Center of the Universemoslereconomics.com
The Site of Economist Warren Mosler
Jobless claims, ADP payrolls, ISM services, Vehicle sales
March 03, 2021
Employment growth has stalled: Not looking good: Also fading: The post Jobless claims, ADP payrolls, ISM services, Vehicle sales appeared first on The Center of the Universe .
Back to 2018 levels with lots lost during the dip: Still drifting lower: Another round of Federal checks hit last month: The economy is generating less personal income than pre covid and fading: Some...
New home sales, mortgage purchase applications, bank real estate lending, crude oil prices
February 24, 2021
Settling in at perhaps somewhat higher levels: Promising! Not showing up here yet: No telling what the Saudis are up to: The post New home sales, mortgage purchase applications, bank real estate...
Consumer sentiment, unemployment claims, housing starts, lumber, retail sales, industrial production
February 19, 2021
Alarmingly high this long after the crisis and no longer moving lower: Seems ‘on average’ it’s hard to say much has changed: Though this looks promising: Tariffs and Covid related supply issues are...
Small business index, JOLTS, corn
February 09, 2021
Back to where it was pre Trump: New hires down, openings up some but that includes openings to replace higher cost workers: Exporting our food supply (in addition to turning it into motor fuel and...
February 05, 2021
Looking bad: Looks like the long term growth of government employment was reversed by Obama, then it increased under Trump until the covid crisis: The post Employment appeared first on The Center of...
Claims, durable goods orders, vehicle sales
February 04, 2021
Still massively elevated: Orders are about back to where they were but remain at sub 2018 levels: Still soft and sales lost during the dip not recovered: Sales continue to shift from passenger cars:...
Personal income and spending
February 01, 2021
Personal income went up with the crisis due to Federal transfers of the Cares Act, which subsequently faded: Personal income excluding government support continues to lag behind prior levels: Even with...
Trade, architecture billings, Covid chart, bank lending
January 27, 2021
Promising: No recovery yet: The post Trade, architecture billings, Covid chart, bank lending appeared first on The Center of the Universe .
Unemployment claims, consumer sentiment, household debt
January 21, 2021
No problem here seems: The post Unemployment claims, consumer sentiment, household debt appeared first on The Center of the Universe .
Retail sales, Industrial production, Real estate loans
January 15, 2021
Fading back to trend: Up a bit but still depressed: Mortgage applications may be up some but not bank lending for real estate: The post Retail sales, Industrial production, Real estate loans appeared...
Unemployment claims, rig count, nat gas prices
January 14, 2021
It’s bad and getting worse: The post Unemployment claims, rig count, nat gas prices appeared first on The Center of the Universe .
JOLTS, Gasoline, Small business index
January 12, 2021
Longer-term stagnation setting in: The post JOLTS, Gasoline, Small business index appeared first on The Center of the Universe .
ADP, unemployment claims, trade
January 07, 2021
This is not good: Imports going up with stimulus funds as jobless claims remain high: The post ADP, unemployment claims, trade appeared first on The Center of the Universe .
Consumer confidence, construction spending, gasoline
January 04, 2021
Not adjusted for inflation. Most recently showing an increase: The post Consumer confidence, construction spending, gasoline appeared first on The Center of the Universe .
Gasoline, New home sales, Personal income, Personal consumption
December 23, 2020
still weakening: November new home sales fall more than expected, builder stocks drop Continues to fall back as benefits fade and employment remains weak: Weakening after failing to return to trend as...
Jobless claims, housing starts, news headlines
December 19, 2020
Stubbornly way high and rising some: Very high and coming down only as they expire: Familiar dip and partial recovery pattern: The post Jobless claims, housing starts, news headlines appeared first on...
Retail sales, architecture billings
December 16, 2020
The pace is sort of coming back to trend line: Familiar pattern as weakness continues: The post Retail sales, architecture billings appeared first on The Center of the Universe .
Consumer sentiment, Optimism, Industrial production
December 15, 2020
Still depressed: Tariffs turned this one south before covid did its thing: The post Consumer sentiment, Optimism, Industrial production appeared first on The Center of the Universe .
Real estate loans, restaurants, gasoline
December 14, 2020
Some housing indicators may be looking up but not this one: Other indicators sagging as well as the economy starts to go over the fiscal cliff as benefits expire: The post Real estate loans,...