen weakening has the effect of suppressing current year results in relation to the prior year, while yen strengthening has the effect of magnifying current year results in relation to the prior year. As a result, we view foreign currency translation as a financial reporting issue for Aflac and not an economic event to our Company or shareholders. Because changes in exchange rates distort the growth rates of our operations, management evaluates Aflac’s financial performance excluding the impact of foreign currency translation.

Income Taxes

Our combined U.S. and Japanese effective income tax rate on pretax earnings was 33.0% in 2009, 34.5% in 2008 and 34.6% in 2007. The effective tax rate declined in 2009 due primarily to the settlement of an examination by the Internal Revenue Service that reduced the ASC 740 tax liability by $24 million. Total income taxes were $738 million in 2009, compared with $660 million in 2008 and $865 million in 2007. Japanese income taxes on Aflac Japan’s results account for most of our consolidated income tax expense. See Note 8 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Earnings Guidance

We communicate earnings guidance in this report based on the growth in net earnings per diluted share. However, certain items that cannot be predicted or that are outside of management’s control may have a significant impact on actual results. Therefore, our comparison of net earnings includes certain assumptions to reflect the limitations that are inherent in projections of net earnings. In comparing period-over-period results, we exclude the effect of realized investment gains and losses, the impact from ASC 815 and nonrecurring items. We also assume no impact from foreign currency translation on the Aflac Japan segment and the Parent Company’s yen-denominated interest expense for a given year in relation to the prior year.

 

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Subject to the preceding assumptions, our objective for 2009 was to increase net earnings per diluted share by 13% to 15% over 2008. We reported 2009 net earnings per diluted share of $3.19. Adjusting that number for realized investment losses ($1.67 per diluted share), the impact from ASC 815 (a loss of $.01 per diluted share), gain on extinguishment of debt ($.02 per diluted share), and foreign currency translation (a gain of $.26 per diluted share), we met our objective for the year.

Our objective for 2010 is to increase net earnings per diluted share by 9% to 12% over 2009, on the basis described above. If we achieve this objective, the following table shows the likely results for 2010 net earnings per diluted share, including the impact of foreign currency translation using various yen/dollar exchange rate scenarios.

2010 Net Earnings Per Share (EPS) Scenarios*

 

Weighted-Average
Yen/Dollar
Exchange Rate
     Net Earnings Per
Diluted Share
     % Growth
Over 2009
       Yen Impact
on EPS
 

  85.00  

     $ 5.61 – 5.76      15.7 – 18.8      $ .33   

  90.00  

       5.41 – 5.56      11.5 – 14.6           .13   

  93.49**

       5.29 – 5.43        9.1 – 12.0             

  95.00  

       5.24 – 5.38        8.0 – 10.9           (.05

100.00  

       5.08 – 5.22        4.7 –   7.6           (.21
                              
                              
* Excludes realized investment gains/losses, impact from ASC 815 and nonrecurring items in 2010 and 2009
** Actual 2009 weighted-average exchange rate

INSURANCE OPERATIONS

Aflac’s insurance business consists of two segments: Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. Aflac Japan, which operates as a branch of Aflac, is the principal contributor to consolidated earnings. GAAP financial reporting requires that a company report financial and descriptive information about operating segments in its annual financial statements. Furthermore, we are required to report a measure of segment profit or loss, certain revenue and expense items, and segment assets.

We measure and evaluate our insurance segments’ financial performance using operating earnings on a pretax basis. We define segment operating earnings as the profits we derive from our operations before realized investment gains and losses, the impact from ASC 815, and nonrecurring items. We believe that an analysis of segment pretax operating earnings is vitally important to an understanding of the underlying profitability drivers and trends of our insurance business. Furthermore, because a significant portion of our business is conducted in Japan, we believe it is equally important to understand the impact of translating Japanese yen into U.S. dollars.

We evaluate our sales efforts using new annualized premium sales, an industry operating measure. Total new annualized premium sales, which include new sales and the incremental increase in premiums due to conversions, represent the premiums that we would collect over a 12-month period, assuming the policies remain in force. For Aflac Japan, total new annualized premium sales are determined by applications submitted during the reporting period. For Aflac U.S., total new annualized premium sales are determined by applications that are accepted during the reporting period. Premium income, or earned premiums, is a financial performance measure that reflects collected or due premiums that have been earned ratably on policies in force during the reporting period.

 

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AFLAC JAPAN SEGMENT

Aflac Japan Pretax Operating Earnings

Changes in Aflac Japan’s pretax operating earnings and profit margins are primarily affected by morbidity, mortality, expenses, persistency and investment yields. The following table presents a summary of operating results for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31.

Aflac Japan Summary of Operating Results

 

(In millions)    2009      2008      2007

Premium income

   $ 12,178      $ 10,674      $ 9,037

Net investment income:

            

Yen-denominated investment income

     1,510        1,312        1,102

Dollar-denominated investment income

     755        741        699
 

Net investment income

     2,265        2,053        1,801

Other income

     43        15        27
 

Total operating revenues

     14,486        12,742        10,865
 

Benefits and claims

     8,746        7,972        6,935

Operating expenses:

            

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

     523        405        318

Insurance commissions

     1,060        970        850

Insurance and other expenses

     1,357        1,145        941
 

Total operating expenses

     2,940        2,520        2,109
 

Total benefits and expenses

     11,686        10,492        9,044
 

Pretax operating earnings*

   $ 2,800      $ 2,250      $ 1,821
                          
                          

Weighted-average yen/dollar exchange rate

     93.49        103.46        117.93
                          
                          

 

      In Dollars     In Yen  
Percentage change over previous year:    2009     2008     2007     2009     2008     2007  

Premium income

   14.1   18.1   3.1   3.3   3.5   4.3

Net investment income

   10.3      14.0      6.7      (.1        8.0   

Total operating revenues

   13.7      17.3      3.7      3.0      2.8      4.9   

Pretax operating earnings*

   24.4      23.6      10.2      12.4      8.4      11.8   
                                      
                                      
* See the Insurance Operations section of this MD&A for our definition of segment operating earnings.

The percentage increases in premium income reflect the growth of premiums in force. The increases in annualized premiums in force in yen of 3.3% in 2009, 3.2% in 2008 and 3.9% in 2007 reflect the high persistency of Aflac Japan’s business and the sales of new policies. Annualized premiums in force at December 31, 2009, were 1.20 trillion yen, compared with 1.16 trillion yen in 2008 and 1.13 trillion yen in 2007. Annualized premiums in force, translated into dollars at respective year-end exchange rates, were $13.0 billion in 2009, $12.8 billion in 2008, and $9.9 billion in 2007.

Aflac Japan maintains a portfolio of dollar-denominated and reverse-dual currency securities (yen-denominated debt securities with dollar coupon payments). Dollar-denominated investment income from these assets accounted for approximately 33% of Aflac Japan’s investment income in 2009, compared with 36% in 2008 and 39% in 2007. In years when the yen strengthens in relation to the dollar, translating Aflac Japan’s dollar-denominated investment income into yen lowers growth rates for net investment income, total operating revenues, and pretax operating earnings in yen terms. In years when the yen weakens, translating dollar-denominated investment income into yen magnifies growth rates for net investment income, total operating revenues, and pretax operating earnings in yen terms. On a constant

 

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currency basis, dollar-denominated investment income accounted for approximately 36% of Aflac Japan’s investment income during 2009, compared with 39% in 2008 and 2007. The following table illustrates the effect of translating Aflac Japan’s dollar-denominated investment income and related items into yen by comparing certain segment results with those that would have been reported had yen/dollar exchange rates remained unchanged from the prior year.

Aflac Japan Percentage Changes Over Prior Year

(Yen Operating Results)

 

      Including Foreign
Currency Changes
    Excluding Foreign
Currency Changes**
 
      2009     2008     2007     2009     2008     2007  

Net investment income

   (.1 )%      8.0   3.4   5.0   7.4

Total operating revenues

   3.0      2.8      4.9      3.5      3.8      4.9   

Pretax operating earnings*

   12.4      8.4      11.8      15.1      13.8      11.3   
                                      
                                      
* See the Insurance Operations section of this MD&A for our definition of segment operating earnings.
** Amounts excluding foreign currency changes on dollar-denominated items were determined using the same yen/dollar exchange rate for the current year as each respective prior year.

The following table presents a summary of operating ratios for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31.

 

Ratios to total revenues:    2009        2008        2007  

Benefits and claims

   60.4      62.5      63.8

Operating expenses:

            

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

   3.6         3.2         2.9   

Insurance commissions

   7.3         7.6         7.8   

Insurance and other expenses

   9.4         9.0         8.7   
                          

Total operating expenses

   20.3         19.8         19.4   

Pretax operating earnings*

   19.3         17.7         16.8   
                          
                          
* See the Insurance Operations section of this MD&A for our definition of segment operating earnings.

The benefit ratio has declined over the past several years, reflecting the impact of newer products and riders with lower loss ratios. We have also experienced favorable claim trends in our major product lines. We expect the improvement in the benefit ratio to continue as we shift to newer products and riders and benefit from the impact of favorable claim trends. However, this improvement is partially offset by the effect of low investment yields, which impacts our profit margin by reducing the spread between investment yields and required interest on policy reserves (see table and discussion in the Interest Rate Risk section of this MD&A). The operating expense ratio increased slightly in 2009 in line with our expectations. We expect the operating expense ratio to remain relatively stable in 2010. The pretax operating profit margin expanded in 2009 primarily due to continued improvement in the benefit ratio. We expect this improvement to continue, resulting in continued expansion in the profit margin in 2010.

Aflac Japan Sales

Our stated objective for 2009 was for sales to be flat to up 5%. We exceeded our objective with a 6.7% increase in sales during 2009. The following table presents Aflac Japan’s total new annualized premium sales for the years ended December 31.

 

      In Dollars     In Yen  
(In millions of dollars and billions of yen)    2009     2008     2007     2009     2008     2007  

Total new annualized premium sales

   $ 1,310      $ 1,115      $ 974      122.3      114.7      114.6   

Increase (decrease) over prior year

     17.5     14.4     (3.5 )%    6.7     (2.4 )% 
                                            
                                            

 

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The following table details the contributions to total new annualized premium sales by major insurance product for the years ended December 31.

 

      2009        2008        2007  

Medical

   36      34      33

Cancer

   28         34         33   

Ordinary life

   29         23         22   

Rider MAX

   3         5         7   

Other

   4         4         5   
                          

Total

   100      100      100
                          
                          

Medical insurance sales increased 15.7% over 2008. Since first launching our stand-alone medical product, EVER, in 2002, we have been the number one seller of medical insurance policies in Japan. In the past six years, we have segmented the market by creating a suite of EVER products with variations that appeal to specific Japanese consumers. In August 2009, we introduced a new generation of our popular EVER product, the most notable changes being an enhanced surgical benefit and gender-specific premium rates. Overall, the profitability of the new plan is similar to our original EVER product. We have had a positive initial response to our revised EVER product, selling more than 346,800 of the revised policies since it was introduced. With continued cost pressure on Japan’s health care system, we expect the need for medical products will continue to rise in the future, and we remain encouraged about the outlook for the medical insurance market.

Cancer insurance sales declined 11.3% in 2009, compared with 2008. Despite this decrease, Aflac remained the number one seller of cancer insurance policies in Japan. Our cancer policies are also marketed through a strategic alliance with Dai-ichi Mutual Life. In 2009, Dai-ichi Life sold more than 122,000 of our market-leading cancer policies. We are convinced that the affordable cancer products Aflac Japan provides will continue to be an important part of our product portfolio.

Sales of cancer and medical insurance in Japan have benefited from the bank channel. In December 2007, banks were permitted to sell supplemental health insurance products to their customers. Our bank channel sales increased 132.2% during 2009, compared with 2008, and represented 6% of total new sales. By the end of 2009, we had agreements with 353 banks to sell our products. We have significantly more selling agreements with banks than any of our competitors in Japan. We believe our long-standing and strong relationships within the Japanese banking sector, along with our strategic preparations, have proven to be an advantage as this channel opened up for our products.

Ordinary life product sales increased 33.9% during 2009, compared with 2008. The increase in our ordinary life products was driven by a favorable consumer response to our child endowment product that we introduced at the end of first quarter 2009. Our child endowment product is appropriate for new parents who are re-evaluating their insurance coverage. This product offers a death benefit until the child reaches age 18, and it pays a lump-sum benefit at the time of the child’s entry into high school as well as an educational annuity for each of the four years during his or her college education. We believe that traditional life insurance products, like our child endowment plan, provide opportunities for us to sell our third sector cancer and medical products. For every 10 child endowment plans that were purchased in 2009, we sold two additional Aflac products to the same customers.

We remain committed to selling through our traditional channels, which allows us to reach consumers through affiliated corporate agencies, independent corporate agencies and individual agencies. In 2009, we recruited approximately 4,600 new sales agencies, an increase of 17.9% over 2008. At the end of the year, Aflac Japan was represented by more than 19,600 sales agencies, or more than 110,500 licensed sales associates employed by those agencies.

 

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We believe that there is still a strong need for our products in Japan. Our objective for 2010 is for total new annualized premium sales to be flat to up 5% in Japan.

Aflac Japan Investments

Growth of investment income in yen is affected by available cash flow from operations, the timing of investing the cash flow, yields on new investments, and the effect of yen/dollar exchange rates on dollar-denominated investment income. Aflac Japan has invested in privately issued securities to secure higher yields than those available on Japanese government or other public corporate bonds, while still adhering to prudent standards for credit quality. All of our privately issued securities are rated investment grade at the time of purchase. These securities are generally issued with documentation consistent with standard medium-term note programs. In addition, many of these investments have protective covenants appropriate to the specific issuer, industry and country. These covenants often require the issuer to adhere to specific financial ratios and give priority to repayment of our investment under certain circumstances.

The following table presents the results of Aflac Japan’s investment activities for the years ended December 31.

 

        2009        2008        2007  

New money yield – yen only

     2.80      3.20      3.05

New money yield – blended

     3.03         3.43         3.38   

Return on average invested assets, net of investment expenses

     3.65         3.82         4.06   
                            
                            

At December 31, 2009, the yield on Aflac Japan’s investment portfolio, including dollar-denominated investments, was 3.77%, compared with 3.90% a year ago. The overall credit quality of Aflac Japan’s investments remained high. At the end of 2009, 93.4% of Aflac Japan’s debt and perpetual securities were rated investment grade, on an amortized cost basis. See the Credit Risk section of this MD&A for additional information.

Japanese Economy

The Bank of Japan’s January 2010 Monthly Report of Recent Economic and Financial Developments stated that Japan’s economic conditions have improved due to various policy measures taken in Japan and abroad. Exports and production have been increasing, and private consumption is increasing despite the depressed employment and income situation. The report projected that Japan’s economic conditions are expected to continue to improve at a moderate pace.

Japan’s system of compulsory public health care insurance provides medical coverage to every Japanese citizen. These public medical expenditures are covered by a combination of premiums paid by insureds and their employers, taxes and copayments from the people who receive medical service. However, given Japan’s aging population, the resources available to these publicly funded social insurance programs have come under increasing pressure. As a result, copayments and other out-of-pocket expenses have been rising and affecting more people. We believe higher out-of-pocket expenses will lead consumers to purchase more supplemental medical insurance. Many insurance companies have recognized the opportunities for selling supplemental medical insurance in Japan and have launched new products in recent years. However, we believe our favorable cost structure compared with other insurers makes us a very effective competitor. In addition, we believe our brand, customer service and financial strength also benefit our market position.

 

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Japanese Regulatory Environment

We expect that our distribution system will continue to evolve in Japan. Regulatory changes that took effect in December 2007 enable banks to sell our third sector products to their customers. Our strong brand as the leading seller of cancer and medical insurance products in Japan and our many long-term relationships within the Japanese banking sector place us in a strong position to sell through this new channel. By the end of 2009, we had agreements with 353 banks to market Aflac’s products.

The FSA maintains a solvency standard, which is used by Japanese regulators to monitor the financial strength of insurance companies. As of December 31, 2009, Aflac Japan’s solvency margin ratio was 885.5%, which significantly exceeds regulatory minimums. The FSA has issued a proposal to revise the current method of calculating the solvency margin ratio. The FSA intends to apply the revised method to life insurance companies for the fiscal year-end 2011 (March 31, 2012) and require the disclosure of the ratio as reference information for fiscal year-end 2010 (March 31, 2011). The FSA expects the revision would generally reduce life insurance companies’ solvency margin ratios to approximately half the level of those reported under the current calculation method. We do not expect our relative position within the industry to materially change.

AFLAC U.S. SEGMENT

Aflac U.S. Pretax Operating Earnings

Changes in Aflac U.S. pretax operating earnings and profit margins are primarily affected by morbidity, mortality, expenses, persistency and investment yields. The following table presents a summary of operating results for Aflac U.S. for the years ended December 31.

Aflac U.S. Summary of Operating Results

 

(In millions)    2009        2008        2007  

Premium income

   $ 4,444         $ 4,272         $ 3,936   

Net investment income

     499           505           500   

Other income

     10           10           10   
                                

Total operating revenues

     4,953           4,787           4,446   
                                

Benefits and claims

     2,561           2,527           2,350   

Operating expenses:

            

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

     419           370           323   

Insurance commissions

     508           488           481   

Insurance and other expenses

     689           657           600   
                                

Total operating expenses

     1,616           1,515           1,404   
                                

Total benefits and expenses

     4,177           4,042           3,754   
                                

Pretax operating earnings*

   $ 776         $ 745         $ 692   
                                
                                

Percentage change over previous year:

            
                                

Premium income

     4.0        8.5        10.8

Net investment income

     (1.1        .9           7.5   

Total operating revenues

     3.5           7.7           10.4   

Pretax operating earnings*

     4.1           7.6           18.3   
                                
                                
* See the Insurance Operations section of this MD&A for our definition of segment operating earnings.

Annualized premiums in force increased 3.5% in 2009, 6.2% in 2008 and 10.0% in 2007. Annualized premiums in force at December 31 were $5.0 billion in 2009, compared with $4.8 billion in 2008 and $4.5 billion in 2007. Net investment income was relatively flat during 2009, due to the lack of growth in the

 

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investment portfolio primarily as a result of excess capital used in our share purchase program during 2008. For further information, see the Capital Resources and Liquidity section of this MD&A and Note 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.

The following table presents a summary of operating ratios for Aflac U.S. for the years ended December 31.

 

Ratios to total revenues:    2009        2008        2007  

Benefits and claims

   51.7      52.8      52.9

Operating expenses:

            

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

   8.5         7.7         7.3   

Insurance commissions

   10.3         10.2         10.8   

Insurance and other expenses

   13.8         13.7         13.4   
                          

Total operating expenses

   32.6         31.6         31.5   

Pretax operating earnings*

   15.7         15.6         15.6   
                          
                          
* See the Insurance Operations section of this MD&A for our definition of segment operating earnings.

The benefit ratio declined and amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs increased in 2009, compared with 2008, due to lower persistency levels. We expect the benefit and operating expense ratios to decline and the pretax operating profit margin to increase in 2010.

Aflac U.S. Sales

Weak economic conditions in 2009 continued to challenge Aflac’s sales results in the United States. The following table presents Aflac’s U.S. total new annualized premium sales for the years ended December 31.

 

(In millions)    2009        2008        2007  

Total new annualized premium sales

   $ 1,453         $ 1,551         $ 1,558   

Increase (decrease) over prior year

     (6.4 )%         (.4 )%         9.5
                                
                                

The following table details the contributions to total new annualized premium sales by major insurance product category for the years ended December 31.

 

      2009        2008        2007  

Accident/disability

   48      49      51

Cancer

   18         19         18   

Hospital indemnity

   18         16         14   

Life

   6         6         5   

Fixed-benefit dental

   5         5         6   

Other

   5         5         6   
                          

Total

   100      100      100
                          
                          

Total new annualized premium sales for accident/disability insurance, our leading product category, decreased 9.0%, cancer indemnity insurance sales decreased 11.3% and hospital indemnity insurance sales increased 1.7% in 2009, compared with 2008.

We continued to enhance our product line in 2009 by launching Essentials Accident and Essentials Maximum Difference® cancer plans. These new products have been streamlined with lower benefit and premium levels than the traditional cancer and accident insurance policies. In the short term, we believe they are better suited to the current economy and, in the long run, they will give consumers more choices.

 

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Another aspect of our U.S. sales strategy is our focus on growing and improving our U.S. sales force. We remain satisfied with our progress in the ongoing expansion of our U.S. sales force. We recruited more than 28,400 new sales associates in 2009, a 10.6% increase compared with 2008, resulting in more than 75,300 licensed sales associates at December 31, 2009. Newly established payroll accounts were 10.6% higher in 2009, compared with 2008, suggesting our brand message and business-to-business efforts are reaching employers across the country. The number of new average weekly producers, or those who are selling regularly in their first year, increased 6.2% during 2009, compared with a year ago. We believe strong increases in new recruits and new weekly producers, coupled with significant payroll account growth, will provide a solid foundation for future sales when the U.S. economy recovers.

In the first quarter of 2009, we implemented our new Aflac for BrokersSM initiative. Insurance brokers have been a historically underleveraged sales channel for Aflac, and we believe we can establish relationships that will complement, not compete with, our traditional distribution system. We have assembled a management team experienced in broker sales, and we are supporting this initiative with streamlined products, targeted broker-specific advertising campaigns, customized enrollment technology, and competitive compensation. Additionally, a new level of management was introduced in 2009 to deliver this initiative. Over 100 broker development coordinators have been hired to be single points of contact for brokers across the country. Broker development coordinators are responsible for building relationships with new brokers as well as strengthening relationships with our current brokers. These coordinators are assisted by a team of certified case managers whose role is to coordinate and manage the account enrollments for brokers.

Furthering our initiatives in the broker arena, we purchased CAIC for $100 million in the fourth quarter of 2009. The purchase was funded with internal capital. CAIC, which is headquartered in Columbia, South Carolina, equips us with a platform for offering attractive voluntary group insurance products that are well-suited for distribution by insurance brokers at the worksite. CAIC is rated A (Excellent) by A.M. Best. We believe that CAIC has the potential to benefit us in the U.S. market by helping us meet the product requests and needs of our field force when they pursue larger payroll accounts.

We expect 2010 to be a challenging year from a sales perspective and look for sales to again decline in the first half of the year, followed by modest sales increases in the second half of 2010.

Aflac U.S. Investments

The following table presents the results of Aflac’s U.S. investment activities for the years ended December 31.

 

      2009        2008        2007  

New money yield

   7.26      7.60      6.44

Return on average invested assets, net of investment expenses

   6.66         6.77         6.79   
                          
                          

The decrease in the U.S. new money yield in 2009 reflects tightening credit spreads. At December 31, 2009, the portfolio yield on Aflac’s U.S. portfolio was 7.17%, compared with 7.10% a year ago. During 2008, we purchased $200 million of variable interest rate collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) that support $200 million of variable interest rate funding agreements issued by Aflac U.S. Because these CDOs do not support our core policyholder benefit obligations, the yield on these CDOs is not included in the Aflac U.S. portfolio yield or in the yields listed in the above table.

The overall credit quality of Aflac U.S. investments remained high. At the end of 2009, 90.4% of Aflac U.S. debt and perpetual securities were rated investment grade, on an amortized cost basis. See the Credit Risk section of this MD&A for additional information.

 

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See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Credit Risk section of this MD&A for additional information.

U.S. Economy

Operating in the U.S. economy continues to be challenging. The weak economic environment has likely had an impact on some of our policyholders, potential customers and sales associates. Although we believe that the weakened U.S. economy has been a contributing factor to slower sales growth, we also believe our products remain affordable to the average American consumer. We believe that consumers’ underlying need for our U.S. product line remains strong, and the United States remains a sizeable and attractive market for our products.

U.S. Regulatory Environment

U.S. Congressional leaders and the Obama administration have expressed their commitment to enacting major health reform legislation, and both the House and the Senate have adopted their versions of a health care reform bill. While it is not possible to predict with certainty what provisions may be in any final legislation, it is likely that such legislation, if adopted, will include major changes to the U.S. health care insurance marketplace. Some of the proposals currently under discussion address individual and employer mandates, health insurance exchanges, coverage and exclusions, and medical loss ratios. The legislation also may include changes in government reimbursements and subsidies for individuals and employers and alter federal and state regulation of health insurers. Given the substantial differences between the legislation passed by the House and Senate, the ongoing negotiations to reconcile the legislation and the fact that some key provisions will be general in nature and subject to future regulatory action, it is not possible to predict with any degree of certainty what effect any legislation and future regulation, if adopted, will have on the Company’s U.S. business. However, Japan has had a national health care system for many years, and Aflac Japan has successfully operated in such a regulated environment.

OTHER OPERATIONS

Corporate operating expenses consist primarily of personnel compensation, benefits and facilities expenses. Corporate expenses, excluding investment income, were $77 million in 2009, $61 million in 2008 and $56 million in 2007. The increase in expenses in 2009 was due primarily to an increase in realized foreign currency losses on yen cash held by the Parent Company and an increase in expense for our unfunded supplemental retirement plans. Investment income included in reported corporate expenses was $9 million in 2009, $20 million in 2008 and $31 million in 2007.

ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION

Our financial condition has remained strong in the functional currencies of our operations. The yen/dollar exchange rate at the end of each period is used to translate yen-denominated balance sheet items to U.S. dollars for reporting purposes.

The following table demonstrates the effect of the change in the yen/dollar exchange rate by comparing select balance sheet items as reported at December 31, 2009, with the amounts that would have been reported had the exchange rate remained unchanged from December 31, 2008.

 

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Impact of Foreign Exchange on Balance Sheet Items

 

(In millions)      As
Reported
     Exchange
Effect
       Net of
Exchange Effect

Yen/dollar exchange rate*

       92.10             91.03
                              

Investments and cash

     $ 73,192      $ (714      $ 73,906

Deferred policy acquisition costs

       8,533        (69        8,602

Total assets

       84,106        (799        84,905

Policy liabilities

       69,245        (729        69,974

Total liabilities

       75,689        (778        76,467
                              
                              
* The exchange rate at December 31, 2009, was 92.10 yen to one dollar, or 1.2% weaker than the December 31, 2008, exchange rate of 91.03.

Market Risks of Financial Instruments

Our investment philosophy is to maximize investment income while emphasizing liquidity, safety and quality. Our investment objective, subject to appropriate risk constraints, is to fund policyholder obligations and other liabilities in a manner that enhances shareholders’ equity. We seek to achieve this objective through a diversified portfolio of fixed-income investments that reflects the characteristics of the liabilities it supports. Aflac invests primarily within the fixed income securities markets.

The following table details investment securities by segment as of December 31.

Investment Securities by Segment

 

        Aflac Japan      Aflac U.S.  
(In millions)      2009      2008      2009        2008  

Securities available for sale, at fair value:

                   

Fixed maturities

     $ 29,952      $ 29,140      $ 6,712      $ 5,772

Perpetual securities

       7,041        7,843        222           204   

Equity securities

       24        27                    
                                         

Total available for sale

       37,017        37,010        6,934           5,976   
                                         

Securities held to maturity, at amortized cost:

                   

Fixed maturities

       26,487        24,236        200           200   
                                         

Total held to maturity

       26,487        24,236        200           200   
                                         

Total investment securities

     $ 63,504      $ 61,246      $ 7,134         $ 6,176   
                                         
                                         
* Excludes investment-grade, available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities held by the Parent Company of $117 in 2009 and $100 in 2008.

Because we invest in fixed-income securities, our financial instruments are exposed primarily to three types of market risks: currency risk, interest rate risk and credit risk.

Currency Risk

The functional currency of Aflac Japan’s insurance operation is the Japanese yen. All of Aflac Japan’s premiums, claims and commissions are received or paid in yen, as are most of its investment income and other expenses. Furthermore, most of Aflac Japan’s investments, cash and liabilities are yen-denominated.

 

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When yen-denominated securities mature or are sold, the proceeds are generally reinvested in yen-denominated securities. Aflac Japan holds these yen-denominated assets to fund its yen-denominated policy obligations. In addition, Aflac Incorporated has yen-denominated debt obligations.

Although we generally do not convert yen into dollars, we do translate financial statement amounts from yen into dollars for financial reporting purposes. Therefore, reported amounts are affected by foreign currency fluctuations. We report unrealized foreign currency translation gains and losses in accumulated other comprehensive income.

Aflac Japan maintains a portfolio of reverse-dual currency securities (yen-denominated debt securities with dollar coupon payments), which exposes Aflac to changes in foreign exchange rates. This foreign currency effect is accounted for as a component of unrealized gains or losses on available-for-sale securities in accumulated other comprehensive income. When the yen strengthens against the dollar, shareholders’ equity is negatively impacted and, conversely, when the yen weakens against the dollar, shareholders’ equity is positively impacted. Aflac Japan invests a portion of its assets in reverse-dual currency securities to provide a higher yield than those available on Japanese government or other public corporate bonds, while still adhering to prudent standards of credit quality. The yen/dollar exchange rate would have to strengthen to approximately 55 before the yield on these instruments would equal that of a comparable yen-denominated instrument.

On a consolidated basis, we attempt to minimize the exposure of shareholders’ equity to foreign currency translation fluctuations. We accomplish this by investing a portion of Aflac Japan’s investment portfolio in dollar-denominated securities and by the Parent Company’s issuance of yen-denominated debt (for additional information, see the discussion under Hedging Activities as follows in this section of MD&A). As a result, the effect of currency fluctuations on our net assets is reduced. The dollar values of our yen-denominated net assets, which are subject to foreign currency translation fluctuations for financial reporting purposes, are summarized as follows (translated at end-of-period exchange rates) for the years ended December 31:

 

(In millions)      2009        2008  

Aflac Japan yen-denominated net assets

     $ 2,736         $ 2,528   

Parent Company yen-denominated net liabilities

       (962        (1,876
                       

Consolidated yen-denominated net assets (liabilities) subject to foreign currency translation fluctuations

     $ 1,774         $ 652   
                       
                       

The increase in our yen-denominated net asset position was due primarily to the redemption in 2009 of the Parent Company’s $450 million senior notes (economically yen debt due to conversion using cross-currency swaps) and the holding of 35.8 billion yen in cash by the Parent Company as of December 31, 2009, for the redemption of our yen-denominated Samurai notes due July 2010.

 

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The following table demonstrates the effect of foreign currency fluctuations by presenting the dollar values of our yen-denominated assets and liabilities, and our consolidated yen-denominated net asset exposure at selected exchange rates as of December 31.

Dollar Value of Yen-Denominated Assets and Liabilities

at Selected Exchange Rates

 

(In millions)    2009    2008

Yen/dollar exchange rates

     77.10      92.10     107.10      76.03      91.03     106.03
                                             

Yen-denominated financial instruments:

               

Assets:

               

Securities available for sale:

               

Fixed maturities

   $ 31,373    $ 26,263      $ 22,585    $ 31,145    $ 26,013      $ 22,333

Perpetual securities

     8,350      6,990        6,011      9,343      7,804        6,700

Equity securities

     23      19        17      26      22        19

Securities held to maturity:

               

Fixed maturities

     31,640      26,487        22,777      29,018      24,236        20,808

Cash and cash equivalents

     1,088      911        783      456      381        327

Other financial instruments

     111      93        80      97      80        69
                                             

Subtotal

     72,585      60,763        52,253      70,085      58,536        50,256
                                             

Liabilities:

               

Notes payable

     1,616      1,353        1,163      1,522      1,271        1,091

Cross-currency swaps

                      731      610        524

Japanese policyholder protection corporation

     153      128        110      192      161        138
                                             

Subtotal

     1,769      1,481        1,273      2,445      2,042        1,753
                                             

Net yen-denominated financial instruments

     70,816      59,282        50,980      67,640      56,494        48,503

Other yen-denominated assets

     8,630      7,225        6,213      8,605      7,187        6,170

Other yen-denominated liabilities

     77,327      64,733        55,667      75,465      63,029        54,113
                                             

Consolidated yen-denominated net assets (liabilities) subject to foreign currency fluctuation

   $ 2,119    $ 1,774      $ 1,526    $ 780    $ 652      $ 560
                                             
                                             
* Actual year-end exchange rate

We are exposed to economic currency risk only when yen funds are actually converted into dollars. This primarily occurs when we repatriate funds from Aflac Japan to Aflac U.S., which is generally done annually. The exchange rates prevailing at the time of repatriation will differ from the exchange rates prevailing at the time the yen profits were earned. A portion of the repatriation may be used to service Aflac Incorporated’s yen-denominated notes payable with the remainder converted into dollars.

Interest Rate Risk

Our primary interest rate exposure is to the impact of changes in interest rates on the fair value of our investments in debt and perpetual securities. We use a modified duration analysis modeling approach, which measures price percentage volatility, to estimate the sensitivity of the fair values of our investments to interest rate changes on the debt and perpetual securities we own. For example, if the current duration of a debt security or perpetual security is 10, then the fair value of that security will increase by approximately 10% if market interest rates decrease by 100 basis points, assuming all other factors remain constant. Likewise, the fair value of the debt security or perpetual security will decrease by approximately 10% if market interest rates increase by 100 basis points, assuming all other factors remain constant.

 

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The estimated effect of potential increases in interest rates on the fair values of debt and perpetual securities we own, notes payable, cross-currency and interest rate swaps and our obligation to the Japanese policyholder protection corporation as of December 31 follows:

Sensitivity of Fair Values of Financial Instruments

to Interest Rate Changes

 

        2009      2008
(In millions)      Fair
Value
     +100
Basis
Points
     Fair
Value
     +100
Basis
Points

Debt and perpetual securities:

                   

Fixed-maturity securities:

                   

Yen-denominated

     $ 51,989      $ 46,199      $ 49,047      $ 43,556

Dollar-denominated

       10,620        9,668        9,048        8,246

Perpetual securities:

                   

Yen-denominated

       6,990        6,376        7,804        7,103

Dollar-denominated

       273        251        244        225
                                     

Total debt and perpetual securities

     $ 69,872      $ 62,494      $ 66,143      $ 59,130
                                     
                                     

Notes payable*

     $ 2,683      $ 2,557      $ 1,713      $ 1,530
                                     
                                     

Cross-currency** and interest rate swap liabilities

     $ 3      $      $ 158      $ 151
                                     
                                     

Japanese policyholder protection corporation

     $ 128      $ 128      $ 161      $ 161
                                     
                                     
* Excludes capitalized lease obligations
** Cross-currency swaps expired in April 2009 and are therefore excluded from the 2009 column.

There are various factors that affect the fair value of our investment in debt and perpetual securities. Included in those factors are changes in the prevailing interest rate environment. Changes in the interest rate environment directly affect the balance of unrealized gains or losses for a given period in relation to a prior period. Decreases in market yields generally improve the fair value of debt and perpetual securities while increases in market yields generally have a negative impact on the fair value of our debt and perpetual securities. However, we do not expect to realize a majority of any unrealized gains or losses because we have the intent and ability to hold such securities until a recovery of value, which may be maturity. For additional information on unrealized losses on debt and perpetual securities, see Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.

We attempt to match the duration of our assets with the duration of our liabilities. The following table presents the approximate duration of Aflac Japan’s yen-denominated assets and liabilities, along with premiums, as of December 31.

 

(In years)      2009      2008

Yen-denominated debt and perpetual securities

     12      12

Policy benefits and related expenses to be paid in future years

     14      14

Premiums to be received in future years on policies in force

     10      10
               
               

The following table presents the approximate duration of Aflac U.S. dollar-denominated assets and liabilities, along with premiums, as of December 31.

 

(In years)      2009      2008

Dollar-denominated debt and perpetual securities

     9      8

Policy benefits and related expenses to be paid in future years

     7      7

Premiums to be received in future years on policies in force

     6      6
               
               

 

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The following table shows a comparison of average required interest rates for future policy benefits and investment yields, based on amortized cost, for the years ended December 31.

Comparison of Interest Rates for Future Policy Benefits

and Investment Yields

(Net of Investment Expenses)

 

      2009     2008     2007  
      U.S.     Japan*     U.S.     Japan*     U.S.     Japan*  

Policies issued during year:

            

Required interest on policy reserves

   5.50   2.51   5.50   2.74   5.50   2.74

New money yield on investments

   7.22      2.88      7.56      3.27      6.40      3.11   

Policies in force at year-end:

            

Required interest on policy reserves

   6.06      4.47      6.12      4.55      6.20      4.63   

Return on average invested assets

   6.66      3.65      6.77      3.82      6.79      3.83   
                                      
                                      
* Represents yen-denominated investments for Aflac Japan that support policy obligations and therefore excludes Aflac Japan's annuity products, and dollar-denominated investments and related investment income

We continue to monitor the spread between our new money yield and the required interest assumption for newly issued products in both the United States and Japan and will re-evaluate those assumptions as necessary.

Over the next two years, we have yen-denominated securities that will mature with yields in excess of Aflac Japan’s current net investment yield of 3.43%. These securities total $3.3 billion at amortized cost and have an average yield of 5.49%. Currently, when debt and perpetual securities we own mature, the proceeds may be reinvested at a yield below that of the interest required for the accretion of policy benefit liabilities on policies issued in earlier years. However, adding riders to our older policies has helped offset negative investment spreads on these policies. Overall, adequate profit margins exist in Aflac Japan’s aggregate block of business because of profits that have emerged from changes in the mix of business and favorable experience from mortality, morbidity and expenses.

We have entered into interest rate swap agreements related to our 20 billion yen variable interest rate Uridashi notes. These agreements effectively swap the variable interest rate Uridashi notes to fixed rate notes to mitigate our exposure to interest rate risk. For further information, see Notes 4 and 7 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.

Credit Risk

Our investment activities expose us to credit risk, which is a consequence of extending credit and/or carrying investment positions. However, we continue to adhere to prudent standards for credit quality. We accomplish this by considering our product needs and overall corporate objectives, in addition to credit risk. In evaluating the initial rating, we look at the overall senior issuer rating, the explicit rating for the actual issue or the rating for the security class, and, where applicable, the appropriate designation from the Securities Valuation Office (SVO) of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC). All of our securities have ratings from either a nationally recognized statistical rating organization or the SVO of the NAIC. In addition, we perform extensive internal credit reviews to ensure that we are consistent in applying rating criteria for all of our securities.

 

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We use specific criteria to judge the credit quality of both existing and prospective investments. Furthermore, we use several methods to monitor these criteria, including credit rating services and internal credit analysis. The distributions by credit rating of our purchases of debt securities for the years ended December 31, based on acquisition cost, were as follows:

Composition of Purchases by Credit Rating

 

        2009        2008        2007  

AAA

     7.6      9.9      18.4

AA

     58.9         36.4         44.1   

A

     31.4         42.0         30.2   

BBB

     2.1         11.7         7.3   
                            

Total

     100.0      100.0      100.0
                            
                            

The increase in the percentage of debt securities purchased in the AA rated category during 2009 was due to the attractive relative value these securities presented while still meeting our investment policy guidelines for liquidity, safety and quality. The increased percentage of debt securities purchased in the AAA rated category in 2007 primarily reflected the purchase of U.S. Treasury bills by Aflac Japan prior to repatriating profits to Aflac U.S. in the third quarter of 2007. We did not purchase any perpetual securities during the periods presented in the table above.

The distributions of debt and perpetual securities we own, by credit rating, as of December 31 were as follows:

Composition of Portfolio by Credit Rating

 

        2009     2008         
        Amortized
Cost
    Fair Value     Amortized
Cost
    Fair
Value
 

AAA

     3.3   3.4   5.7   5.8

AA

     34.6      35.8      39.8      42.2   

A

     39.6      39.8      34.1      33.2   

BBB

     15.6      15.2      18.6      17.6   

BB or lower

     6.9      5.8      1.8      1.2   
                            

Total

     100.0   100.0   100.0   100.0
                            
                            

Although our investment portfolio continues to be of high credit quality, many downgrades occurred during 2009, causing a shift in composition by credit rating.

As of December 31, 2009, our direct and indirect exposure to securities in our investment portfolio that were guaranteed by third parties was immaterial both individually and in the aggregate.

Subordination Distribution

The majority of our total investments in debt and perpetual securities was senior debt at December 31, 2009 and 2008. We also maintained investments in subordinated financial instruments that primarily consisted of Lower Tier II, Upper Tier II, and Tier I securities, listed in order of seniority. The Lower Tier II (LTII) securities are debt instruments with fixed maturities. Our Upper Tier II (UTII) and Tier I investments consisted of debt instruments with fixed maturities and perpetual securities, which have an economic maturity as opposed to a stated maturity.

 

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The following table shows the subordination distribution of our debt and perpetual securities as of December 31.

Subordination Distribution of Debt and Perpetual Securities

 

     

2009

    2008  
(In millions)    Amortized
Cost
     Percentage
of Total
    Amortized
Cost
     Percentage
of Total
 

Senior notes

   $ 54,971      76.5   $ 51,091      73.5
                                

Subordinated securities:

              

Fixed maturities
(stated maturity date):

              

Lower Tier II

     7,944      11.1        7,777      11.2   

Upper Tier II

     178      .2        340      .5   

Tier I*

     754      1.0        750      1.1   

Surplus notes

     336      .5        374      .5   

Trust preferred – non-banks

     85      .1        86      .1   

Other subordinated – non-banks

     52      .1        52      .1   
                                

Total fixed maturities

     9,349      13.0        9,379      13.5   
                                

Perpetual securities
(economic maturity date):

              

Upper Tier II

     5,200      7.2        6,532      9.4   

Tier I

     2,354      3.3        2,542      3.6   
                                

Total perpetual securities

     7,554      10.5        9,074      13.0   
                                

Total debt and perpetual securities

   $ 71,874      100.0   $ 69,544      100.0
                                
                                
* Includes trust preferred securities

Portfolio Composition

For information regarding the amortized cost for our investments in debt and perpetual securities, the cost for equity securities and the fair values of these investments, refer to Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.

Investment Concentrations

See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for a discussion of our investment discipline and our largest investment industry sector concentration, banks and financial institutions.

 

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Our largest global investment exposures as of December 31, 2009, were as follows:

Largest Global Investment Positions

 

     Amortized
Cost
 

% of Total

   

Seniority

  Ratings
(In millions)         Moody’s   S&P   Fitch

Government of Japan*

  $ 11,167   15.6   Senior   Aa2   AA   AA-

Israel Electric Corp.

    889   1.2      Senior   Baa2   BBB  

Republic of Tunisia

    868   1.2      Senior   Baa2   BBB   BBB

HSBC Holdings PLC

    793   1.1           

HSBC Finance Corporation (formerly Household Finance)

    568   .8      Senior   A3   A   AA-

Republic New York Corp.

    11        LTII   A2   A+   AA-

HSBC Bank PLC (RAV Int’l. Ltd.)

    54   .1      UTII   A2   A   AA-

The Hong Kong & Shanghai Banking Corp Ltd. (RAV Int’l. Ltd.)

    109   .2      UTII   Aa2    

HSBC Holdings PLC

    15        UTII   A1   A   AA-

HSBC Holdings PLC (HSBC Capital Funding LP)

    36        Tier I   A3   A-   AA-

Republic of South Africa

    665   .9      Senior   A3   BBB+   BBB+

Commerzbank AG