UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-K
FOR ANNUAL AND TRANSITION REPORTS PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d)
OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
x | ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2009
OR
¨ | TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the transition period from to
Commission file number 001-31721
AXIS CAPITAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
BERMUDA
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)
98-0395986
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)
92 Pitts Bay Road, Pembroke, Bermuda HM 08
(Address of principal executive offices and zip code)
(441) 496-2600
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class |
Name of each exchange on which registered | |
Common shares, par value $0.0125 per share 7.25% Series A preferred shares |
New York Stock Exchange New York Stock Exchange |
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act:
None
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act. Yes x No ¨
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act. Yes ¨ No x
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes x No ¨
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files). Yes ¨ No ¨
Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrants knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K. ¨
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of large accelerated filer, accelerated filer and smaller reporting company in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
Large accelerated filer x |
Accelerated filer ¨ | |
Non-accelerated filer ¨ (Do not check if a smaller reporting company) |
Smaller reporting company ¨ |
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes ¨ No x
The aggregate market value of the voting and non-voting common equity held by non-affiliates of the registrant, computed by reference to the closing price as of the last business day of the registrants most recently completed second fiscal quarter, June 30, 2009, was approximately $3.5 billion.
At February 16, 2010, there were outstanding 131,930,239 common shares, $0.0125 par value per share, of the registrant.
DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE
Portions of the registrants definitive proxy statement to be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission pursuant to Regulation 14A relating to the annual meeting of shareholders to be held on May 6, 2010 are incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page | ||||
PART I | ||||
Item 1. |
2 | |||
Item 1A. |
26 | |||
Item 1B. |
41 | |||
Item 2. |
42 | |||
Item 3. |
42 | |||
Item 4. |
42 | |||
PART II | ||||
Item 5. |
43 | |||
Item 6. |
44 | |||
Item 7. |
Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
45 | ||
Item 7A. |
116 | |||
Item 8. |
120 | |||
Item 9. |
Changes in and Disagreements with Accountants on Accounting and Financial Disclosure |
185 | ||
Item 9A. |
185 | |||
Item 9B. |
187 | |||
PART III | ||||
Item 10. |
187 | |||
Item 11. |
187 | |||
Item 12. |
Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related Stockholder Matters |
187 | ||
Item 13. |
Certain Relationships and Related Transactions and Director Independence |
187 | ||
Item 14. |
187 | |||
PART IV | ||||
Item 15. |
188 |
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-looking Statements
This Annual Report on Form 10-K contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the U.S. federal securities laws. We intend these forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements in the United States securities laws. In some cases, these statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking words such as may, should, could, anticipate, estimate, expect, plan, believe, predict, potential and intend. Forward-looking statements contained in this report may include information regarding our estimates of losses related to catastrophes and other large losses, measurements of potential losses in the fair value of our investment portfolio and derivative contracts, our expectations regarding pricing and other market conditions, our growth prospects, and valuations of the potential impact of movements in interest rates, equity prices, credit spreads and foreign currency rates. Forward-looking statements only reflect our expectations and are not guarantees of performance.
These statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in such statements. We believe that these factors include, but are not limited to, the following:
| the occurrence of natural and man-made disasters, |
| actual claims exceeding our loss reserves, |
| general economic, capital and credit market conditions and the persistence of the recent financial crisis, |
| the failure of any of the loss limitation methods we employ, |
| the effects of emerging claims and coverage issues, |
| the failure of our cedants to adequately evaluate risks, |
| inability to obtain additional capital on favorable terms, or at all, |
| the loss of one or more key executives, |
| a decline in our ratings with rating agencies, |
| loss of business provided to us by our major brokers, |
| changes in accounting policies or practices, |
| changes in governmental regulations, |
| increased competition, |
| changes in the political environment of certain countries in which we operate or underwrite business, |
| fluctuations in interest rates, credit spreads, equity prices and/or currency values, and |
| the other matters set forth under Item 1A, Risk Factors and Item 7, Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Conditions and Results of Operations included in this report. |
We undertake no obligation to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
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As used in this report, references to we, us, our or the Company refer to the consolidated operations of AXIS Capital Holdings Limited (AXIS Capital) and its direct and indirect subsidiaries and branches, including AXIS Specialty Limited (AXIS Specialty Bermuda), AXIS Specialty Limited (Singapore Branch), AXIS Specialty Europe Limited (AXIS Specialty Europe), AXIS Specialty London, AXIS Specialty Australia, AXIS Specialty Insurance Company (AXIS Specialty U.S.), AXIS Re Limited (AXIS Re Ltd.), AXIS Reinsurance Company (AXIS Re U.S.), AXIS Reinsurance Company (Canadian Branch), AXIS Surplus Insurance Company (AXIS Surplus), AXIS Insurance Company (AXIS Insurance Co.) and AXIS Re Europe, unless the context suggests otherwise. Tabular dollars are in thousands. Amounts in tables may not reconcile due to rounding differences.
GENERAL
AXIS Capital is the Bermuda-based holding company for the AXIS Group of Companies. AXIS Capital was incorporated on December 9, 2002. AXIS Specialty Bermuda commenced operations on November 20, 2001. AXIS Specialty Bermuda and its subsidiaries became wholly owned subsidiaries of AXIS Capital pursuant to an exchange offer consummated on December 31, 2002. Through our various operating subsidiaries and branches, we provide a broad range of insurance and reinsurance products to insureds and reinsureds worldwide operations with primary locations in Bermuda, the United States and Europe. Our business consists of two distinct global underwriting platforms, AXIS Insurance and AXIS Re.
During 2007, we purchased the assets of the Media Professional Division (Media Pro) of MPI Insurance Agency, Inc., an Aon Group, Inc. subsidiary. Media Pro was a full-service managing general underwriter with operations in the U.S., Canada and the U.K. We were the exclusive carrier for several of Media Pros programs for the prior two years, and this purchase gave us the renewal rights to their broader professional lines portfolio.
During 2008, as part of our long-term strategy of global expansion, we established new underwriting branches in Singapore, Australia and Canada.
During 2009, we purchased Dexta Corporation Pty Ltd (Dexta), an underwriting agency in Australia. Since 2005, we have been providing professional indemnity, directors and officers liability and information technology liability insurance coverages as a direct offshore foreign insurer in Australia through Dexta. Effective January 1, 2009, the insurance coverages previously underwritten through Dexta are underwritten directly by AXIS Specialty Australia.
Also in 2009, we established a new Global Accident & Health line of business within our insurance segment which, as of January 2010, provides domestic and international reinsurance coverage on a quota share, excess of loss and aggregate excess of loss basis. Coverages underwritten will include corporate personal accident and business travel accident products, association/affinity programs, student accident and catastrophic health products. We also expect to offer through this line of business U.S. insurance products including personal accident, business travel accident, student accident and sickness and special risks, including youth activities, day care and non-profit groups. These products will be offered to employer/employee and affinity groups as well as financial institutions, including banks, credit card issuers and credit unions.
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OUR BUSINESS STRATEGY
Our long-term business strategy focuses on utilizing our managements extensive expertise, experience and long-standing market relationships to identify and underwrite attractively priced risks while delivering insurance and reinsurance solutions to our customers. Our underwriters worldwide are focused on constructing a portfolio of risks that effectively utilizes our capital while optimizing the risk-reward characteristics of the portfolio. We exercise disciplined underwriting practices and manage a diverse book of business while seeking to maximize our profitability and generate superior returns on equity. To afford ourselves ample opportunity to construct a portfolio diversified by product and geography that meets our profitability and return objectives, we have implemented organic growth strategies in key markets worldwide.
The markets in which we operate have historically been cyclical. During periods of excess underwriting capacity, as defined by availability of capital, competition can result in lower pricing and less favorable policy terms and conditions for insurers and reinsurers. During periods of reduced underwriting capacity, pricing and policy terms and conditions are generally more favorable for insurers and reinsurers. Historically, underwriting capacity has been impacted by several factors, including industry losses, catastrophes, changes in legal and regulatory guidelines, investment results and the ratings and financial strength of competitors.
Our near-term strategies conform to our long-term objectives but also reflect changes and opportunities within the global marketplace. The following is an overview of the insurance and reinsurance market since our first full year of operations in 2002, together with a discussion as to how we have evolved during this period. The following table shows gross premiums written in each of our segments over the last five years:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | |||||||||||
Insurance |
$ | 1,775,590 | $ | 1,841,934 | $ | 2,039,214 | $ | 2,070,467 | $ | 1,875,017 | ||||||
Reinsurance |
1,811,705 | 1,548,454 | 1,550,876 | 1,538,569 | 1,518,868 | |||||||||||
Total |
$ | 3,587,295 | $ | 3,390,388 | $ | 3,590,090 | $ | 3,609,036 | $ | 3,393,885 | ||||||
We were established in late 2001 to take advantage of the significant imbalance that had been created between the demand for insurance and reinsurance and the supply of capacity from adequately capitalized insurers and reinsurers. Pricing and deductibles were increasing dramatically and policy terms and coverages tightening across many specialist lines of business. In a short period of time following our formation, we were able to assemble a diverse portfolio of specialist insurance risks. We also established a property reinsurance portfolio largely comprising worldwide catastrophe exposure. Since our inception, we have focused our efforts on identifying and recruiting talented specialist underwriters and diligently building our infrastructure to access and analyze risks for our global portfolio and to deliver service of the highest quality to our clients.
During 2003, we were able to further diversify our global business by adding select underwriting teams and infrastructure in the U.S. and in Europe. Specifically, we established a meaningful presence in the wholesale insurance market in the U.S., which allowed us to quickly take advantage of favorable market conditions. We also entered the professional lines insurance business through a renewal rights transaction and simultaneous recruitment of an underwriting team from Kemper. The shortage of capacity for U.S. professional lines reinsurance business served as an opportunity for further diversification of our global treaty reinsurance business and establishment of a local presence in the U.S. reinsurance marketplace. By the end of 2003, we had also established a local presence in the Continental European reinsurance marketplace, allowing us to diversify into
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other traditional European treaty reinsurance business including motor liability and credit and bond. The establishment and growth of our U.S. and European reinsurance underwriting operations contributed to significant premium growth in our reinsurance segment during 2004 and 2005.
Since these early years of substantial growth, we have continued to establish our position in the global insurance and reinsurance marketplace. This has been against the backdrop of a softening market cycle throughout many of our property and liability lines of business, with increased competition, surplus underwriting capacity and deteriorating rates, terms and conditions all having an impact on our ability to write business. Despite this, our strong diversity by product and geography, has allowed us to effectively reallocate underwriting capacity around our business operations as we see market conditions change and business opportunities arise, allowing us to maintain a relatively stable level of gross premiums written during this period.
Within our reinsurance segment, although market conditions have not been particularly conducive to premium growth in recent years, including a trend of greater risk and retention appetite in the industry, conditions have generally been better than the primary market which has provided us with an opportunity to achieve greater market penetration in the U.S. and European reinsurance markets over this period. Further, market conditions improved across several lines of business during 2009, which, along with specific growth opportunities, allowed us to expand the segment this year.
Within our insurance segment, market conditions have been increasingly competitive for several years, with surplus capacity and price deterioration prevalent across most of our portfolio. As a result we have reduced our participation in certain business in recent years. The impact of this has been partially offset by specific growth opportunities. This has included the expansion of our professional lines business, both through the purchase of the Media Pro business in 2007 as well as new business opportunities arising during 2008 and 2009 in the aftermath of the financial market crisis. In recent years, we have also added underwriting expertise to our credit and political risk team and established a branch in Singapore, which has provided us with access to a broader range of distribution channels. This has allowed us to provide more products which are not as closely correlated to the property and liability cycle, in particular, emerging market sovereign and corporate credit. Our ability and appetite to write this business, however, was negatively impacted in the latter part of 2008 and throughout 2009 by the effects of the global financial crisis. In 2009, we established a new Global Accident and Health line of business within our insurance segment, which effective January 2010, provides corporate personal accident and business travel coverage as well as specialty and catastrophe health and ancillary property and casualty coverage. We intend to initially grow this business in the U.S. market and expand into the European, Canadian, Australian and Asian markets over time.
During 2007, we created a new Ceded Reinsurance Unit to coordinate our reinsurance purchasing activities, improve efficiency and consistency and take advantage of new opportunities in the marketplace. In recent years, we have expanded our reinsurance coverage, particularly for professional lines and casualty insurance business. This strategy has allowed us to reduce our overall net retentions relative to previous years and therefore deliver more value through an improvement in our risk/reward position.
Our use of technology allows us to maintain a low-cost infrastructure and efficient underwriting operations. In addition, we believe our technological capabilities provide us with competitive advantages as we seek to improve our relationships with our customers, provide enhanced levels of customer service and optimize our internal decision making process. During 2009, we implemented additional levels of back-up across our core processing systems, communication networks and databases to mitigate the disruption to fundamental business processing. We also expanded our usability of remote application technologies (i.e., remote access, web applications), video conferencing and geographically dispersed data synchronization to meet the demands of a more mobile and dispersed workforce.
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We continue to strengthen our enterprise risk management framework, having created a separate Risk Management department during 2008. We value the strategic significance of an effective risk management structure, particularly in todays complex environment. Our ERM practices are currently evaluated as Strong by Standard & Poors (S&P).
SEGMENT INFORMATION
Our underwriting operations are organized around our two global underwriting platforms, AXIS Insurance and AXIS Re and therefore we have determined that we have two reportable segments, insurance and reinsurance. Except for goodwill and intangible assets, we do not allocate our assets by segment as we evaluate the underwriting results of each segment separately from the results of our investment portfolio. Financial data relating to our segments is included in Note 3 to our Consolidated Financial Statements presented under Item 8 and in Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, under Item 7.
Insurance Segment
Lines of Business and Distribution
Our insurance segment offers specialty insurance products to a variety of niche markets on a worldwide basis. The following are the lines of business in our insurance segment:
| Property: provides physical loss or damage, business interruption and machinery breakdown coverage for virtually all types of property, including commercial buildings, residential premises, construction projects and onshore energy installations. This line of business consists of both primary and excess risks, some of which are catastrophe-exposed. |
| Marine: provides coverage for traditional marine classes, including offshore energy, cargo, liability, recreational marine, fine art, specie, hull and war. Offshore energy coverages include physical damage, business interruption, operators extra expense and liability coverage for all aspects of offshore upstream energy, from exploration and construction through the operation and distribution phases. |
| Terrorism: provides coverage for physical damage and business interruption of an insured following an act of terrorism. |
| Aviation: provides hull and liability and specific war coverage primarily for passenger airlines but also for cargo operations, general aviation operations, airports, aviation authorities, security firms and product manufacturers. |
| Credit and political risk: provides credit and political risk insurance products for banks and corporations. Coverage is provided for a range of risks including sovereign default, credit default, political violence, currency inconvertibility and non-transfer, expropriation, aircraft non-repossession and contract frustration due to political events. The credit insurance coverage is primarily for lenders seeking to mitigate the risk of non-payment from their borrowers in emerging markets. For the credit insurance contracts, it is necessary for the buyer of the insurance (most often a bank) to hold an insured asset (most often an underlying loan) in order to claim compensation under the insurance contract. The traditional political risk coverage provides protection against sovereign actions that result in the impairment of cross-border investments for banks and major corporations (known as CEND coverages). |
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| Professional lines: provides coverage for directors and officers liability, errors and omissions liability, employment practices liability, fiduciary liability, crime, professional indemnity and other financial insurance related coverages for commercial enterprises, financial institutions and not-for-profit organizations. This business is predominantly written on a claims-made basis. |
| Liability: primarily targets primary and low/mid-level excess and umbrella commercial liability risks in the U.S. excess and surplus lines markets. Target industry sectors include construction, manufacturing, transportation and trucking and other services. |
| Other: primarily consists of employee medical coverage for self-insured, small and medium sized employers, for losses in excess of a given retention. |
We produce business primarily through wholesale and retail brokers worldwide. Some of our insurance products are also distributed through managing general agents and underwriters. In the U.S., we have the ability to write business on an admitted basis using forms and rates as filed with state insurance regulators and on a non-admitted basis, or surplus lines basis, with flexibility in forms and rates as these are not filed with state regulators. Having non-admitted carriers in our U.S. group of companies provides the pricing flexibility needed to write non-standard coverage. Substantially all of our insurance business is written subject to aggregate limits, in addition to event limits.
Gross premiums written by broker, shown individually where premiums are 10% or more of the total in any of the last three years, were as follows:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | |||||||||||||
Marsh |
$ | 309,278 | 17% | $ | 262,417 | 14% | $ | 264,964 | 13% | |||||||
Aon |
270,658 | 15% | 237,993 | 13% | 259,929 | 13% | ||||||||||
Willis |
150,197 | 9% | 156,887 | 9% | 202,531 | 10% | ||||||||||
Other brokers |
803,183 | 45% | 953,852 | 52% | 1,056,163 | 52% | ||||||||||
Managing general agencies and underwriters |
242,274 | 14% | 230,785 | 12% | 255,627 | 12% | ||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,775,590 | 100% | $ | 1,841,934 | 100% | $ | 2,039,214 | 100% | |||||||
No major customer accounted for more than 10% of the gross premiums written in the insurance segment.
Competitive Environment
We operate in highly competitive markets. In our insurance segment, where competition is focused on price as well as availability, service and other considerations, we compete with U.S. based companies with global insurance operations, as well as non U.S. global carriers and indigenous companies in regional and local markets. We believe we achieve a competitive advantage through a strong capital position and the strategic and operational linking of our practices, which allows us to design insurance programs on a global basis in alignment with the global needs of many of our clients.
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Reinsurance Segment
Lines of Business and Distribution
Our reinsurance segment operates through offices based in Bermuda, New York, Zurich and Singapore. We focus on writing business on an excess of loss basis, where possible, whereby we typically provide an indemnification to the reinsured entity for a portion of losses both individually and in the aggregate, on policies in excess of a specified individual or aggregate loss deductible. For business written on a proportional basis, we receive an agreed percentage of the premium and are liable for the same percentage of incurred losses. Reinsurance may be written on a portfolio/treaty basis or on an individual risk/facultative basis. The majority of our business is written on a treaty basis and primarily offered to us by reinsurance brokers worldwide.
Our reinsurance segment provides non-life reinsurance to insurance companies on a worldwide basis. The following are the lines of business in our reinsurance segment:
| Catastrophe: provides protection for most catastrophic losses that are covered in the underlying insurance policies written by our cedants. The exposure in the underlying policies is principally property exposure but also covers other exposures including workers compensation, personal accident and life. The principal perils in this portfolio are hurricane and windstorm, earthquake, flood, tornado, hail and fire. In some instances, terrorism may be a covered peril or the only peril. We underwrite catastrophe reinsurance principally on an excess of loss basis. |
| Property: includes reinsurance written on both a proportional and a per risk excess of loss basis and covers underlying personal lines and commercial property exposures. Here the primary reason for the product is not simply to protect against catastrophic perils, however they are normally included with limitations. |
| Professional Liability: covers directors and officers liability, employment practices liability, medical malpractice, lawyers and accountants liability, environmental liability and miscellaneous errors and omissions insurance risks. The underlying business is predominantly written on a claims-made basis. Business is written on both a proportional and excess of loss basis. |
| Credit and Bond: consists of reinsurance of trade credit insurance products and includes both proportional and excess of loss structures. The underlying insurance indemnifies sellers of goods and services in the event of a payment default by the buyer of those goods and services. Also included in this line of business is coverage for losses arising from a broad array of surety bonds issued by bond insurers principally to satisfy regulatory demands in a variety of jurisdictions around the world. |
| Motor: provides coverage to cedants for motor liability and, to a lesser degree, property damage losses arising out of any one occurrence. The occurrence can involve one or many claimants where the ceding insurer aggregates the claims from the occurrence. |
| Liability: provides coverage to insurers of standard casualty business, excess and surplus casualty business and specialty casualty programs. The primary focus of the underlying business is general liability, although workers compensation and auto liability are also written. |
| Engineering: provides coverage for all types of construction risks and risks associated with erection, testing and commissioning of machinery and plants during the construction stage. This line of business also includes coverage for losses arising from operational failures of machinery, plant and equipment and electronic equipment as well as business interruption. |
| Other: includes aviation, marine, personal accident and crop reinsurance. |
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Gross premiums written by broker, shown individually where premiums are 10% or more of the total in any of the last three years, were as follows:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | |||||||||||||
Aon |
$ | 677,810 | 37% | $ | 536,435 | 35% | $ | 506,198 | 33% | |||||||
Marsh |
496,900 | 27% | 507,257 | 33% | 550,036 | 35% | ||||||||||
Willis |
404,428 | 22% | 253,647 | 16% | 190,603 | 12% | ||||||||||
Other brokers |
62,944 | 4% | 145,834 | 9% | 194,224 | 13% | ||||||||||
Direct |
169,623 | 10% | 105,281 | 7% | 109,815 | 7% | ||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,811,705 | 100% | $ | 1,548,454 | 100% | $ | 1,550,876 | 100% | |||||||
No major customer accounted for more than 10% of the gross premiums written in the reinsurance segment.
Competitive Environment
In our reinsurance segment where competition tends to be focused on availability, service, financial strength and increasingly price, we compete with major U.S. and non-U.S. reinsurers as well as reinsurance departments of numerous multi-line insurance organizations. We believe we achieve a competitive advantage through our strong capital position as well as our technical expertise that allows us to respond quickly to customer needs and provide quality and innovative underwriting solutions. In addition, our customers highly value our exemplary service, strong capitalization and financial strength ratings.
REINSURANCE PROTECTION
Our Ceded Reinsurance Unit coordinates the purchase of treaty and facultative reinsurance to reduce our exposure to large losses or a series of large losses. All treaty reinsurance purchases and our facultative reinsurance strategies are pre-approved by our Reinsurance Purchasing Group, which consists of senior management. Facultative reinsurance provides for all or a portion of the insurance provided by a single policy and each policy reinsured is individually negotiated. Treaty reinsurance provides for a specified type or category of risks. Our reinsurance agreements may be on an excess of loss or proportional basis. Excess of loss covers provide a contractually set amount of cover after an excess point has been reached. This excess point can be based on the size of an industry loss or a fixed monetary amount. These covers can be purchased on a package policy basis, which provide cover for a number of lines of business within one contract. Proportional covers provide a proportional amount of coverage from the first dollar of loss. All of these reinsurance covers provide for recovery of a portion of losses and loss expenses from reinsurers. We remain liable for the original claim to the extent that reinsurers do not meet their obligations under these agreements.
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RESERVE FOR UNPAID LOSSES AND LOSS EXPENSES
We establish reserves for losses and loss expenses that arise from our insurance and reinsurance products. These reserves are balance sheet liabilities representing estimates of future amounts required to pay losses and loss expenses for insured or reinsured claims that have occurred at or before the balance sheet date, whether already known or not yet reported. Our loss reserves are established based upon our estimate of the total cost of claims that were reported to us but not yet paid (case reserves), and the anticipated cost of claims incurred but not yet reported to us (IBNR).
The table below shows the development of our loss reserves since inception. To illustrate an understanding of the information in this table, following is an example using reserves established at December 31, 2005.
The top lines of the table show for successive balance sheet dates the gross and net unpaid losses and loss expenses recorded at or prior to each balance sheet date. It can be seen that at December 31, 2005, a reserve of $3,270 million, net of reinsurance had been established.
The lower part of the table presents the net amounts paid as of periods subsequent to the balance sheet date. Hence in the year ended December 31, 2006, net payments of $880 million were made from the December 31, 2005 reserve balance. By the end of 2009, cumulative net payments against the December 31, 2005 net reserves were $1,771 million.
The upper part of the table shows the revised estimate of the net liabilities originally recorded as of the end of subsequent years. With the benefit of actual loss emergence over the intervening period, the net liabilities incurred as of December 31, 2005, are now estimated to be $2,529 million, rather than the original estimate of $3,270 million. Of the cumulative redundancy of $741 million recognized in the four years since December 31, 2005, $217 million was identified and recorded in 2006, $115 million in 2007, $188 million in 2008 and $221 million in 2009.
Importantly, the cumulative deficiency or redundancy for different balance sheet dates is not independent and therefore, should not be added together. In 2009, we have revised our estimate of the December 31, 2005, liabilities from $2,750 million to $2,529 million. This favorable development of $221 million will also be included in each column to the right of December 31, 2005, to recognize that there was also reserve redundancy in the reserves established at December 31, 2006, 2007 and 2008.
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Year ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross reserve for losses and loss expenses |
$ | 963 | $ | 215,934 | $ | 992,846 | $ | 2,404,560 | $ | 4,743,338 | $ | 5,015,113 | $ | 5,587,311 | $ | 6,244,783 | $ | 6,564,133 | |||||||||||||||||
Reinsurance recoverable |
- | (1,703 | ) | (124,899 | ) | (564,314 | ) | (1,473,241 | ) | (1,310,904 | ) | (1,297,539 | ) | (1,314,551 | ) | (1,381,058 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||
Net losses and loss expenses reserve |
963 | 214,231 | 867,947 | 1,840,246 | 3,270,097 | 3,704,209 | 4,289,772 | 4,930,232 | 5,183,075 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net reserves reestimated as of: |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1 Year later |
$ | 165 | $ | 158,443 | $ | 686,235 | $ | 1,457,250 | $ | 3,053,561 | $ | 3,367,232 | $ | 3,913,485 | $ | 4,507,061 | |||||||||||||||||||
2 Years later |
165 | 141,290 | 539,110 | 1,179,851 | 2,938,734 | 3,076,025 | 3,533,313 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3 Years later |
165 | 109,711 | 434,221 | 1,080,083 | 2,750,476 | 2,773,158 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4 Years later |
196 | 97,981 | 386,029 | 962,910 | 2,529,259 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5 Years later |
196 | 96,864 | 347,544 | 889,190 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6 Years later |
196 | 96,179 | 326,729 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 Years later |
196 | 92,517 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8 Years later |
196 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cumulative redundancy |
$ | 767 | $ | 121,714 | $ | 541,218 | $ | 951,056 | $ | 740,838 | $ | 931,051 | $ | 756,459 | $ | 423,171 | |||||||||||||||||||
Cumulative net paid losses |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1 Year later |
$ | 15 | $ | 47,838 | $ | 108,547 | $ | 291,695 | $ | 880,120 | $ | 636,266 | $ | 615,717 | $ | 982,036 | |||||||||||||||||||
2 Years later |
125 | 56,781 | 169,853 | 432,963 | 1,292,738 | 999,280 | 1,147,990 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3 Years later |
165 | 66,569 | 202,136 | 511,325 | 1,500,652 | 1,355,821 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4 Years later |
165 | 63,835 | 221,644 | 574,874 | 1,771,039 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5 Years later |
165 | 72,323 | 245,978 | 615,920 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6 Years later |
165 | 80,099 | 254,676 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 Years later |
165 | 81,130 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8 Years later |
165 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Impact of unrealized foreign exchange movements: |
$ | - | $ | 961 | $ | 3,240 | $ | 4,664 | $ | (13,329 | ) | $ | 23,581 | $ | 28,588 | $ | (133,345 | ) | $ | 82,018 | |||||||||||||||
Gross reserve for losses and loss expenses re-estimated |
$ | 196 | $ | 111,420 | $ | 439,930 | $ | 1,434,178 | $ | 3,922,252 | $ | 3,961,497 | $ | 4,669,039 | $ | 5,771,504 | |||||||||||||||||||
Reinsurance recoverable |
- | (18,903 | ) | (113,201 | ) | (544,988 | ) | (1,392,993 | ) | (1,188,339 | ) | (1,135,726 | ) | (1,264,443 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net losses and loss expenses reserve re-estimated |
196 | 92,517 | 326,729 | 889,190 | 2,529,259 | 2,773,158 | 3,533,313 | 4,507,061 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cumulative redundancy on gross reserve |
$ | 767 | $ | 104,514 | $ | 552,916 | $ | 970,382 | $ | 821,086 | $ | 1,053,616 | $ | 918,272 | $ | 473,279 | |||||||||||||||||||
The table above also shows the impact of foreign exchange rate movements. Movements in foreign exchange rates between periods result in variations in our net loss reserves, as the U.S. dollar, our reporting currency, strengthens or weakens against underlying currencies. For example, for the year ended December 31, 2009, the weakening of the U.S. dollar, primarily against the Euro and Sterling, resulted in an $82 million increase in our net loss reserves, established prior to, or during, 2009. We generally hold investments in the same currency as our net reserves, with the intent of matching the impact of foreign exchange movements on our assets and liabilities.
Conditions and trends that affected the development of liabilities in the past may not necessarily occur in the future. Accordingly, it may be inappropriate to anticipate future redundancies or deficiencies based on historical experience. The key issues and considerations involved in establishing our estimate of our loss reserves is discussed in more detail within the Critical Accounting Estimates Reserve for Losses and Loss Expenses section of Item 7. For additional information regarding the key underlying movements in our loss reserves in the last three years, refer to the Group Underwriting Results Loss Ratio section of Item 7.
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CASH AND INVESTMENTS
We seek to balance the investment portfolios objectives of (1) increasing book value with (2) the generation of stable investment income, while providing sufficient liquidity to meet our claims and other obligations. Liquidity needs arising from potential claims are of primary importance and are considered in asset class participation and the asset allocation process. Intermediate maturity investment grade fixed income securities have duration characteristics similar to our expected claim payouts and are therefore central to our investment portfolios asset allocation. At December 31, 2009, the duration of our fixed maturities portfolio was 3 years, which approximates the estimated duration of our net insurance liabilities.
To optimize the growth in our book value, we may invest in other asset classes such as equity securities, high yield securities and alternative investments (e.g. hedge funds) which provide higher potential total rates of return. Such investments involve varying degrees of risk, including the potential for more volatile returns and reduced liquidity.
With regard to our investment portfolio, we utilize third party investment managers for security selection and trade execution functions, subject to our guidelines and objectives for each asset class. This enables us to actively manage our investment portfolio with access to top talents specializing in various products and markets. We select the managers based on various criteria including investment style, track record, performance and corporate governance. Additionally, we monitor approved investment asset classes for each subsidiary through analysis of our operating environment, including expected volatility of cash flows, overall capital position, regulatory and rating agency considerations. The Finance Committee of our Board of Directors approves our overall group asset allocation targets and investment policy and guidelines to ensure that they are consistent with our overall goals, strategies and objectives. We also have an Investment Committee, comprising senior management, which oversees the implementation of our investment strategy.
For additional information regarding the investment portfolio refer to the Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Cash and Investments section Item 7 and Note 5 Investments to our Consolidated Financial Statements presented under Item 8.
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ENTERPRISE RISK MANAGEMENT
OVERVIEW
Enterprise Risk Management (ERM)
ERM is our group-wide framework for identifying, managing, reporting and responding to risks that could affect the achievement of our strategic and financial objectives. The objectives of our ERM framework are to:
| Protect our capital base by monitoring the most efficient deployment of capital |
| Monitor risk-taking within the Company against our risk-taking appetite; |
| Enhance value creation and contribute to an optimal risk-return profile; and |
| Support our group-wide decision making process by providing reliable and timely risk information. |
Risk Landscape
Within our ERM framework, we distinguish between the following sources of risk:
| Insurance the inherent uncertainty as to the occurrence, amount and timing of insurance liabilities transferred to us through the underwriting process. |
| Credit the risk of incurring financial loss due to diminished creditworthiness of our counterparties. |
| Investment risk of potential losses in our investment portfolio as a result of market risks, as well as risk inherent in individual securities. |
| Operational risks associated with our people, processes and systems, including external events. |
| Funding and liquidity the risk that we are unable to meet our short-term financial obligations or raise funds to finance our commitments at an affordable cost. For further review of our liquidity and capital management refer to the Liquidity and Capital Resources section of Item 7. |
Risk Governance
The Risk Committee of our Board of Directors (Board) oversees, on the basis of proposals from management, the creation of a framework for the management of risk. The framework, ultimately approved by the Board, includes our risk management methodologies, standards, tolerances, and risk strategies. Our Risk Committee also assesses whether management is addressing risk issues in a timely and appropriate manner.
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Our Risk Management Committee, comprising our Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, Chief Risk Officer and senior management from both our insurance and reinsurance segments and operations, is responsible for maintaining our risk standards as well as monitoring aggregations, risk tolerances and emerging risks. The Risk Management Committee acts as an interface between our Risk Committee and management, who are responsible for managing our business within defined risk tolerances.
Our Risk Management department oversees risk taking activities throughout the group, providing guidance and support for risk management practices. The Risk Management department is also responsible for assessing the combined impact of all risks and reporting on the groups risk position by class of risk, segment of business, legal entity and group.
Our risk governance structure is complemented by our Internal Audit department. Internal Audit is an independent, objective assurance function that assesses the adequacy and effectiveness of our internal control systems. Internal audit also coordinates risk-based audits and compliance reviews and other specific initiatives to evaluate and address risk within targeted areas of our business.
Our risk management philosophy, framework and practices have provided us with stability during volatile times and we continuously seek to refine and update our approach. Regular, clear and open communication has helped us to build a consistent risk management culture across our diverse organization.
Risk Appetite
Our basis for accepting risk is determined by our risk appetite, as approved by our Board. Our risk appetite is a function of our capital, profitability and stakeholder expectations of the types of risk we hold within our business. The Risk Committee regularly reviews our risk profile to ensure alignment with our risk appetite.
Our risk appetite primarily reflects our tolerance for risk from our overall underwriting portfolio, including individual events (natural peril or non natural peril catastrophes), and from our investment portfolio. In addition, we specifically focus on the relationship between combinations of different risks to assess the potential for reduction in our profitability and capital base. Ensuring that our capital is sufficient to take advantage of market opportunities even in stressed market conditions is of key importance.
An element of our ERM framework is our economic capital model. Utilizing this modeling framework provides us with a holistic view of the capital we put at risk in any year by allowing us to understand the relative interaction between all of the risks impacting us. This integrated approach recognizes that a single risk factor can affect different sub-portfolios and that different risk factors can have different mutual dependencies. The economic capital model is used to support, inform and improve decision making across the Group. The model is regularly updated to reflect changes in our business and the external environment.
Recognizing that in extreme scenarios, many risks may interact to cause an impairment of our capital, our Board requires that the enterprise risk within our business is managed to preserve capital under such stress conditions. Our Board also recognizes that financial strength ratings are a key element of our competitive positioning and our ability to raise further capital. We actively manage and monitor our available capital against the capital required to operate at our targeted financial strength rating. We also review our available capital, both at a group and individual legal entity level, against the evolving capital requirements of the risk-based regulatory regimes to which we are subject.
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MANAGING INSURANCE RISKS
Overview
Since our inception in 2001, we have expanded our international underwriting presence, with offices in Bermuda, the U.S., Europe, Singapore, Canada and Australia. Our disciplined underwriting approach coupled with an extensive group wide peer review process has enabled us to manage this growth in a controlled and consistent manner. This, coupled with our focus on maintaining high levels of experience in our underwriting teams, has ensured that our risk profile aligns closely with our defined risk appetite. We emphasize quality of underwriting rather than volume of business or market share.
A critical element of our management of insurance risk is our rigorous peer review process which allows us to monitor market conditions and aggregations risk-by-risk, at the highest levels within the Company. Another key component of our mitigation of insurance risk is the purchase of reinsurance. The business that we accept is not always fully retained; but instead portions may be reinsured. We have a centralized Reinsurance Purchasing Group which coordinates our reinsurance purchasing as part of our overall risk management strategy.
Modeling natural peril catastrophes
Natural peril catastrophic risk is our largest aggregate exposure. In managing this risk, we are concerned with both the loss of capital due to a single event and the loss of capital that would occur from multiple (but perhaps small events) in any year. Natural catastrophes such as earthquakes, storms and floods represent a challenge for risk management due to their accumulation potential and occurrence volatility.
We use multiple commercial vendor models to price and accumulate risks. These models cover the major peril regions where we face potential exposure. In our reinsurance segment, we have also developed an internal proprietary application which allows us to track the results from various models for both pricing and aggregation purposes. Modeling allows us to simulate many hypothetical loss scenarios to supplement our experienced underwriting judgment. We centrally oversee our modeling for consistency in approach and form a global perspective on our group-wide accumulations.
We impose limits on natural peril catastrophe risk exposure at the group level. Based on our current tolerance, we are not willing to lose more than 25% of our prior year-end capital for a modeled single occurrence 1-in-250 year return period probable maximum net loss. We also impose limits on probable maximum losses in any one zone from a single event. A zone is a geographical area in which insurance risks are considered to be correlated to a single catastrophe event. Our executive management receives regular reports on our group-wide total natural peril exposures by peril and territory to ensure active monitoring of our risk positions.
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The table below shows our loss exposures to peak natural peril catastrophe territories. We have developed these loss estimates using vendor models and our own assessments for non vendor modeled exposures. These estimates include assumptions regarding the location, size and magnitude of an event, the frequency of events, the construction type and damageability of property in a zone, and the cost of rebuilding property in a zone.
(in millions of U.S. dollars)
Zone |
Perils | 50 Year Return Period |
100 Year Return Period |
250 Year Return Period |
||||||||
U.S. |
Hurricane | $ | 692.9 | $ | 958.5 | $ | 1,292.3 | |||||
California |
Earthquake | 391.4 | 671.7 | 968.0 | ||||||||
Europe |
Windstorm | 432.9 | 679.4 | 945.5 | ||||||||
Japan |
Earthquake | 234.5 | 325.6 | 595.9 | ||||||||
Japan |
Windstorm | 91.1 | 137.0 | 150.8 | ||||||||
The following table provides our estimate of industry losses for the corresponding scenarios above:
(in billions of U.S. dollars)
Zone |
Perils | 50 Year Return Period |
100 Year Return Period |
250 Year Return Period |
||||||||
U.S. |
Hurricane | $ | 78.1 | $ | 121.1 | $ | 194.6 | |||||
California |
Earthquake | 16.3 | 27.9 | 50.0 | ||||||||
Europe |
Windstorm | 21.2 | 30.3 | 44.0 | ||||||||
Japan |
Earthquake | 14.7 | 20.8 | 37.8 | ||||||||
Japan |
Windstorm | 15.3 | 20.8 | 33.8 | ||||||||
The return period refers to the frequency with which losses of a given amount or greater are expected to occur. The figures take into account the fact that an event may trigger claims in a number of lines of business. For instance, our U.S. hurricane modeling includes, among other things, the estimated pre-tax impact to our financial results arising from our catastrophe, property, engineering, energy, marine and aviation lines of business. As indicated in the table above, our modeled single occurrence 1-in-100 year return period U.S. hurricane probable maximum loss, net of reinsurance, is approximately $959 million (or 17% of shareholders equity at December 31, 2009). According to our modeling, there is a one percent chance that our losses incurred in any single U.S. hurricane event could be in excess of $959 million. Conversely, there is a 99% chance that the loss from a U.S. hurricane will fall below $959 million. We estimate that, an event that gave rise to such hypothetical loss levels, at this return period, would cause industry losses of approximately $121 billion, resulting in an estimated market share of insured losses for us of 0.8%.
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Managing risks from man-made catastrophes
Similar to our management of natural peril catastrophe exposures, we also take a similar focused and analytical approach to our management of man-made catastrophes. Man-made catastrophes, which include such risks as train collisions, airplane crashes, hotel fires or terrorism, are harder to model in terms of assumptions regarding intensity and frequency. For these risks we couple the vendor models (where available) with our bespoke modeling and underwriting judgment and expertise. This allows us to take advantage of business opportunities relating to man-made catastrophe exposures particularly where we can measure and limit the risk sufficiently as well as obtain risk-adequate pricing.
As an example of our approach, our assessment of terrorism risk is based on a mixture of qualitative and quantitative data (e.g. for estimating property damage, business interruption, mortality and morbidity subsequent to an attack of a predefined magnitude), which we use to control, limit and manage our aggregate terrorism exposure. We use vendor modeling and bespoke modeling tools to measure accumulations around potential terrorism accumulation zones on a deterministic and probabilistic basis. We supplement the results of our modeling with underwriting judgment.
Managing reserving risk
Our prudent reserving process demands data quality and reliability and requires a quantitative and qualitative review of both our overall reserves and individual large claims. Within a structured control framework, real-time claims information is communicated on a regular basis throughout our organization, including to senior management, to provide an increased awareness regarding the losses that have taken place throughout the insurance markets. The detailed and analytical reserving approach that follows is designed to absorb and understand the latest information on our reported and unreported claims, to recognize the resultant exposure as quickly as possible, no matter how large, and above all else, to make appropriate and realistic provisions in our financial statements.
Reserving for long-tail lines of business, and in particular liability business, represents the most significant reserving risk for us. When loss trends prove to be higher than those underlying our reserving assumptions, the risk is greater because of a stacking-up effect: for liability business, we carry reserves to cover claims arising from several years of underwriting activity and these reserves are likely to be adversely affected by unfavorable loss trends. We manage and mitigate reserving risk on liability business in a variety of ways. First, we limit the amount of liability business we write in line with maintaining a well balanced and diversified global portfolio of business. In 2009, net premiums written on liability business represented less than 20% of our consolidated total. We purchase extensive reinsurance on liability business in our insurance segment to reduce our net positions.
Additionally, our underwriters and actuaries follow a disciplined underwriting process that utilizes all available data and information, including industry trends. Our underwriting guidelines within each business stipulate detailed pricing information required from clients, including historical premium development, historical loss experience, targeted loss ratio and exposure rate information. Our underwriters and pricing actuaries supplement this with data purchased externally. In our reinsurance segment, we also conduct an extensive program of cedant underwriting and claims audits which allow us to better inform our underwriting and reserving decisions. We employ contract wording specialists, who, along with our legal department and underwriters, are involved in contract wording reviews. These reviews help us clarify contract wording and reflect the understanding of our underwriters. These reviews are particularly important when new clauses or changes in clauses are proposed. We have established prudent reserving policies for determining carried reserves. These policies are systemic and we endeavor to apply them consistently over time.
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Managing claims handling risk
In accepting risk, we are committing to the payment of claims and therefore these risks must be understood and controlled. We have claims teams located throughout our main operating locations. Our claim teams include a diverse group of experienced professionals, including claims adjusters and attorneys. We also use approved external service providers, such as independent adjusters and appraisers, surveyors, accountants, investigators and specialist attorneys, as appropriate. We maintain claims handling guidelines and claims reporting control and escalation procedures in all our claims units. To ensure that claims are handled and reported in accordance with these guidelines, all large claims matters are reviewed during weekly claims meetings. The minutes from each meeting also are circulated to our underwriters, senior management and others involved in the reserving process. To maintain communication between underwriting and claims teams, claims personnel regularly report at underwriting meetings and frequently attend client meetings.
When we receive notice of a claim, regardless of size, it is recorded within our underwriting and claims system. To assist with the reporting of significant claims, we have also developed a large claims information database, or LCID. The database is primarily used to produce flash reports for significant events and potential insurance or reinsurance losses, regardless of whether we have exposure. The system allows a direct notification to be promptly communicated to underwriters and senior management worldwide. Similarly, for natural peril catastrophes, we have developed a catastrophe database that allows for the gathering, blending and reporting of loss information as it develops from early modeled results to fully adjusted and paid losses.
MANAGING CREDIT RISKS
Credit risk represents the risk of incurring financial loss due to diminished creditworthiness (eroding credit rating and, ultimately, default) among our third party counterparties, related to, but not limited to, cash and cash equivalents, investments, premium receivables, unpaid reinsurance recoverable balances and derivatives. Additionally, we have credit risk exposure within our underwriting portfolios. Our most significant exposures to credit risk are discussed further below.
We monitor and control the aggregation of credit risk on a group-wide basis by assigning limits on maximum credit exposures by single obligors and groups, industry sector, country, region or other inter-dependencies. Limits are based on a variety of factors including the prevailing economic environment and the nature of the underlying credit exposures. The credit risk reporting process is supported by our Group Credit Risk Exposure Database, which contains relevant information on counterparty details and credit risk exposures. It is accessible by all key practitioners in the Group, thus providing essential transparency to allow for the implementation of active exposure management strategies. We also license third party databases to provide a real-time view of credit exposures.
Credit risk relating to our fixed maturities
With our fixed maturity investment portfolio, which represents $10 billion, or 63% of our total assets, we are exposed to potential losses arising from the diminished creditworthiness of issuers of bonds as well as third party counterparties such as custodians. We limit such credit risk through diversification and issuer exposure limitation graded by ratings.
Specifically, we manage our credit exposure by limiting the purchase of fixed maturities to investment grade securities. In addition, excluding U.S. government and agency securities, we limit our concentration of credit risk to any single corporate issuer to 2% or less of our fixed maturities portfolio for securities rated A- or above and 1% or less of our fixed maturities portfolio for securities rated between BBB and BBB+.
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Credit risk relating to reinsurance recoverable assets
Within our reinsurance purchasing activities, we are exposed to the credit risk of a reinsurer failing to meet its obligations under our reinsurance contracts. To help mitigate this, all of our reinsurance purchasing is subject to financial security requirements specified by our Reinsurance Security Committee. This committee, comprising senior management personnel, maintains a list of approved reinsurers, performs credit risk assessments for existing and potential counterparties, recommends counterparty tolerance levels for different types of ceded business and monitors concentrations of credit risk. This assessment considers a whole range of individual attributes, including a thorough review of the counterpartys financial strength, industry position and other qualitative factors.
We regularly monitor counterparty credit quality and exposures, with special monitoring of those cases that merit close attention. It is generally our Reinsurance Security Committees policy to require reinsurers which do not meet our counterparty security requirements to provide adequate collateral. We further mitigate credit risk by diversifying our exposure by counterparty.
Credit risk relating to our underwriting portfolio
In our insurance segment, we provide credit insurance primarily for lenders (financial institutions) seeking to mitigate the risk of non-payment from their borrowers in emerging markets. This product has complemented our more traditional political risk insurance business in recent years. For the credit insurance contracts, it is necessary for the buyer of the insurance, most often a bank, to hold an insured asset, most often an underlying loan, in order to claim compensation under the insurance contract. The vast majority of the credit insurance provided is for single-name illiquid risks, primarily in the form of senior secured bank loans that can be individually analyzed and underwritten. As part of this underwriting process, our rigorous evaluation of credit-worthiness and reputation of the obligor is critical and forms the cornerstone of the underwriting process. We prefer that our clients retain a significant share of each transaction that we insure. A key element to our underwriting analysis is the assessment of recovery in the event of default and, accordingly, the strength of the collateral and the enforceability of rights to the collateral are paramount. We avoid insurance for structured finance products defined by pools of risks and insurance for synthetic products that would expose us to mark-to-market losses. We also seek to avoid terms in our credit insurance contracts which introduce liquidity risk, most notably, in the form of a collateralization requirement upon a ratings downgrade. We also provide protection against sovereign default or sovereign actions that result in impairment of cross-border investments for banks and corporations. Our contracts generally include warranties, representations, exclusions and waiting periods. Under most of our policies, a loss payment is made in the event the debtor failed to pay our client when payment is due subject to a waiting period of up to 180 days.
In our reinsurance segment, we provide reinsurance of credit and bond insurers exposed to the risks of financial loss arising from non-payment of trade receivables covered by a policy (credit insurance) or non-performance (bonding). This credit exposure in our reinsurance segment relates primarily to exposures arising in Western economies, although in 2009 we also began writing surety business in the U.S. and Latin America. Our insureds are generally able to reduce or cancel limits under whole-turnover credit insurance at any time without prior notice. This enables our insureds to act quickly to specific distressed credits and therefore the potential loss exposures can be significantly reduced.
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MANAGING INVESTMENT RISKS
Investment risk encompasses the risk of loss in our investment portfolio as a result of market risks, as well as risks inherent in individual securities. Market risks represent the adverse impact on our cash and investments resulting from fluctuations in interest rates (inclusive of credit spreads), equity prices and foreign currency rates.
We manage the risks in our investment portfolio in a number of ways. To maintain diversification and avoid aggregation of risks, we place limits on asset class and individual security exposures. We monitor compliance with these limits on an ongoing basis. Further, except for the use of leverage within our investment in medium term notes, our investment policy and guidelines do not permit the use of leverage in any of our fixed maturity portfolios. We also manage the duration of our investment portfolio to approximate the anticipated duration of our re/insurance liabilities, so that changes in interest rates have approximately offsetting economic value impacts on our assets and liabilities.
Additionally, we manage foreign currency risk by seeking to match our estimated insurance and reinsurance liabilities payable in foreign currencies with assets, including cash and investments that are denominated in such currencies. When necessary, we may also use derivatives, such as forward contracts and currency options, to economically hedge portions of our un-matched foreign currency exposures.
We regularly stress test our investment portfolio using historical and hypothetical scenarios to analyze the impact of unusual market conditions and to ensure potential investment losses remain within our risk appetite.
MANAGING OPERATIONAL RISKS
Operational risk represents the risk of financial loss as a result of inadequate processes, system failures, human error or external events. Operational risks include for example, employee or third party fraud, business interruptions, inaccurate processing of transactions, IT failures, the loss of key employees without appropriate successors and non-compliance with reporting obligations. We maintain an operational loss-event database which helps us better monitor and analyze potential operational risk and identify any potential trends within the business.
We manage transaction type operational risks on a regular basis through the application of strong process controls throughout our business. In testing these controls, we supplement the work of our internal audit team, with regular management initiated audits (MIAs). These are audits completed within all of our business segments by teams independent of the professionals who originated the transactions under audit. The MIAs allow us to test the robustness of our underwriting and operating processes to ensure that we have early indicators for any future trends in our operational risk.
For enterprise-wide risks, such as business continuity, IT and human capital, we continue to review our key risks, and focus our efforts accordingly. One such focus is our business continuity plans, with an emphasis on recovery from unexpected events such as a natural catastrophe and possibility of a pandemic. During 2009, we continued to review our Business Continuity Planning procedures through cyclical planned tests, all of which were completed satisfactorily.
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With respect to IT risk, the dependency of our core processes on IT is rapidly increasing, with corresponding implications for risk. It is therefore important that we ensure the availability of applications and the integrity and security of critical data. During 2009, we implemented additional levels of back-up across our core processing systems, communication networks and databases to mitigate the disruption to fundamental business processing. We also expanded our usability of remote application technologies (i.e., remote access, web applications), video conferencing, and geographically dispersed data synchronization to meet the demands of a more mobile and dispersed workforce.
Our use of third party vendors exposes us to a number of increased operational risks, including the risk of security breaches, fraud, non-compliance with laws and regulations or internal guidelines and inadequate service. We manage third party vendor risk, by, among other things, performing a thorough risk assessment on potential vendors, reviewing a vendors financial stability, ability to provide ongoing service, business continuity planning and its scalability (up or down). We also allocate appropriate resources to monitor our significant third party relationships and provide the necessary oversight.
REGULATION
General
The business of insurance and reinsurance is regulated in most countries, although the degree and type of regulation varies significantly from one jurisdiction to another.
Bermuda
As a holding company, AXIS Capital is not subject to Bermuda insurance regulations. Our operating subsidiary in Bermuda, AXIS Specialty Bermuda, is subject to the Insurance Act 1978 of Bermuda and related regulations, as amended (the Insurance Act). The Insurance Act provides that no person may carry on any insurance or reinsurance business in or from within Bermuda unless registered as an insurer by the Bermuda Monetary Authority, (BMA), under the Insurance Act. The Insurance Act imposes on Bermuda insurance companies solvency and liquidity standards and auditing and reporting requirements, and grants the BMA powers to supervise, investigate, require information and the production of documents and intervene in the affairs of insurance companies. Significant requirements include the appointment of an independent auditor, the appointment of a loss reserve specialist and the filing of the Annual Statutory Financial Return with the BMA.
AXIS Capital and AXIS Specialty Bermuda must comply with provisions of the Bermuda Companies Act 1981, as amended (the Companies Act), regulating the payment of dividends and distributions. A Bermuda company may not declare or pay a dividend or make a distribution out of contributed surplus if there are reasonable grounds for believing that: (a) the company is, or would after the payment be, unable to pay its liabilities as they become due; or (b) the realizable value of the companys assets would thereby be less than the aggregate of its liabilities and its issued share capital and share premium accounts.
In August 2008, AXIS Specialty Bermuda established a Singapore Branch to transact insurance and reinsurance domestically and internationally. The branch is also regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore pursuant to The Insurance Act, is registered by the Accounting and Corporate Regulatory Authority (ACRA) as a foreign company in Singapore and regulated by ACRA pursuant to The Companies Act. Prior to establishing its Singapore branch, AXIS Specialty Bermuda had maintained a representative office in Singapore since 2004.
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United States
U.S. Insurance Holding Company Regulation of AXIS Capitals Insurance Subsidiaries
As members of an insurance holding company system, each of AXIS Capitals U.S. insurer subsidiaries are subject to the insurance holding company system laws and regulations of the states in which they do business. These laws generally require each of the U.S. subsidiaries to register with its respective domestic state insurance department and to furnish financial and other information which may materially affect the operations, management or financial condition within the holding company system. All transactions within a holding company system must be fair and equitable. Notice to the insurance departments is required prior to the consummation of transactions affecting the ownership or control of an insurer and of certain material transactions between an insurer and an entity in its holding company system, and certain transactions may not be consummated without the departments prior approval.
State Insurance Regulation
Our U.S. insurance subsidiaries also are subject to regulation and supervision by their respective states of domicile and by other jurisdictions in which they do business. The regulations generally are derived from statutes that delegate regulatory and supervisory powers to an insurance official. The regulatory framework varies from state to state, but generally relates to approval of policy forms and rates, the standards of solvency that must be met and maintained, including risk-based capital standards, material transactions between an insurer and its affiliates, the licensing of insurers, agents and brokers, restrictions on insurance policy terminations, the nature of and limitations on the amount of certain investments, limitations on the net amount of insurance of a single risk compared to the insurers surplus, deposits of securities for the benefit of policyholders, methods of accounting, periodic examinations of the financial condition and market conduct of insurance companies, the form and content of reports of financial condition required to be filed, and reserves for unearned premiums, losses, expenses and other obligations.
Our U.S. insurance subsidiaries are required to file detailed quarterly statutory financial statements with state insurance regulators in each of the states in which they conduct business. In addition, the U.S. insurance subsidiaries operations and accounts are subject to financial condition and market conduct examination at regular intervals by state regulators.
Regulators and rating agencies use statutory surplus as a measure to assess our U.S. subsidiaries ability to support business operations and pay dividends. Our U.S. insurance subsidiaries are subject to various state statutory and regulatory restrictions that limit the amount of dividends that may be paid from earned surplus without prior approval from regulatory authorities. These restrictions differ by state, but generally are based on calculations using statutory surplus, statutory net income and investment income. In addition, many state regulators use the National Association of Insurance Commissioners promulgated risk-based capital requirements as a means of identifying insurance companies which may be undercapitalized.
Although the insurance industry generally is not directly regulated by the federal government, federal legislation and initiatives can affect the industry and our business. In November 2002, the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act, (TRIA), was enacted. TRIA, amended and restated in 2005, established a temporary federal program that requires the U.S. and other insurers writing specified commercial property and casualty insurance policies in the U.S. to make available in some policies coverage for losses resulting from terrorists acts committed by foreign persons or interests in the U.S. or with respect to specified U.S. air carriers, vessels or missions abroad. In December 2007, the Terrorism Risk Insurance Revision and Extension Act of 2007 was enacted, which extended the material provisions of TRIA for an additional seven years and expanded coverage to include domestic acts of terrorism.
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Operations of AXIS Specialty Bermuda, AXIS Re Ltd., AXIS Re Europe, AXIS Specialty Europe and AXIS Specialty London
The insurance laws of each state of the United States and of many other countries regulate or prohibit the sale of insurance and reinsurance within their jurisdictions by insurers and reinsurers that are not admitted to do business within such jurisdictions, or conduct business pursuant to exemptions. AXIS Specialty Europe is eligible to write surplus lines business in 48 of the United States and the District of Columbia, and has applied for authorization to write surplus lines business in Puerto Rico. AXIS Specialty Bermuda and AXIS Re Ltd. (including its branch AXIS Re Europe) are not licensed or eligible to write business in the United States. AXIS Specialty Bermuda, AXIS Specialty Europe and AXIS Re Ltd. do not maintain offices, solicit, advertise, underwrite, settle claims or conduct any insurance activities in any jurisdiction in the United States where the conduct of such activities would require these companies to be admitted or authorized.
In addition to the regulatory requirements imposed by the jurisdictions in which they are licensed, reinsurers business operations are affected by regulatory requirements in various states of the U.S. governing credit for reinsurance that are imposed on their ceding companies. In general, a ceding company obtaining reinsurance from a reinsurer that is licensed, accredited or approved by the jurisdiction or state in which the ceding company files statutory financial statements is permitted to reflect in its statutory financial statements a credit in an aggregate amount equal to the ceding companys liability for unearned premiums (which are that portion of premiums written which applies to the unexpired portion of the policy period), loss reserves and loss expense reserves ceded to the reinsurer. Neither AXIS Specialty Bermuda, AXIS Specialty Europe nor AXIS Re Ltd. are licensed, accredited or approved in any state in the U.S. The great majority of states, however, permit a credit to statutory surplus resulting from reinsurance obtained from a non-licensed or non-accredited reinsurer to be recognized to the extent that the reinsurer provides a letter of credit, trust fund or other acceptable security arrangement. A few states do not allow credit for reinsurance ceded to non-licensed reinsurers except in certain limited circumstances and others impose additional requirements that make it difficult to become accredited.
Our European legal entities will be subject to Solvency II regulation, when the Directive is implemented in Ireland in 2012. Solvency II is a risk based capital regime that consolidates and modernizes European insurance and reinsurance regulation and supervision. Under Solvency II, European insurers and reinsurers will calculate capital in accordance with a new standard formula or approved internal model, implement a risk management framework and governance measures and fulfill enhanced disclosure requirements.
AXIS Reinsurance Company (Canadian Branch)
In September 2008, AXIS Reinsurance Company established a branch in Ontario, Canada (AXIS Reinsurance Company (Canadian Branch)). The branch was authorized by The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions Canada (OSFI) to transact insurance and reinsurance. OSFI is the federal regulatory authority that supervises federal Canadian and non-Canadian insurance companies operating in Canada pursuant to the Insurance Companies Act (Canada). In addition, the branch is subject to the laws and regulations of each of the provinces and territories in which it is licensed.
Ireland
AXIS Specialty Europe
AXIS Specialty Europe is a non-life insurance limited liability company incorporated under the laws of Ireland and is authorized and regulated by the Irish Financial Services Regulatory Authority (IFR) pursuant to the Insurance Acts 1909 to 2000, as amended, statutory instruments and the Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland Acts 2003 and 2004, as well as regulations relating to general insurance. AXIS Specialty Europe is authorized to conduct business in 14 non-life insurance classes of business.
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Ireland is a member of the European Economic Area, (EEA), which comprises each of the countries of the European Union, (EU), and Iceland, Lichtenstein and Norway. Ireland transposed the EUs Third Non-Life Insurance Directive into Irish law. This directive introduced a single system for the authorization and financial supervision of non-life insurance companies by their home state. Under this system, AXIS Specialty Europe is permitted to provide insurance services to clients located in any other EEA member state (Freedom of Services), provided it has notified the IFR and subject to compliance with any general good as may be established by other EEA member state regulator. AXIS Specialty Europe has notified the IFR of its intention to provide insurance services from Ireland and the United Kingdom on a Freedom of Services basis in all 29 EEA countries.
The Third Non-Life Directive also permits AXIS Specialty Europe to carry on insurance business in any other EEA member state under the principle of Freedom of Establishment. In May 2003, AXIS Specialty Europe established a UK branch known as AXIS Specialty London. IFR remains responsible for the prudential supervision of the UK branch, however, AXIS Specialty London must also comply with the general good requirements of the Financial Services Authority of the United Kingdom.
In July 2008, AXIS Specialty Europe established AXIS Specialty Australia, a branch office in Australia to transact general insurance business. The IFR continues to be the responsible supervisory authority, however, the Australia Prudential Regulation Authority is also responsible for prudential supervision of the branch. AXIS Specialty Europe is also registered with the Australia Securities Investment Commission in accordance with Australias Corporations Act 2001, as amended.
AXIS Re Ltd.
AXIS Re Ltd. is a reinsurance limited liability company incorporated under the laws of Ireland. AXIS Re Ltd. is authorized by the IFR as a composite reinsurer (non-life and life) in accordance with the European Communities (Reinsurance) Regulations 2006 (the Regulations). The Regulations, as amended, provide a comprehensive framework for the authorization and supervision of reinsurers in Ireland.
The EU Reinsurance Directive provides that the authorization and supervision of European reinsurers is the responsibility of the EU member where the head office of the relevant reinsurer is located. Once authorized in its home state, a reinsurer is automatically entitled to conduct reinsurance business in all EEA member states under the principles of Freedom of Establishment and Freedom of Services, similar to the system that applies to EU based insurers. The Reinsurance Directive provides that the financial and prudential supervision of a reinsurer, including that of the business it carries on in other countries, either through branches or Freedom of Services, is the sole responsibility of the home state. Significant reinsurance regulation includes the Irish Financial Regulators Corporate Governance for Reinsurance Undertakings guidance, Fit and Proper requirements and Investment Policy guidance.
In September 2003, AXIS Re Ltd. established a branch in Zurich, Switzerland, known as AXIS Re Europe. The Swiss Financial Regulator does not impose additional regulation upon a branch of an authorized reinsurer.
During 2009, AXIS Re Ltd. obtained regulatory permissions to reinsure companies in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Columbia, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Guatemala and Mexico.
AXIS Specialty Holdings Ireland Ltd.
AXIS Specialty Holdings Ireland Ltd. is the holding company for AXIS Specialty Europe Ltd and AXIS Re Ltd. As a holding company of EU regulated insurance and reinsurance companies, AXIS Specialty Holdings Ireland Ltd. is subject to the IFRs Fit and Proper and solvency requirements.
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AXIS Specialty Global Holdings
AXIS Specialty Global Holdings is an intermediate holding company for the AXIS U.S. insurance and reinsurance companies. It is not subject to insurance regulation.
United Kingdom
Under the law of England and Wales, a company may only transact insurance and/or reinsurance business in the United Kingdom upon authorization. AXIS Specialty Bermuda and the U.S. insurance subsidiaries are not authorized to transact insurance and/or reinsurance business in the United Kingdom. AXIS Re Ltd. is authorized to conduct business in the United Kingdom pursuant to the reinsurance directive, and AXIS Specialty Europe is authorized to conduct business through its branch, AXIS Specialty London.
Switzerland
AXIS Re Ltd. conducts reinsurance business from its branch in Zurich, Switzerland, subject to the supervision of the IFR. AXIS Specialty Europe, AXIS Specialty Bermuda and the U.S. insurance subsidiaries are not authorized to conduct insurance or reinsurance business in Switzerland.
Singapore
AXIS Specialty Bermuda conducts insurance and reinsurance business from its branch in Singapore, subject to the supervision of the BMA and Monetary Authority of Singapore. AXIS Specialty Europe, AXIS Re Ltd., and the U.S. insurance subsidiaries are not authorized to conduct insurance or reinsurance business in Singapore.
Canada
AXIS Reinsurance Company conducts insurance and reinsurance business from its branch in Canada, subject to the supervision of the New York Department of Insurance and The OSFI Canada. AXIS Specialty Europe, AXIS Re Ltd., AXIS Specialty Bermuda and the U.S. other insurance subsidiaries are not otherwise authorized to conduct insurance or reinsurance business in Canada.
Australia
AXIS Specialty Europe conducts insurance business from its branch in Australia, subject to the supervision of the Irish Financial Regulator and the Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority. AXIS Specialty Bermuda, AXIS Re Ltd. and the U.S. insurance subsidiaries are not authorized to conduct insurance or reinsurance business in Australia.
Other Countries
The AXIS insurance and reinsurance companies also insure and reinsure risks in many countries in accordance with regulatory permissions and exemptions available to non-admitted insurers and reinsurers.
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EMPLOYEES
As of February 12, 2010 we had 882 employees. We believe that our employee relations are excellent. None of our employees are subject to a collective bargaining agreement.
AVAILABLE INFORMATION
We are subject to the informational requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act), and therefore file periodic reports, proxy statements and other information, including reports filed by officers and directors under Section 16(a) of the Exchange Act, with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The public may read and copy any materials we file with the SEC at the SECs Public Reference Room at 100 F Street, NE. Washington, DC 20549. The public may obtain information on the operation of the Public Reference Room by calling the SEC at 1-800-SEC-0330. The SEC maintains an internet site that contains reports, proxy and information statements, and other information regarding issuers that file electronically with the SEC (such as us) and the address of that site is (http://www.sec.gov). Our common shares are traded on the NYSE with the symbol AXS and you can review similar information concerning us at the office of the NYSE at 20 Broad Street, New York, New York, 10005. Our Internet website address is http://www.axiscapital.com. Information contained in our website is not part of this report.
We make available free of charge, including through our internet website, our Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, Current Reports on Form 8-K, and amendments to those reports filed or furnished pursuant to Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Exchange Act as soon as reasonably practicable after such material is electronically filed with, or furnished to, the SEC. Current copies of the charter for each of our Audit Committee, Corporate Governance and Nominating Committee, Compensation Committee, Finance Committee, Executive Committee and Risk Committee, as well as our Corporate Governance Guidelines and Code of Business Conduct, are available on our internet website at http:www.axiscapital.com.
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You should carefully consider the following risks and all of the other information set forth in this report, including our consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto:
Our results of operations and financial condition could be materially adversely affected by the occurrence of natural and man-made disasters.
We have substantial exposure to unexpected losses resulting from natural disasters, man-made catastrophes and other catastrophic events. Catastrophes can be caused by various events, including hurricanes, typhoons, earthquakes, hailstorms, explosions, severe winter weather, fires, and other natural or man-made disasters. The incidence and severity of catastrophes are inherently unpredictable and our losses from catastrophes could be substantial.
Increases in the values and concentrations of insured property may increase the severity of these occurrences in the future. Also, changes in climate conditions may further increase the frequency and severity of catastrophe activity and losses in the future. As an example of the impact of catastrophe events, in 2008 we incurred net losses on Hurricanes Ike and Gustav of $408 million, which materially reduced our net income for that year. Although we attempt to manage our exposure to such events through the use of underwriting controls and the purchase of third-party reinsurance, catastrophic events are inherently unpredictable and the actual nature of such events when they occur could be more frequent or severe than contemplated in our pricing and risk management expectations. As a result, the occurrence of one or more catastrophe events could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition.
The persistence of the recent financial crisis or recurrence of a similar crisis could materially and adversely affect our business and financial condition.
Worldwide financial markets recently experienced unprecedented volatility and disruption including, among other things, dislocation in the mortgage and asset-backed securities markets, deleveraging and decreased liquidity generally, widening of credit spreads, bankruptcies and government intervention in a number of large financial institutions. These events resulted in extraordinary responses by governments worldwide, including the enactment of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 and the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act in 2009 in the U.S. This market turmoil has affected (among other aspects of our business) the demand for and claims made under our products, the ability of customers, counterparties and others to establish or maintain their relationships with us, our ability to access and efficiently use internal and external capital resources and our investment performance. While financial markets have stabilized in recent months, there continues to be significant uncertainty regarding the timeline for global economic recovery. As such, evolving market conditions may continue to affect our results of operations, financial position and capital resources. In the event that a similar market disruption recurs, it could result in a prolonged economic downturn or recession and our results of operations, financial position and/or liquidity, and competitive landscape could be materially and adversely affected.
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We could face unanticipated losses from war, terrorism and political unrest, and these or other unanticipated losses could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
We have substantial exposure to unexpected losses resulting from war, acts of terrorism and political instability. In certain instances, we specifically insure and reinsure risks resulting from acts of terrorism. Even in cases where we attempt to exclude losses from terrorism and certain other similar risks from some coverages written by us, there can be no assurance that a court or arbitration panel will interpret policy language or otherwise issue a ruling favorable to us. Accordingly, we can offer no assurance that our reserves will be adequate to cover losses should they materialize.
We have limited terrorism coverage in our own reinsurance program for our exposure to catastrophe losses related to acts of terrorism. Furthermore, although the Terrorism Risk Insurance Extension Act of 2005 (TRIEA) provides benefits in the event of certain acts of terrorism, those benefits are subject to a deductible and to other limitations. Under TRIEA, once our losses attributable to certain acts of terrorism exceed 20% of our direct commercial property and liability insurance premiums for the preceding calendar year, the federal government will reimburse us for 85% of such losses in excess of this deductible. Notably, TRIEA does not provide coverage for reinsurance losses or for losses involving nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events. Given the unpredictable frequency and severity of terrorism losses, as well as the limited terrorism coverage in our own reinsurance program, future losses from acts of terrorism, particularly those in our reinsurance segment or those involving nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events, could materially and adversely affect our results of operations, financial condition and/or liquidity in future periods. TRIEA may not be extended beyond 2014.
Our credit and political risk insurance line of business protects insureds with interests in foreign jurisdictions in the event governmental action prevents them from exercising their contractual rights and may also protect their assets against physical damage perils. This may include risks arising from expropriation, forced abandonment, license cancellation, trade embargo, contract frustration, non-payment, war on land or political violence (including terrorism, revolution, insurrection and civil unrest). Political risk insurance is typically provided to financial institutions, equity investors, exporters, importers, export credit agencies and multilateral agencies in an array of industries, in connection with investments and contracts in both emerging markets and developed countries.
Our credit and political risk line of business also protects insureds in foreign jurisdictions against non-payment coverage on specific loan obligations as a result of commercial as well as political risk events. The vast majority of the credit insurance provided is for single-named illiquid risks, primarily in the form of secured bank loans that can be individually analyzed and written. We avoid insurance for structured finance products defined by pools of risks and insurance for synthetic products that would expose us to mark-to-market losses. We also avoid terms in our credit insurance contracts which introduce liquidity risk, most notably, in the form of a collateralization requirement upon a ratings downgrade. Although we also attempt to manage our exposure, by among other things, setting credit limits by country, region, industry and individual counterparty and regularly reviewing our aggregate exposures, the occurrence of one or more large losses on our credit insurance portfolio could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition.
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If actual claims exceed our loss reserves, our financial results could be adversely affected.
While we believe that our loss reserves at December 31, 2009 are adequate, new information, events or circumstances, unknown at the original valuation date, may lead to future developments in our ultimate losses significantly greater or less than the reserves currently provided. The actual final cost of settling claims outstanding at December 31, 2009 as well as claims expected to arise from unexpired period of risk is uncertain. There are many other factors that would cause our reserves to increase or decrease, which include, but are not limited to, changes in claim severity, changes in the expected level of reported claims, judicial action changing the scope and/or liability of coverage, changes in the legislative, regulatory, social and economic environment and unexpected changes in loss inflation.
The uncertainty in our reserve estimate is particularly pronounced for a company like ours that has a limited operating history and therefore relies more upon industry benchmarks. To reduce some of the uncertainty, management performs an analysis of additional factors to be considered when establishing our IBNR, intended to enhance our best estimate beyond quantitative techniques. At December 31, 2009, we recorded additional IBNR for uncertainties relating to the timing of the emergence of claims. Although time lags are incorporated within the actuarial methods discussed above, these rely on industry experience which may not be indicative of our business. For example, the low frequency, high severity nature of much of our business, together with the vast and diverse expanse of our worldwide exposures, may limit the usefulness of claims experience of other insurers and reinsurers for similar types of business.
Changes to our previous estimate of prior year loss reserves can impact the reported calendar year underwriting results by worsening our reported results if reserves prove to be deficient or improving our reported results if reserves prove to be redundant. If our net income is insufficient to absorb a required increase in our loss reserves, we would incur an operating loss and could incur a reduction of our capital.
The effects of emerging claim and coverage issues on our business are uncertain.
As industry practices and legal, judicial, social, political and other environmental conditions change, unexpected issues related to claims and coverage may emerge. These issues may adversely affect our business by either extending coverage beyond our underwriting intent or by increasing the number or size of claims, such as the effects that recent disruptions in the credit markets could have on the number and size of reported claims under directors and officers and professional liability insurance lines of business. In some instances, these changes may not become apparent until some time after we have issued the insurance or reinsurance contracts that are affected by the changes. In addition, our actual losses may vary materially from our current estimate of the loss based on a number of factors (see above). As a result, the full extent of liability under an insurance or reinsurance contract may not be known for many years after such contract is issued and a loss occurs.
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The failure of any of the loss limitation methods we employ could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition.
We seek to mitigate our loss exposure by writing a number of our insurance and reinsurance contracts on an excess of loss basis. Excess of loss insurance and reinsurance indemnifies the insured against losses in excess of a specified amount. We generally limit the program size for each client on our insurance business and purchase reinsurance for many of our lines of business. In the case of proportional reinsurance treaties, we seek per occurrence limitations or loss and loss expense ratio caps to limit the impact of losses from any one event. In proportional reinsurance, the reinsurer shares a proportional part of the premiums and losses of the reinsured. We also seek to limit our loss exposure by geographic diversification. Geographic zone limitations involve significant underwriting judgments, including the determination of the area of the zones and the inclusion of a particular policy within a particular zones limits. In addition, various provisions of our policies, such as limitations or exclusions from coverage or choice of forum negotiated to limit our risks may not be enforceable in the manner we intend. We cannot be sure that any of these loss limitation methods will be effective and mitigate our loss exposure. As a result of these risks, one or more catastrophic or other events could result in claims that substantially exceed our expectations, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition.
The risk associated with reinsurance underwriting could adversely affect us.
In our reinsurance business, we do not always separately evaluate each of the individual risks assumed under reinsurance treaties. This is common among reinsurers. Therefore, we are largely dependent on the original underwriting decisions made by insurers that reinsure their liabilities, or ceding companies. We are subject to the risk that the ceding companies may not have adequately evaluated the risks to be reinsured and that the premiums ceded may not adequately compensate us for the risks we assume.
We could be materially adversely affected to the extent that managing general agents, general agents and other producers in our program business exceed their underwriting authorities or otherwise breach obligations owed to us.
In program business conducted by our insurance segment, following our underwriting, financial, claims and information technology due diligence reviews, we authorize managing general agents, general agents and other producers to write business on our behalf within underwriting authorities prescribed by us. Once a program commences, we must rely on the underwriting controls of these agents to write business within the underwriting authorities provided by us. Although we monitor our programs on an ongoing basis, our monitoring efforts may not be adequate or our agents may exceed their underwriting authorities or otherwise breach obligations owed to us. To the extent that our agents exceed their authorities or otherwise breach obligations owed to us in the future, our results of operations and financial condition could be materially adversely affected.
If we choose to purchase reinsurance, we may be unable to do so, and if we successfully purchase reinsurance, we may be unable to collect.
We purchase reinsurance for our insurance and reinsurance operations in order to mitigate the volatility of losses upon our financial results. A reinsurers insolvency, or inability or refusal to make payments under the terms of its reinsurance agreement with us, could have a material adverse effect on our business because we remain liable to the insured. From time to time, market conditions have limited, and in some cases have prevented, insurers and reinsurers from obtaining the types and amounts of reinsurance that they consider adequate for their business needs.
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There is no guarantee our desired amounts of reinsurance or retrocessional reinsurance will be available in the marketplace in the future. In addition to capacity risk, the remaining capacity may not be on terms we deem appropriate or acceptable or with companies with whom we want to do business. Finally, we face counterparty risk whenever we purchase reinsurance or retrocessional reinsurance. Consequently, the insolvency, inability or unwillingness of any of our present or future reinsurers to make timely payments to us under the terms of our reinsurance or retrocessional agreements could have an adverse effect on us.
If we experience difficulties with technology and/or data security our ability to conduct our business might be negatively impacted.
While technology can streamline many business processes and ultimately reduce the cost of operations, technology initiatives present certain risks. Our business is dependent upon our employees and outsourcers ability to perform, in an efficient and uninterrupted fashion, necessary business functions, such as processing policies and paying claims. A shutdown of, or inability to, access one or more of our facilities, a power outage, or a failure of one or more of our information technology, telecommunications or other systems could significantly impair our ability to perform such functions on a timely basis. If sustained or repeated, such a business interruption, system failure or service denial could result in a deterioration of our ability to write and process business, provide customer service, pay claims in a timely manner or perform other necessary business functions. Computer viruses, hackers and other external hazards including catastrophic events could expose our data systems to security breaches. These risks could expose us to data loss and damages. As a result, our ability to conduct our business might be adversely affected.
We outsource certain technology and business process functions to third parties and may do so increasingly in the future. If we do not effectively develop and implement our outsourcing strategy, third party providers do not perform as anticipated or we experience technological or other problems with a transition, we may not realize productivity improvements or cost efficiencies and may experience operational difficulties, increased costs and a loss of business. Our outsourcing of certain technology and business process functions to third parties may expose us to enhanced risk related to data security, which could result in monetary and reputational damages. In addition, our ability to receive services from third party providers might be impacted by cultural differences, political instability, unanticipated regulatory requirements or policies. As a result, our ability to conduct our business might be adversely affected.
Our investment portfolio is exposed to significant capital markets risk related to changes in interest rates, credit spreads and equity prices as well as other investment risks, which may adversely affect our results of operations, financial condition or cash flows.
The performance of our cash and investments portfolio has a significant impact on our financial results. A failure to successfully execute our investment strategy could have a significant impact on our results of operations or financial condition.
Our investment portfolio is subject to a variety of market risks, including risks relating to general economic conditions, interest rate fluctuations, equity price risk, foreign currency movements, pre-payment or reinvestment risk, liquidity risk and credit risk. Although we attempt to manage market risks through, among other things, stressing diversification and conservation of principal and liquidity in our investment guidelines, it is possible that, in periods of economic weakness or periods of turmoil in capital markets, we may experience significant losses in our portfolio.
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Our fixed maturities, which represent 91% of our total investments at December 31, 2009, may be adversely impacted by changes in interest rates. Increases in interest rates could cause the fair value of our investment portfolio to decrease, resulting in a lower book value. Conversely, a decline in interest rates could reduce our investment yield, which would reduce our overall profitability. Interest rates are highly sensitive to many factors, including governmental monetary policies, inflation, domestic and international economic and political conditions and other factors beyond our control. Our fixed maturities may also be adversely impacted by fluctuations in credit spreads. A credit spread is the difference between the yield on the fixed maturity security of a particular borrower (or a class of borrowers with a specified credit rating) and the yield of a fixed maturity U.S. Treasury security of similar maturity. Accordingly, as credit spreads widen the fair value of our non-U.S. Treasury fixed maturity security will underperform a U.S. Treasury security of similar maturity.
As part of our diversification strategy, 7% of our investment portfolio is invested in equities and other investments. Other investments consist primarily of hedge funds, credit funds, the equity tranches of collateralized loan obligations and a short duration high yield fund.
Given our reliance on external investment managers, we are also exposed to operational risks, which may include, but are not limited to, a failure to follow our investment guidelines, technological and staffing deficiencies and inadequate disaster recovery plans.
Our operating results may be adversely affected by currency fluctuations.
Our reporting currency is the U.S. dollar. However, a portion of our gross premiums are written in currencies other than the U.S. dollar. A portion of our loss reserves and investments are also in non-U.S. currencies. We may, from time to time, experience losses resulting from fluctuations in the values of these non-U.S. currencies, which could adversely affect our operating results. Although we attempt to manage our foreign currency exposure through matching of our major foreign denominated assets and liabilities, as well as through use of currency derivatives, there is no guarantee that we will successfully mitigate our exposure to foreign exchange losses.
We may require additional capital in the future, which may not be available or may only be available on unfavorable terms.
Our future capital requirements depend on many factors, including our ability to write new business successfully, the frequency and severity of catastrophic events and our ability to establish premium rates and reserves at levels sufficient to cover losses. We may need to raise additional funds through financings. If we are unable to do so, it may curtail our growth and reduce our assets. Any equity or debt financing, if available at all, may be on terms that are not favorable to us. Equity financings could be dilutive to our existing shareholders and could result in the issuance of securities that have rights, preferences and privileges that are senior to those of our other securities. If we cannot obtain adequate capital on favorable terms or at all, our business, operating results and financial condition could be adversely affected.
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Our inability to obtain the necessary credit could affect our ability to offer reinsurance in certain markets.
Neither AXIS Specialty Bermuda nor AXIS Re Ltd. is licensed or admitted as an insurer or reinsurer in any jurisdiction other than Bermuda, Ireland and Singapore. Because the U.S. and some other jurisdictions do not permit insurance companies to take credit on their statutory financial statements for reinsurance obtained from unlicensed or non-admitted insurers unless appropriate security mechanisms are in place, our reinsurance clients in these jurisdictions typically require AXIS Specialty Bermuda and AXIS Re Ltd. to provide letters of credit or other collateral. Our credit facility is used to post letters of credit. However, if our credit facility is not sufficient, or if we are unable to renew our credit facility on commercially affordable terms when it expires on August 25, 2010, or if we are unable to arrange for other types of security on commercially affordable terms, AXIS Specialty Bermuda and AXIS Re Ltd. could be limited in their ability to write business for some of our clients.
A downgrade in our credit ratings by one or more rating agencies could materially and negatively impact our business, financial condition, results of operations and/or liquidity.
As our ability to underwrite business is dependent upon the quality of our claims paying and financial strength ratings as evaluated by independent rating agencies, a downgrade, withdrawal or negative watch/outlook by any of these institutions could cause our competitive position in the insurance and reinsurance industry to suffer and make it more difficult for us to market our products. If we experience a credit rating downgrade, withdrawal or negative watch/outlook in the future, we could incur higher borrowing costs and may have more limited means to access capital. A downgrade, withdrawal or negative watch/outlook could also result in a substantial loss of business for us as ceding companies and brokers that place such business may move to other insurers and reinsurers with higher credit ratings.
Since we depend on a few brokers for a large portion of our revenues, loss of business provided by any one of them could adversely affect us.
We market our insurance and reinsurance worldwide primarily through insurance and reinsurance brokers and derive a significant portion of our business from a limited number of brokers. MMC (Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.), including its subsidiary Guy Carpenter & Company, Inc., Aon Corporation and Willis Group Holdings Ltd., provided a total of 64% of our gross premiums written during 2009. Our relationships with these brokers are based on the quality of our underwriting and claim services, as well as our financial strength ratings. Any deterioration in these factors could result in the brokers advising our clients to place their business with other insurers/reinsurers. In addition, these brokers also have, or may in the future acquire, ownership interests in insurance and reinsurance companies that may compete with us and these brokers may favor their own insurers/reinsurers over other companies. Loss of all or a substantial portion of the business provided by one or more of these brokers could have a material adverse effect on our business.
Our reliance on brokers subjects us to their credit risk.
In accordance with industry practice, we pay amounts owed on claims under our insurance and reinsurance contracts to brokers, and these brokers pay these amounts over to the clients that have purchased insurance or reinsurance from us. Although the law is unsettled and depends upon the facts and circumstances of the particular case, in some jurisdictions, if a broker fails to make such a payment, we might remain liable to the insured or ceding insurer for the deficiency.
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Conversely, in certain jurisdictions, when the insured or ceding insurer pays premiums for these policies to brokers for payment over to us, these premiums might be considered to have been paid and the insured or ceding insurer will no longer be liable to us for those amounts, whether or not we have actually received the premiums from the broker. Consequently, we assume a degree of credit risk associated with brokers with whom we transact business. These risks are heightened during financial instability or an economic downturn or recession.
Certain of our policyholders and intermediaries may not pay premiums owed to us due to bankruptcy or other reasons.
Bankruptcy, liquidity problems, distressed financial condition or the general effects of economic recession may increase the risk that policyholders or intermediaries, such as insurance brokers, may not pay a part of or the full amount of premiums owed to us, despite an obligation to do so. The terms of our contracts may not permit us to cancel our insurance even though we have not received payment. If non-payment becomes widespread, whether as a result of bankruptcy, lack of liquidity, adverse economic conditions, operational failure or otherwise, it could have a material adverse impact on our revenues and results of operations.
Changes in current accounting practices and future pronouncements may materially impact our reported financial results.
Unanticipated developments in accounting practices may require us to incur considerable additional expenses to comply with such developments, particularly if we are required to prepare information relating to prior periods for comparative purposes or to apply the new requirements retroactively. The impact of changes in current accounting practices and future pronouncements cannot be predicted but may affect the calculation of net income, net equity and other relevant financial statement line items. In particular, recent guidance and ongoing projects put in place by standard setters globally have indicated a possible move away from the current insurance accounting models toward more fair value based models which could introduce significant volatility in the earnings of insurance industry participants.
We could be adversely affected by the loss of one or more key executives or by an inability to attract and retain qualified personnel.
Our success depends on our ability to retain the services of our existing key executives and to attract and retain additional qualified personnel in the future. The loss of the services of any of our key executives or the inability to hire and retain other highly qualified personnel in the future could adversely affect our ability to conduct our business. We do not maintain key man life insurance policies with respect to our employees, except for our Chief Executive Officer and President, John R. Charman. There can be no assurance that we will be successful in identifying, hiring or retaining successors on terms acceptable to us or on any terms.
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Under Bermuda law, non-Bermudians, with some limited exceptions, may not engage in any gainful occupation in Bermuda without an appropriate governmental work permit. Work permits may be granted or extended by the Bermuda government only upon showing that, after proper public advertisement in most cases, no Bermudian or spouse of a Bermudian, holder of a permanent residents certificate or holder of a working residents certificate is available who meets the minimum standard requirements for the advertised position. In 2001, the Bermuda government announced a new immigration policy limiting the duration of work permits to between six and nine years, with specified exemptions for key employees. In March 2004, the Bermuda government announced an amendment to the immigration policy which expanded the categories of occupations recognized by the government as key and for which businesses are eligible to apply for holders of jobs in those categories to be exempt from the six to nine year term limits. The categories include senior executives (chief executive officers, presidents through vice presidents), managers with global responsibility, senior financial posts (treasurers, chief financial officers through controllers, specialized qualified accountants, quantitative modeling analysts), certain legal professionals (general counsel, specialist attorneys, qualified legal librarians and knowledge managers), senior insurance professionals (senior underwriters, senior claims adjustors), experienced/specialized brokers, actuaries, specialist investment traders/analysts and senior information technology engineers/managers. All executive officers who work in our Bermuda office that require work permits have obtained them.
Competition in the insurance industry could reduce our growth and profitability
The insurance and reinsurance industry is highly competitive. We compete on an international and regional basis with major U.S., Bermuda, European and other international insurers and reinsurers and with Lloyds underwriting syndicates, some of which have greater financial, marketing and management resources than we do. We also compete with new companies that continue to be formed to enter the insurance and reinsurance markets. In addition, capital market participants have recently created alternative products that are intended to compete with reinsurance products. Increased competition could result in fewer submissions, lower premium rates and less favorable policy terms and conditions, which could have a material adverse effect on our growth and profitability.
The insurance and reinsurance business is historically cyclical, and we expect to experience periods with excess underwriting capacity and unfavorable premium rates.
The insurance and reinsurance business historically has been a cyclical industry characterized by periods of intense price competition due to excessive underwriting capacity as well as periods when shortages of capacity permitted favorable premium levels. An increase in premium levels is often offset by an increasing supply of insurance and reinsurance capacity, either by capital provided by new entrants or by the commitment of additional capital by existing insurers or reinsurers, which may cause prices to decrease. Any of these factors could lead to a significant reduction in premium rates, less favorable policy terms and fewer submissions for our underwriting services. In addition to these considerations, changes in the frequency and severity of losses suffered by insureds and insurers may affect the cycles of the insurance and reinsurance business significantly.
In recent years, we have experienced a softening market cycle throughout many of our property and liability lines of business, with increased competition, surplus underwriting capacity and deteriorating rates, terms and conditions all having an impact on our ability to write business. While market conditions generally improved during 2009 on many lines of business, there is no assurance that such improvements in rates and conditions will continue.
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The regulatory system under which we operate, and potential changes thereto, could have a material adverse effect on our business.
In a time of financial uncertainty or a prolonged economic downturn or recession, regulators may choose to adopt more restrictive insurance laws and regulations, which may result in lower revenues and/or higher costs and thus could materially and adversely affect our results of operations.
Our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries conduct business globally, including in 50 states of the U.S. and the District of Columbia. Our businesses in each of these jurisdictions are subject to varying degrees of regulation and supervision. The laws and regulations of the jurisdictions in which our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries are domiciled require, among other things, that our subsidiaries maintain minimum levels of statutory capital and liquidity, meet solvency standards, participate in guaranty funds and submit to periodic examinations of their financial condition and compliance with underwriting regulations. These laws and regulations also sometimes restrict payments of dividends and reductions of capital. These statutes, regulations and policies may also restrict the ability of these subsidiaries to write insurance and reinsurance policies, to make certain investments and to distribute funds. The purpose of insurance laws and regulations generally is to protect insureds and ceding insurance companies, not our shareholders. We may not be able to comply fully with, or obtain appropriate exemptions from these statutes and regulations. Failure to comply with or to obtain appropriate authorizations and/or exemptions under any applicable laws could result in restrictions on our ability to do business or undertake activities that are regulated in one or more of the jurisdictions in which we conduct business and could subject us to fines and other sanctions. In addition, changes in the laws or regulations to which our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries are subject or in the interpretation thereof by enforcement or regulatory agencies could have an adverse effect on our business.
Potential government intervention in our industry as a result of recent events and instability in the marketplace for insurance products could hinder our flexibility and negatively affect the business opportunities that may be available to us in the market.
Government intervention and the possibility of future government intervention have created uncertainty in the insurance and reinsurance markets. Government regulators are generally concerned with the protection of policyholders to the exclusion of other constituencies, including shareholders of insurers and reinsurers. An example of such intervention was the expansion of the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund in 2007, which increased the capacity of the Fund to compete against commercial providers of catastrophe reinsurance. In addition, in December 2007, the Terrorism Risk Insurance Revision and Extension Act of 2007 extended the material provisions of TRIA for an additional seven years to December 31, 2014 and expanded coverage to include domestic acts of terrorism.
In addition, in recent years certain U.S. and non-U.S. judicial and regulatory authorities, including U.S. Attorneys Offices and certain state attorneys general, have commenced investigations into other business practices in the insurance industry. While we cannot predict the exact nature, timing or scope of possible governmental initiatives, such proposals could adversely affect our business by, among other things:
| Providing reinsurance capacity in markets and to consumers that we target; |
| Requiring our further participation in industry pools and guaranty associations; |
| Expanding the scope of coverage under existing policies; e.g., following large disasters; |
| Further regulating the terms of insurance and reinsurance policies; or |
| Disproportionately benefiting the companies of one country over those of another. |
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In addition, there are efforts currently underway in the U.S. to federally regulate financial services companies, which could include insurance companies, including through the establishment of a U.S. federal regulatory body or agency. This legislation, if enacted, could result in the federal government assuming a more direct role in the regulation of the insurance industry. The U.S. Congress could revisit U.S. federal preemption of state insurance regulations and implement solvency and capital requirements. We cannot predict whether any U.S. federal legislation will be enacted at all, or if it is enacted, what issues it will address. Any such legislation could have an effect on our business and results of operations.
Our ability to pay dividends and to make payments on indebtedness may be constrained by our holding company structure.
AXIS Capital is a holding company and has no direct operations of its own. AXIS Capital has no significant operations or assets other than its ownership of the shares of its operating insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries, AXIS Specialty Bermuda, AXIS Re Ltd., AXIS Specialty Europe, AXIS Re U.S., AXIS Specialty U.S., AXIS Surplus and AXIS Insurance Co. (collectively, our Insurance Subsidiaries). Dividends and other permitted distributions from our Insurance Subsidiaries (in some cases through our subsidiary holding companies), are our primary source of funds to meet ongoing cash requirements, including debt service payments and other expenses, and to pay dividends to our shareholders. Our Insurance Subsidiaries are subject to significant regulatory restrictions limiting their ability to declare and pay dividends and make distributions. The inability of our Insurance Subsidiaries to pay dividends in an amount sufficient to enable us to meet our cash requirements at the holding company level could have a material adverse effect on our business and our ability to pay dividends and make payments on our indebtedness.
Global climate change may have a material adverse effect on our results of operation and financial condition if we are not able to adequately assess and reserve for the increased frequency and severity of catastrophes resulting from these environmental factors.
Recent North Atlantic hurricane seasons have shown a marked increase in windstorm activity, both in terms of total number of storms and their intensity. Atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases have increased dramatically since the industrial revolution and there is debate as to whether this has caused a gradual increase in global average temperatures. Increasing global average temperatures may continue in the future and could impact our business in the long-term. However, there is little consensus in the scientific community regarding the effect of global environmental factors on the frequency and severity catastrophes. Climatologists concur that heat from the ocean drives hurricanes, but they cannot agree on how much ocean temperature changes alter the annual outlook. In addition, it is unclear whether rising sea temperatures are part of a longer cycle.
We attempt to mitigate the risk of financial exposure from climate change through our underwriting risk management practices. This includes sensitivity to geographic concentrations of risks, the purchase of protective reinsurance and selective underwriting criteria which can include, but is not limited to, higher premiums and deductibles and more specifically excluded policy risks. However, given the scientific uncertainty about the causes of increased frequency and severity of catastrophes and the lack of adequate predictive tools, a continuation and worsening of recent trends may have a material impact on our results of operation or financial condition.
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AXIS Capital is a Bermuda company and it may be difficult for you to enforce judgments against it or its directors and executive officers.
AXIS Capital is incorporated pursuant to the laws of Bermuda and our business is based in Bermuda. In addition, some of our directors and officers reside outside the United States, and all or a substantial portion of our assets and the assets of such persons are located in jurisdictions outside the United States. As a result, it may be difficult or impossible to effect service of process within the United States upon those persons or to recover against us or them on judgments of U.S. courts, including judgments predicated upon civil liability provisions of the U.S. federal securities laws. Further, it may not be possible to bring a claim in Bermuda against us or our directors and officers for violation of U.S. federal securities laws because these laws may have no extraterritorial application under Bermuda law and do not have force of law in Bermuda. A Bermuda court may, however, impose civil liability, including the possibility of monetary damages, on us or our directors and officers if the facts alleged in a complaint constitute or give rise to a cause of action under Bermuda law.
There are provisions in our charter documents that may reduce or increase the voting rights of our shares.
Our bye-laws generally provide that shareholders have one vote for each common share held by them and are entitled to vote, on a non-cumulative basis, at all meetings of shareholders. However, the voting rights exercisable by a shareholder may be limited so that certain persons or groups are not deemed to hold 9.5% or more of the voting power conferred by our shares. Under these provisions, some shareholders may have the right to exercise their voting rights limited to less than one vote per share. Moreover, these provisions could have the effect of reducing the voting power of some shareholders who would not otherwise be subject to the limitation by virtue of their direct share ownership. In addition, our board of directors may limit a shareholders exercise of voting rights where it deems it necessary to do so to avoid adverse tax, legal or regulatory consequences.
We also have the authority under our bye-laws to request information from any shareholder for the purpose of determining whether a shareholders voting rights are to be limited pursuant to the bye-laws. If a shareholder fails to respond to our request for information or submits incomplete or inaccurate information in response to a request by us, we may, in our sole discretion, eliminate the shareholders voting rights.
There are provisions in our bye-laws that may restrict the ability to transfer common shares and which may require shareholders to sell their common shares.
Our board of directors may decline to register a transfer of any common shares under some circumstances, including if they have reason to believe that any non-de minimis adverse tax, regulatory or legal consequences to us, any of our subsidiaries or any of our shareholders may occur as a result of such transfer. Our bye-laws also provide that if our board of directors determines that share ownership by a person may result in non-de minimis adverse tax, legal or regulatory consequences to us, any of our subsidiaries or any of our shareholders, then we have the option, but not the obligation, to require that shareholder to sell to us or to third parties to whom we assign the repurchase right for fair value the minimum number of common shares held by such person which is necessary to eliminate the non-de minimis adverse tax, legal or regulatory consequences.
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Applicable insurance laws may make it difficult to effect a change of control of our company.
Before a person can acquire control of a U.S. insurance company, prior written approval must be obtained from the insurance commissioner of the state where the domestic insurer is domiciled. Prior to granting approval of an application to acquire control of a domestic insurer, the state insurance commissioner will consider such factors as the financial strength of the acquiror, the integrity and management of the acquirors board of directors and executive officers, the acquirors plans for the future operations of the domestic insurer and any anti-competitive results that may arise from the consummation of the acquisition of control. Generally, state statutes provide that control over a domestic insurer is presumed to exist if any person, directly or indirectly, owns, controls, holds with the power to vote, or holds proxies representing, 10% or more of the voting securities of the domestic insurer. Because a person acquiring 10% or more of our common shares would indirectly control the same percentage of the stock of the AXIS U.S. Subsidiaries, the insurance change of control laws of Connecticut, Illinois and New York would likely apply to such a transaction.
In addition, the Insurance Acts and Regulations in Ireland require that anyone acquiring or disposing of a direct or indirect holding in an Irish authorized insurance company (such as AXIS Specialty Europe) that represents 10% or more of the capital or of the voting rights of such company or that makes it possible to exercise a significant influence over the management of such company, or anyone who proposes to decrease or increase that holding to specified levels, must first notify the Irish Regulatory Authority of their intention to do so. They also require any Irish authorized insurance company that becomes aware of any acquisitions or disposals of its capital involving the specified levels to notify the Irish Regulatory Authority. The specified levels are 20%, 33% and 50% or such other level of ownership that results in the company becoming the acquirors subsidiary within the meaning of article 20 of the European Communities (non-Life Insurance) Framework Regulations 1994.
The Irish Regulatory Authority has three months from the date of submission of a notification within which to oppose the proposed transaction if the Irish Regulatory Authority is not satisfied as to the suitability of the acquiror in view of the necessity to ensure prudent and sound management of the insurance undertaking concerned. Any person owning 10% or more of the capital or voting rights or an amount that makes it possible to exercise a significant influence over the management of AXIS Capital would be considered to have a qualifying holding in AXIS Specialty Europe.
While our bye-laws limit the voting power of any shareholder to less than 9.5%, there can be no assurance that the applicable regulatory body would agree that a shareholder who owned 10% or more of our shares did not, because of the limitation on the voting power of such shares, control the applicable Insurance Subsidiary. These laws may discourage potential acquisition proposals and may delay, deter or prevent a change of control of the Company, including transactions that some or all of our shareholders might consider to be desirable.
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Anti-takeover provisions in our bye-laws could impede an attempt to replace our directors or to effect a change in control, which could diminish the value of our common shares.
Our bye-laws contain provisions that may make it more difficult for shareholders to replace directors and could delay or prevent a change of control that a shareholder might consider favorable. These provisions include a staggered board of directors, limitations on the ability of shareholders to remove directors other than for cause, limitations on voting rights and restrictions on transfer of our common shares. These provisions may prevent a shareholder from receiving the benefit from any premium over the market price of our shares offered by a bidder in a potential takeover. Even in the absence of an attempt to effect a change in management or a takeover attempt, these provisions may adversely affect the prevailing market price of our shares if they are viewed as discouraging takeover attempts in the future.
We may become subject to taxes in Bermuda after March 28, 2016, which may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations.
The Bermuda Minister of Finance, under the Exempted Undertakings Tax Protection Act 1966 of Bermuda, as amended, has given each of AXIS Capital and AXIS Specialty Bermuda an assurance that if any legislation is enacted in Bermuda that would impose tax computed on profits or income, or computed on any capital asset, gain or appreciation, or any tax in the nature of estate duty or inheritance tax, then the imposition of any such tax will not be applicable to AXIS Capital, AXIS Specialty Bermuda or any of their respective operations, shares, debentures or other obligations until March 28, 2016. Given the limited duration of the Minister of Finances assurance, we cannot be certain that we will not be subject to any Bermuda tax after March 28, 2016.
Our non-U.S. companies may be subject to U.S. tax that may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations.
AXIS Capital and AXIS Specialty Bermuda are Bermuda companies, AXIS Specialty Holdings Ireland Limited (AXIS Ireland Holdings), AXIS Re Ltd., AXIS Specialty Europe, and AXIS Specialty Global Holdings Limited are Irish companies and AXIS Specialty U.K. Holdings Limited (AXIS U.K. Holdings) is a U.K. company. We intend to manage our business so that each of these companies will operate in such a manner that none of these companies should be subject to U.S. tax (other than U.S. excise tax on insurance and reinsurance premium income attributable to insuring or reinsuring U.S. risks and U.S. withholding tax on some types of U.S. source investment income), because none of these companies should be treated as engaged in a trade or business within the United States. However, because there is considerable uncertainty as to the activities that constitute being engaged in a trade or business within the United States, we cannot be certain that the U.S. Internal Revenue Service (IRS) will not contend successfully that any of AXIS Capital or its non-U.S. subsidiaries is/are engaged in a trade or business in the United States. If AXIS Capital or any of its non-U.S. subsidiaries were considered to be engaged in a trade or business in the United States, it could be subject to U.S. corporate income and additional branch profits taxes on the portion of its earnings effectively connected to such U.S. business. If this were to be the case, our results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
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Our non-U.K. companies may be subject to U.K. tax that may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations.
We intend to operate in such a manner so that none of our companies, other than AXIS U.K. Holdings, should be resident in the United Kingdom for tax purposes and that none of our companies, other than AXIS Ireland Holdings and AXIS Specialty Europe, should have a permanent establishment in the United Kingdom. Accordingly, we expect that none of our companies other than, AXIS U.K. Holdings, AXIS Ireland Holdings and AXIS Specialty Europe should be subject to U.K. tax. Nevertheless, because neither case law nor U.K. statutes conclusively define the activities that constitute trading in the United Kingdom through a permanent establishment, the U.K. Inland Revenue might contend successfully that any of our companies, in addition to AXIS U.K. Holdings, AXIS Ireland Holdings and AXIS Specialty Europe, is/are trading in the United Kingdom through a permanent establishment in the United Kingdom and therefore subject to U.K. tax. If this were the case, our results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
Our non-Irish companies may be subject to Irish tax that may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations.
We intend to operate in such a manner so that none of our companies, other than AXIS Ireland Holdings, AXIS Re Ltd., AXIS Specialty Europe, and AXIS Specialty Global Holdings Limited should be resident in Ireland for tax purposes and that none of our companies, other than AXIS Ireland Holdings, AXIS Re Ltd., AXIS Specialty Europe, and AXIS Specialty Global Holdings Limited should be treated as carrying on a trade through a branch or agency in Ireland.
Accordingly, we expect that none of our companies other than AXIS Ireland Holdings, AXIS Re Ltd., AXIS Specialty Europe and AXIS Specialty Global Holdings Limited should be subject to Irish corporation tax. Nevertheless, since the determination as to whether a company is resident in Ireland is a question of fact to be determined based on a number of different factors and since neither case law nor Irish legislation conclusively defines the activities that constitute trading in Ireland through a branch or agency, the Irish Revenue Commissioners might contend successfully that any of our companies, in addition to AXIS Ireland Holdings, AXIS Re Ltd., AXIS Specialty Europe and AXIS Specialty Global Holdings Limited, is resident in or otherwise trading through a branch or agency in Ireland and therefore subject to Irish corporation tax. If this were the case, our results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
If corporate tax rates in Ireland increase, our results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
Trading income derived from the insurance and reinsurance businesses carried on in Ireland by AXIS Specialty Europe and AXIS Re Ltd. is generally taxed in Ireland at a rate of 12.5%. Over the past number of years, various EU member states have, from time to time, called for harmonization of corporate tax rates within the EU. Ireland, along with other member states, has consistently resisted any movement towards standardized corporate tax rates in the EU. The Government of Ireland has also made clear its commitment to retain the 12.5% rate of corporation tax until at least the year 2025. If, however, tax laws in Ireland change so as to increase the general corporation tax rate in Ireland, our results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
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If investments held by AXIS Specialty Europe or AXIS Re Ltd. are determined not to be integral to the insurance and reinsurance businesses carried on by those companies, additional Irish tax could be imposed and our business and financial results could be materially adversely affected.
Based on administrative practice, taxable income derived from investments made by AXIS Specialty Europe and AXIS Re Ltd. is generally taxed in Ireland at the rate of 12.5% on the grounds that such investments either form part of the permanent capital required by regulatory authorities, or are otherwise integral to the insurance and reinsurance businesses carried on by those companies. AXIS Specialty Europe and AXIS Re Ltd. intend to operate in such a manner so that the level of investments held by such companies does not exceed the amount that is integral to the insurance and reinsurance businesses carried on by AXIS Specialty Europe and AXIS Re Ltd. If, however, investment income earned by AXIS Specialty Europe or AXIS Re Ltd. exceeds these thresholds, or if the administrative practice of the Irish Revenue Commissioners changes, Irish corporation tax could apply to such investment income at a higher rate (currently 25%) instead of the general 12.5% rate, and our results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
The impact of Bermudas letter of commitment to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development to eliminate harmful tax practices is uncertain and could adversely affect our tax status in Bermuda.
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (the OECD) has published reports and launched a global dialogue among member and non-member countries on measures to limit harmful tax competition. These measures are largely directed at counteracting the effects of tax havens and preferential tax regimes in countries around the world. In response to a number of measures taken and commitments by the government of Bermuda in June, 2009, Bermuda was listed as a jurisdiction that has substantially implemented those standards. We are not able to predict what changes will arise from the commitment or whether such changes will subject us to additional taxes.
Changes in U.S. federal income tax law or the manner in which it is interpreted could materially adversely affect us.
Legislation has been introduced in the U.S. Congress intended to eliminate some perceived tax advantages of companies (including insurance companies) that have legal domiciles outside the United States, but have certain U.S. connections. For example, legislation has been introduced in Congress to limit the deductibility of reinsurance premiums paid by U.S. companies to non-U.S. affiliates. A similar provision was included as part of President Obamas proposed budget for fiscal year 2011. It is possible that this or similar legislation could be introduced in and enacted by the current Congress or future Congresses that could have an adverse impact on us. In addition, existing interpretations of U.S. federal income tax laws could change, also resulting in an adverse impact on us.
ITEM 1B. UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS
We have no outstanding, unresolved comments from the SEC staff at December 31, 2009.
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We maintain office facilities in the United States, Bermuda, Europe, Canada, Australia and Singapore. We own the property in which our offices are located in Dublin, Ireland, and we lease office space in the other countries. We renew and enter into new leases in the ordinary course of business as required. Our worldwide headquarters office is located at 92 Pitts Bay Road, Pembroke, Bermuda. We believe that our office space is sufficient for us to conduct our operations for the foreseeable future.
Except as noted below, we are not a party to any material legal proceedings. From time to time, we are subject to routine legal proceedings, including arbitrations, arising in the ordinary course of business. These legal proceedings generally relate to claims asserted by or against us in the ordinary course of insurance or reinsurance operations. In our opinion, the eventual outcome of these legal proceedings is not expected to have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations.
In 2005, a putative class action lawsuit was filed against our U.S. insurance subsidiaries. In re Insurance Brokerage Antitrust Litigation was filed on August 15, 2005 in the United States District Court for the District of New Jersey and includes as defendants numerous insurance brokers and insurance companies. The lawsuit alleges antitrust and Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act (RICO) violations in connection with the payment of contingent commissions and manipulation of insurance bids and seeks damages in an unspecified amount. On October 3, 2006, the District Court granted, in part, motions to dismiss filed by the defendants, and ordered plaintiffs to file supplemental pleadings setting forth sufficient facts to allege their antitrust and RICO claims. After plaintiffs filed their supplemental pleadings, defendants renewed their motions to dismiss. On April 15, 2007, the District Court dismissed without prejudice plaintiffs complaint, as amended, and granted plaintiffs thirty (30) days to file another amended complaint and/or revised RICO Statement and Statements of Particularity. In May 2007, plaintiffs filed (i) a Second Consolidated Amended Commercial Class Action complaint, (ii) a Revised Particularized Statement Describing the Horizontal Conspiracies Alleged in the Second Consolidated Amended Commercial Class Action Complaint, and (iii) a Third Amended Commercial Insurance Plaintiffs RICO Case Statement Pursuant to Local Rule 16.1(B)(4). On June 21, 2007, the defendants filed renewed motions to dismiss. On September 28, 2007, the District Court dismissed with prejudice plaintiffs antitrust and RICO claims and declined to exercise supplemental jurisdiction over plaintiffs remaining state law claims. On October 10, 2007, plaintiffs filed a notice of appeal of all adverse orders and decisions to the United States Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit, and a hearing was held in April 2009. We believe that the lawsuit is completely without merit and we continue to vigorously defend the filed action.
ITEM 4. SUBMISSION OF MATTERS TO A VOTE OF SECURITY HOLDERS
Not applicable.
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ITEM 5. MARKET FOR REGISTRANTS COMMON EQUITY, RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES
Our common shares, $0.0125 par value, are listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol AXS. The following table sets forth the high and low sales prices per share of our common shares for each of the fiscal quarters in the last two fiscal years as reported on the New York Stock Exchange Composite Tape:
2009 | 2008 | |||||||||||||||||
High | Low | Dividends Declared |
High | Low | Dividends Declared | |||||||||||||
1st Quarter |
$ | 30.55 | $ | 17.32 | $ | 0.20 | $ | 41.81 | $ | 32.77 | $ | 0.185 | ||||||
2nd Quarter |
$ | 27.43 | $ | 22.02 | $ | 0.20 | $ | 36.65 | $ | 29.65 | $ | 0.185 | ||||||
3rd Quarter |
$ | 30.94 | $ | 25.06 | $ | 0.20 | $ | 36.00 | $ | 27.74 | $ | 0.185 | ||||||
4th Quarter |
$ | 31.73 | $ | 27.76 | $ | 0.21 | $ | 31.47 | $ | 17.27 | $ | 0.200 |
On February 17, 2010, the number of holders of record of our common shares was 52. This figure does not represent the actual number of beneficial owners of our common shares because shares are frequently held in street name by securities dealers and others for the benefit of beneficial owners who may vote the shares.
The declaration and payment of future dividends will be at the discretion of our Board of Directors and will depend upon many factors, including our earnings, financial condition, business needs, capital and surplus requirements of our operating subsidiaries and regulatory and contractual restrictions, including those set forth in our credit facility.
As a holding company, our principal source of income is dividends or other statutorily permissible payments from our subsidiaries. The ability of our subsidiaries to pay dividends is limited by the applicable laws and regulations of the various countries in which we operate. See Item 8, Note 18 to the Consolidated Financial Statements included in this report.
ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES
The following table sets forth information regarding the number of shares we repurchased in the quarter ended December 31, 2009:
Period | Total Number of Shares Purchased |
Average Price Paid Per Share |
Total Number Of Shares Purchased as Part Of Publicly Announced Plans or Programs(a) |
Maximum Number (or Approximate Dollar Value) of Shares that May Yet Be Purchased Under the Announced Plans or Programs(b) |
||||||||||
October 1-31 |
- | - | - | $ | 211.6 million | |||||||||
November 1-30 |
2,505,257 | $ | 29.57 | 2,504,608 | $ | 137.5 million | ||||||||
December 1-31 |
3,348,515 | $ | 28.55 | 3,346,540 | $ | 542.0 million | ||||||||
Total |
5,853,772 | 5,851,148 | $ | 542.0 million |
(a) | Share repurchases relating to withhold to cover tax liabilities upon vesting of restricted stock awards are excluded from our share repurchase plan. |
(b) | On December 6, 2007, our Board of Directors approved a new share repurchase plan with the authorization to repurchase up to an additional $400 million of our common shares until December 31, 2009. |
On December 10, 2009, our Board of Directors extended the above repurchase plan until December 31, 2011. Further, our Board of Directors approved a new share repurchase plan with the authorization to repurchase up to an additional $500 million of our common shares to be effected from time to time in the open market or private negotiated transactions. This share repurchase plan will expire on December 31, 2011. |
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ITEM 6. | SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA |
The following tables set forth our selected historical consolidated financial information for the last five years. This data should also be read in conjunction with the Consolidated Financial Statements and the accompanying notes presented under Item 8 and with the Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations under Item 7.
As of and for Year ended December 31 | |||||||||||||||||||
2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | |||||||||||||||
(in thousands, except per share amounts) | |||||||||||||||||||
Selected Statement of Operations Data: |
|||||||||||||||||||
Gross premiums written |
$ | 3,587,295 | $ | 3,390,388 | $ | 3,590,090 | $ | 3,609,036 | $ | 3,393,885 | |||||||||
Net premiums earned |
2,791,764 | 2,687,181 | 2,734,410 | 2,694,270 | 2,553,683 | ||||||||||||||
Net investment income |
464,478 | 247,237 | 482,873 | 407,100 | 256,712 | ||||||||||||||
Net realized investment (losses) gains |
(311,584 | ) | (85,267 | ) | 5,230 | (25,702 | ) | (16,912 | ) | ||||||||||
Net losses and loss expenses |
1,423,872 | 1,712,766 | 1,370,260 | 1,425,855 | 2,051,129 | ||||||||||||||
Acquisition costs |
420,495 | 366,509 | 384,497 | 386,959 | 337,383 | ||||||||||||||
General and administrative expenses |
370,157 | 335,758 | 303,831 | 268,396 | 212,842 | ||||||||||||||
Interest expense and financing costs |
32,031 | 31,673 | 51,153 | 32,954 | 32,447 | ||||||||||||||
Preferred share dividends |
36,875 | 36,875 | 36,775 | 37,295 | 4,379 | ||||||||||||||
Net income available to common shareholders |
$ | 461,011 | $ | 350,501 | $ | 1,055,243 | $ | 925,765 | $ | 90,061 | |||||||||
Per Common Share Data: |
|||||||||||||||||||
Basic earnings per common share |
$ | 3.36 | $ | 2.50 | $ | 7.15 | $ | 6.18 | $ | 0.63 | |||||||||
Diluted earnings per common share |
$ | 3.07 | $ | 2.26 | $ | 6.41 | $ | 5.63 | $ | 0.57 | |||||||||
Cash dividends per common share |
$ | 0.81 | $ | 0.755 | $ | 0.68 | $ | 0.615 | $ | 0.60 | |||||||||
Basic weighted average common shares outstanding |
137,279 | 140,322 | 147,524 | 149,745 | 143,226 | ||||||||||||||
Diluted weighted average common shares outstanding |
150,371 | 155,320 | 164,515 | 164,394 | 157,524 | ||||||||||||||
Operating Ratios:(1) |
|||||||||||||||||||
Net loss and loss expense ratio |
51.0% | 63.7% | 50.1% | 52.9% | 80.3% | ||||||||||||||
Acquisition cost ratio |
15.1% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 13.2% | ||||||||||||||
General and administrative expense ratio |
13.2% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | ||||||||||||||
Combined ratio |
79.3% | 89.8% | 75.3% | 77.3% | 101.8% | ||||||||||||||
Selected Balance Sheet Data: |
|||||||||||||||||||
Investments |
$ | 10,622,104 | $ | 8,611,898 | $ | 8,977,653 | $ | 7,663,387 | $ | 6,421,929 | |||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents |
864,054 | 1,820,673 | 1,332,921 | 1,989,287 | 1,280,990 | ||||||||||||||
Reinsurance recoverable balances |
1,424,172 | 1,378,630 | 1,356,893 | 1,359,154 | 1,518,110 | ||||||||||||||
Total assets |
15,306,524 | 14,282,834 | 14,675,309 | 13,665,287 | 11,925,976 | ||||||||||||||
Reserve for losses and loss expenses |
6,564,133 | 6,244,783 | 5,587,311 | 5,015,113 | 4,743,338 | ||||||||||||||
Unearned premium |
2,209,397 | 2,162,401 | 2,146,087 | 2,015,556 | 1,760,467 | ||||||||||||||
Senior notes |
499,476 | 499,368 | 499,261 | 499,144 | 499,046 | ||||||||||||||
Total shareholders equity |
5,500,244 | 4,461,041 | 5,158,622 | 4,412,647 | 3,512,351 | ||||||||||||||
Book value per common share(2) |
$ | 37.84 | $ | 29.08 | $ | 32.69 | $ | 26.09 | $ | 20.23 | |||||||||
Diluted book value per common share(2) |
$ | 33.65 | $ | 25.79 | $ | 28.79 | $ | 23.45 | $ | 18.34 | |||||||||
Common shares outstanding |
132,140 | 136,212 | 142,520 | 149,982 | 148,831 | ||||||||||||||
Common shares outstanding - diluted |
148,596 | 153,588 | 161,804 | 166,884 | 164,274 |
(1) | Operating ratios are calculated by dividing the respective operating expenses by net premiums earned. |
(2) | Book value per common share and diluted book value per common share are based on total common shareholders equity divided by common shares and diluted common share equivalents outstanding, respectively. |
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ITEM 7. MANAGEMENTS DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following is a discussion and analysis of our results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007 and our financial condition at December 31, 2009 and 2008. This should be read in conjunction with the Consolidated Financial Statements and related notes included in Item 8 of this report. Tabular dollars are in thousands, except per share amounts. Amounts in tables may not reconcile due to rounding differences.
Page | ||
46 | ||
47 | ||
51 | ||
Results by Segment: Years ended December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007 |
59 | |
59 | ||
64 | ||
69 | ||
Net Investment Income and Net Realized Investment Gains/Losses |
70 | |
75 | ||
84 | ||
89 | ||
90 | ||
90 | ||
102 | ||
103 | ||
106 | ||
111 | ||
114 | ||
114 | ||
115 |
45
2009 Consolidated Results of Operations
| Net income available to common shareholders of $461 million, or $3.36 per share basic and $3.07 diluted |
| Operating income of $766 million , or $5.10 per share diluted(1) |
| Gross premiums written of $3.6 billion |
| Net premiums earned of $2.8 billion |
| Net favorable prior year reserve development of $423 million pretax |
| Underwriting income of $525 million and combined ratio of 79.3% |
| Net investment income of $464 million |
| Net realized investment losses of $312 million |
2009 Consolidated Financial Condition
| Total investments of $10.6 billion; fixed maturities and short-term securities comprise 93% of total investments, with an average credit rating of AA |
| Total assets of $15.3 billion |
| Reserve for losses and loss expenses of $6.6 billion and reinsurance recoverable of $1.4 billion |
| Total debt of $499 million and a debt to total capitalization ratio of 8.3% |
| Common shareholders equity of $5.0 billion; diluted book value per common share of $33.65 |
| Share repurchases of 5.85 million for total cost of $170 million under share repurchase authorization; additional $500 million share repurchase authorization approved by the Board of Directors in December 2009 |
| Strong liquidity with $4.2 billion available within one to three business days |
(1) | Operating income is a non-GAAP financial measure as defined in SEC Regulation G. See Non-GAAP Financial Measures for reconciliation to nearest GAAP financial measure (net income available to common shareholders). |
46
Business Overview
We are a Bermuda-based global provider of specialty lines insurance and treaty reinsurance products, with operations in Bermuda, the United States, Europe, Singapore, Canada and Australia. Our underwriting operations are organized around our two global underwriting platforms, AXIS Insurance and AXIS Reinsurance. Our strategy is to leverage our expertise, experience and relationships to expand our business globally. We are focused on organic growth, which we have supplemented with small acquisitions, while managing a portfolio of diversified and attractively priced risks. We executed on this strategy during 2009 by:
| establishing infrastructure and resources related to the recent launch of our Global Accident & Health line of business, which focuses on specialty products rather than traditional medical coverages and began offering insurance and reinsurance products in January 2010; |
| continuing to target small and middle-market insurance business through the acquisition of the operations of Australian managing general agent Dexta Corporation Pty Ltd. (which we acquired in early 2009 and will use as a platform for introduction of additional products into Australian and Asian markets); |
| continuing efforts to support organic growth; |
| expanding our geographic presence by securing the necessary licenses and approvals to begin full operations as branch insurers in Canada and Singapore; and |
| establishing a branch office in Latin America and a representative office in Spain to expand our reinsurance presence in these locations. |
We expect these actions will lead to long-term growth in our insurance and reinsurance businesses.
47
Results of Operations
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | Percentage Change |
2008 | Percentage Change |
2007 | |||||||||||||
Underwriting income: |
||||||||||||||||||
Insurance |
$ | 84,185 | (55% | ) | $ | 187,257 | (50% | ) | $ | 373,803 | ||||||||
Reinsurance |
440,450 | 269% | 119,411 | (67% | ) | 364,230 | ||||||||||||
Net investment income |
464,478 | 88% | 247,237 | (49% | ) | 482,873 | ||||||||||||
Net realized investment gains (losses) |
(311,584 | ) | 265% | (85,267 | ) | nm | 5,230 | |||||||||||
Other revenues and expenses |
(179,643 | ) | 121% | (81,262 | ) | (39% | ) | (134,118 | ) | |||||||||
Net income |
497,886 | 29% | 387,376 | (65% | ) | 1,092,018 | ||||||||||||
Preferred share dividends |
(36,875 | ) | - | (36,875 | ) | - | (36,775 | ) | ||||||||||
Net income available to common shareholders |
$ | 461,011 | 32% | $ | 350,501 | (67% | ) | $ | 1,055,243 | |||||||||
Operating income: |
||||||||||||||||||
Operating income |
$ | 766,241 | 76% | $ | 435,962 | (58% | ) | $ | 1,049,633 | |||||||||
Net realized investment gains (losses), net of tax |
(305,230 | ) | (85,461 | ) | 5,610 | |||||||||||||
Net income available to common shareholders |
$ | 461,011 | $ | 350,501 | $ | 1,055,243 | ||||||||||||
Underwriting Results
2009 versus 2008: Total underwriting income in 2009 of $525 million increased $218 million, or 71%, compared to underwriting income of $307 million in 2008. Overall, the increase was driven by lower catastrophe losses relative to the prior year. In particular, the North Atlantic hurricane season was benign in 2009 compared to 2008, which included net losses incurred of $384 million, net of related earned reinsurance premiums, on Hurricanes Ike and Gustav. Approximately three-quarters of these hurricane losses were incurred within our reinsurance segment.
Underwriting income in our insurance segment decreased $103 million compared to 2008. This decrease was driven by a net loss of $133 million on an insurance derivative contract which was cancelled and settled in the fourth quarter of 2009. In addition, our insurance segment was impacted by higher current accident year loss activity on its credit and political risk line of business this year. These factors were partially offset by lower catastrophe activity this year, as discussed above.
Underwriting income in our reinsurance segment increased $321 million compared to 2008. This increase was driven by a lower level of catastrophe losses relative to the prior year, as discussed above. In addition, underwriting income in 2009 benefited from an additional $38 million of net favorable prior period reserve development relative to 2008. These factors were partially offset by increased loss activity on trade credit and bond reinsurance business this year.
2008 versus 2007: Total underwriting income in 2008 decreased $431 million, or 58%, compared to 2007. The reduction was primarily driven by net losses incurred from Hurricanes Ike and Gustav (see above).
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Net Investment Income
2009 versus 2008: The $217 million increase in 2009 was primarily due to improved market conditions for our alternative investments, which was partially offset by lower reinvestment yields on our fixed maturities, short-term investments and cash.
2008 versus 2007: The $236 million decrease in 2008 was driven by significant valuation declines in our alternative investments (credit and hedge funds), resulting from the unprecedented disruption to the global financial markets. This decline was partially offset by a 17% increase in net investment income earned on fixed maturities primarily due to higher average fixed maturities balance.
Net Realized Investment Gains (Losses)
Unprecedented volatility and turmoil in the global financial markets in the past two years led to significant impairment charges on our available-for-sale investments. In 2009 and 2008, net realized investment losses included other-than-temporary impairment (OTTI) charges of $337 million and $78 million, respectively.
Other Revenues and Expenses
The 121% increase in 2009 from 2008 was primarily due to foreign exchange losses and an increase in income tax expense on profits earned from our U.S. subsidiaries. The $53 million reduction in 2008 from 2007 was primarily due to higher foreign exchange gains as well as lower financing costs due to the termination of a $400 million repurchase agreement in late 2007.
Financial Measures
We believe the following financial indicators are important in evaluating our performance and measuring the overall growth in value generated for our common shareholders:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | |||||||
ROACE(1) |
10.3% | 8.1% | 24.6% | |||||||
Operating ROACE(2) |
17.1% | 10.1% | 24.5% | |||||||
DBV per common share(3) |
$ | 33.65 | $ | 25.79 | $ | 28.79 | ||||
Cash dividends per common share |
$ | 0.810 | $ | 0.755 | $ | 0.680 | ||||
(1) | ROACE is calculated by dividing net income available to common shareholders for the period by the average shareholders equity determined by using the common shareholders equity balances at the beginning and end of the period. |
(2) | Operating ROACE is calculated by dividing operating income for the period by the average common shareholders equity determined by using the common shareholders equity balances at the beginning and end of the period. Operating ROACE is a non-GAAP financial measure as defined in SEC Regulation G. See Non-GAAP Financial Measures for reconciliation to the nearest GAAP financial measure (ROACE). |
(3) | DBV represents total common shareholders equity divided by the number of common shares and diluted common share equivalents outstanding, determined using the treasury stock method. |
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Return on Equity
Our objective is to generate superior returns on capital that appropriately reward our common shareholders for the risks we assume and to grow revenue only when we deem the returns meet or exceed our requirements. We recognize that the nature of underwriting cycles may make it difficult to achieve short-term excess profitability and had, therefore, established a return on average common equity (ROACE) target of at least 15% over a full underwriting cycle. Our average annual ROACE since inception is approximately 16%, in-line with this long-term goal.
Our 2009 ROACE improved relative to 2008 as a result of minimal catastrophe activity and strong performance from our investments in hedge and credit funds. However, it was adversely impacted by $312 million of net realized investment losses, a $133 million loss on an insurance derivative contract that was terminated during the fourth quarter and lower reinvestment yields on our fixed maturities portfolio during the year. Our 2008 ROACE was negatively impacted by losses incurred related to Hurricanes Ike and Gustav, as well as investment losses relating to the financial market crisis. In contrast, our 2007 ROACE benefited from an absence of major catastrophe losses and stable financial markets, as well as higher yields earned on our fixed maturities.
Our 2009 Operating ROACE improved significantly from 2008 for the same reasons noted above for ROACE excluding the impact of net realized investment losses, which were $226 million higher in 2009. Our 2007 Operating ROACE benefited from both strong underwriting and net investment income results.
Diluted book value per common share (DBV per common share)
We consider DBV per common share an appropriate measure of our returns to common shareholders, as we believe growth in our book value on a diluted basis ultimately translates into growth of our stock price. The increase in 2009 was primarily driven by a net increase in the fair value of our investment portfolio resulting from a recovery in global financial markets coupled with net income available to common shareholders of $461 million. The reduction in 2008 as compared to 2007 was primarily due to the significant decline in the fair value of our investment portfolio as a result of the unprecedented turmoil in global credit and equity markets, combined with higher stock repurchases and lower underwriting income.
Cash dividends per common share
We believe in returning excess capital to our shareholders by way of dividends (as well as stock repurchases) and accordingly our dividend policy is an integral part of the value we create for our shareholders. The strong earnings in recent years have permitted our Board of Directors to approve successive annual increases in quarterly common share dividends for the past three years.
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The following table provides our group underwriting results for the periods indicated. Underwriting income is a measure of underwriting profitability that takes into account net premiums earned and other insurance related income as revenues and net losses and loss expenses, acquisition costs and underwriting-related general and administrative costs as expenses.
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | Percentage Change |
2008 | Percentage Change |
2007 | ||||||||||||
Revenues: |
|||||||||||||||||
Gross premiums written |
$ | 3,587,295 | 6% | $ | 3,390,388 | (6% | ) | $ | 3,590,090 | ||||||||
Net premiums written |
2,816,429 | 6% | 2,666,880 | (7% | ) | 2,863,757 | |||||||||||
Net premiums earned |
2,791,764 | 4% | 2,687,181 | (2% | ) | 2,734,410 | |||||||||||
Other insurance related income (loss) |
(129,681 | ) | (38,667 | ) | 3,911 | ||||||||||||
Expenses: |
|||||||||||||||||
Current year net losses and loss expenses |
(1,847,044 | ) | (2,089,053 | ) | (1,707,237 | ) | |||||||||||
Prior period reserve development |
423,172 | 376,287 | 336,977 | ||||||||||||||
Acquisition costs |
(420,495 | ) | (366,509 | ) | (384,497 | ) | |||||||||||
General and administrative expenses |
(293,081 | ) | (262,571 | ) | (245,531 | ) | |||||||||||
Underwriting income(1) |
$ | 524,635 | 71% | $ | 306,668 | (58% | ) | $ | 738,033 | ||||||||
(1) | Refer to Item 8, Note 3 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, for a reconciliation of underwriting income to Income before income tax for the periods indicated above. |
UNDERWRITING REVENUES
Premiums Written: Gross and net premiums written, by segment, were as follows:
Gross Premiums Written | ||||||||||||||||
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | Change | 2008 | Change | 2007 | |||||||||||
Insurance |
$ | 1,775,590 | (4% | ) | $ | 1,841,934 | (10% | ) | $ | 2,039,214 | ||||||
Reinsurance |
1,811,705 | 17% | 1,548,454 | - | 1,550,876 | |||||||||||
Total |
$ | 3,587,295 | 6% | $ | 3,390,388 | (6% | ) | $ | 3,590,090 | |||||||
% ceded |
||||||||||||||||
Insurance |
42.3% | 3.9% | 38.4% | 3.5% | 34.9% | |||||||||||
Reinsurance |
1.1% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.9% | |||||||||||
Total |
21.5% | 0.2% | 21.3% | 1.1% | 20.2% | |||||||||||
Net Premiums Written | ||||||||||||||||
2009 | Change | 2008 | Change | 2007 | ||||||||||||
Insurance |
$ | 1,025,061 | (10% | ) | $ | 1,133,843 | (15% | ) | $ | 1,326,647 | ||||||
Reinsurance |
1,791,368 | 17% | 1,533,037 | - | 1,537,110 | |||||||||||
Total |
$ | 2,816,429 | 6% | $ | 2,666,880 | (7% | ) | $ | 2,863,757 | |||||||
51
2009 versus 2008: The 6% growth in consolidated gross premium written in 2009 was driven by our reinsurance segment, reflecting improved market conditions and the select expansion of our business. In our insurance segment, market conditions have generally improved this year and the segment also benefited from certain growth opportunities, particularly within professional lines business. However, gross premiums written in 2009 were reduced by limited underwriting opportunities for credit and political risk business, as well as our decision to reduce peak zone catastrophe exposures, which particularly impacted property related lines in the first half of the year.
The increase in the premiums ceded ratio in our insurance segment this year reflects a combination of business mix changes and rate increases on our property reinsurance program.
2008 versus 2007: The 6% reduction in consolidated gross premiums in 2008 emanated from our insurance segment, reflecting the reduction of business due to deteriorating market conditions across most property and liability insurance lines of business. In addition, the credit and political risk insurance line was negatively impacted by a reduction in available transactions associated with a slow down in the capital flows amidst the ongoing global financial crisis. Gross premiums written in our reinsurance segment in 2008 were largely unchanged from 2007. Although market conditions deteriorated moderately during the year, the impact of this was largely offset by some growth opportunities.
The increase in the premiums ceded ratio in 2008 primarily reflected the purchase of additional proportional coverage within our liability and professional lines business together with the impact of business mix changes.
Net Premium Earned: Net premiums earned by segment were as follows:
Year
ended December 31, |
Percentage Change | ||||||||||||||||||||
2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 08 to 09 | 07 to 08 | |||||||||||||||||
Insurance |
$ | 1,157,966 | 41% | $ | 1,183,143 | 44% | $ | 1,208,440 | 44% | (2% | ) | (2% | ) | ||||||||
Reinsurance |
1,633,798 | 59% | 1,504,038 | 56% | 1,525,970 | 56% | 9% | (1% | ) | ||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 2,791,764 | 100% | $ | 2,687,181 | 100% | $ | 2,734,410 | 100% | 4% | (2% | ) | |||||||||
2009 versus 2008: Changes in net premiums earned reflect period to period changes in net premiums written and business mix, together with normal variability in premium earning patterns. Overall, consolidated net premiums earned in 2009 increased relative to the prior year, driven by growth of our reinsurance business, as discussed above. Net premiums earned in our insurance segment decreased this year in line with exposure reductions on several lines of business. This was partially offset by the accelerated recognition of credit and political risk premium this year due to the actual and anticipated exhaustion of exposure on certain loss impacted policies.
2008 versus 2007: The reduction in net premiums earned in 2008 as compared with 2007 primarily emanated from the insurance segment, reflecting lower net premiums written, partially offset by the impact of growth in certain lines of business in prior years.
52
UNDERWRITING EXPENSES
The following table provides a breakdown of our combined ratio:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | Point Change |
2008 | Point Change |
2007 | ||||||||||
Current accident year loss ratio |
66.2% | (11.5% | ) | 77.7% | 15.3% | 62.4% | |||||||||
Prior period reserve development |
(15.2% | ) | (1.2% | ) | (14.0% | ) | (1.7% | ) | (12.3% | ) | |||||
Acquisition cost ratio |
15.1% | 1.5% | 13.6% | (0.5% | ) | 14.1% | |||||||||
General and administrative expense ratio(1) |
13.2% | 0.7% | 12.5% | 1.4% | 11.1% | ||||||||||
Combined ratio |
79.3% | (10.5% | ) | 89.8% | 14.5% | 75.3% | |||||||||
(1) | The general and administration expense ratio includes corporate expenses not allocated to underwriting segments of 2.7%, 2.7% and 2.1%, for 2009, 2008 and 2007, respectively. These costs are discussed further in the Other Revenue and Expenses section below. |
Current Accident Year Loss Ratio:
2009 versus 2008: The 11.5 point reduction in our consolidated current accident year loss ratio was driven by lower catastrophe related losses relative to the prior year. In particular, the North Atlantic hurricane season was benign in 2009 compared to 2008, which included net losses incurred of $408 million, or 15.2 points, on Hurricanes Ike and Gustav. These factors were partially offset by additional loss activity on credit and political risk insurance business and trade credit and bond reinsurance business, emanating from the turbulent economic environment. For further discussion on current accident year loss ratios, refer to the insurance and reinsurance segment discussions below.
2008 versus 2007: The 15.3 ratio point increase in our current accident year loss ratio for 2008 was driven by higher catastrophe losses, primarily emanating from net losses incurred on Hurricanes Ike and Gustav. The current accident year loss ratio in 2008 was also negatively impacted, by among other things, a higher frequency and severity of property losses in our insurance segment as well as the impact of pricing deterioration across many lines of business. Offsetting these factors, the 2008 current accident year loss ratio benefited from the incorporation of more of our own loss experience within a number of our short-tail lines of business, relative to the prior year. In addition, we had a relatively higher level of loss recoveries in 2008 within our insurance segment, as a result of our expanded reinsurance coverage.
Prior Period Reserve Development:
Prior period development was the net favorable result of several underlying reserve developments on prior accident years, identified during our quarterly reserving process. The following table provides a break down of prior period development by segment:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | ||||||
Insurance |
$ | 210,861 | $ | 202,339 | $ | 214,018 | |||
Reinsurance |
212,311 | 173,948 | 122,959 | ||||||
Total |
$ | 423,172 | $ | 376,287 | $ | 336,977 | |||
53
Overview
Overall, net favorable prior period reserve development in each of the last three years has primarily been generated from the property, marine, terrorism and aviation lines of our insurance segment and the property, catastrophe and crop lines of our reinsurance segment. These lines of business, the majority of which have short tail exposures, contributed 63%, 86% and 95% to the total net favorable reserve development in 2009, 2008 and 2007, respectively. The favorable development on these lines of business primarily reflects the recognition of better than expected loss emergence rather than explicit changes to our actuarial assumptions. Refer to the Critical Accounting Estimate on Loss Reserves for further discussion.
Approximately 34% of the net favorable reserve development in 2009 was generated from professional lines insurance and reinsurance business. This favorable development was driven by the incorporation of more of our own claims experience into the loss ratios for accident years 2006 and prior, with less weighting given to the initial expected loss ratios, which were derived from industry benchmarks. We began to give weight to our own loss experience for professional lines business in 2008, on those earlier accident years which had developed a reasonable level of credible data. However last year, the impact of this was largely offset by adverse development on accident year 2007 business, emanating from exposure to the sub-prime credit crisis.
The continued economic downturn and credit crisis also had some impact on our prior year loss reserves during 2009. Specifically, we strengthened our loss reserves for accident year 2008 trade credit and bond reinsurance business by $40 million and accident year 2008 professional lines insurance business by $44 million to reflect claims emergence that was worse than we had anticipated.
Credit and political risk business contributed 8% and 17% of the total net favorable reserve development in 2009 and 2008, respectively. In 2009, the favorable development was generated from credit related classes, largely from accident year 2007, and to a lesser extent, accident years 2006 and 2005, and was driven by the recognition of lower than expected loss activity. In 2008, the favorable development was primarily generated from credit related classes, partially in recognition of lower than expected loss activity and also due to adopting a more accelerated loss development profile on these lines. We also recognized favorable prior period reserve development from our traditional political risk book from accident years 2004 and prior.
We caution that conditions and trends that impacted the development of our liabilities in the past may not necessarily occur in the future. The following sections provide further details on prior year reserve development by segment, line of business and accident year.
54
Insurance Segment:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | |||||||||
Property and Other |
$ | 65,192 | $ | 94,089 | $ | 113,124 | ||||||
Marine |
39,798 | 27,276 | 43,753 | |||||||||
Aviation |
13,207 | 29,888 | 37,524 | |||||||||
Credit and Political Risk |
35,438 | 65,136 | 5,759 | |||||||||
Professional lines |
73,207 | (5,798 | ) | 21,087 | ||||||||
Liability |
(15,981 | ) | (8,252 | ) | (7,229 | ) | ||||||
Total |
$ | 210,861 | $ | 202,339 | $ | 214,018 | ||||||
In 2009, we experienced $211 million of net favorable reserve development, the principal components of which were as follows:
| $65 million of net favorable prior period reserve development on property business, the majority of which related to accident year 2008. The favorable development was driven by the continued migration to our actual loss experience, which was broadly better than we expected. As described in our Critical Accounting Estimate on Loss Reserves, the Bornhuetter-Ferguson actuarial method, which we primarily use for this business, provides for a transition between initial expected loss ratios to actual loss experience, as an accident year matures. The favorable development included a $9 million decrease in our estimate for Hurricanes Ike and Gustav due to a reduction in reported losses. |
| $40 million of net favorable prior period reserve development on marine business, driven by better than expected loss emergence. This included favorable development on energy offshore business of $21 million, the largest component of which related to a $7 million reduction in a specific case reserve from accident year 2006. |
| $13 million of net favorable prior period reserve development on aviation business which was spread across several accident years and was the result of better than expected loss emergence. |
| $35 million of net favorable prior period reserve development on credit and political risk business, driven by the recognition of lower than expected loss activity on 2005 through 2007 accident years. |
| $73 million of net favorable prior period reserve development on professional lines business. This was driven by net favorable development on accident year 2005, and to a lesser extent accident years 2004 and 2006, as discussed in the overview above. This was partially offset by net adverse development on accident year 2008 business ($44 million), primarily reflecting higher than expected loss activity associated with the financial crisis on financial institutions business. |
| $16 million of net adverse prior period reserve development on liability lines of business. This was driven by net adverse development of $24 million on Excess & Surplus (E&S) casualty business, primarily impacting accident year 2007, and to a lesser extent, accident year 2008. We adjusted our loss development profile on these accident years having observed higher than expected frequency and severity of claims emergence on this business over the last twelve months. This was partially offset by net favorable development on E&S umbrella business, predominately from accident years 2005 ($4 million) and 2004 ($5 million), reflecting the incorporation of more of our own actual experience with respect to reinsurance recoveries. |
55
In 2008, we experienced $202 million of net favorable prior period reserve development, the principal components of which were as follows:
| $151 million of net favorable prior period reserve development on our property ($90 million), aviation ($30 million), marine ($27 million) and terrorism ($4 million) lines of business. This development was largely generated from accident years 2007 ($70 million), 2006 ($40 million) and 2005 ($18 million). The favorable development was driven by the continued migration to our actual loss experience, which was better than we expected. |
| Net favorable prior period reserve development of $65 million from our credit and political risk line of business. The favorable development was driven by the continued migration to our actual loss experience, which was better than we expected. |
| Net adverse development of $6 million from our professional lines business. This was driven by adverse development of $37 million from accident year 2007, partially offset by favorable development of $32 million on accident years 2003 and 2004. |
| Net adverse development of $8 million on our liability business. This was largely due to higher than expected loss emergence on a specific program across several accident years. |
In 2007, we experienced $214 million of net favorable prior period reserve development, the principal components of which were as follows:
| $202 million of net favorable prior period reserve development on our property ($112 million), marine ($44 million), aviation lines ($38 million) and terrorism ($9 million) lines of business. This development was primarily generated from accident year 2006 ($127 million), 2004 ($44 million) and 2003 ($26 million). The favorable development was driven by the continued migration to our actual loss experience, which was better than we expected. Our accident year 2005 reserves were adversely impacted by the strengthening of our loss estimates for Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma by approximately $34 million. |
| $15 million of favorable development on our accident year 2003 professional lines business. This related to a specific claim, which we had previously made provision for, but removed following a favorable court ruling. |
| Adverse development of $8 million on our 2006 accident and health business (included in Other) due to a higher than expected emergence of claims. |
| $7 million of adverse development on our accident year 2004 and 2005 liability reserves, due to a higher than expected emergence of claims on a specific program. |
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Reinsurance Segment:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | |||||||||
Catastrophe, property and other |
$ | 154,755 | $ | 171,660 | $ | 119,537 | ||||||
Credit and Bond |
(17,939 | ) | (4,495 | ) | 5,480 | |||||||
Professional lines |
69,399 | 10,707 | (54 | ) | ||||||||
Motor |
4,358 | 2,634 | (2,239 | ) | ||||||||
Liability |
1,738 | (6,558 | ) | 235 | ||||||||
Total |
$ | 212,311 | $ | 173,948 | $ | 122,959 | ||||||
In 2009, we experienced $212 million of net favorable reserve development, the principal components of which were as follows:
| $68 million of net favorable prior period reserve development on catastrophe business, generated from accident years 2008 ($46 million), 2007 ($16 million) and prior ($6 million), and emanating from property related catastrophe business ($63 million) and workers compensation catastrophe business ($5 million). The favorable development was driven by the continued migration to our actual loss experience, which was broadly better than we expected. As described in our Critical Accounting Estimate on Loss Reserves, the Bornhuetter-Ferguson actuarial method, which we primarily use for this business, provides for a transition between initial expected loss ratios to actual loss experience, as an accident year matures. For accident year 2008, the favorable development included a $7 million decrease in our estimate for Hurricanes Ike and Gustav due to a reduction in reported losses. |
| $65 million of net favorable prior period reserve development on property business, generated from accident years 2008 ($34 million), 2007 ($22 million) and prior ($9 million), and emanating from property per risk business ($42 million) and property pro rata business ($23 million). The favorable development was driven by the continued migration to our actual loss experience, which was broadly better than we expected. In addition, we updated the loss development profile of property per risk business to reflect a more accelerated profile, based on our review of historic data. For accident year 2008, the favorable development included a $6 million decrease in our estimate for Hurricanes Ike and Gustav due to a reduction in reported losses. |
| $19 million of net favorable development on crop reserves (included in Other), predominately from accident year 2008, reflecting limited reported losses relative to our expectation. |
| $18 million of net adverse development on trade credit and bond reinsurance lines of business. This was driven by adverse development of $40 million on accident year 2008, reflecting updated loss information received from our cedants this year. This was partially offset by favorable development on earlier accident years reflecting the recognition of better than expected loss emergence. |
| $69 million of net favorable prior period reserve development on professional lines reinsurance business. This was primarily driven by net favorable development on accident years 2005 and 2004, as discussed in the overview above. This was partially offset by net adverse development of $7 million on accident year 2008 reflecting claims activity associated with the financial market crisis. |
| $4 million of net favorable development on motor non-proportional business, primarily relating to better than expected loss experience on our accident year 2007 U.K. business. |
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In 2008, we experienced $174 million of net favorable reserve development, the principal components of which were as follows:
| $78 million of net favorable prior period reserve development on catastrophe business, generated from accident years 2007 ($36 million), 2006 ($25 million) and prior ($17 million), and emanating from property related catastrophe business ($59 million) and workers compensation catastrophe business ($19 million). The favorable development was driven by the continued migration to our actual loss experience, which was better than we expected. |
| $84 million of net favorable prior period reserve development on property business, generated from accident years 2007 ($26 million), 2006 ($21 million), 2005 ($20 million) and prior ($17 million), and emanating from property per risk business ($57 million) and property pro rata business ($27 million). The favorable development was driven by the continued migration to our actual loss experience, which was better than we expected. |
| $10 million of favorable prior period reserve development on our accident year 2007 and 2006 crop reserves. |
| Net favorable development of $11 million from our professional lines business. This was driven by favorable development of $25 million on accident years 2003 and 2004, offset by adverse development of $14 million from accident years 2007 and 2006. |
| $7 million adverse development on our accident year 2003 liability reserves related to higher than expected loss emergence on a stop loss contract. |
| Net adverse development of $4 million on our credit and bond lines of business, largely from accident year 2007, and reflecting the increased potential for loss in the deteriorating economic environment. |
In 2007, we experienced $123 million of net favorable reserve development, the principal components of which were as follows:
| $77 million of net favorable prior period reserve development on catastrophe business, generated from accident years 2006 ($64 million), 2005 ($10 million) and prior ($3 million), and emanating from property related catastrophe business ($66 million) and workers compensation catastrophe business ($11 million). The favorable development was driven by the continued migration to our actual loss experience, which was better than we expected. |
| $26 million of net favorable prior period reserve development on property business, emanating from property per risk business ($13 million) and property pro rata business ($13 million) and primarily from accident year 2006. The favorable development was driven by the continued migration to our actual loss experience, which was better than we expected. |
| $15 million of favorable prior period reserve development on our accident year 2005 and 2006 crop reserves. |
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Results from our insurance segment were as follows:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | Percentage Change |
2008 | Percentage Change |
2007 | |||||||||||||
Revenues: |
||||||||||||||||||
Gross premiums written |
$ | 1,775,590 | (4% | ) | $ | 1,841,934 | (10% | ) | $ | 2,039,214 | ||||||||
Net premiums written |
1,025,061 | (10% | ) | 1,133,843 | (15% | ) | 1,326,647 | |||||||||||
Net premiums earned |
1,157,966 | (2% | ) | 1,183,143 | (2% | ) | 1,208,440 | |||||||||||
Other insurance related income (loss) |
(130,946 | ) | (39,862 | ) | 1,860 | |||||||||||||
Expenses: |
||||||||||||||||||
Current year net losses and loss expenses |
(823,555 | ) | (862,007 | ) | (748,282 | ) | ||||||||||||
Prior period reserve development |
210,861 | 202,339 | 214,018 | |||||||||||||||
Acquisition costs |
(113,187 | ) | (102,475 | ) | (126,423 | ) | ||||||||||||
General and administrative expenses |
(216,954 | ) | (193,881 | ) | (175,810 | ) | ||||||||||||
Underwriting income |
$ | 84,185 | (55% | ) | $ | 187,257 | (50% | ) | $ | 373,803 | ||||||||
Point Change |
Point Change |
|||||||||||||||||
Ratios: |
||||||||||||||||||
Current year loss ratio |
71.1% | (1.8% | ) | 72.9% | 11.0% | 61.9% | ||||||||||||
Prior period reserve development |
(18.2% | ) | (1.1% | ) | (17.1% | ) | 0.6% | (17.7% | ) | |||||||||
Acquisition cost ratio |
9.8% | 1.2% | 8.6% | (1.9% | ) | 10.5% | ||||||||||||
General and administrative expense ratio |
18.7% | 2.3% | 16.4% | 1.9% | 14.5% | |||||||||||||
Combined ratio |
81.4% | 0.6% | 80.8% | 11.6% | 69.2% | |||||||||||||
Gross Premiums Written: The following table provides gross premiums written by line of business:
Percentage Change | |||||||||||||||||||||
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 08 to 09 | 07 to 08 | ||||||||||||||||
Property |
$ | 551,536 | 31% | $ | 539,138 | 29% | $ | 659,595 | 32% | 2% | (18% | ) | |||||||||
Marine |
200,867 | 11% | 193,234 | 10% | 218,030 | 11% | 4% | (11% | ) | ||||||||||||
Terrorism |
36,023 | 2% | 36,288 | 2% | 51,757 | 3% | (1% | ) | (30% | ) | |||||||||||
Aviation |
76,198 | 4% | 67,761 | 4% | 70,387 | 3% | 12% | (4% | ) | ||||||||||||
Credit and political risk |
19,450 | 1% | 183,041 | 10% | 232,549 | 11% | (89% | ) | (21% | ) | |||||||||||
Professional lines |
671,618 | 38% | 601,874 | 33% | 528,616 | 26% | 12% | 14% | |||||||||||||
Liability |
219,869 | 13% | 216,629 | 12% | 248,562 | 12% | 1% | (13% | ) | ||||||||||||
Other |
29 | - | 3,969 | - | 29,718 | 2% | (99% | ) | (87% | ) | |||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,775,590 | 100% | $ | 1,841,934 | 100% | $ | 2,039,214 | 100% | (4% | ) | (10% | ) | ||||||||
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2009 versus 2008: The 4% decrease in gross premiums written primarily reflects a reduction in credit and political risk business, emanating from limited underwriting opportunities within the weakened global economy. Gross premiums written were also impacted by our decision to reduce peak zone catastrophe exposures in property and marine lines of business this year as part of our ongoing diversification strategy within these lines. Gross premiums written in 2009 did however benefit from a general improvement in rates this year, particularly for more volatile, loss-affected lines such as those with catastrophe exposure, energy and financial institutions business. Gross premiums written this year also benefited from the maturing of certain property and liability programs, having established business with managing general agents and other producers in prior years. Gross premiums written in 2009 further benefited from certain new opportunities for financial institutions business this year.
2008 versus 2007: The global property and liability insurance markets were highly competitive during 2008 with surplus capacity and price deterioration remaining prevalent. Gross premiums written declined in most lines of business reflecting declining rates for new and renewal business and the non-renewal of business that did not meet our underwriting requirements. The reduction in property premiums also reflects our decision to reduce our overall risk exposure to this business while unfavorable market conditions persist. The decrease in credit and political risk premium reflected a reduction in available transactions associated with a slow down in capital flows amidst the global financial crisis.
Partially offsetting these decreases, we experienced growth in professional lines business in 2008. This was partially related to renewal rights we acquired in conjunction with our purchase of the Media Pro business in the second quarter of 2007. In addition, in the later part of the year, the growth was driven by new business arising from disruptions in the financial institutions sector together with some rate increases on renewal business.
Premiums Ceded:
2009 versus 2008: Premiums ceded in 2009 were $751 million, or 42% of gross premiums written, compared to $708 million, or 38%, in the same period of 2008. The increase in ceded premium ratios this year primarily reflects a combination of business mix changes and rate increases on our property reinsurance program. Business mix changes primarily relate to growth of professional lines business in 2009 together with a reduction in credit and political risk premiums, a line for which we do not purchase reinsurance cover.
2008 versus 2007: Premiums ceded in 2008 were $708 million, or 38% of gross premiums written, compared with $713 million, or 35%, in 2007. The increase in our ceded premium ratio primarily reflects a combination of business mix changes and the purchase of additional proportional coverage within liability and professional lines business during 2008.
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Net Premiums Earned: The following table provides net premiums earned by line of business:
Percentage Change | |||||||||||||||||||||
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 08 to 09 | 07 to 08 | ||||||||||||||||
Property |
$ | 268,469 | 23% | $ | 328,709 | 28% | $ | 317,497 | 26% | (18% | ) | 4% | |||||||||
Marine |
139,196 | 12% | 151,809 | 13% | 156,981 | 13% | (8% | ) | (3% | ) | |||||||||||
Terrorism |
34,001 | 3% | 42,629 | 4% | 59,674 | 5% | (20% | ) | (29% | ) | |||||||||||
Aviation |
64,245 | 6% | 65,259 | 5% | 88,280 | 7% | (2% | ) | (26% | ) | |||||||||||
Credit and political risk |
188,311 | 16% | 144,481 | 12% | 112,837 | 9% | 30% | 28% | |||||||||||||
Professional lines |
381,364 | 33% | 340,929 | 29% | 330,646 | 28% | 12% | 3% | |||||||||||||
Liability |
82,286 | 7% | 97,898 | 8% | 109,005 | 9% | (16% | ) | (10% | ) | |||||||||||
Other |
94 | - | 11,429 | 1% | 33,520 | 3% | (99% | ) | (66% | ) | |||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,157,966 | 100% | $ | 1,183,143 | 100% | $ | 1,208,440 | 100% | (2% | ) | (2% | ) | ||||||||
2009 versus 2008: The decrease in net premiums earned in 2009 primarily reflects a 10% reduction in net premiums written this year, although the rate of reduction was less accelerated. This is partially due to the earning of credit and political risk business written in prior years, which typically provides multi-year coverage, and therefore earns over a greater number of periods. The average duration of the unearned premium on credit and political risk line of business at December 31, 2009 was 4.7 years. Net premiums earned on credit and political risk business for 2009 also includes the accelerated recognition of $50 million of premium due to the actual and anticipated exhaustion of exposure on certain loss impacted policies.
2008 versus 2007: The 2% decrease in net premiums earned in 2008 primarily reflects a decrease in net premiums written this year, although the rate of reduction was less accelerated. This was partially due to growth of credit and political risk line of business in prior years, which typically provides multi-year coverage, and therefore earns over a greater number of periods. Net premiums earned in 2008 also benefited from growth in property premiums in prior years as well as lower ceded premium amortized costs on this business in 2008.
Insurance Losses
Loss Ratio: The table below shows the components of our loss ratio:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | Point Change |
2008 | Point Change |
2007 | |||||||||
Current accident year |
71.1% | (1.8% | ) | 72.9% | 11.0% | 61.9% | ||||||||
Prior period reserve development |
(18.2% | ) | (1.1% | ) | (17.1% | ) | 0.6% | (17.7% | ) | |||||
Loss ratio |
52.9% | (2.9% | ) | 55.8% | 11.6% | 44.2% | ||||||||
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Current Accident Year Loss Ratio
2009 versus 2008
The 1.8 ratio point decrease in our current accident year loss ratio was the net result of several factors. The most significant drivers for the decrease were as follows:
| Lower catastrophe activity in 2009 relative to 2008, which included net losses incurred of $127 million, or 10.7 points, on Hurricanes Ike and Gustav. |
| A decrease in the expected loss ratio of our overall professional lines business from 77% in 2008 to 72% for the current accident year. The prior year included additional loss activity emanating from the subprime and related credit crisis. |
| A reduced severity of property related losses in 2009 relative to 2008. |
| The incorporation of more of our own historical loss experience within short-tail lines of business. Given that this experience has generally been better than we expected, this had the impact of reducing our net loss ratios on several lines of business, relative to 2008. |
These factors were partially offset by:
| Increased claims activity on the credit component of credit and political risk business, emanating from the effects of the global financial crisis. The current accident year loss ratio on credit and political risk business for 2009 was 133% compared to 38% for 2008. This contributed to an additional 14.6 points to the overall current accident year loss ratio for the insurance segment, relative to the prior year. The increase includes a reserving provision related to one peak credit insurance risk which has been stressed by the global economic downturn. No claim has been presented to date. However, we have been closely monitoring the status of the underlying project and identified an opportunity to work and negotiate with interested parties to settle our exposure. We have reserved for the amount that we believe will ultimately be payable to eliminate our exposure. |
2008 versus 2007
The 11.0 ratio point increase in our current accident year loss ratio was the net result of several factors. The most significant drivers for the increase were as follows:
| Higher catastrophe losses in 2008, driven by losses incurred on Hurricanes Ike and Gustav of $127 million, or 10.7 points. |
| A higher frequency and severity of property losses in 2008, including mining losses in Australia and several other worldwide property risk losses. |
| An increase in the overall expected loss ratios of our professional lines business from 72% in 2007 to 77% for accident year 2008, primarily reflecting the impact of the sub-prime crisis on our portfolio. |
| An increase in most of our initial expected loss ratio selections, reflecting the impact of pricing deterioration across most of our portfolio, partially offset by more favorable pricing on our ceded reinsurance. |
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These factors were partially offset by:
| A reduction in our credit and political risk loss ratio from 46% in 2007 to 38% for accident year 2008. This was primarily due to accelerating the loss development profile of our credit related classes based on our historical loss experience. Although we experienced an increase in loss activity from these classes during the second half of 2008, stemming from the economic downturn, these losses remained within our initial loss ratios. |
Refer to the Prior Period Reserve Development section for further details.
Acquisition Cost Ratio: Acquisition costs in our insurance segment in 2008 had the non-recurring benefit of adjustments to sliding scale commissions, following prior year releases on our professional lines business. Acquisitions cost ratios were otherwise broadly comparable over the three year period.
General and Administrative Expense Ratio: The increase in the general and administrative ratio of our insurance segment in both 2008 and 2009 primarily reflects a combination of lower net premiums earned and additional headcount and IT costs over this period.
Other Insurance Related Income / Loss: During the fourth quarter of 2009, we negotiated the cancellation of our indemnity contract exposed to longevity risk following an analysis of likely ultimate loss as well as a review of our legal rights and obligations under the contract. Under this cancellation agreement, we agreed to pay total cash consideration of $200 million in exchange for a full release and discharge from any and all obligations under the contract, both past and future. This resulted in the recognition of $28 million in income for the quarter. During the third quarter of 2009, we made a significant upward adjustment to our original life expectancy assumptions for the lives backing the note insured under this contract which resulted in a significant increase in the fair value liability. For the full year 2009, we incurred a loss of $133 million for the above contract, net of premiums. This is in addition to the $41 million loss recorded in 2008 due to change in the estimated fair value of the contract. This was the only contract of this kind in our portfolio. Refer to the Critical Accounting Estimate Fair Value Measurements section for further details on the estimation process of the fair value for this contract prior to its cancellation.
2010 Insurance Segment Outlook
In the insurance marketplace, the positive rate changes we observed during the first half of 2009 have generally decelerated, however terms and conditions as well as breadth of coverage remain stable. We continue to observe competition for market share with the most aggressive behavior emanating from admitted markets in the U.S. and new markets.
While rates for catastrophe-exposed property business have recently deteriorated, rates for energy lines of business have remained more stable, particularly in the offshore area. We expect to see a continuation of this trend as we head into the key March 1st and April 1st renewals. On our credit and political risk line of business, as has been the case throughout this year, global lending and trading activity remains weak and, therefore, opportunities in this line are expected to remain limited.
For professional lines insurance, we continue to observe favorable market conditions, particularly for financial institutions business, where pricing is up approximately 20%. Commercial directors and officers pricing has flattened out after gradual declines in recent years, while errors and omissions pricing has been flat to modestly down. For liability business, we are observing fewer new business opportunities and less available renewal premium as a result of exposure reduction by insureds amidst the current economic environment. This affect is compounded by the competitive pressures around this lower premium base. As a result, we continue to maintain a defensive posture in these lines.
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Results from our reinsurance segment were as follows:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | Percentage Change |
2008 | Percentage Change |
2007 | |||||||||||||
Revenues: |
||||||||||||||||||
Gross premiums written |
$ | 1,811,705 | 17% | $ | 1,548,454 | - | $ | 1,550,876 | ||||||||||
Net premiums written |
1,791,368 | 17% | 1,533,037 | - | 1,537,110 | |||||||||||||
Net premiums earned |
1,633,798 | 9% | 1,504,038 | (1% | ) | 1,525,970 | ||||||||||||
Other insurance related income |
1,265 | 1,195 | 2,051 | |||||||||||||||
Expenses: |
||||||||||||||||||
Current year net losses and loss expenses |
(1,023,489 | ) | (1,227,046 | ) | (958,955 | ) | ||||||||||||
Prior period reserve development |
212,311 | 173,948 | 122,959 | |||||||||||||||
Acquisition costs |
(307,308 | ) | (264,034 | ) | (258,074 | ) | ||||||||||||
General and administrative expenses |
(76,127 | ) | (68,690 | ) | (69,721 | ) | ||||||||||||
Underwriting income |
$ | 440,450 | 269% | $ | 119,411 | (67% | ) | $ | 364,230 | |||||||||
Point | Point | |||||||||||||||||
Ratios: |
Change | Change | ||||||||||||||||
Current year loss ratio |
62.6% | (19.0% | ) | 81.6% | 18.7% | 62.9% | ||||||||||||
Prior period reserve development |
(13.0% | ) | (1.4% | ) | (11.6% | ) | (3.5% | ) | (8.1% | ) | ||||||||
Acquisition cost ratio |
18.8% | 1.3% | 17.5% | 0.6% | 16.9% | |||||||||||||
General and administrative expense ratio |
4.7% | 0.1% | 4.6% | - | 4.6% | |||||||||||||
Combined ratio |
73.1% | (19.0% | ) | 92.1% | 15.8% | 76.3% | ||||||||||||
Gross Premiums Written: The following table provides gross premiums written by line of business:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | Percent Change | |||||||||||||||||
08 to 09 | 07 to 08 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe |
$ | 466,566 | 26% | $ | 454,768 | 29% | $ | 471,469 | 30% | 3% | (4% | ) | |||||||||
Property |
326,728 | 18% | 296,109 | 19% | 281,453 | 18% | 10% | 5% | |||||||||||||
Professional lines |
328,509 | 18% | 226,768 | 15% | 230,040 | 15% | 45% | (1% | ) | ||||||||||||
Credit and bond |
223,564 | 12% | 154,497 | 10% | 124,976 | 8% | 45% | 24% | |||||||||||||
Motor |
104,850 | 6% | 100,225 | 7% | 96,805 | 6% | 5% | 4% | |||||||||||||
Liability |
272,702 | 15% | 183,488 | 12% | 238,511 | 16% | 49% | (23% | ) | ||||||||||||
Engineering |
61,518 | 3% | 83,356 | 5% | 71,968 | 5% | (26% | ) | 16% | ||||||||||||
Other |
27,268 | 2% | 49,243 | 3% | 35,654 | 2% | (45% | ) | 38% | ||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,811,705 | 100% | $ | 1,548,454 | 100% | $ | 1,550,876 | 100% | 17% | - | ||||||||||
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2009 versus 2008: The 17% increase in gross premiums written in 2009 was driven by improved market conditions and the select expansion of our business. Gross premiums written for liability and professional lines of business primarily benefited from new and opportunistic business opportunities, together with an increase in our share on certain treaty renewals this year. The growth of these lines was also partially due to the impact of premium adjustments on prior year proportional and excess of loss professional lines and liability contracts. In 2009, we recorded positive premium adjustments of $14 million on professional lines business and negative adjustments of $4 million on liability business, compared to negative adjustments of $18 million and $13 million, respectively in the prior year. Refer to the Critical Accounting Estimate on Premiums for further discussion.
The trade credit and bond reinsurance market in Continental Europe experienced significant dislocation at the January 1 renewal and we were able to strengthen our market position at improved pricing, terms and conditions. In addition, at the first of July renewal, we entered the bond reinsurance market in Latin America. The increase in catastrophe gross premiums written was driven by a combination of rate increases in the U.S. property catastrophe market together with new business opportunities and an increase in our participation on certain renewals. The prior year included catastrophe reinstatement premiums of $28 million in connection with Hurricanes Ike and Gustav. The increase in property premiums in 2009 primarily reflects an improvement in rates and some new property pro rata business.
Gross premiums written on our engineering and crop business (included in Other) decreased during 2009 primarily reflecting exposure reductions amidst less favorable market conditions. Gross premiums written in 2009 were also negatively impacted from a stronger U.S. dollar relative to 2008. In particular, the U.S. dollar was stronger against the Euro and Sterling at our major renewal of January 1. Gross premiums written excluding the effect of exchange rate movements increased 19% in 2009.
2008 versus 2007: Gross premiums written in 2008 benefited from a weakened U.S. dollar relative to 2007. In particular, the U.S. dollar was weaker against the Euro at our major renewal of January 1. This primarily impacted our property, credit and bond and motor lines of business. Gross premiums written otherwise decreased 3% in 2008, which was partially due to the impact of premium adjustments on prior year proportional and excess of loss professional lines and liability contracts. In 2008, we recorded negative premium adjustments of $18 million and $13 million on professional lines business and liability business, respectively, compared to positive adjustments of $8 million and $6 million, respectively in the prior year.
The opportunity for growth within our reinsurance portfolio was generally limited in 2008, reflecting a modest deterioration in global market conditions. In addition, we experienced an ongoing trend of higher risk retention by our clients, particularly on liability lines. These factors were partially offset by growth opportunities within engineering and crop line of business in 2008. We also recorded $28 million of reinstatement premiums in connection with Hurricanes Ike and Gustav on catastrophe line of business. Property premiums in 2008 benefited from the renewal of a significant 16-month pro-rata contract, which previously renewed in 2006.
65
Net Premiums Earned: The following table provides net premiums earned by line of business:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | Percent Change | |||||||||||||||||
08 to 09 | 07 to 08 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe |
$ | 451,085 | 28% | $ | 453,091 | 30% | $ | 463,068 | 30% | - | (2% | ) | |||||||||
Property |
311,272 | 19% | 305,483 | 20% | 333,154 | 22% | 2% | (8% | ) | ||||||||||||
Professional lines |
266,792 | 16% | 221,531 | 15% | 245,672 | 16% | 20% | (10% | ) | ||||||||||||
Credit and bond |
179,362 | 11% | 139,861 | 9% | 107,618 | 7% | 28% | 30% | |||||||||||||
Motor |
99,497 | 6% | 97,773 | 7% | 98,627 | 7% | 2% | (1% | ) | ||||||||||||
Liability |
227,511 | 14% | 181,858 | 12% | 212,689 | 14% | 25% | (14% | ) | ||||||||||||
Engineering |
66,428 | 4% | 53,524 | 4% | 30,800 | 2% | 24% | 74% | |||||||||||||
Other |
31,851 | 2% | 50,917 | 3% | 34,342 | 2% | (37% | ) | 48% | ||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,633,798 | 100% | $ | 1,504,038 | 100% | $ | 1,525,970 | 100% | 9% | (1% | ) | |||||||||
The increase in net premiums earned in 2009 reflects gross premium written growth across several lines of business this year, in particular professional lines, credit and bond and liability business. Net premiums earned in 2008 were largely unchanged with 2007, reflecting a period in which our gross premiums written were also relatively stable.
Loss Ratio: The table below shows the components of our loss ratio:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | Point Change |
2008 | Point Change |
2007 | ||||||||||
Current accident year |
62.6% | (19.0% | ) | 81.6% | 18.7% | 62.9% | |||||||||
Prior period reserve development |
(13.0% | ) | (1.4% | ) | (11.6% | ) | (3.5% | ) | (8.1% | ) | |||||
Loss ratio |
49.6% | (20.4% | ) | 70.0% | 15.2% | 54.8% | |||||||||
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Current Accident Year Loss Ratio
2009 versus 2008:
The 19.0 ratio point decrease in our current accident year loss ratio was the net result of several factors. The most significant drivers for the decrease were as follows:
| A benign North Atlantic hurricane season in 2009 compared to 2008, which included net losses incurred of $281 million, or 18.7 points, on Hurricanes Ike and Gustav. |
| Other catastrophe losses in 2009 were also lower relative to the prior year, which included flood, hail and tornado activity in the U.S., an earthquake in China and storms in Australia. The most significant catastrophe losses this year related to European windstorm activity in the first and third quarter, with total incurred net losses estimated at $27 million. |
| The incorporation of more of our own historical loss experience within short-tail lines of business. Given that this experience has generally been better than we expected, this had the impact of reducing our net loss ratios on several lines of business, relative to 2008. |
These factors were partially offset by:
| Increased loss activity on trade credit and bond business this year emanating from continued turbulence in the economic environment. The current accident year loss ratio on credit and bond business in 2009 was 89% compared to 72% for 2008. |
| An increase in Canadian crop losses in 2009 relative to 2008. |
2008 versus 2007:
The 18.7 ratio point increase in our current accident year loss ratio was the net result of several factors. The most significant drivers for the increase were as follows:
| A more active North Atlantic hurricane season in 2008 compared to 2007, with losses primarily emanating from Hurricanes Ike and Gustav of $281 million, or 18.7 points. Other catastrophe losses in 2008, which included flood, hail and tornado activity in the U.S., an earthquake in China and storms in Australia were broadly in line with 2007, which included losses incurred on Windstorm Kyrill and flooding and storm damage in Australia and U.K. |
| Increased loss activity on trade credit and bond business in 2008 emanating from the deteriorating economic environment. The current accident year loss ratio on credit and bond business in 2008 was 72% compared to 55% for 2007. |
| Our initial expected loss ratios in 2008 were mostly higher than in 2007, reflecting the impact of pricing deterioration across many several lines of business. The impact of this was partially offset by the incorporation of more of our own historical loss experience in our loss picks, which has generally been better than the industry benchmarks that we also incorporate. |
Refer to the Prior Period Reserve Development section for further details.
Acquisition Cost Ratio: The increase in the acquisition cost ratio of our reinsurance segment in 2009 versus 2008 primarily reflects changes in business mix and growth in lines with higher acquisition costs.
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2010 Reinsurance Segment Outlook
Our 2010 treaty reinsurance renewals are progressing well and we are satisfied with the quality, diversity and balance of the portfolio we reassembled at January 1, 2010. Typically, approximately 50% of our reinsurance gross premiums written within any calendar year renews on this date. Although we have not yet finalized all the business we expect to bind, we anticipate that our first quarter treaty reinsurance renewals in 2010 will represent over 7% growth in premium relative to the same period in 2009. The growth rate is 4% after adjusting for changes in foreign exchange rates.
Just over 80% of our 2009 expiring premium from our Europe-based reinsurance business renews on January 1st and it was this portfolio that drove our growth. Across the board, the market was more competitive, but not irrational, and we continued to decline business that was not attractively priced. The select areas where we chose to grow, combined with a modest shift in our portfolio towards more proportional business, resulted in growth overall in the European reinsurance account. The most significant areas of growth were our trade credit and bond reinsurance and motor reinsurance lines of business. Our new Latin America surety reinsurance team contributed to growth in the trade credit and bond reinsurance line with new business written at the January 1st renewal. In our motor reinsurance line, we reduced our participation in the excess-of-loss market in France due to the failure of the market to secure rate to compensate for escalating loss costs. However, this reduction was more than offset by new proportional motor treaties in the U.K., where cedants are experiencing rate increases on the underlying account.
Overall, our catastrophe reinsurance premium was down approximately 10% at the January 1st renewal as we reduced our exposure to European windstorm. Increased competition has led to expected margins reducing gradually over the last few years. This business is still attractively priced at current levels, but the expectation of continued pressure in Europe prompted us to re-balance our worldwide cat portfolio. In North America, any price reductions at the January 1st renewal did not alter expected margins materially. Property catastrophe reinsurance remains one of our most attractively priced lines of business. Pricing for regional property per risk and excess of loss accounts was, for the most part, driven by experience. The exception to this was Continental Europe where the market did not react similarly.
Our liability and professional lines reinsurance business, reduced slightly at the January 1st renewal. Professional liability treaties that showed deterioration in experience received pricing increases as warranted. Conversely, there were moderate downward movements in areas with less loss experience, such as commercial directors and officers business. For general liability business, accounts were renewed as expiring with some exceptions where rate were up modestly. Those accounts warranting large increases because of poor experience generally renewed with rate increases.
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The following table provides a breakdown of our other revenues and expenses:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | Percentage Change |
2008 | Percentage Change |
2007 | |||||||||||
Corporate expenses |
$ | 77,076 | 5% | $ | 73,187 | 26% | $ | 58,300 | ||||||||
Foreign exchange losses (gains) |
28,561 | nm | (43,707 | ) | 160% | (16,826 | ) | |||||||||
Interest expense and financing costs |
32,031 | 1% | 31,673 | (38% | ) | 51,153 | ||||||||||
Income tax expense |
41,975 | 109% | 20,109 | (52% | ) | 41,491 | ||||||||||
Total |
$ | 179,643 | 121% | $ | 81,262 | (39% | ) | $ | 134,118 | |||||||
nm- | not meaningful |
Corporate Expenses: Our corporate expenses include holding company costs necessary to support our worldwide insurance and reinsurance operations and costs associated with operating as a publicly-traded company. As a percentage of net premiums earned, corporate expenses were 2.7%, 2.7% and 2.1% for 2009, 2008 and 2007, respectively. The increase in the corporate expense ratio from 2007 to 2008 was primarily due to higher share-based compensation costs, principally associated with the renewed employment contract for our CEO and a higher grant date fair value on issued awards year over year (refer to Item 8, Note 15 to the Consolidated Financial Statements). The corporate expense ratio for 2009 was largely unchanged from 2008.
Foreign Exchange Losses (Gains): Some of our business is written in currencies other than U.S. dollars. The foreign exchange loss in 2009 was primarily due to the remeasurement of net liabilities denominated in Euro and Sterling, following their appreciation against the U.S. dollar this year. In comparison, the Euro depreciated against the U.S dollar during 2008 driving the foreign exchange gain for that year. The foreign exchange gain in 2007 was driven by the revaluation of net asset balances denominated in several foreign currencies, following their appreciation against the U.S. dollar over this period.
Interest Expense and Financing Costs: Interest expense primarily includes interest due on the senior notes we issued in 2004. In 2007, it also included interest costs of $19 million incurred on a $400 million repurchase agreement we entered into in December 2006 to finance a life settlement investment. We terminated this agreement in September, 2007.
Income Tax Expense: Income tax is generated primarily through our foreign operations in the United States and Europe. The effective tax rate, which is calculated as income tax expense divided by income before tax, was 7.8% for 2009 compared with 4.9% in 2008 and 3.7% in 2007. The effective tax rate varies between periods depending on the distribution of net income or losses among our various taxable jurisdictions.
The increase in the effective tax rate in 2009 over 2008 was driven by an increase in the portion of total income generated by our U.S subsidiaries in 2009 relative to the prior year. In 2008, our U.S subsidiaries incurred significant losses related to Hurricanes Ike and Gustav. The increase in the effective tax rate in 2008 over 2007 was associated with the establishment of a full valuation allowance ($30 million) against net deferred tax assets arising from U.S. realized capital losses and investment impairments arising during the year, due to insufficient positive evidence for recognition.
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NET INVESTMENT INCOME AND NET REALIZED INVESTMENT GAINS/LOSSES
Net Investment Income
The following table provides a breakdown of income earned from our cash and investment portfolio by major asset class:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | % Change |
2008 | % Change |
2007 | |||||||||||||
Fixed maturities |
$ | 385,418 | (10% | ) | $ | 428,416 | 17% | $ | 366,746 | |||||||||
Other investments |
82,042 | 137% | (220,981 | ) | (743% | ) | 34,351 | |||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents |
8,302 | (80% | ) | 41,576 | (54% | ) | 90,700 | |||||||||||
Equities |
3,765 | (52% | ) | 7,862 | 100% | - | ||||||||||||
Short-term investments |
651 | (82% | ) | 3,579 | 16% | 3,079 | ||||||||||||
Gross investment income |
480,178 | 84% | 260,452 | (47% | ) | 494,876 | ||||||||||||
Investment expense |
(15,700 | ) | 19% | (13,215 | ) | 10% | (12,003 | ) | ||||||||||
Net investment income |
$ | 464,478 | 88% | $ | 247,237 | (49% | ) | $ | 482,873 | |||||||||
Pre-tax yield:(1) |
||||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities |
4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | |||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents |
0.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | |||||||||||||||
(1) | Pre-tax yield is calculated as net investment income divided by the average amortized cost balance for the period. |
Fixed Maturities
2009 versus 2008: The reduction in investment income from fixed maturities reflects lower reinvestment yields during 2009 as a result of the global economic stimuli provided by various government bodies in late 2008 which contributed to the significant tightening of credit spreads. This reduction was partially offset by growth of 12% in our average fixed maturity balances during the year.
2008 versus 2007: The increase in investment income from fixed maturities was primarily due to the impact of positive operating cash flows on our average investment balances, compounded with slightly higher yields.
Cash and Cash Equivalents
2009 versus 2008: The decrease in investment income from cash and cash equivalents in 2009 reflects the decline in global short-term interest rates that the global governments have initiated to stabilize financial markets and the broader economy. Average cash and cash equivalents balances in 2009 were similar to those in 2008.
2008 versus 2007: The reduction in net investment income from cash and cash equivalents in 2008 was due to a significant decline in global short-term interest rates and lower average cash and cash equivalents balances during the year. The reduction in our average cash and cash equivalents balances was largely associated with the funding of our share repurchases and investment portfolio during the first half of 2008. During the second half of 2008, we began to increase our allocation to cash and cash equivalents in response to the deteriorating financial market conditions.
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Other Investments
As noted in our Critical Accounting EstimatesFair Value Measurements, we record the change in fair value on our other investments in net investment income. Accordingly, the pre-tax return on other investments may vary materially year over year, in particular during volatile credit and equity markets. The following table provides a breakdown of net investment income (loss) from other investments:
Year ended December 31, | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | |||||||||
Credit funds |
$ | 53,461 | $ | (149,787 | ) | $ | 936 |